1/16 college hoops discussion

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1
    1/16 college hoops discussion
    had a nice turn out with precipitation yesterday and i think came away with some pretty solid plays, i doubt anyone played the card i did but that typical as i play a ton of games didnt go bad for me, not great, few bounces and it been a really nice day..just now getting started on card and think it looks like a bunch more plays for me before all is said and done, lol.. only played one so far but wanted to get the thread started so everyone can start posting thoughts on games they like...

    loyola marymount-2.. they come into today off a tough 4 gm trip losing them all, portland off the upset of the overrated zags. portland always been a team i like at home much more than the road as they play in a tough little gym which a nice adv to them, there not a lot to go off with them on the road this season as they have been home for a month and havnt played many true road games. port did beat this team twice last season but i think they now play at more of a pace to loyola's liking, think we will get a uptempo gm where loyola will have the opportunity to get some good looks at the basket and snap their 4 game skid..
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    lean under in the osu/minny gm.. like it at the 132.5 it sits at now but wondering if it might go up a little more?
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Looking at Tulsa and UIC. Would like to take USF as a home dog, but you never know which BYU team shows up.

      Is UConn a play at Memphis.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        LBst/ucsb ov 133.5... both teams have played a incredibly tough schedule especially pertaining to defensive teams, lbst in particular playing the 2nd toughest adj defense schedule in the country, ucsb not far behind and they still have very good offensive efficiency ratings..think they both will thrive offensively playing against below avg defenses here, as long as lbst can hang around i think even with a somewhat slow pace enough shots drop to get this gm over, of coarse if lbst cant stay in the gm we may have a problem but line feels like they will be close enough at the end..
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Looking at Tulsa and UIC. Would like to take USF as a home dog, but you never know which BYU team shows up.

          Is UConn a play at Memphis.
          i guess ya almost gotta take ucon or nothing, not a huge fan of their team but they do play really tight games for the most part so the points seem like the right way to go.. mem is mem, either the coach or kids he recruits but they never have a high hoops iq and are piss poor ft shooters.. id say ucon with the points for sure and maybe sprinkle ml even.. i hate popular doggies tho!
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            i guess ya almost gotta take ucon or nothing, not a huge fan of their team but they do play really tight games for the most part so the points seem like the right way to go.. mem is mem, either the coach or kids he recruits but they never have a high hoops iq and are piss poor ft shooters.. id say ucon with the points for sure and maybe sprinkle ml even.. i hate popular doggies tho!
            Feel the same way. UConn will probably hang tough all game long, have a chance in the end, then somehow lose by 7.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              i was looking to play denver and the line took off on me, it was baorder line at -7.5 for me and now it -9.. i still think they the right side as that a tugh place to play and i think strength of schedule tells the story in this gm..maybe it will go back down with ppl seeing the team with the pretty record catching so many points..
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Feel the same way. UConn will probably hang tough all game long, have a chance in the end, then somehow lose by 7.
                sounds about right, lol..
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Solid daily thread
                  Comment
                  • blackeyeshamus
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-19-11
                    • 6632

                    #10
                    Watching the BYU/SF line. If the Dons catch +5 or better, I plan to bang the live home dog. Thank you, boys.
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      Eastern Ky should beat Belmont in a shoot out, was hoping books dropped a 150/151 but they on point.

                      Mid Tenn St -6.5 (-105) my only play so far
                      Comment
                      • abovepar
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 02-14-12
                        • 351

                        #12
                        Anyone have a total for Memphis uconn game? Thinking the game will be in the 140s.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by blackeyeshamus
                          Watching the BYU/SF line. If the Dons catch +5 or better, I plan to bang the live home dog. Thank you, boys.
                          i lean sf but if the total drops any more i think ill take the over instead .. surprised it dropping considering the games these 2 played last year, actually like it now at 160 but wouldnt hurt my feelings if it went down little more.. agree with you it dons or nothing tho..
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Most intriguing game if the night us Arky St @ Georgia St. Both these teams coming together and playing good ball.

                            Especially Ga St they are putting together something nice and might be strong enough to represent the Sun Belt in March
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Originally posted by abovepar
                              Anyone have a total for Memphis uconn game? Thinking the game will be in the 140s.
                              i think it a pretty good number.. kenpom put it at 140 and i wasnt that much different.. pace might be there but prefer both defenses over offenses in this one..
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                Most intriguing game if the night us Arky St @ Georgia St. Both these teams coming together and playing good ball.

                                Especially Ga St they are putting together something nice and might be strong enough to represent the Sun Belt in March
                                the total drop in that gm is kinda surprising, neither team real interested in playing d and both can score, maybe it was a little high at open but really strange it has dropped under 150?
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                  Eastern Ky should beat Belmont in a shoot out, was hoping books dropped a 150/151 but they on point.

                                  Mid Tenn St -6.5 (-105) my only play so far
                                  Considering making a play on Vandy, nothing else really catching my eye.

                                  Originally posted by 2daBank

                                  the total drop in that gm is kinda surprising, neither team real interested in playing d and both can score, maybe it was a little high at open but really strange it has dropped under 150?
                                  I was thinking over yesterday when I was looking at the card, but I'm staying away.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    Bank, like ASU/AZ under 133 a lot tonight and also played Providence +4. Back later today. BOL tonight pal.
                                    Comment
                                    • RollinDo
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-04-13
                                      • 13322

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                      Eastern Ky should beat Belmont in a shoot out, was hoping books dropped a 150/151 but they on point.

                                      Mid Tenn St -6.5 (-105) my only play so far
                                      Can you explain why you like MTS tonight? I was thinking of putting them in a 4-team parlay.
                                      Thanks!
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by RollinDo
                                        Can you explain why you like MTS tonight? I was thinking of putting them in a 4-team parlay.
                                        Thanks!
                                        No problem, I'll post some thought in 10/20 minutes.

                                        Just locked in Vandy + as my second and probably final play of the night $100 each
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                          No problem, I'll post some thought in 10/20 minutes.

                                          Just locked in Vandy + as my second and probably final play of the night $100 each
                                          i think i like vandy as well, maybe more accurately i like the idea of fading mizzou.. not sure i trust vandy but again mizzou as road favs seems little off..
                                          Comment
                                          • dilaudid8
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-19-10
                                            • 1866

                                            #22
                                            bank great job my brother yesterday alot of gamblers don't understand. just winning 1 more game then you lose your doing great betting on sports is a real hard way to make money only a few wise guys in the world can make a living betting on sports. you see a lot of gamblers asking what would it take for me to gamble for a living I tell them you have a better chance of being the next President of USA. bank your the 1 thread I go to when I stop by sbr great job to the bank mint gov mint baby
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Lk I wanna hear those mtsu thoughts as well, clearly u got a good number but utep starting to tempt me, prob pass but wouldn't mind your take..

                                              D8 thanx brother, quite a compliment from u!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Allsportscapper
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-12-13
                                                • 275

                                                #24
                                                Good job bro
                                                Comment
                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                  • 52143

                                                  #25
                                                  The biggest angle I like is the fact that this is UTEP's first road game after the 3 suspensions (including leading scorer McKenzie Moore). MTSU is one of the biggest home court advantages in the nation and that should play a huge role in this spot. The Blue Raiders gaining confidence hitting conference play w/ 3 straight wins. This is the second game of 3 game home-stand in conference with a great opportunity to start conference 4-0.

                                                  UTEP plays very solid defense but they turn the ball over at an alarming rate and MTSU is one of better squads in forcing turnovers. They will own the glass on both ends on the court, and create a ton of second shot opportunities. Tim Floyd plays that zone that will even create more chances for second chance points.

                                                  Expect a lot of one and done's for the Miners in this one, which could become quite frustrating with MTSU getting the second chance points on the other end. Along w/ the mental state of the Miners during this FBI investigation.

                                                  I'm assuming its a RAS play with the drastic line move.

                                                  -----------

                                                  Vandy has been playing better as of late and its always a difficult place to play. Mizzou form entering this matchup is unimpressive to say the least. 1-1 in the SEC needing OT to beat Georgia @ home and snuck by Auburn by 2 on the road. B2B SEC road game against a team that's 0-2 with 2 tough losses in conference @ Bama by 5 and against UK by 9 (in a game that was closer than the score indicates). They will be desperate for a win in this spot.

                                                  They struggled early in the season due to a big injury to C Josh Henderson and then one of their better players got kicked off the team early January. It seems that have put that behind them and Stallings has them playing much better. Both squads play solid defense and can be sloppy with the rock. Mizzou does have edge on Glass and from the line, but I look for Vandy to play motivated behind their home fans and come out with the victory.

                                                  Good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RollinDo
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-04-13
                                                    • 13322

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                    The biggest angle I like is the fact that this is UTEP's first road game after the 3 suspensions (including leading scorer McKenzie Moore). MTSU is one of the biggest home court advantages in the nation and that should play a huge role in this spot. The Blue Raiders gaining confidence hitting conference play w/ 3 straight wins. This is the second game of 3 game home-stand in conference with a great opportunity to start conference 4-0.

                                                    UTEP plays very solid defense but they turn the ball over at an alarming rate and MTSU is one of better squads in forcing turnovers. They will own the glass on both ends on the court, and create a ton of second shot opportunities. Tim Floyd plays that zone that will even create more chances for second chance points.

                                                    Expect a lot of one and done's for the Miners in this one, which could become quite frustrating with MTSU getting the second chance points on the other end. Along w/ the mental state of the Miners during this FBI investigation.

                                                    I'm assuming its a RAS play with the drastic line move.

                                                    -----------

                                                    Vandy has been playing better as of late and its always a difficult place to play. Mizzou form entering this matchup is unimpressive to say the least. 1-1 in the SEC needing OT to beat Georgia @ home and snuck by Auburn by 2 on the road. B2B SEC road game against a team that's 0-2 with 2 tough losses in conference @ Bama by 5 and against UK by 9 (in a game that was closer than the score indicates). They will be desperate for a win in this spot.

                                                    They struggled early in the season due to a big injury to C Josh Henderson and then one of their better players got kicked off the team early January. It seems that have put that behind them and Stallings has them playing much better. Both squads play solid defense and can be sloppy with the rock. Mizzou does have edge on Glass and from the line, but I look for Vandy to play motivated behind their home fans and come out with the victory.

                                                    Good luck
                                                    Thanks Louisville kid!
                                                    Do you think this parlay is fairly safe?

                                                    MTSU mL / Arizona mL / UNC Greensboro mL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by RollinDo
                                                      Thanks Louisville kid!
                                                      Do you think this parlay is fairly safe?

                                                      MTSU mL / Arizona mL / UNC Greensboro mL
                                                      Im not much of parlay guy as too many things have to go right that have nothing to do with each other. I'll play parlays in the same game sometimes because both plays directly impact each other.

                                                      I obv like MTSU since I'm laying the #, I'd be surprised if ASU goes into UA and leaves with a win. Although they do have one of my top 10 favorite players in Jahil Carson. I honestly have no opinion on UNC Greensboro/Citadel.

                                                      Good Luck tonight, looks solid.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • You mad bro
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-15-12
                                                        • 16641

                                                        #28
                                                        lkid how'd you make out last night?

                                                        bank whats the deal for tonight man haven't look at shit
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by You mad bro
                                                          lkid how'd you make out last night?

                                                          bank whats the deal for tonight man haven't look at shit
                                                          2-1

                                                          Cal W
                                                          Air Force W
                                                          Dely L Tough loss W & M hit 2 3's in last 40 sec to cover
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chalk46
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-14-13
                                                            • 564

                                                            #30
                                                            "Ville kid, I waited over night to get down on MTSU at -6.5. Now at 8.5, what do you think?.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • You mad bro
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-15-12
                                                              • 16641

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                              2-1

                                                              Cal W
                                                              Air Force W
                                                              Dely L Tough loss W & M hit 2 3's in last 40 sec to cover
                                                              hate backdoor covers

                                                              we were both on cal for a nice win at least lol
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-17-07
                                                                • 52143

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by chalk46
                                                                "Ville kid, I waited over night to get down on MTSU at -6.5. Now at 8.5, what do you think?.
                                                                I mean I think they win by DD, but never would advise betting after the move.

                                                                Normally If I miss a 2 point move like that I'll only bet 0.5 instead of the full unit.

                                                                Good luck on whatever you decide...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by You mad bro
                                                                  hate backdoor covers

                                                                  we were both on cal for a nice win at least lol
                                                                  Yeah a few easy ones for once.

                                                                  I'm starting to be much more selective playing much less plays than normal, its working out well.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RollinDo
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-04-13
                                                                    • 13322

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                    Im not much of parlay guy as too many things have to go right that have nothing to do with each other. I'll play parlays in the same game sometimes because both plays directly impact each other.

                                                                    I obv like MTSU since I'm laying the #, I'd be surprised if ASU goes into UA and leaves with a win. Although they do have one of my top 10 favorite players in Jahil Carson. I honestly have no opinion on UNC Greensboro/Citadel.

                                                                    Good Luck tonight, looks solid.
                                                                    OK - I've done pretty well with college hoops ml parlays this season.
                                                                    I usually take 3-4 favorites of anywhere from -6 to -10.
                                                                    Tonight I've got 3 of them. I'm tailing you on MTSU - usually not a good idea when not familiar with teams, but looks like you've done the HW on this. Appreciate the rationale behind your play.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jessetk313
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                                      • 1298

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Western Kentucky against Arkansas little rock anyone? Hill toppers are usually good at home
                                                                      Comment
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