Dallas +3 and Portland -3.5 are the Plays Thursday

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Dallas +3 and Portland -3.5 are the Plays Thursday
    The Spurs should NOT even be favored here. Dallas has looked bad but they are starting to find themselves and get used to some of the new faces. Delonte West has been a nice fit and Odom finally showed some life against Phoenix. The Spurs had to rally to beat the Warriors and now they are facing a much tougher challenge. The only way San Antonio wins this game is if they shoot the lights out but I really see Dallas controlling this game from start to finish.

    Portland is a better team than the Lakers. The Blazers are much much deeper and I expect Lamarcus Aldridge to go to work on Pau in the post. Felton will get the ball where it needs to go and the Blazers have the guys to hit the shots whether it's Matthews, Crawford, or Batum. Wallace is physical enough to neutralize Artest's tight defense as well. Lakers will hang around but in the end Portland wins by 8 or so.
  • ShogunRua
    SBR MVP
    • 12-23-09
    • 4668

    #2
    Agree with both plays. Good luck.
    Comment
    • celticsboy
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-21-11
      • 736

      #3
      yup, i like theses plays as well, i also like atl +4, it would b sweet if james and wade dunt play. and mil -2.5 only if bogut plays cuz the the kings are on a b2b2b and they lookd awful the last two games.
      Comment
      • hawley
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-10-10
        • 14270

        #4
        Like Portland but worried what Bynum will do to them if he gets enough touches. Blazers match up well elsewhere
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Originally posted by celticsboy
          yup, i like theses plays as well, i also like atl +4, it would b sweet if james and wade dunt play. and mil -2.5 only if bogut plays cuz the the kings are on a b2b2b and they lookd awful the last two games.
          That's a revenge game for Miami. I don't think they would have set the line Heat -4 unless James was fine.
          Comment
          • Wrecked
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-31-11
            • 887

            #6
            I like Miami, Mavs, and Blazers.
            Comment
            • Speedy88
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-19-11
              • 11717

              #7
              yup i like both too.

              Any news on the bucks players (dunleavy, bogut, mbah moute)? If Bogut is back I like the Bucks to win straight up. Sac is a team free falling now, and my guess is that Wesphalt pretty much knows that he is done there. My guess is he'll be fired very soon.
              Comment
              • celticsboy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-21-11
                • 736

                #8
                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                That's a revenge game for Miami. I don't think they would have set the line Heat -4 unless James was fine.
                it could be a trap, publics going to be all over miami tomorow because everyone thinks its a revenge game
                Comment
                • Kadinni
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-16-11
                  • 639

                  #9
                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                  That's a revenge game for Miami. I don't think they would have set the line Heat -4 unless James was fine.
                  Comment
                  • PR9
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-30-11
                    • 2813

                    #10
                    Originally posted by hawley

                    Like Portland but worried what Bynum will do to them if he gets enough touches. Blazers match up well elsewhere
                    Camby is a good long defender.

                    I've watched portions of every Blazers game but one. He still has some tread left on those tires on that end of the floor.
                    Comment
                    • rdkjglsk
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-29-11
                      • 253

                      #11
                      Dallas at 1.5 now...
                      Comment
                      • PR9
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-30-11
                        • 2813

                        #12
                        Results of Blaze/Fakers over the last 8 games at the Rose Garden:

                        4/8/11: Blaze wins by 7
                        2/23/11: LAL wins in Overtime
                        2/6/10: LAL wins by 17
                        1/8/10: Blaze wins by 9
                        4/10/09: Blaze wins by 8
                        3/9/09: Blaze wins by 17
                        4/8/08: Blaze wins by 9
                        2/29/08: Blaze wins by 8
                        Comment
                        • chankng
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-16-10
                          • 1975

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hawley
                          Like Portland but worried what Bynum will do to them if he gets enough touches. Blazers match up well elsewhere
                          I agree worried about the size and length of bynum and gasol. Portland's front court is camby and Alridge, so worried not as tall and lengthy as the lakers frount duo. But love the dallas pick!
                          Comment
                          • PR9
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-30-11
                            • 2813

                            #14
                            At one sportsbook, 99% of the moneyline is on the Lakers:

                            Comment
                            • PR9
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-30-11
                              • 2813

                              #15
                              Why hasn't the line moved in the lakers favor by a half point by now ?


                              The disparity on bets in the Bucks game is the same, yet that line moved half-a-point, and it moved awhile ago.


                              The Blaze/Laker spread hasn't had any changes. They want people to continue betting on the Lakers
                              Comment
                              • Kadinni
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-16-11
                                • 639

                                #16
                                PR, im debating if i should up my wager now or wait. I have a feeling it wont change. Maybe before tip off people will keep hammering the lakers to win back their losses? My POY up to today, just really wish it was -3. damn.
                                Comment
                                • PR9
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-30-11
                                  • 2813

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Kadinni
                                  PR, im debating if i should up my wager now or wait. I have a feeling it wont change. Maybe before tip off people will keep hammering the lakers to win back their losses? My POY up to today, just really wish it was -3. damn.
                                  yeah. I've been waiting all day for it to move to 3. I want to buy a point to bring it to -2 (just in case). Big savings instead of going moneyline. If they win by a point so be it. But I want -2.


                                  ALL the elements are there for it to move to 3, yet the line hasn't budged an inch..not anywhere.


                                  meanwhile, all of the other lines for the games today have been moving.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-23-10
                                    • 20295

                                    #18
                                    Who is going to cover Kobe Bryant? If McMillan doenst put Wallace on #24, Portland is in trouble.
                                    Comment
                                    • demens
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-22-10
                                      • 2785

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                      Who is going to cover Kobe Bryant? If McMillan doenst put Wallace on #24, Portland is in trouble.
                                      Why? Wes Mathews or Batum and play him just fine.
                                      Comment
                                      • PR9
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-30-11
                                        • 2813

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by demens

                                        Why? Wes Mathews or Batum and play him just fine.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pauulzcappin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-23-10
                                          • 20295

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by demens
                                          Why? Wes Mathews or Batum and play him just fine.
                                          Batum might be able to guard him because of his height, but Kobe played VERY well the last game, Matthews cant cover him.

                                          Still, I think Portland is the play.
                                          Comment
                                          • PR9
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-30-11
                                            • 2813

                                            #22
                                            Tip of the day:

                                            80 - 90% of the ML bets this year that had a number between 165 and 175 have won. Portland has been hovering between -165 AND -170 ALL NIGHT AND DAY.

                                            Memphis was at 170 - 175 yesterday and right at +168 a half-hour before gametime at The Greek. The minute I saw that odd number (one-fukking sixty-eight ?) , along with betingwizard and his money squares, I placed 5 units on that bitch !

                                            I study this shit like einstein on relativity.


                                            ;-)
                                            Comment
                                            • Kadinni
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-16-11
                                              • 639

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by PR9
                                              Tip of the day:

                                              80 - 90% of the ML bets this year that had a number between 165 and 175 have won. Portland has been hovering between -165 AND -170 ALL NIGHT AND DAY.

                                              Memphis was at 170 - 175 yesterday and right at +168 a half-hour before gametime at the greek. The minute I saw that odd number (one-fukking sixty-eight ?) , along with betingwizard and his money squares, I placed 5 units on that bitch !

                                              I study this shit like einstein on relativity.


                                              ;-)
                                              hahah

                                              Well lets get this Portland game. Had the game circled and hopefully today is a pay day. I jumped on -3.5 already, i have a feeling it will get to -4 to have more money on the lakers.
                                              Comment
                                              • demens
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-22-10
                                                • 2785

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by PR9
                                                Tip of the day:

                                                80 - 90% of the ML bets this year that had a number between 165 and 175 have won. Portland has been hovering between -165 AND -170 ALL NIGHT AND DAY.

                                                Memphis was at 170 - 175 yesterday and right at +168 a half-hour before gametime at The Greek. The minute I saw that odd number (one-fukking sixty-eight ?) , along with betingwizard and his money squares, I placed 5 units on that bitch !

                                                I study this shit like einstein on relativity.


                                                ;-)
                                                what are you talking about?

                                                Wasn't memphis a dog yesterday (PLUS)170 and Blazers a (MINUS)170 fav today? What does one have to do with the other.
                                                Comment
                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                  • 36581

                                                  #25
                                                  I like the Blazers in this spot................
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PR9
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-30-11
                                                    • 2813

                                                    #26
                                                    Knicks line movement last night right before the game was another dead giveaway. I Placed 5 units on Charlotte the second I saw that vegas manipulation.. and even placed a 1 unit ML on charlotte (at +650) , thats how ridiculous that line movement was.


                                                    VEGAS TOLD you who was going to win.



                                                    Comment
                                                    • PR9
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-30-11
                                                      • 2813

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by demens

                                                      Wasn't memphis a dog yesterday (PLUS)170 and Blazers a (MINUS)170 fav today? What does one have to do with the other.
                                                      it's been happening both ways. Any ML between that number (no matter who's favored or an underdog) has won "over" 80% of the time so far this season.

                                                      i told your ass, I study this shit like einstin on relativity
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shift_knob
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-15-11
                                                        • 426

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by PR9
                                                        Knicks line movement last night right before the game was another dead giveaway. I Placed 5 units on Charlotte the second I saw that vegas manipulation.. and even placed a 1 unit ML on charlotte (at +650) , thats how ridiculous that line movement was.


                                                        VEGAS TOLD you who was going to win.



                                                        What was the line doing? Kinda new and still learning, thanks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KingJD31
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-04-11
                                                          • 8167

                                                          #29
                                                          love portland not sure bout dallas
                                                          Comment
                                                          • t-wizzle
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-18-09
                                                            • 38099

                                                            #30
                                                            The Blazers own the Lakers at the Rose Garden. Don't expect it to change tonight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PR9
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-30-11
                                                              • 2813

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                              The Blazers own the Lakers at the Rose Garden. Don't expect it to change tonight.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • t-wizzle
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-18-09
                                                                • 38099

                                                                #32
                                                                This game has nothing to do with who the public is on, line movements, etc. Portland is the right side fellas. When's the last time Portland was even favored against the Lakers?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Speedy88
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-19-11
                                                                  • 11717

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by PR9
                                                                  Why hasn't the line moved in the lakers favor by a half point by now ? The disparity on bets in the Bucks game is the same, yet that line moved half-a-point, and it moved awhile ago. The Blaze/Laker spread hasn't had any changes. They want people to continue betting on the Lakers
                                                                  PR, what site do you use to see what % of the public is on which side?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • demens
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-22-10
                                                                    • 2785

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                                    PR, what site do you use to see what % of the public is on which side?
                                                                    I dont know which one, but i can tell you its not a very good one.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Speedy88
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-19-11
                                                                      • 11717

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by demens
                                                                      I dont know which one, but i can tell you its not a very good one.
                                                                      just looking for one. you got one demens?
                                                                      Comment
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