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The Kidd off to a good start !Comment -
Thunder can't hit a tray to save their lives
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We're going to need a 40 point quarter somewhere along the way to bring this one home...Comment -
Think were in trouble here LTA
these guys are scoring at willComment -
Yea I agree under is toast LTA, I tailed u but it looks like money down the drain.Comment -
Wonder if I should hedge a live bet on the overComment -
I love it guys! Keep it up -- kill the pick! Reverse-jinx me!Comment -
Live betting is now 217.5
LTA do u think I should try and middle this as I am already on the over or should I sit tight?Comment -
live under is 213 +103Comment -
2h under will be a winner I thinkComment -
This is the NBA. I predict we hear the over bettors complaining about a bad beat when all is said and done. I could be wrong, but I think the third and fourth quarter won't keep up with this first half pace. We're only 23 points off the projected under. Everyone needs to relax. It doesn't look good right now...but it's far from over.Comment -
You know your in trouble when Perkins hits a jumper
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This is a disastrous 3q. I have under 217 but my over is gone
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It's going to be a close one...good luck guys!Comment -
I'm off to bed...can't keep my eyes open. Hopefully, I wake up to a miracle winner. Good luck.Comment -
Nah, its a loser.Comment -
So, are you going big on the Mavs under?Comment -
someone has the lines for game 3 ?Comment -
BOL on your plays todayComment -
Good call. Under bettors lost this one because OKC's bench scored 50 points. A big part of that was Harden. Just two less three pointers in that 4th quarter and under bettors cash. Oh well, onto the next game.
However, I believe you need to post your plays before the game starts in order to have bragging rights and you didn't say anything about the over until 905 pm. Regardless, you should really start your own thread with all your plays so everyone could tail. Don't keep all these winners to yourself, share the wealth so we have more resources on this forum. Good luck on your plays today.
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MLB recap for 5/18 - 5-19
4 - 8 = -3.5x
In this thread:
40 - 38 = +6x
Rough couple days on the bases directly attributable to some big dogs losing in extra innings. If I win a few of those extra inning games, with the big odds I had, I would have easily made some big profit. As it stands, we're down 3.5 x for Wednesday and Thursday of this week. I actually won last night on the SD/Mil and SF/LAD unders, but I forgot to post because of the Thunder/Mavs game. Therefore, those games will not count in the thread. Nevertheless, we remain up 6 units since I started this thread alone and I'm up over 20x on the MLB season so far. Now we're into interleague today, so that should be fun. With NBA winding down, it's time to start really concentrating and putting all of my energy into MLB. We need to get going Friday, Saturday and Sunday to pull a nice weekly profit in MLB for this week. This weekend should be fun!Comment -
Nba 5/19 11
Thunder/Mavs Under (200.5) 3x (locked)
Adding 1x Under (200) for total of 4x (3x at 200.5 and 1x at 200) (locked) LOSS
My only NBA play for today will be on the under in tonight between the Thunder and the Mavs for 3x.
As I stated earlier, prior to game 1, I capped this matchup's total to be somewhere between 195 on the low end and 198 on the high end on a game-to-game basis. Therefore, if the books released a number below 195, the over would have been the play. If the number was set above 198, the under would be the play. That is what I planned before the series, so I need to stick with my original plan despite the recent scoring output by the Mavs.
In fact, I think the Mavs recent scoring reinforces this play. The Mavs have shot around 57% combined for their last two games and over 50% from three point range in that same time frame. Simple math tells me they can't keep this up and will revert to a more human level. The question is whether that reversion comes tonight or if it comes in game 3. I expect both teams to shoot around 47% tonight, which would be just enough to keep this game under the high total.
On the other side, I believe OKC will want to slow the game down and play more of a half-court game. This will allow them to keep the ball out Dirk and Co.'s hands in order to keep the scoring down. I think it was clear to the whole world that the way to beat the Mavs at home is not to run and gun up and down the court. That style plays into the Mavs hands as they can use their length and shooting prowess to knock down shots. However, by slowing the game down and playing a more intense brand of defense, you at least give yourself a shot against the Mavs high-powered attack. Consequently, I think you will see a similar game to when OKC played Denver where they slowed the game down and played strong defense.
The refs favor the under tonight with Spooner and Washington. Spooner is one of my favorite refs to have when playing the under. The third ref, Willard, also has some attributes that lean under, although, he is more even-handed. Regardless, I don't think the NBA wants to see a ton of fouls called tonight based on the negative reaction from game one and all the bad foul calls made in that game. Consequently, I think we see 50 ft attempts or under tonight.
Based on the foregoing, plus a few other factors, I like the under for 3x tonight. Good luck.
I really like the late line movement and added 1x for a total 4x play on this under. The value in the under here is too good to pass up and I have to jump on it for an aggressive 4x play. I'm excited. Let's keep our hot streak going! Good luck!
NBA 5/19/11
0 - 1 = -4.4x
In this thread:
14 - 12 = +21.9x
Not much to say about this one. We lost strictly because of the first half and the 50 points from OKC's bench (especially Harden). The 2h turned out just as we predicted, but it wasn't quite slow enough. We only lost by 6, but can't make excuses as a loss is a loss. No worries though, we're still up over 21x in this thread for all NBA plays and over 49x on the playoffs as a whole (as documented in previous threads). I need to start looking at this weekend's games. I think we see a Bulls win on Saturday, but not sure about the total yet. Sort of lean to the over right now. I think the Bulls ML will be our bigger play. It seems I already lost out on the 5.5 spread, and I really think the Bulls will win, so I may just stick with the ML. It's a bit risky, but I'm confident in the Bulls for game 3.Comment -
MLB interleague games start today. The Cubbies are playing in Fenway. Pretty cool. Would be a lot cooler if it was the World Series
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Is it square of me that I really like the bulls and mavs on the spread and ml for these game 3's?
What does everyone like for the side and ml in this weekend's games?Comment -
Nba 5/20/11
Mavs/Thunder under (202) 7.5x (locked)
Too much value to pass up. Writeup to come. I really like the Mavs as well. I'm excited for saturday....big day for us. Good luck!
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Adding 2.5x for total of 10x under (202)
I don't think we'll see 202 for long so I have to add now.Comment -
Hi LTA!
Thanks for a great thread.
I took the Mavs/Thunder under and got it at 201 but I think it is worth it still. What do you think?
The game saturday feels really difficult. I lost quite big last night by taking the mavs, I really thought they were going to take it.
Just one more question: What does MLB interleague games start means?
Keep up the good work you are doing!!Comment
