tired of losing money -make my own picks instaed

[masticore]

Now I'm tired to losing money..when follow pro capper's

Better losing my own plays

Plays tonight (probly good fading materiall)

Det +1.5
CHI/UTA ov194.5
DAL/SAC un196

Hopefully I come up to the 11-10 wins to break even

BOL
mikke

[Power Play]

Trust me you'll probably do about as well or better than most of the so called "pros" even if you flip coins. Good luck!

[DukeJohn]

Now I'm tired to losing money..when follow pro capper's

Better losing my own plays

Plays tonight (probly good fading materiall)

Det +1.5
CHI/UTA ov194.5
DAL/SAC un196

Hopefully I come up to the 11-10 wins to break even

BOL
mikke

Breaking out from under other people's plays is a good thing and a step in the right direction. It took me a while years ago also.

I wish you the best of luck,

[Frostware]

good luck!

[rapidfire5]

yea im starting to just make my own picks instead of tailing

Might tail someone if there hot tho lol

[MrShrink]

you're on the right track, buddy. tailing is for tools.

[blinky88]

Good luck ....

[MrShrink]

like your picks, too, btw.

[Scahom1]

I like them all aside from the under in Dal/Sac...

[masticore]

I like them all aside from the under in Dal/Sac...

I have some math analys...with back testing...get under in that game with 56% of times (with my parameters)
was using vegas line (195.5)...and when go to bookie I saw some line movment to 196...probly bad sign...but it should be easier to go under 196 then 195.5

thx for all good words from the earler posters...


regards
mikke

[sweethook]

gl. man

[Fasttrack]

Best way to bet. Hope you do well.

[masticore]

at least 1 win...so no 0-3 today

my biggest problem with picking my own is that "I'm a kind of action junkie"

But so long I go over with bets that i predict more that "magical"52.38% (and they are also over that)
Will many bets, give more profit.

But if I write down the picks here and also keeping track. Will I maybe be more carefull with my picks.(nobody want to be a idiot in public)

And also reading other "cappers" thread will give me new inputs and also comments about my picks will help me be a better capper

regards
mikke

[masticore]

some recap...before going to next day...

today(and total):
1-2 (-120)

not good, not bad....

detroit games vs worst team with +1.5 ....easy money
chi/uta ov ...hmmm what was that...one word..catastrophic play
dal/sac un ....not so bad..without mavs 31 points quarter could it be nice..but after 3 q...we had a game again

It was more fun to lose today...when it was I and no other that lose my money

BOL
mikke

[pittmatt80]

Good Luck man so much better to do the analysis yourself makes the games more interesting to see if your on the right track.

[shopbar picks]

good luck

[masticore]

Today only one game fits my system so far:
GSW @ PHO ov216.....(but the lines is not up in my book on the games yest...so it could be some changes)

I relly dont like this game...so the best is probly noplay...but I'm a action junkie..soo

Will see when the lines come up, in my bookie..then will I decide if play or no play

If no change in lines:

Reson why I should: no play.....GSW have not make so many points in meetings vs PHO
Reson why play:...If its a EV+ game will I lose money when not playing

Teorem that I got from poker:
When not playing EV+ losing
When playing EV+ winning
When playing EV- losing
When not playing EV- winning

But we will see over the evning if some line changes etc etc ...if play or not (will post if I play it)

BOL
mikke

[Metanoia]

Good Luck to you, learning and capping the games yourself is the way to go, when i started to bet i was doing things on my own, and i was making money, then i thought that it would be even better to follow good tipsters and so called pros, guess what i've lost a lot of money, then i got back to do things myself, and i started making money again. I'm not saying that you can't find some very good cappers in this forum, because you surelly can, but use them as a reference, do the capping yourself, learn from mistakes, and keep disciplined.

Don't be an action junkie, specially now that you're learning and starting to do things by yourself, stick to 2 games per day. You'll find out that the real pros usually don't make too many bets, the more you bet the more you expose yourself, and the more chances you'll have to lose.

Once again good luck to you

[aman86]

Your on the right track, keep it up

[masticore]

It was no play yesterday...sry didnt post that I had no action.

Why not I didnt do that was because:
First: I didn't like the bet even its fit one of my system
2nd: was in a pokergame all night (irl)

let see if its any good action tonight

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

2 games look intressing so far:

ORL -9 abd POR -2.5

I will waiing closer to game start to decide if these or/and more bets

[masticore]

Play tonight (2/11)

MIN/IND un218
ORL -9

[BigJ]

Good luck sir.

Thats the right attitude!

[masticore]

Play tonight (2/11)

MIN/IND un218
ORL -9

0-2 (-220)

Bad run or good fading materiall?

lets try pick some winner tomorrow

Must look over the filters.

total:
1-4 (-340)

[masticore]

I just compered my picks vs Dunkel list.(all 5 picks)
If I had filtered out the games when we wasnt agree with each other then the result had been total: 0-1 (-110)
So that filter had been little better.
Will start tracking that
BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Lets see if I can have a revange day

Have back test all pick from 1996 so lets see how its going today:
(ATS 17-9) ATL -8 3 units
(ATS 19-6) ATL/CHA u/187.5 5 units
(ATS 28-15-1) IND/MIL o/192 3 units
(ATS 31-13) CHI/NO o/181.5 5 units
(ATS 14-7) OKL -4.5 3 units
(ATS 14-7) SA -6.5 3 units

[Fasttrack]

Hope you bounce back today. I'm taking the day off.

[ugabooga]

22 units?

[masticore]

22 units?

yes, but I'm I kind of action junkie ;(

[masticore]

4-1 so far today and 1 game left okl -4.5 (looking good to halftime)

It gave some result to "work" with the picks instead of what I did earlier this week.
Hopefully it was not only a lucky shoot today....

mikke

[masticore]

(ATS 17-9) ATL -8 3 units L
(ATS 19-6) ATL/CHA u/187.5 5 units W
(ATS 28-15-1) IND/MIL o/192 3 units W
(ATS 31-13) CHI/NO o/181.5 5 units W
(ATS 14-7) OKL -4.5 3 units L
(ATS 14-7) SA -6.5 3 units W

4-2 and both 5* game was winners

Today
4-2 (+940)

Total
5-6 (+600)

[masticore]

If I see back on the first week as my "own capper"

I will absolutly skip the random 1 unit bets...they cost me 340
I'm to new/bad as capper to have afford to throw away money on random bets.
And the work on this saturday gave result..hopefully not only a lucky shoot

Lets find some winner tomorrow also

BOL
mikke

[wikkidinsane]

WagerType:Date:Team:Risking / To WinTicket#:
STRAIGHT BETFeb 13NBA [801] MIAMI -2-110 12.38 SBR / 11.25
SBR616866STRAIGHT BETFeb 13NBA [803] LA LAKERS +1-110 9.63
SBR / 8.75 SBR616867STRAIGHT BETFeb 13NBA [805] LA CLIPPERS -1½-110 6.05
SBR / 5.50 SBR616868STRAIGHT BETFeb 13NBA [807] PORTLAND -1½-110 6.05
SBR / 5.50 SBR616869STRAIGHT BETFeb 13NBA [815] OKLAHOMA CITY -1-110 6.60 SBR / 6.00 SBR616870

[masticore]

Dont agree with Miami-Boston game...probly good for you

Play so far:

5*(SU 22-9) Boston ML +125

I know its some injuries for Boston...still will I belive Boston makes it

More will come....(cant belive I have only one pick today)
Looks that LAL and LAC and under in both games....but not finnished with analysis yet

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

No play on Lakers and Clippers but under in Clipper's game

play today so far (maybe more will come)

5* (SU 22-9) Bos ml (+125)
3* (o/u 7-13) LAC/TOR un208,5 (-110)