Heat/Mavs has to go OVER...right???

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  • Nomadik
    SBR MVP
    • 06-03-10
    • 1723

    #1
    Heat/Mavs has to go OVER...right???
    Don't think so Gents. The over is being pounded right now, pushing it up to 189.5 here in Vegas. This game goes UNDER.
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Hard to say. I lean over, but I think you have to keep this in mind (initial Pinny movement):

    TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
    05/27 10:17 188 -105 / 188 -105
    05/27 10:56 188 +101 / 188 -111
    05/27 10:57 187½ +102 / 187½ -113
    05/27 11:04 186½ -107 / 186½ -103

    Frankly, I could see a middle here, with the total winding up at 187 or 188.
    Comment
    • Nomadik
      SBR MVP
      • 06-03-10
      • 1723

      #3
      Line is pretty sharp at 188 NoCoin. I'm thinking it comes in just UNDER. Something like 97-90, or the Heat could just blow the doors off this thing with say 100-85.
      Comment
      • Nomadik
        SBR MVP
        • 06-03-10
        • 1723

        #4
        If you can get the 189.5, jump on it, it won't last. Locked and Loaded on the UNDER 189.5 -110 (20u).
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by Nomadik
          Line is pretty sharp at 188 NoCoin. I'm thinking it comes in just UNDER. Something like 97-90, or the Heat could just blow the doors off this thing with say 100-85.
          Well, we know this: the public wasn't moving that line down early.

          If it drops again before tip, I think you have a winner.
          Comment
          • Git Lo
            SBR MVP
            • 02-20-11
            • 3785

            #6
            Gotta go with the under, Miamis offense wont be so sharp but the defense will be on point to keep the score low on both ends 97-90 looks promising.
            Comment
            • Milanboy
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-09-10
              • 214

              #7
              I'm liking the over in this too.
              Comment
              • Nomadik
                SBR MVP
                • 06-03-10
                • 1723

                #8
                Originally posted by Milanboy
                I'm liking the over in this too.

                You and everyone else. I'm on the UNDER.
                Comment
                • Nomadik
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-03-10
                  • 1723

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Nomadik
                  If you can get the 189.5, jump on it, it won't last. Locked and Loaded on the UNDER 189.5 -110 (20u).
                  Locked and Loaded.
                  Comment
                  • Clear2Land
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-09-10
                    • 271

                    #10
                    My book just dropped to 188 pounding the under!
                    Comment
                    • NickDiaz209
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-22-11
                      • 438

                      #11
                      just pounded the under at 189
                      Comment
                      • RayzHELL
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-18-09
                        • 2164

                        #12
                        Dallas & OVER

                        Parlay Bet
                        Description

                        May 31 09:00 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 701 Dallas Mavericks +8 [buying 3½ points] -195 for Game
                        May 31 09:00 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 701 Dallas Mavericks / Miami Heat Over 185 [buying 3½ points] -195 for Game
                        2 Team Parlay

                        Bet Slip Total
                        Risk $798.86 USD

                        WIN $1,012.06 USD
                        Comment
                        • Nomadik
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-03-10
                          • 1723

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RayzHELL
                          Parlay Bet
                          Description

                          May 31 09:00 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 701 Dallas Mavericks +8 [buying 3½ points] -195 for Game
                          May 31 09:00 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 701 Dallas Mavericks / Miami Heat Over 185 [buying 3½ points] -195 for Game
                          2 Team Parlay

                          Bet Slip Total
                          Risk $798.86 USD

                          WIN $1,012.06 USD
                          I don't think it's a good idea to tease "backwards," but GL either way. I would have teased the total up to 192 (assuming it was at 188.5, and you were buying 3.5) and took the UNDER.
                          Comment
                          • benrama
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-19-11
                            • 1499

                            #14
                            I liked the under too, got it at 189, just got in on live play at over 178.5 as well, so hoping for a big middling opportunity.
                            Comment
                            • SRBI
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 8393

                              #15
                              LMAO. Fkin brick contest over here. First team to brick 100 wins.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #16
                                I'm on the over at 186 and not worried. It's very early. Read an article that a lot of sharp money is on the over and that is what has been pushing it up.
                                Comment
                                • Nomadik
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-03-10
                                  • 1723

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                  I'm on the over at 186 and not worried. It's very early. Read an article that a lot of sharp money is on the over and that is what has been pushing it up.
                                  It's definitely early. GL to you.
                                  Comment
                                  • Fischnasty
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-10-09
                                    • 1931

                                    #18
                                    id be worried at least a little.
                                    Comment
                                    • Git Lo
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-20-11
                                      • 3785

                                      #19
                                      so far my write up is pretty accurate mavs shooting 29% to start the first quarter of the series and they have the lead.
                                      Comment
                                      • Nomadik
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-03-10
                                        • 1723

                                        #20
                                        The 2nd quarter just made the total a little more interesting. Still like my UNDER 189.5, however.
                                        Comment
                                        • Texas_Actuarial
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 05-09-10
                                          • 50

                                          #21
                                          Still close on the over/under. Both of these teams have demonstrated their fourth-quarter prowess lately. Wouldn't be surprised to see 55+ in the 4th.
                                          Comment
                                          • Nomadik
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-03-10
                                            • 1723

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Texas_Actuarial
                                            Still close on the over/under. Both of these teams have demonstrated their fourth-quarter prowess lately. Wouldn't be surprised to see 55+ in the 4th.
                                            Yeah the game could go either way at this point, but I like the way it has started at least. As with most sports, the 4th quarter is going to decide it.
                                            Comment
                                            • Nomadik
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-03-10
                                              • 1723

                                              #23
                                              3rd quarter shaping up nicely for the UNDER.
                                              Comment
                                              • Nomadik
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-03-10
                                                • 1723

                                                #24
                                                Wow. How will that 3 by LB come into play???
                                                Comment
                                                • Nomadik
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-03-10
                                                  • 1723

                                                  #25
                                                  Barea has been and will be the death of Dallas tonight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • NickDiaz209
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-22-11
                                                    • 438

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Nomadik
                                                    Barea has been and will be the death of Dallas tonight.
                                                    If Jason Terry and Barea don't do anything this series it will be over in 5 or less
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Nomadik
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-03-10
                                                      • 1723

                                                      #27
                                                      These phantom calls are getting to be a bit ridiculous.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • southpaw74
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-21-09
                                                        • 7104

                                                        #28
                                                        Just horrible shooting and shot selection. Looks like an 8th grade boys game. Sad
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Nomadik
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-03-10
                                                          • 1723

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Nomadik
                                                          If you can get the 189.5, jump on it, it won't last. Locked and Loaded on the UNDER 189.5 -110 (20u).
                                                          Cash it.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • romaldinho88
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 04-25-11
                                                            • 112

                                                            #30
                                                            Great call,i read this thread earlier and liked your play.Great night all 3 of my bets i nailed.game final total was 176.

                                                            i bet Miami -4.5 and Vancouver to win in 60mins tommorow night 2 team parlay.
                                                            i had Game Total under 188 at start of game.
                                                            then after the 1st quarter i bet the over 175.5 with the same amount as my Pre-Game total to give myself 12 points of pure profit without risking any loss.
                                                            Kidd hits a 3 at the buzzer to send it over,what a shot .great game well done if you were on heat.
                                                            Lets go Nucks 2moro,get on the 60min money line.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cash$bro91
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 04-16-11
                                                              • 684

                                                              #31
                                                              Good call on the under.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SRBI
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 10-20-09
                                                                • 8393

                                                                #32
                                                                Nice work Dik Nowitzki...
                                                                Comment
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