$500 to $5000 in 6 Months - Part 3

[RoagBettor]

Oklahoma City -6 (-115 The Greek)

$115 to win $100

[RoagBettor]

The refs are all over Miami again, Boston can't get a foul call. F*ck the NBA right now.

[lilb999]

Aint lookin so hot right now...Boston cant even make an open shot

[RoagBettor]

Motherf*cker by a basket. The refs are f'n whores.

[lilb999]

Such a joke...Whatd they get? 34 free throws? Gimmie a fuckin break

[dwluv3333]

Motherf*cker by a basket. The refs are f'n whores.

sup roag, i had that teaser too, I pretty much hate the celtics right now. i am killing myself over ever having faith in this old team. execution clearly doesn't matter when you're too old athletically to keep up with the other team.

[Beefcakes]

funny how boston couldnt even cover a +10 point spread lol, perhaps they needed +15 haha

[RoagBettor]

I didn't take Boston in the other teaser for this very reason. I thought the refs might be on the Heat again, but I thought Boston +10 was the safer play. Once the Celtics took the lead in the 2H I think the refs called fouls on Boston on like 8 of 9 possessions for Miami. Unfnreal.

[lilb999]

Lets hope some of the soccer plays hit. Seems I started to follow during a cold streak. Hope im not bad luck!

[RoagBettor]

Lets hope some of the soccer plays hit. Seems I started to follow during a cold streak. Hope im not bad luck!

LOL yeah it's all your fault! Just kidding, I knew I was due for a correction I've been saying it for a week, but to lose because the refs are sucking Lebron and Wade off the whole game just chaps my a$$! I will get it all back and more, I like the other teaser pending and the soccer plays for Saturday.

[lilb999]

I guess we should just start betting Miami. Get on the side of all the cocksucking lol

[RoagBettor]

I guess we should just start betting Miami. Get on the side of all the cocksucking lol

No, Celtics will get the calls in the next 2 games so we will be on them one way or another.

[Beefcakes]

will be on your "comeback" teaser tmr, BOL

[RoagBettor]

Oklahoma City -6 (-115 The Greek)

$115 to win $100

We got some back. One game at a time!

[RoagBettor]

I'm not betting them because we are still in test mode, but I like the Draw to hit in 2 out of the 4 Romanian League 1 matches coming up (especially the 2 early games). Let's see what happens.

5/4/2011 7:30 AM Romania Soccer 403 Draw (Vitoria Branesti (ROM-1) vs Unirea Urziceni (ROM-1))* +226
5/4/2011 9:30 AM Romania Soccer 406 Draw (Pandurii (ROM-1) vs AS FCM Targu Mures (ROM-1))* +216
5/4/2011 11:30 AM Romania Soccer 409 Draw (FC Astra Ploiesti (ROM-1) vs Brasov (ROM-1))* +224
5/4/2011 1:30 PM Romania Soccer 412 Draw (Rapid Bucharest (ROM-1) vs Steaua Bucharest (ROM-1))* +234

[Rick22]

Good luck today Roag. As someone without a system - how long do you "test" systems?

[RoagBettor]

Good luck today Roag. As someone without a system - how long do you "test" systems?

Thanks buddy. Well, my over system has been over 2 years in development! LOL but I've been monitoring Draws and unders at the same time just haven't refined those yet that's why I'm not betting them right now. It will probably be another 3 months or so before I feel comfortable enough and have enough data to start making them official plays.

[lakersdotcom]

any leans for nba?

[RoagBettor]

I have 3 team/5 point teaser pending (OKC last nite, and Bulls/Lakers tonite). Will probably have a straight bet later today also.

[RoagBettor]

3 Team/8 Point Teaser (BookMaker -120): Bulls -.5/Lakers +1/Celtics +5

$240 to win $200

[Kivo35]

3 Team/8 Point Teaser (BookMaker -120): Bulls -.5/Lakers +1/Celtics +5 $240 to win $200

Hey Roag,
really tough losses lately (Esp last night)

I am also with you w on this teaser.


What do you think project balance is around?

[RoagBettor]

Hey Roag,
really tough losses lately (Esp last night)

I am also with you w on this teaser.


What do you think project balance is around?

Yep, it's called variance and it happens to every capper no matter how good you are or how well you cap the games. I told everyone last week we were overdue for some tough losses and lo and behold we got them. A study by Middle Tennesse State showed that 95% of the time your bankroll will be below it's highest balance, so this is completely normal.

I think we're still over 2K in the balance, but I will update after tonight's games. We will get hot again, hopefully starting today!

[Kivo35]

Yep, it's called variance and it happens to every capper no matter how good you are or how well you cap the games. I told everyone last week we were overdue for some tough losses and lo and behold we got them. A study by Middle Tennesse State showed that 95% of the time your bankroll will be below it's highest balance, so this is completely normal.

I think we're still over 2K in the balance, but I will update after tonight's games. We will get hot again, hopefully starting today!

Never in doubt

[groupama]

Now what is your bankroll, close to $5000?

[danhfan24]

Hey Roag. I'm thinking of laying a couple of Benjamins on the over tonight in the lakers game. What's your opinion on the over play.

[RoagBettor]

Hey Roag. I'm thinking of laying a couple of Benjamins on the over tonight in the lakers game. What's your opinion on the over play.

Well you've got 80% on the over and it's dropped 2.5 points. I'm not touching it. Every game went over last night, so I think it will be tight.

I really like the under in the Hawks/Bulls game, I might play that one.

[danhfan24]

Thanks Roag. Didnt look at the sharp money angle.Was looking where the over is 3-1 for the season,but it was tight every game except for the 1st game of season.

Over/under is 2-2 with the bulls/hawks.

[Soon2BRich]

Well you've got 80% on the over and it's dropped 2.5 points. I'm not touching it. Every game went over last night, so I think it will be tight.

I really like the under in the Hawks/Bulls game, I might play that one.

where do people go to find out how many people and what percentage of people are on a play?

[cockblocker]

Wait for the the game to start and bet the total live. After scoring drought it usually drop 10 to 15 pts from the original number.

[Postman78]

where do people go to find out how many people and what percentage of people are on a play?

I'm pretty sure Vegas insider has that info

[lilb999]

Hey Roag do you just bet Basketball and Soccer, or whatever will make $

[RoagBettor]

I'm pretty sure Vegas insider has that info

I use pregame.com there is a link to SportsbookSpy; their numbers are more reliable than VegasInsider, Covers and SBR.

[RoagBettor]

Hey Roag do you just bet Basketball and Soccer, or whatever will make $

I will be betting a lot of football when it starts - teasers and parlays. I might have some small MLB parlays but MLB is not my specialty.

[Postman78]

I use pregame.com there is a link to SportsbookSpy; their numbers are more reliable than VegasInsider, Covers and SBR.

That's good information I'll try that speaking of good info which books besides 5dimes are good for soccer ?
I know you mentioned it before but I really don't wanna go diggin through the pages?

[RoagBettor]

I'm funding my BetPhoenix account so I can bet 2Hs in soccer also. If you're in the states those are the only 2 books worth using