Gambler#1 - NBA Thread - Make money in 3 ways

[Gambler#1]

Hello guys, I'm going to show you how I make money (at least trying to) in the NBA.
For doing this, I use several different systems(WTOC&FTP&MOP).

WTOC - Welcome to our court,play on the home side to cover the 1Q line.
FTP - Fade the public,bet against big public bets.
MOP - My own picks.

*In the first two systems,all bets will be doubles if they lose.

My Bankroll: 200 Units (unit=50$).
My Sportsbook - Pinnacle,Bet365,Betsson.

I hope we all make lots of money this season

[Gambler#1]

Currently I'm waiting for updates on Bogut Condition,If he's out, I'm all over Sac,
I see no reason why they should be dogs in their own court,Bucks playing like shit against the jazz.
This is their third game in the road in 4 days and until now they lost all their road game.
So this line does not make sense,and I think the Kings need to cover this line and also win this game.

[dtrukk]

what dont you understand the kings suck they been blown out 4 games this year huge and cant score

[Gambler#1]

5/1/12 - First bet in FTP system:

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Los Angeles Lakers
I see that people are going like crazy on the under in PTB@LAL game,at first the line was opened in 191.5,and now he's dropped by 5 points.Both teams can score 95-100 in any game and I do not think the line is so high,also we all know that once the line comes down so much and all betting on the same side, usually we lose and allow to Vegas open more champagne,I think that it would not surprise any of you, if the result will be end between 186-191 points,Pick: Over 186.5 @ 2.00 x1 unit at Pinnacle.

And if we lose this time, do not worry, next time we double the money on the PB and then we take our profit

[Gambler#1]

5/1/12 - WTOC system:

First bet will be: SAC +1 @ 1.86 x0.5 unit - If he won, we'll stop for tonight.
But if he loses,the second bet will be: Trail Blazres -1 @ 1.86 x1 unit.

If both lose, tomorrow we will continue to double the money(but this kind of bets should bring us win at least once every night).

[Gambler#1]

5/1/12 - MOP system:

Kings Vs Bucks
Sacramento played pretty good in her court, she managed to beat the Lakers and New Orleans, but she lost to Chicago and New York,anyway all four of these games, she scored an average of 96.5 points per game, and only this season twice she scored less than 92 points.Sac comes with a full squad ,in time Milwaukee probably will miss Bogut last game against Utah, they did not look good, until now they had lost all their road games, and except that the Kings comes after played two games in a row, I dont see anything that Milwaukee is better than them,Pick: Sac Over 92pt @ 1.83 x1 unit at Bet365.

[ksnooksk]

Interested to see how this "system" pans out.

[Gambler#1]

Jan 5 - Recap

FTP system:
Over 186.5 @ 2.00 x1 unit
Profit: +1.00 unit

MYP system:
Sac Over 92pt @ 1.83 x1 unit
Profit: +0.83 unit

WTOC system:
SAC +1 @ 1.86 x0.5 unit
Trail Blazres -1 @ 1.86 x1 unit
Profit: -1.50 unit (But today we will continue to double until we win)

[hessy1225]

Thanks for info on over for port snd sac glad to see we both won


BOL

[Gambler#1]

Thanks for info on over for port snd sac glad to see we both won


BOL

Greetings friend


Tonight I'm probably going to play on Phili,this is their first home game of the season.
Detroit are poor team and Phili need to satisfy their home crowd.
And also we have 4 games one by one to play on the first quarter.
If anyone has a distinction on public bet,I'd love to hear so we can fade.
BOL to all..lets take the money..

[hessy1225]

Celtics and pacers public jumped all over the over im waiting to see if it increases neither tesm scores very much

[Gambler#1]

I think I'll wait a little longer, then check the movement of the lines, if his line that will move a lot (like yesterday) I'm gonna play it.

@Phili - Pistons game

Stuckey questionable for the game and i think i gonna put some big money on the ML,cant see Pistons take the win,thay too suck.

[hessy1225]

On the sixers???

also not sure why orlando is favored against chicago magic were outplayed by detroit and i dont see chicago being any different what is your take?

[Gambler#1]

Jan 6

MOP system (1-0-0 +0.86 unit):

Sixers Vs Pistons
Stuckey probably will not play and also with him Detroit poor team.
For the Sixers this is their first home game of the season,until now they played very good.
They should satisfy their home crowd whit opening victory against poor Pistons.
The line jump up by 1.5pt and now the odds on the ML dropped to 1.16,anyway, I'd rather take some money than nothing.
Pick: Sixers ML @ 1.16 x10 units at Pinnacle.

FTP system(1-0-0 +1.00 unit):

Suns Vs Trail B
I took a look on the lines movement, and saw big movement in Portland@Phoenix total line.
The line opend in 191.5,everyone goes on the over and sportsbook jump the line by 4 points,
So like i love to do,I'm going to fade this one and take the under.
Pick: Under 195.5 @ 1.96 x1 unit at Pinncale.




@ hessy1225
Now we all know that most people are going to play on Chicago,so I prefer to stay away.

[Gambler#1]

WTOC system (0-2-0 -1.50 unit):
Jan 5
#1 - Sac +1 x0.5
#2 - Portland -1 x1.00
Jan 6
#3 - Sixers -3 @ 1.86 x 2 units at bet365.

** For now I see that this system is going to be difficult and not going to give me a good profit,
So tonight I'll try to win one bet to return the money, and after that I will stop playing on this system.

[moshi]

What's interesting about your WTOC system is that Sac and Portland both covered at the end so if you'd been betting the whole game rather than just the 1Q they would be wins.

[Gambler#1]

I picked this system because it is easy to doubling, it is possible to double several times in one night.

[hessy1225]

Bol

[Gambler#1]

On the sixers????

look up and see..

I also want to play on Sixers to win HT/FT @1.44,
Pistons whitout Stucky and Gordon and i dont think thay can stay close to Sixers 24 min...

[hessy1225]

Yeah i know i accidently put that

[Gambler#1]

WTOC system (0-2-0 -1.50 unit):
Jan 5
#1 - Sac +1 x0.5
#2 - Portland -1 x1.00
Jan 6
#3 - Sixers -3 @ 1.86 x 2 units at bet365.

** For now I see that this system is going to be difficult and not going to give me a good profit,
So tonight I'll try to win one bet to return the money, and after that I will stop playing on this system.

Bad bad system,sixers win the Q but didn't cover the line.

So play #4 will be on Jazz +0.5 @ 1.86 x4 unit.
Hope to end it tonight

[moshi]

..lol.. or you could just fade the system if its consistently bad

[Gambler#1]

I think we gonna play again so I'd love to hear suggestions,Which one better?
Suns +1 or Lakres -3..

@ Moshi

yeah but then I would have to change the name

[Gambler#1]

As I thought, really going to be #5 play..

#5 Suns +1 @ 1.86 x8 units.

God plz stop my misery..

[Gambler#1]

Jan 6 - Recap

MYP system:
Sixers ML @ 1.16 x10 units
Profit: +1.60 units

FTP system:
Suns vs T-blazres Under 195.5 @ 1.96 x1 unit
Profit: +0.96 unit

WTOC system:
#4 Jazz +0.5 @ 1.86 x4 units
#5 Suns +1 @ 1.86 x8 units
Profit: +2.88 units


** From this moment I'm going to change the name of WTOC system to FQS(first quarter series).
I concluded that this system makes it difficult for me for nothing,but if I can play on any side of the first quarter, I can earn good money. The system works by Series,each series will end when we win one bet.
So until now we finished one series,5 plays that give us minimal loss compared to the stake(also because I do not bet the correct amount, this series cant be finished with a loss, so this time it was my mistake)This time I hope to less headaches, and more money (another attempt to the Q system, if it does not work we will stop it until we find a substitute).


So here is my total recap for the first two days:

MYP system (2-0-0 +2.46 units)
FTP system (2-0-0 +1.96 units)
FQS system (#1 series -1.12 units)

[Gambler#1]

Jan 7

FQ system (#2 series -1.12 units):

#1 Pick: Bulls -1.5 @ 1.909 x2.44 at Pinnacle - Lose

#2 Pick: Kniks -1 @ 1.909 x5 at Pinnacle - Push

#3 Pick: Rockets +2 @ 2.00 x10 at Pinnacle (only if #2 lose)

#2 pushed so here the next pick:

#3 Pick: Spurs -1 @ 1.95 x5 at Pinnacle

[Gambler#1]

MOP system:

LA Clippers Vs MIL Bucks
So far, Clippers provide a quality attack,last game,they scored 117 points against Houston.
In my opinion, one of the things that make their attack, so strong is the fact that two years have a very easy schedule, they still were not playing back to back, they played against Houston three days ago and they had two days to rest, a very important thing in such a crowded season,on the other hand, Milwaukee comes after three road losses, the last game they lost to Sacramento after leading by double digits during the half, and they look really bad, it's hard to believe they'll be able to stop the Clippers that come fully loaded.Picks: Clippers Over 100 @ 1.83 x1 \ Clippers -3 @ 1.28 x3.5 at Bet 365


BOL

[Gambler#1]

Jan 7 - Recap

FQS system(series #2):
#1 Pick: Bulls -1.5 @ 1.909 x2.44 at Pinnacle - Lose
#2 Pick: Kniks -1 @ 1.909 x5 at Pinnacle - Push
#3 Pick: Spurs -1 @ 1.95 x5 at Pinnacle - Win
Profit: +2.31 units.


MOP system:
Clippers Over 100 @ 1.83 x1 - Lose
Clippers -3 @ 1.28 x3.5 - Win
Profit: +0.00


Jan 8

MOP system(3-1-0 +2.46 units):

#1 WAS Wizzards @ MIN Timberwolves - Wizzards +6 @ 1.50 x1 unit at Bet365
#2 SAC Kings @ ORL Magic - Kings +8.5 @ 1.71 x3 unit at Bet365
#3 PHX Suns @ MIL Bucks - Bucks under 90.5 @ 1.83 x1 unit at Bet 365


FQS system(Series #3 +1.19 units):
#1 Wizzards +1 @ 1.86 x 1.15 units at Bet365
#2 SAC +2 @ 2.00 x 3 units at Bet365


BOL to all tonight !

[Gambler#1]

Jan 8 - Recap

MOP system:
#1 WAS Wizzards @ MIN Timberwolves - Wizzards +6 @ 1.50 x1 unit - Lose
#2 SAC Kings @ ORL Magic - Kings +8.5 @ 1.71 x3 unit - Win
#3 PHX Suns @ MIL Bucks - Bucks under 90.5 @ 1.83 x1 unit - Lose

Total Profit: +0.13 Unit

FQS Series #3:
#1 Wizzards +1 @ 1.86 x 1.15 units - Lose
#2 SAC +2 @ 2.00 x 3 units - Win

Total Profit: +1.85 Units


Total Recap for 4 days:
MYP system (4-3-0 +2.59 units)
FTP system (2-0-0 +1.96 units)
FQS system (#3 series +3.04 units)
Total Profit: +7.49 units

[Gambler#1]

Jan 9 - Picks

MOP system - Sixsers ML @ 1.33 x3 units at Bet365

FTP system - Under 179 CHI Bulls Vs DET Pistons @ 1.90 x2 unit at Pinaacle

FQS system #4 series #1 play - TOR Raptors -1 @ 1.86 @ x2 units at Bet365



lets roll!!..

[Gambler#1]

Jan 9 - Picks

MOP system - Sixsers ML @ 1.33 x3 units at Bet365 -

FTP system - Under 179 CHI Bulls Vs DET Pistons @ 1.90 x2 unit at Pinaacle -

FQS system #4 series #1 play - TOR Raptors -1 @ 1.86 @ x2 units at Bet365 -

Hotttt

Awesome night..3-0.. even the FQ series won on the first play

Money money here I come

[jgfermex]

Nice

[Gambler#1]

Jan 10 - Picks

MOP system - Under 196 LA Lakres Vs PHX Suns @ 1.50 x1 unit at Bet365

FTP system - Over 185 MIL Bucks Vs SA Spurs @ 1.83 x1.15 at Bet365

FQS system - #5 series #1 play - SAC Kings +3 @ 2.04 x1 unit at Pinnacle

FQS system - #5 series #2 play - Jazz -1.5 @ 1.90 x3 unit at Pinnacle

FQS system - #5 series #3 play - LAC +1.5 @ 2.00 x6 unit at Pinnacle

[Gambler#1]

Jan 10 - Picks

MOP system - Under 196 LA Lakres Vs PHX Suns @ 1.50 x1 unit at Bet365

FTP system - Over 185 MIL Bucks Vs SA Spurs @ 1.83 x1.15 at Bet365

FQS system - #5 series #1 play - SAC Kings +3 @ 2.04 x1 unit at Pinnacle

FQS system - #5 series #2 play - Jazz -1.5 @ 1.90 x3 unit at Pinnacle

FQS system - #5 series #3 play - LAC +1.5 @ 2.00 x6 unit at Pinnacle

Again a great night..
So let's recap what we had in the past two days..


Jan 9 - Recap:

MOP system - Sixsers ML @ 1.33 x3 units at Bet365 - Win

FTP system - Under 179 CHI Bulls Vs DET Pistons @ 1.90 x2 unit at Pinaacle - Win

FQS system #4 series #1 play - TOR Raptors -1 @ 1.86 @ x2 units at Bet365 -Win

Total profit: 3-0-0 @ +4.51 Units


Jan 10 - Recap:

MOP system - Under 196 LA Lakres Vs PHX Suns @ 1.50 x1 unit at Bet365 - Win

FTP system - Over 185 MIL Bucks Vs SA Spurs @ 1.83 x1.15 at Bet365 - Win

FQS system - #5 series #1 play - SAC Kings +3 @ 2.04 x1 unit at Pinnacle - Lose

FQS system - #5 series #2 play - Jazz -1.5 @ 1.90 x3 unit at Pinnacle - Lose

FQS system - #5 series #3 play - LAC +1.5 @ 2.00 x6 unit at Pinnacle -Win

Total profit: 3-2-0 @ +3.45 Units



Total Recap - Jan 5-10(first six days)

MYP system (6-3-0 +4.08 units)

FTP system (4-0-0 +4.71 units)

FQS system (#5 series +6.76 units)

Total Profit: +15.55 units (775$)

[Gambler#1]

Jan 11 - Picks

FTP system - UTA Jazz +2 @ 1.90 x1 unit at Bet365

MOP system - #1 Under 185 CHI Bulls Vs WAS Wizzards @ 1.74 x1 unit at Bet365

MOP system - #2 NO Hornets +10 @ 1.50 x1 unit at Bet365

FQS system - #6 series #1 play - ATL Hawks +0.5 @ 1.97 x1 unit at Pinnacle


Let's cash it