heat -2 on friday

[Bigtoilet]

Anytime their is a game with so many of these sharp people on SBR on both sides, I usually just pass. Line movement is all kinds of weird. There was RLM for most of the day at my book, and then I noticed right before tip off the line went from MIA -1.5 back up to -2.

I'm just going to play the under here. Hopefully LeBrick shows up strong for the under and Iguodala has one of those 2-14 shooting days.

DAD sittin' at 20-3 took Philly +2. DAD V.S. LAKERBOY....Let's get it on!!

[PAULYPOKER]

i know the math..this is either a huge win for the heat or its a very disappointing loss..

WTF else could it be

[tokio]

hope they can hold on all 4 quarters.

[The Architect]

WTF else could it be

lol i know how that sounds, i was trying to say that the heat will give full effort to win this game tonight..it wasn't going to be a lackluster game from them and then just shrug off the loss...it would be an even more disapoointing game if they lost BC they gave full effort...as for the math, i was referring to the odds/probabilities/linemoves..

[JR007]

pulling away a bit now.....

[bleek88]

heatles baby!!!

[PR9]

Bring her home Heatles !

[csknight3]

LAKERBOY

[smarotta09]

Heatttt

[PR9]

.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1m-DYM7JvMA

[BrodyBalboa]

Great call Lakerboy!

[Kalibongo]

LB, did you bet the Lakers?

[smarotta09]

Someone on this forum was saying they can't win by 20.....19 now lol

[JR007]

Get on it. Books can't afford to hand out -3.5 so they don't get overexposed and will force sharps to take philly ml which will be around +113( not much value there).

Miami coming off a big loss in mil and philly coming off there biggest win of the year over the bulls. Miami will come in and play a complete game here and get the result necessary.


This might have rlm on it and go to -1.5 but I think -2 is fine.

I have 10 units on this.

spot on LB !!!!! nice call

[The Architect]

this is a championship team. period. will bet them anytime in a spot like this only laying 2 points. easy one. nice hit LB

[SaffaCappa]

Take a bow Lakerboy! Fantastic analysis

[StackingStax]

Great job LB... I laid $900 on this game... Reasoning was good when mia was comin off a bad lost and phi from a win... Matchup eise was great... BUT! The most important reason why i pulled the trigger and laid $900 on this game was because, dad was on philly +2... Sorry dad ive been followin you and making money and you are a good capper... But what i have noticed was that after you came off that big streak you lost consecutive games... And i if i remember correctly when you bet the underdog you are now 0-3... Your streak consist of favors.. Sorry for the lost though im sure you will get it back! Congrats again LB!

[lakerboy]

Like I said philly was a dead dog. I can be square when I need to be.

[smarotta09]

this is a championship team. period. will bet them anytime in a spot like this only laying 2 points. easy one. nice hit LB

So true ... Feel the same way

[paco]

[BigDofBA]

I was the guy saying there was no way in Hell the Heat would win by 20.

Part of the reason I was saying that was because I was already on them pretty decent.

I'm happy to be wrong!

[hedgejob]

Heat by 20 LMAO

[BigDofBA]

Any thoughts on Denver/LA Lakerboy?

[t-wizzle]

Congrats buddy. Told you i'd be here if you won.

[onlooker]

Good job LB and Heat backers.

[PR9]

You are going to find out the hard way that Philly is the truth.

heh

[The Special One]

Love this play, good position for Miami to win possibly by 20..

This is the kind of game Miami can win by 20, so its worth every penny at only -2

The Heat will not win by 20. Are you on drugs?

WHAT.... UP!

not only do they win, but by EXACTLY 20!!

AND NOBODY LISTENS!!!

[Pauulzcappin]

BigDofBA is too skeptical to the NBA.

Cashed a bit big on this though.

[BigDofBA]

WHAT.... UP! not only do they win, but by EXACTLY 20!! AND NOBODY LISTENS!!!

Props!

I'm glad they won by 20!

[The Special One]

Props!

I'm glad they won by 20!

HAHA LOL

even im surprised they won by exactly 20, seems like that # circulated this thread a lot...

[lakerboy]

Thanks boys. Appreciate the cheers. Will make a play on the lakers game soon.


TSO nice prediction pal.

[The Special One]

I am nuts, cant argue that... But i have my reasons..

The stronger the home team, the more chance Miami will stay focused for 48 min.. Milw and GS are places Miami troed at 50%, they will win the league anyways so who cares about these games? However, Philly is a big threat in the East and must be taken out now, youll see a dedicated Miami tomorrow... Especially since Philly just beat Chicago..

Close game in 1h, blow out in 2h

Miami won't win by 20 pts

This is the kind of game???
When the last time Heat win anyone by 20 on the road, heck only game they won by 11 on the road this year is the Nets, and heck they've lost 4 out of last 5 on the road (lost to GS, Clipper, Denver, and Mil).
Unless you are really thinking, if Heat can beat Nets by 11, and Nets can beat Philly on the road by 7, then doing some additions.....you are probably right around 20 Heat win neighborhood.
NBA Reference showed Philly a hairline better than Heat in their simple rating system. Statfox's Average power rating of opponents played show Miami is a hairline better than Philly. Defensively, Philly are better team than Heat.
I wouldn't mind take a chance on Philly ML, or tease Philly and Houston.
But good luck, and have fun at your party tonight

Your reasons are bullshit. Everytime you say something, it's dumb as ochocinco

hey Tony, whos looks DUMB now.. my reasons ARE NOT bullshit..

IM GOING TO GET FUKEN SMASHED TONIGHT

[BigDofBA]

HAHA LOL even im surprised they won by exactly 20, seems like that # circulated this thread a lot...

I liked Miami to cover obviously but I'm shocked they won by 20. The game was a 2-4 point difference for three quarters.

Once Miami was up about 14 I knew they were going to win by 20 and I would be eating crow.

[The Special One]

I liked Miami to cover obviously but I'm shocked they won by 20. The game was a 2-4 point difference for three quarters.

Once Miami was up about 14 I knew they were going to win by 20 and I would be eating crow.

its fine man, you didnt laugh at me, just expressed your opinion and I respect that...

I dont usually boast but this one got me excited for sure

[BigDofBA]

its fine man, you didnt laugh at me, just expressed your opinion and I respect that... I dont usually boast but this one got me excited for sure

You nailed it. Much props.

Like I said, I'm very happy to be wrong.