EricZ116 NCAAB Totals

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  • EricZ116
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-09-10
    • 493

    #1
    EricZ116 NCAAB Totals
    Running a system similar to the one I'm using in the NBA. Haven't had a chance to backtest, but will be posting experimental plays in here for a little and we'll see where it goes from there.

    Minnesota/Florida state over 138.5
    NC State/Michigan over 135.5
    Nebraska/Wake Forest over 128
    North Carolina/Indiana under 153

    Leans:
    Maryland/Northwestern over 130
    Vermont/Harvard over 119.5
  • EricZ116
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-09-10
    • 493

    #2
    Originally posted by EricZ116
    Running a system similar to the one I'm using in the NBA. Haven't had a chance to backtest, but will be posting experimental plays in here for a little and we'll see where it goes from there.

    Minnesota/Florida state over 138.5 win
    NC State/Michigan over 135.5 win
    Nebraska/Wake Forest over 128 win
    North Carolina/Indiana under 153 win

    Leans:
    Maryland/Northwestern over 130 win
    Vermont/Harvard over 119.5 win
    Any love for a 6-0 start?
    Comment
    • TheeArchBishop
      SBR MVP
      • 11-17-11
      • 1328

      #3
      HOLY SHIZNIT. That's a nice effen start. Ok, lemme tail - who you got today
      Comment
      • EricZ116
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-09-10
        • 493

        #4
        Backed up with meetings until around 2 today, once I get some time I'll post my plays.

        Just be careful, I haven't had a chance to backtest it much: if anyone can find me a list of closing lines and actual scores from last year (with teams of course) you'd be a lifesaver.
        Comment
        • pimpinaces
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-25-10
          • 739

          #5
          Interesting? Lucky start ??
          Comment
          • EricZ116
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-09-10
            • 493

            #6
            UVA/Wisconsin over 117
            BC/PSU over 125.5
            George mason under 124.5
            OSU/Duke under 143.5
            Comment
            • pimpinaces
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-25-10
              • 739

              #7
              Not bad at all ...where are your nba totals?
              Comment
              • WhO_DAT 429
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-26-12
                • 40

                #8
                3-1 last night.. Ill be looking forward to your totals that you post again tonight.. Good start to the forum man
                Comment
                • EricZ116
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-09-10
                  • 493

                  #9
                  Thanks fellas. I'll post them earlier today, a bit more free than yesterday.

                  My nba thread is buried somewhere, I didn't do a good job cleaning it up. Im going to keep playing nba on my own until it becomes better- too many overs in the last week or two. I might post both in here when it settles down.
                  Comment
                  • EricZ116
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-09-10
                    • 493

                    #10
                    Kentucky/notre dame over 134
                    South carolina/st johns over 137
                    Marquette/Florida under 137
                    Seton hall/LSU over 135
                    Comment
                    • Dan Kelly
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-19-11
                      • 1332

                      #11
                      Originally posted by EricZ116
                      Backed up with meetings until around 2 today, once I get some time I'll post my plays.

                      Just be careful, I haven't had a chance to backtest it much: if anyone can find me a list of closing lines and actual scores from last year (with teams of course) you'd be a lifesaver.
                      I use covers.com - go to NCAAB -> TEAMS -> then pick a team, -> PAST RESULTS, then change "Past Results by Season" to 2011-2012

                      Here is Butlers e.g., covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/teams/pastresults/2011-2012/team2295.html

                      BOL
                      Comment
                      • EricZ116
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-09-10
                        • 493

                        #12
                        I did that for the NBA, and it was a huge pain in the ass for only 30 teams... Cant imagine doing it for over 300.

                        Was hoping an excel file existed.
                        Comment
                        • pimpinaces
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-25-10
                          • 739

                          #13
                          Flordia over was the only play I liked tonight lol. How do you see ND scoring for than Flordia?
                          Comment
                          • WhO_DAT 429
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 11-26-12
                            • 40

                            #14
                            The only one that scares me is the LSU vs seton hall game.. Seems like everyone is on the over there cuz it opened at 130.5 and all the way up to 137
                            Comment
                            • WhO_DAT 429
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 11-26-12
                              • 40

                              #15
                              But I took your picks last night so imma give you one more ride tonight and see how it goes.. 250 a piece for me on all four games
                              Comment
                              • EricZ116
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-09-10
                                • 493

                                #16
                                So much for taking it easy...

                                I like Kentucky's defense obviously, but it may be overstated this year. They are running up and down the court and can put up points in a hurry.

                                Marquette and Florida for starters are both teams that play pretty slowly, I don't rank plays but this might be my most confident one.
                                Comment
                                • pimpinaces
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-25-10
                                  • 739

                                  #17
                                  Sounds reasonable
                                  Comment
                                  • steveq
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-22-12
                                    • 661

                                    #18
                                    came i get a lok at your plays??
                                    Comment
                                    • steveq
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-22-12
                                      • 661

                                      #19
                                      cant post
                                      Comment
                                      • steveq
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-22-12
                                        • 661

                                        #20
                                        Sp is on kentucy
                                        Comment
                                        • steveq
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-22-12
                                          • 661

                                          #21
                                          Another is on pepperdine
                                          Comment
                                          • EricZ116
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-09-10
                                            • 493

                                            #22
                                            Huh?
                                            Comment
                                            • pimpinaces
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-25-10
                                              • 739

                                              #23
                                              ??? What
                                              Comment
                                              • EricZ116
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 10-09-10
                                                • 493

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by EricZ116
                                                Kentucky/notre dame over 134 loss
                                                South carolina/st johns over 137 win
                                                Marquette/Florida under 137 win
                                                Seton hall/LSU over 135 win
                                                Another 3-1 day.

                                                12-2 overall.
                                                Comment
                                                • pimpinaces
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 739

                                                  #25
                                                  yes...good job
                                                  Comment
                                                  • head4thehills
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 11-19-12
                                                    • 18

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by EricZ116
                                                    Another 3-1 day.

                                                    12-2 overall.
                                                    Amazing 12-2 in three days, you really know your stuff!! Please keep sharing the knowledge
                                                    Comment
                                                    • spearkl29
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 11-06-12
                                                      • 27

                                                      #27
                                                      Man that is a great start EricZ116. Continued success and huge thanks for sharing your picks. BOL!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • WhO_DAT 429
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-26-12
                                                        • 40

                                                        #28
                                                        You had me biting my nails on two games but they came through.. Hey out of curiosity can you tell us how your system works or are you picking these games yourself, cuz I seem you explain your Florida pick last night?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EricZ116
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-09-10
                                                          • 493

                                                          #29
                                                          I'd rather not give out my secrets, but there's a heavy emphasis on ball control and tempo.

                                                          Last night was a bit scary, but all that matters is the end result I suppose.

                                                          Tennessee/gtown over 124.5
                                                          Georgia/s Florida over 112
                                                          Cuse/Arkansas under 149
                                                          Depaul/auburn under 140.5

                                                          I don't want to be too skeptical, but take it easy. It's still early, and we're due for some regression. Not even I could expect 86% - probably hoping for around 60%.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pimpinaces
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-25-10
                                                            • 739

                                                            #30
                                                            Well done...screw regression. 80% and 4-0 tonight! Lol. Shoot high! Good luck. I had a feeling Gtown would be on your list today. They always pop out at me as far as over unders. Had a feeling yesterday ND would have a hard time going over. Same thing for Gtown tonight? Slow tempo good D? You have the over? Just a thought.. Although you know much more about collage ball than I do. Just trying to learn more
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EricZ116
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 10-09-10
                                                              • 493

                                                              #31
                                                              Well, I have a play on all 4 available games haha.

                                                              Yes the gtown game does set up like the ND game, but the total I believe is too low for these teams who have good offenses as well.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EricZ116
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-09-10
                                                                • 493

                                                                #32
                                                                Jeez, combined 13/48 in the first half for the Georgetown game... Going to chalk up that loss.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pimpinaces
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                                  • 739

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Had a feeling about Gtown..hopefully we get the rest.. Going to be down to the wire though lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EricZ116
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                                    • 493

                                                                    #34
                                                                    1-3 last night, 13-5 overall.

                                                                    Sorry about last night fellas, but due for some regression. Still in the early stages and while this looks very promising, I'll remind everyone once again to take it easy for the first few weeks.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EricZ116
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 493

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Miami (FL)/Umass under 148
                                                                      Alabama/Cincinnati over 131
                                                                      UAB/UNC under 150
                                                                      Texas A&M/Houston over 139.5
                                                                      San Diego State/UCLA under 139.5
                                                                      Comment
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