Chasin after Lakers over...WTF is with Grizz getting +1.5

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  • Blood Drake
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-23-11
    • 101

    #1
    Chasin after Lakers over...WTF is with Grizz getting +1.5
    Okay I played up and down all week (Indiana loss***, Michigan win, Patriots Loss, Wisconsin Win) and ended up being down with the Lakers tipping off with Indiana. So of course I drop what I am down on the Laker's under and hope to cover....thought it would work in my favor but it did not. So now I am sitting down half my bank roll and looking towards tomorrow.

    I see the Grizz giving +1.5 to the Golden State Warriors...wanna break even and this looks easy. What am I missing? I so want to chase and either throw half my remaining roll, or the rest of my roll on the Grizz, but that seems extreme. Should I take a loss or gamble?
  • Blood Drake
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-23-11
    • 101

    #2
    Yep, no reason I see not to take this before the line moves. Taking the Grizz for 20* at +1.5 points. Either I am even or I have to lay off a couple weeks to save up my bank roll again. I still see no way that the Warriors pull of a win here, especially with the Grizz being so hot. Kwame Brown is going to have to have at least a triple double for them to win this game. Conley and Mayo are will be able to out play the Warriors and Gasol will keep Kwame out of the paint so the rest of the team can score.

    Wish me luck guys....
    Comment
    • GTS925
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-10
      • 1158

      #3
      Kwame is injured so no worries.
      Comment
      • Vortexx00
        SBR MVP
        • 06-18-09
        • 1392

        #4
        Good luck bro

        "NBA where amazing happens"
        Comment
        • Romocide
          SBR MVP
          • 09-14-11
          • 1404

          #5
          I've got the Grizzlies pleased to -7.5 just for the fck of it. We'll see what happens.
          Comment
          • smarotta09
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-18-12
            • 834

            #6
            i dont see how the grizz can lose...warriors have full squad though, curry ellis lee
            Comment
            • Blood Drake
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-23-11
              • 101

              #7
              Originally posted by Romocide
              I've got the Grizzlies pleased to -7.5 just for the fck of it. We'll see what happens.
              I still have never teased a game. Just seems wrong to me. I either know what the number is going to be or I don't. I think that if I tried to tease a play I just think it would turn around and attack me like a rabid dog. But I try not to kick to many hornet nests....just roll with the punches.
              Comment
              • ChalkyDog
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-02-11
                • 9598

                #8
                Also like Memphis, don't understand the line, except that maybe public perception is that Golden State is playin' really well.

                BTW, what is your avatar? Looks like the Dragon Age cover art.

                Also love Atlanta -1, when that line ever gets released.
                Comment
                • Blood Drake
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-23-11
                  • 101

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                  Also like Memphis, don't understand the line, except that maybe public perception is that Golden State is playin' really well. BTW, what is your avatar? Looks like the Dragon Age cover art. Also love Atlanta -1, when that line ever gets released.
                  Yeah it is the cover art from Dragon Age...been addicted to video games since the Atari 2600.

                  Golden State is at home and they have had a few days of rest since Indiana, but they have only won 3 games in January (Miami, Detroit, and Cleveland). I think Vegas would have given points to the Warriors in order to get the public to bet on them.
                  Comment
                  • laddder
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-18-12
                    • 191

                    #10
                    I thought Grizz vs Warriors line would move by now, im getting on this one also.
                    Comment
                    • ksnooksk
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-18-11
                      • 2890

                      #11
                      Warriors
                      Comment
                      • Blood Drake
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-23-11
                        • 101

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ksnooksk
                        Warriors
                        I am cool with that...as long as they only win by one and don't cover!
                        Comment
                        • EddieMunster
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 01-05-12
                          • 67

                          #13
                          Service Play posts, including Jimmy Boyd, have most picking Golden State tonite. I don't get it, I have done well in the past betting on teams on a winning streak and Memphis has won 6 straight.
                          Comment
                          • razom4
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 01-15-12
                            • 34

                            #14
                            warriors win win tonite!!!! by 4 points
                            Comment
                            • bleek88
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-12-11
                              • 6385

                              #15
                              Memphis pounds tonight
                              Comment
                              • ChalkyDog
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-02-11
                                • 9598

                                #16
                                The only way to explain this line to me, is based on trends:

                                Memphis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                                Memphis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                                Memphis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State

                                BUT:

                                Golden State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
                                Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                                Golden State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Memphis

                                - Still really like the Griz here.
                                Comment
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