LTA's NBA Plays

[Bell Curves]

That chick Beckie Hammon is sort of hot...Danielle Adams...uh no.

[Love The Action]

These chicks just throw up brick after brick at the free throw line.

[alamo]

I think Becky Hammon and Sue Bird can quit the WNBA. Too old. they are 4/18 combined tonight

[alamo]

Guys its 55-55. OT is still a possibilty

[Love The Action]

Guys its 55-55. OT is still a possibilty

You will cash your live bet easy...congrats!

[Bell Curves]

Lol pace kicks up randomly in 4Q. O150 might actually hit.

[alamo]

You will cash your live bet easy...congrats!

Thanks bud. Going to cheer you guys on now. I think if we can get OT you got a ghost of a chance !

[alamo]

Nearly scored as many points in the last :28secs as they did in the entire game. 4 games tomorrow to hit.

[Bell Curves]

Lol, randomass 49 points 4Q killed u130.
Decent game to watch at least.

[alamo]

Lol, randomass 49 points 4Q killed u130. Decent game to watch at least.

Unlucky bud. Does anyone else live bet these games? I got this at 124.5 in play which was nearly 26pts better than the opening line. Im thinking this is the way to go. Anyone any thoughts on this ?

[Bell Curves]

Unlucky bud. Does anyone else live bet these games? I got this at 124.5 in play which was nearly 26pts better than the opening line. Im thinking this is the way to go. Anyone any thoughts on this ?

124.5 was too low. Pinny had it priced at 130-130.5, which IMO was a bit high. I had 128.5 as the fair line.

[Love The Action]

Four games today...time for a big day in WNBA and a nice bounceback after a rough week so far with the ladies. I will update our season record after tonight's games. Good luck with all your plays today.

[Love The Action]

WNBA 7/15/11

Play #1

Minny/Indy over (152) 1x (locked)

I will try to get a writeup posted before the game. Bol...

[ManBearPig]

WNBA 7/15/11 Play #1 Minny/Indy over (152) 1x (locked) I will try to get a writeup posted before the game. Bol...

I just locked this one in and glad to see you on as well...The 1H over appears to be a possible play as well but not sure if I'll play - actually knowing myself I probably will.

[Love The Action]

I just locked this one in and glad to see you on as well...The 1H over appears to be a possible play as well but not sure if I'll play - actually knowing myself I probably will.

Lets cash it!

Posting my second play now...good luck!

[Love The Action]

WNBA 7/15/11

Play #1

Minny/Indy over (152) 1x (locked)

I will try to get a writeup posted before the game. Bol...

Play #2

Connecticut/NY under (157) 1x (locked)

[Love The Action]

Guys...I know we discussed not taking any more Phoenix unders for awhile. However, I think we need to review that position. I think the under in the play tonight in the Mercury/Mysics game. First, my model has this around 169 -172. Plus, if you look at the teams that Phoenix has played the under to, it's mainly been the worst scoring teams in the league. In the four unders that have hit with the Phoenix this year, they have been against Tulsa twice, the Sky and the Dream. What does that tell you? It tells me that the Mercury get a big lead and then become disinterested in continued scoring (soft) against bad teams. However, because the bad teams still can't score, the game stays under. Finally, Mercury shot well over 54% last game and due to regress to a just above-average shooting night of around 47%. I am pretty sure I am rolling with the under tonight. Sorry...but good luck!

[JT OZ]

I know it's tough to go against but I do agree with you on the Phoenix game. As for the Minn-Indy game is concerned we need Indy to make a run ensuring a foul-frenzy to get us over the total. Hopefully one of their long-range bombers can get hot.

[Love The Action]

Damn...I leaned over in the LA/Tulsa game but couldn't lock it in because I was driving and for some reason was getting bad 3G connection. It's looking good right now.

[Love The Action]

I know it's tough to go against but I do agree with you on the Phoenix game. As for the Minn-Indy game is concerned we need Indy to make a run ensuring a foul-frenzy to get us over the total. Hopefully one of their long-range bombers can get hot.

Good luck!

[JT OZ]

Its doomed, poor 2nd half by both teams especially the Fever.

[Love The Action]

The WNBA is by far the most frustrating sport. There is just no consistency whatsoever. How can Indiana only score 9 points in the fourth quarter to destroy an easy over winner?

I make this statement, mind you, after losing on the Giants/Padre under last night with the score being 1-0 going into the ninth inning. Game went to extras and then the Giants scored 5 runs in the 12th inning to force the game over. A terrible beat, but nothing when you compare it to betting on the WNBA.

I have officially made the decision to lower my unit size in WNBA. If you remember, when I started my new and final threads this week, I also noted that I was increasing my unit stakes. I almost doubled them. Since I did this, the WNBA just killed me. With this much unpredictability in this sport, I think it wise to lower my unit value back down in WNBA. I will keep rolling with the larger unit stake in MLB and in NCAAF, NFL and NBA. However, when it comes to the women, I just want to make it through a full season before I decide to go big on anymore of these games. $100 per game is more than enough for these crazy women.

[JT OZ]

Ha funny you say that I was all over that SF-SD under as well, luckily I saved any losses by also having parlays with the Rangers/Giants + 1.5(also small ml play). I have done OK this year, somewhat on my own and more so with the help of people on the forum but the last few days have definitely taught most of us that the WNBA lacks consistency to say the least. Indy was arguably the 2nd hottest team in the league and absolutely laid an egg on their home floor in the 2nd half tonight.

[JT OZ]

One more meaningless bucket away from a push, almost got lucky...

[Love The Action]

One more meaningless bucket away from a push, almost got lucky...

Typical women...they lead you on right to the end and then break your heart

I kid, I kid...don't let my wife read that one LOL...

Whatever...1-1 on the day in WNBA...let's wait out the best number in the Phoenix game and grab the under at 179 if possible.

[alamo]

Guys ras RAS Is on the under 80 for second half in the Sparks \ Tulsa game for those who can get it on.

[vinh diesel]

how do i follow RAS?

[alamo]

how do i follow RAS?

I sent you a PM to let you know how.

[Love The Action]

WNBA 7/15/11
Play #1

Minny/Indy over (152) 1x (locked)
Play #2

Connecticut/NY under (157) 1x (locked)

Play #3

Washington/Phoenix under (179) 1x (Locked)

I have to roll with the under here. I just don't think Washington scores 80 tonight. Looking at it, even if Phoenix hits them up for 100, they still need to hit 80 for this game to go over. Throughout, the season, Washington has only hit 80 three times, one of those being OT. I don't think it happens tonight after Phoenix stops caring. Plus there are some decent trends. Check out my thoughts on the other post. Good luck.

• Under is 4-1 in Mystics last 5 overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Mystics last 5 vs. Western Conference.
• Under is 5-2 in Mystics last 7 games following a S.U. loss

• Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Under is 9-4 in Mercury last 13 games following a S.U. win

[Bell Curves]

Sudden increase in pace in 3Q but your under bet looks very good right now.

[Love The Action]

Finally a profitable day in the WNBA going into the weekend...2 - 1 on the night and I will update all records before tomorrow's games. I'm capping tomorrow's MLB right now. Let's have a big WNBA weekend!

[Love The Action]

WNBA Recap 7/13/11 - 7/15/11

3 - 4 = -1.7x
I will not recap all the bad breaks and tough losses because there were some bad calls over the last few days as well (the Mercury/Minny under is one). Nevertheless, we went 2-1 last night and just missed the 3-0 sweep by 2 measly points in the Minny/Indiana over play. I can just feel a hot run coming as we are well overdue for a huge winning streak.

WNBA 2011 Season

36 - 33 = - 0.80x

If I am not hitting my big plays at 60% clip, I am not going to be successful. So far this WNBA season, I have missed on 3 of my 4 biggest plays, which has resulted from me going to a high of +14x to a low of -0.80x in the last two weeks. Although we remain 3 plays over .500 on the season, our big plays have been disastrous and have cost us dearly. However, we have two full months of WNBA basketball remaining and I have historically always gotten hot at the end of seasons when my capping factors and model have enough data for more consistent wins on big plays. I fully expect to make a profit this year in WNBA, I am not at all down on myself at all and I am very confident that we go on a hot streak with the ladies really soon. We have been very mediocre over the last couple weeks and that goes against my successful nature. We will prove victorious in the long run with the ladies, just like we do in every other sport. Let's start that hot run today!

[Love The Action]

I'm going back to my original avatar...time to start shooting winners everywhere with Mr. White! DRZ --- I demand you cease and desist from the use of my avatar...I had it first!!!!

[Love The Action]

WNBA 7/16/11

Play #1

Chicago/Atlanta under (163) 1x (Locked)

Not sure where this number came from but one of my locals just went to 163 so I jumped on that for the under. Most of the market is at 162.5 as I type, with Pinny juicing the under -107. I have this one capped at lease four points less. My model has an overall total of 158, a Home/Away total of 159, a total of 159 based on the last five games and a total of 158 based on the last ten games. Both team are coming off unders (2 straight in the case of Atlanta) and both teams are 2-5 o/u in their last 7 games. Chicago trends under big time whether it be in road games, on 2 days of rest as dogs or games held on Saturday. On the other side, Atlanta also trends under as a favorite and coming off ATS/SU losses. Chicago is 0-2 o/u at total set in this range while Atlanta is 4-6 o/u in the same range. Both teams are 1-2 o/u this year on 2 days rest with Chicago averaging 155 points and Atlanta averaging 164. Based on my projected lines and the strong trends favoring the under in this matchup, I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck!

[spongerat]

agree with your play I already pounded it. Whats weird is that is opened then went down to 157 then is up to 163? I don't get it! these are the two slowest paced teams! Is there an injury or something we're missing