BettingWizard is 1-3-1 on his last 5 NBA plays

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  • cleaveland
    SBR MVP
    • 04-04-10
    • 1559

    #1
    BettingWizard is 1-3-1 on his last 5 NBA plays
    Is this the end of the cult of BW? I've noticed that he's considered mortal now at least in the sense that you can disagree with him without being assailed by his followers. That's healthy for the board at least.

    It's about time to ask a serious question: Could BW be the next Brock Landers?
  • Speedy88
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-19-11
    • 11717

    #2
    nope. Every great capper goes through their dry spells. And to be honest, 1-3-1 is not all that horrible. I've seen good cappers go through much worst stretches.
    Comment
    • Sport_Fish
      SBR MVP
      • 12-06-10
      • 4079

      #3
      Its just variance kicking in ....he'll still be up for the year for a long time
      Comment
      • Mriceyman
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-06-11
        • 478

        #4
        If a 1-3-1 stretch was the end of the road then there would be no cappers left anywhere
        Comment
        • cleaveland
          SBR MVP
          • 04-04-10
          • 1559

          #5
          Originally posted by Sport_Fish
          Its just variance kicking in ....he'll still be up for the year for a long time
          Do you know what Brock Landers did on this forum?

          He started out just like BettingWizard started out but over a much bigger sample size then BW, then he wound up one of the most unsuccessful cappers in the history of the forum.

          Brock Landers' hot streak was so big that jjgold himself was making threads like this:



          Now you're gonna assure me that BW will be a successful capper here long term...based on what exactly?
          Comment
          • Bones33
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-01-10
            • 224

            #6
            Who cares...he doesn't sell his plays...doesnt tell you to play them...doesnt brag about his record....dont see what the problem is /shrug
            Comment
            • Sport_Fish
              SBR MVP
              • 12-06-10
              • 4079

              #7
              Originally posted by cleaveland
              Do you know what Brock Landers did on this forum?

              He started out just like BettingWizard started out but over a much bigger sample size then BW, then he wound up one of the most unsuccessful cappers in the history of the forum.

              Brock Landers' hot streak was so big that jjgold himself was making threads like this:



              Now you're gonna assure me that BW will be a successful capper here long term...based on what exactly?
              I didn't say he will be a successful capper here long term. I said even with this losing streak he's in, he will be up for a long time because he had won so many prior to this 'bad' run. Having said that, there's no reason or indication with such a small sample to really be sure of someone's handicapping abilities. He may very well end with a good season if he puts together another solid run or may end bad if he can't. Just have to see how things go but good luck to him and everyone either way - always nice to see people winning money from Vegas.
              Comment
              • cleaveland
                SBR MVP
                • 04-04-10
                • 1559

                #8
                Originally posted by Bones33
                Who cares...he doesn't sell his plays...doesnt tell you to play them...doesnt brag about his record....dont see what the problem is /shrug
                There was a cult forming around him for a while and I started this thread to see if the cult's still around or if it's broken up and what people's reaction to that is.

                There's more to this than gambling, I think this is fascinating both psychologically and sociologically.
                Comment
                • BigDeem5
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-26-11
                  • 17191

                  #9
                  Does BW even keep record, I feel like he's about 50% and people annoint him.
                  Comment
                  • migz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-11-10
                    • 1160

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BigDeem5
                    Does BW even keep record, I feel like he's about 50% and people annoint him.
                    He doesn't even talk.
                    Comment
                    • BigDeem5
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-26-11
                      • 17191

                      #11
                      Originally posted by migz
                      He doesn't even talk.
                      Que?
                      Comment
                      • convick
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-03-11
                        • 3954

                        #12
                        Right about now might be a good time to start fading BW and Dad!
                        Comment
                        • TiredPro
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-17-12
                          • 672

                          #13
                          YOU obviously think BW is fade material........I highly recommend that YOU fade him every game the rest of the season. Good luck to you.
                          Comment
                          • cleaveland
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-04-10
                            • 1559

                            #14
                            Originally posted by TiredPro
                            YOU obviously think BW is fade material
                            When did I say anything like that?

                            You're assuming I use anyone for fade material. Actually, I don't think anyone is fade material, I only go with my own opinions.

                            The interesting thing is that there was actually something like a cult starting around BW and now it seems to have disappeared. It's interesting in terms of human psychology and human behavior, that's really it.

                            Please re-read the beginning of this thread, this IS the point I wanted to make:

                            "Is this the end of the cult of BW? I've noticed that he's considered mortal now at least in the sense that you can disagree with him without being assailed by his followers. That's healthy for the board at least."

                            I knew it was unhealthy for people to be attacking anyone who disagreed with BW. It was just weird behavior that I find interesting and I hope it's gone because it's better to have open discussions.
                            Comment
                            • YOUSENKO
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 07-25-11
                              • 220

                              #15
                              His % will drop below 65% if he keeps capping frequently. Its normal and for capper to be very sharp u only bet 10 games in a year and going 10-0 or 9-1. The games selected are rigged and mass public betting occurs on opposite side. This isn't gonna happen many times a week. Not necessarily he has insider news but he is capping smart there to catch such games.
                              Comment
                              • killersweet
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-02-08
                                • 1483

                                #16
                                BW picks on some odd games and he has had a pretty good run so far this year. Yea, he has struggled lately, but some of his picks were just insane and came through that I think he is pretty damn good! That's just my humble opinion.
                                Comment
                                • theblueprint
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-29-11
                                  • 276

                                  #17
                                  I'm still on a tare from just betting on his picks on the 2nd half line
                                  Comment
                                  • sstrunks52005
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 07-15-11
                                    • 251

                                    #18
                                    he was completely right about the thunders last night even though I pushed on +3 gsw. Thunders just have great full game execution
                                    Comment
                                    • Covy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-13-11
                                      • 1433

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by sstrunks52005
                                      he was completely right about the thunders last night even though I pushed on +3 gsw. Thunders just have great full game execution
                                      I agree....GS had the game the whole way right up to the end
                                      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                      [/SIZE]
                                      Comment
                                      • rapidfire5
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-25-11
                                        • 516

                                        #20
                                        im fading him and dad
                                        Comment
                                        • theblueprint
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-29-11
                                          • 276

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by rapidfire5
                                          im fading him and dad
                                          stupid. youre better off just making your own picks
                                          Comment
                                          • Speedy88
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-19-11
                                            • 11717

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                            Does BW even keep record, I feel like he's about 50% and people annoint him.
                                            Wrong. He was probably close to 17-1 before he went on this little losing streak. If I had to guess, he is probably somewhere around 18-4-1 or something like that. I could be wrong though.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vortexx00
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-18-09
                                              • 1392

                                              #23


                                              Here comes the hate.....first all this rooster sucking..now people going to start bashing BW...

                                              This forum is just awesome entertainment...

                                              BW or anyone in this world is not gods gift to capping games...

                                              I said it before..I'll say it again...people learn to cap your own games. If you win a bet its more exciting and rewarding...if you lose...well, it your own damn fault...
                                              Comment
                                              • toddorts
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-30-11
                                                • 882

                                                #24
                                                I have no idea whether he'll be a good long-term capper, and I don't really care, to be honest. I do my own capping, and don't tail anyone. But to base anything on just a 5-game stretch is a little bit ridiculous. No, scratch that. A lot ridiculous. The probability of a good capper going 1-3-1 in a 5-game stretch is pretty high. It's about 25%, in fact. Nothing should be read into that.
                                                Comment
                                                • YouHave2outs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-02-11
                                                  • 4448

                                                  #25
                                                  BW is hitting over 67% over at least 30 posted picks.


                                                  the thread title is actually somewhat amusing after seeing it a second time
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HoulihansTX
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                    • 30566

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by cleaveland
                                                    Is this the end of the cult of BW? I've noticed that he's considered mortal now at least in the sense that you can disagree with him without being assailed by his followers. That's healthy for the board at least. It's about time to ask a serious question: Could BW be the next Brock Landers?
                                                    Nope just the end of your free ride. Go do some research, and make your own picks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • YOUSENKO
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 07-25-11
                                                      • 220

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by toddorts
                                                      I have no idea whether he'll be a good long-term capper, and I don't really care, to be honest. I do my own capping, and don't tail anyone. But to base anything on just a 5-game stretch is a little bit ridiculous. No, scratch that. A lot ridiculous. The probability of a good capper going 1-3-1 in a 5-game stretch is pretty high. It's about 25%, in fact. Nothing should be read into that.

                                                      I saw his picks for NBA using other thread titles last season and it is like above 60%. So either his luck havent run out or someone is tipping him.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigDofBA
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-30-09
                                                        • 19313

                                                        #28
                                                        1-3-1 LOL

                                                        Most guys on this site would kill to go 1-3-1.

                                                        So he is only two games under .500 in his past five games and people are freaking out......
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HoulihansTX
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-12-09
                                                          • 30566

                                                          #29
                                                          I found out about BW last year during the NBA playoffs. He said that the Bulls, and the Spurs were the worst number 1 seeds in playoff history. He proceeded to fade both teams ATS, and ML. Bulls only cover 1 game, and the Spurs lost their series to the Grizzles. Dude is sharp, and more importantly not afraid to lose. That's the problem with most bettors. They are afraid to lose, which holds them back from winning.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 4seasons
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-04-11
                                                            • 1793

                                                            #30
                                                            The last 2 picks of BW I tailed (which I have no one to blame but myself), was when he posted the Nets and Uconn. Both teams I think lost by 30 each. Thus, he was about 50 points behind to cover both games. Anyone can lose a heartbreaker on the last shot, a bad call, an unexpected injury, etc. But these games from the 1st minute had absolutely no chance of covering. None! BW doesn't give any insight to why he picks what he picks, other than fading the square play. If only it was that easy. If you lose 2 back-to-back by like 25 points each, then clearly you're ice cold and off your game. Thus, BW is no longer tailable for me as I don't want to lose 3 in a row of my own plays, much less someone else's.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • YouHave2outs
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-02-11
                                                              • 4448

                                                              #31


                                                              the man himself. fade it haters
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PR9
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-30-11
                                                                • 2813

                                                                #32



                                                                Comment
                                                                • PR9
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-30-11
                                                                  • 2813

                                                                  #33




                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Speedy88
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                                    • 11717

                                                                    #34
                                                                    cant' believe this thread was even made.
                                                                    Comment
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