tired of losing money -make my own picks instaed

[masticore]

5* looks like a

only 73 points in first half...only overtime or a miracle will change that - if the 3 quarter is bad as the first half we maybe will handle a overtime also

Hopfully will Celtics do little batter in last half and cover the 3.5 points


mikke

[masticore]

2/24
Grade - - Today - - Total - ff- Tot$ - - Tot$ w/wagering
5*mmmmm1-0fffffff015-5 fffffff+975 fffffffff+4875
3*ffffffffffj0-2 fffffff25-15 flffff+850fffffffffff+2550
1* ffffffffff0-0fffffff11-16-1 ffff-660fffffffflf -660
½* fffffffff1-0 fffffff25-14 fffff-1413 fffffffflf-707
Proppffffff 0-0 fffffffff0-2 fffffff-200ffffffffffff -50
Tot:fffffffff2-2 fffff86-52-1 ffff-448fffffffffff+6008


Today res: 2-2
Tot:-8
w/wagering: -94
Personal play: 1-2 (-160)
Tot personal: 40-20 +7425

pls tell me if you see something wrong in the sum up

I'm only human so I do some misstakes

[masticore]

Terrible play by Boston and a verry good defensive play by Denver...must say that Denver deserved to win

The 5* game beat I the line with 38 points - nice pick - if Boston had scored as normal had I still been under (maybe) and both bet goes in..

Heat/Bulls game should be over if any of the both team had hit half of there simple misses..

As long I feel are on the right side of the track, can I take the loss day with a smile - we are gambling so...

Many games tomorrow so we buns back then

If I look back on earlier days..so many plays give me plus days

BOL

mikke

[pennsylvania209]

Thanks for the analysis. U were right on the 5 star. Total went up to 205. Good luck tomorrow.

[masticore]

Little recap:

5* games 15-5 (75%) +49 units (ROI 45%)
3* games 25-15 (62%) +26 units (ROI 19%)
5* and 3* games 40-20 (67%) +74 units (ROI 31%)

Only good numbers so far



mikke

[masticore]

Thanks for the analysis. U were right on the 5 star. Total went up to 205. Good luck tomorrow.

I saw the line movment...and dubbel checked my analys/backtesting...
My guess was that the public moved the line (that was a part of my analys)..not sharp plays that done it


mikke

[shopbar picks]

again thanx for posting

[masticore]

2/25

5* PHO -4 (83%) (POD)
5* PHO/TOR un212.5 (71%)
5* WAS +14 (71%)
5* MIN +6 (73%)
5* OKL/ORL un205 (70%)
5* ATL +3.5 (83%)
5* ATL/GS un201 (83%)
5* POR -6.5 (75%)
5* CLE/NYK un220.5 (83%)

3* CHA -4.5 (63%)
3* IND/UTA ov207 (64%)
3* MIA/WAS ov203 (67%)
3* NJ/SA ov192.5 (65%)
3* LAL -10.5 (62%)
3* LAL/LAC un194 (68%)
3* DET/PHI ov193.5 (69%)
3* NYK -8 (67%)

1* CHA/SAC un199
1* UTA +6
1* MIN/NO ov195
1* SA -11

½* UTA ml (+205)
½* PHO ml (-172)
½* MIA ml (-2500)
½* MIN ml (+193)
½* OKL ml (+235)
½* SA ml (-1000)
½* GS ml (-161)
½* LAL ml (-833)
½* NYK ml (-370)

[masticore]

Done with analyses...lots of 5* games...Hopefully good day (looks so on paper)

Fade or follow at your own risk



BOL
mikke

[Troillunge]

Thanks for the picks. Following all your 5* mikke! BOL to all of us

[masticore]

good start today....

PHO in and WAS looking good...

but MIN have we trouble with


mikke

[masticore]

so far...

5* 4-2 -3 pending
3* 4-2 -2 pending

Atl stated nice..so I can be a good day this also

[MexicanStallion]

Nice work here. Keep up the strong plays.

[masticore]

Nice work here. Keep up the strong plays.

thx...but its so few games to see if my systems working in the long run..

Hopefully its not only luck



mikke

[slimpickins]

[slimpickins]

Nice job mike
your 5 star plays are on an impressive roll

keep it up

[Bswitz32]

NIce work man! Keep it up as you are helping us all earn a nice bankroll

BOL TODAY

[pennsylvania209]

Congrats at hitting your POD. Phoenix won by 18. What was your reasoning, if u don't mind?

[masticore]

Congrats at hitting your POD. Phoenix won by 18. What was your reasoning, if u don't mind?

I will try to explain...my english is bad...I mean really bad...but however

When I analyse a game:

I look on there previus reult and try to find something spec...

And then I put in that in a bas and back test it...and result come up and I count the% and if higher then 70 its 5* 60-70 3* 53-60 1* and if i found some value in ml will that be ½*

And do that agin but "anti"-parameters and if the anti doesnt change it--I throw it away...because then my first parameters doesnt help...and do it 4-6 times to I found the "true" parameters

I have testing around little so it go faster now - thats the easy eplaination

And if high result with one system and sometimes with more system...and if more system fitts...its a verry good play (POD)

I tried a write up earlier in the thread...

ex... when two teams win big previus game and the make over 110 points...then the vegas "alwys" have a high line--to "high"..I have also more parameters...its about the same

In my example...It came out around 40 points under (and there was another 5* winner)

Hope that explain how I do it - no feelings and thoughts -only "hard" statistic work

We will see if its long term winning system or just luck

Maybe we have good indication on it after this seasong

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

ops forget to tell about pho game: in pho game I had some parametrs mainly around TOR@home underdag win last game... and then vegas make that protect them for overbetting on that side

[masticore]

I hope you understand my bad english...and you maybe understand how I'm thinking
Pls have comments about it..both pos and neg. - spesialy like I negativ because then must I start think if I'm correct

And I only play 5 and 3 games..rest I have for tracking..unntil they start winning

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Atl was a easy on...

Portland game was good until half... probly loss

5* 6-3 (included POR game)
3* 5-3

not bad for a newbe

will "sum up" under the day

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

POR game not over yet...but my chanses is almost 0

BOL
mikke

[pennsylvania209]

Thanks for the explanation. I've learned a lot these past few days with u.

[shopbar picks]

outstanding job. Nice call on phx

[masticore]

outstanding job. Nice call on phx

I like my call Atl because there was one capper here on the forum against me. I think is the best capper here (Sj55) And he doing wonderfull write ups...

But last 3 times (with this included) we are against each other have I been lucky to win

[masticore]

2/25
Grade - - Today - - Total - ff- Tot$ -ll - Tot$ w/wagering
5*mmmmm6-3fffffff021-8 fffffff+1245 fffffffff+6225
3*ffffffffffj5-3 fffffff30-18 flflfff+1020ffffffffff+3060
1* ffffffffff2-2fffffff13-18-1 fffff-680fffflffffflf -680
½* fffffffff5-4 fffffff30-18 ffffff-1279 ffffffffflf-640
Proppffffff 0-0 fffffffff0-2 ffffffff-200ffffffffffff -50
Tot:fffffff18-12 fff104-64-1 ffff+106fffffffffff+7915


Today res: 18-12
Tot: +554
w/wagering: +1907
Personal play: 11-6 (+1860)
Tot personal: 51-26 +9285

5* 21-8 (72%)
3* 30-18 (62%)
5* and 3* 51-26 (66%)

pls tell me if you see something wrong in the sum up

I'm only human so I do some misstakes

[masticore]

+18½ units yesterday -nice and +93 units sence I started doing this by myself - dubbel my BR...
I guess a down swing will come soon..hopefully not today

regards
mikke

[masticore]

today picks 2/26

5* NJ/HOU ov203 (75%)
5* BOS -7.5 (76%)

3* SAC +10 (61%)
3* SAC/MEM ov200 (60%)
3* CHI -3.5 (68%)
3* CHI/MIL ov181.5 (65%)
3* WAS/DAL un203.5 (62%)
3* UTA/DET ov193 (64%)

1* DAL -9.5
1* DET +4.5

½* SAC ml (+475)
½* CHI ml (-172)
½* WAS ml (+435)
½* NJ ml (+350)
½* DET ml (+165)

[masticore]

Then was todays pick up...

Fade or follow at your own risk

I playing 5* and 3*

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Any comments about the picks and the other games are welcome


mikke

[pennsylvania209]

The kings and the nets totals have gone up. Any comments? Suggestions?

[bokuma]

Just play the perceived opposite on national tv nba games and you'll be golden

[masticore]

First game was winning
But it looks 50/50 among the 3*
And the 5* game looks good
If that game winn will it be up to boston if winning day or some unit loss today

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

As predicted earlie in the games...

3* 3-3
5* 1-0 If Bos win (+9.1 units) If they lost (-1.4 units)

So go Boston go

BOL
mikke