Barksdale 2011 NBA Plays

**ParlayKing** · 01-04-11, 12:59 AM

i feel that the edge comes from Raymond Felton not being able to perform 100% with that wrist injury. I saw how he struggled when they played against the pacers on sunday.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 12:59 AM

A veteran team like the Spurs with a coach like Pop won't look ahead.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 01:01 AM

I see Stoudemire getting in a bit of foul trouble as he has been recently with Duncan and the Ginobili/Parker combination penetrating.

Also, remember that Gallinari is likely out for this game or will be hobbled if he is to play meaning Toney Douglas is going to have to play more leaving the Knicks even more undersized than they already are.

**Hexum** · 01-04-11, 01:11 AM

This is dangerous pick, spurs cant guard that 3 point arc. Look at what happened when they played the Magic, it can be a night where they end up lighting it up. But i do love the over...thoughts?

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 01:17 AM

Assuming Nowitzki is playing tomorrow I will have a play on that game.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 02:16 AM

Oklahoma City at Memphis Grizzlies
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder -2
Units: 2

**pstaff1989** · 01-04-11, 02:21 AM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

Oklahoma City at Memphis Grizzlies
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder -2
Units: 2

thank god, I have been waiting to pull the trigger on that play

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 02:46 AM

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat
Play: Miami Heat -9
Units: 5

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 02:46 AM

I might have a half play or two when they are released, but that is all of my game lines and o/u's.

The above play is my first posted 5 unit play.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 03:05 AM

It's late so I'm not going to get too into my Heat play right now, but my reasons are:

Milwaukee scored 78 at home in their first meeting this season with Jennings. They also got 20 from Maggette who is virtually non existent nowadays. The Bucks have been relying on the likes of Earl Boykins and John Salmons to put up points for them. In Miami's last home game against Golden State they were angry afterwards, surrendering 107 points to Golden State and 48% from three in Miami. Spoelstra spoke out about starting better at home and I think Miami will come to play in this game after somewhat disappointing the fans last game. James and Wade are coming off of big games today, but neither logged too many minutes.

Looking at Miami this season they have crushed the league's lower scoring teams because when Miami wants to, they can shut teams down as seen in the 2nd half vs Golden State. They have also made a habit of big runs and Milwaukee doesn't have the fire power to keep up with the Heat. Recent games with the Heat against New York and Golden State were kept reasonably close because the teams could score with them. Milwaukee simply cannot.

When Milwaukee throws out their lineup of Boykins-Moute-Salmons-Ilyasova and Bogut, they are going to get destroyed with their lack of perimeter size and speed. Skiles will be forced to take out Boykins to gain size and put in Dooling who is simply not an offensive threat, nor the defensive player he once was.

If Miami forces Milwaukee to play a lineup of Dooling, Moute, Salmons, Ilyasova and Bogut they are going to have a very tough time scoring. Salmons is not quick enough to take advantage of Wade or LeBron, nor does he have the size and because he is now their top scoring option, will have much of the focus and the Heat's top defenders on him.

Milwaukee cannot score enough to keep up with the Heat in Miami and if they try to, they will not be able to size up with Miami or keep up with the Heat transitional game.

I do not see this game close.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 03:59 AM

Originally posted by Hexum

This is dangerous pick, spurs cant guard that 3 point arc. Look at what happened when they played the Magic, it can be a night where they end up lighting it up. But i do love the over...thoughts?

The Spurs didn't care about that game. I remember some stupid comment by Pop at half time talking about they are making shots we aren't going to change anything and most of the starters sitting for the a lot of the 2nd half. I think it was also the game before Christmas for them. This is not at all the same situation. I have no opinion on the over. I would probably lean under because I think Stoudemire will be in foul trouble and Gallinari will be out so Turiaf, etc. will play more.

**sharp13** · 01-04-11, 04:00 AM

i like MIA a lot too, but don't feel so comfy w/ a large line like that, mainly due to backdoor covers etc. but will probably make a play on it. its just that i can see them being up like 15 as they were vs charlotte and the scrubs/garbage time will kill it somehow

i dont usually do nba teasers, but one caught my eye- heat(-4.5) and spurs(-0.5) at even odds. what do u think?

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 04:03 AM

I think that sounds solid since I like both lines.

I like a ML parlay of Miami/Atlanta/Chicago. I might make that a play later once I see what the pay out on that would be.

**sharp13** · 01-04-11, 04:10 AM

sorry, didnt phrase my question well- as is its pretty redudant and self-explanatory that you'd like that play(since you like both teams ATS). i guess better way to put it would be whats your take on a big(10+ unit) play on it?

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 04:13 AM

I would just say bet what you're comfortable with. I think both plays will hit since I played them straight up, but obviously you never know and you don't want to make a bet you would regret.

**demens** · 01-04-11, 12:16 PM

I was leaning the other way on Mia and OKC.

No concern that despite covering everything on the road, Heat at home have been far from reliable to cover and that includes this latest streak they're on too. The match-ups are simply enough, but Heat likes to take these kind of games off at home it seems.

Also, why do you like OKC? Grizz are bipolar as hell, but they seem to be solid coming off big upsets like the one in LA. I know OKC got blown out last game but still, Memph got a solid team to be home dogs.

**pstaff1989** · 01-04-11, 12:35 PM

Demens I agree with you on Miami but Memphis gets SMASHED tonight

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 03:12 PM

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat
Play: Milwaukee Bucks Team Total Under 86.5
Units: 2

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 03:17 PM

Miami Heat -550, Chicago Bulls -450, Atlanta Hawks -205
Play: ML Parlay (pays 1.15 to 1)
Units: 3 to win 3.45

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 03:30 PM

To Summarize my plays for today:

San Antonio Spurs -5
Oklahoma City Thunder -2
Miami Heat -9
Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Under 184
Milwaukee Bucks Team Total Under 86.5
Miami Heat / Chicago Bulls / Atlanta Hawks ML Parlay

**nnhenry** · 01-04-11, 03:38 PM

ML parlay of Miami/Atlanta/Spurs looks good

**creditcardclown** · 01-04-11, 05:19 PM

Lets go miami!

**pstaff1989** · 01-04-11, 05:29 PM

Good luck, Avon. I am really hoping that parlay cashes for you, that would be a real nice winner!

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 05:52 PM

I think the Bulls game will be the closest call of the 3 (which I guess means I would lean Toronto +9).

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 05:58 PM

I'm not going to make any 2H plays, but here are some notes in case any of you were looking at them.

Spurs @ Knicks
Spurs are 8-1-1 ATS covering 2H Road lines, Knicks are 5-8 ATS covering 2H home lines

Hawks @ Kings
Hawks are 8-6 ATS covering 2H Road lines, Kings are 4-8 ATS covering 2H home lines

Pistons @ Lakers
Pistons are 3-11 ATS and 4-10 O/U covering 2H road lines, Lakers are 5-6-1 ATS and 5-7 O/U covering 2H home lines

**YOUNGBUCK** · 01-04-11, 06:22 PM

avon how do u feel ab the bulls over 104

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 06:24 PM

I think it's solid, but would be wary of blowout in which Bulls might not score much at the end.

**YOUNGBUCK** · 01-04-11, 06:43 PM

ya like how i lost on heat over 99 yesterday when they didnt score in the last 4 mins

**telespectatorul** · 01-04-11, 06:46 PM

avon!
with you on the thunder play. it will be close but i am confident. thunder lost only 1 time this season b2b games. it won't happen again tonight.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK

ya like how i lost on heat over 99 yesterday when they didnt score in the last 4 mins

Yep. Heat had 94 points for 4 minutes (and only needed 22 for the whole quarter) and the bench couldn't score 6 points. Was pretty ridiculous, but at least you know it was the right play.

**Avatars** · 01-04-11, 07:03 PM

Avon, are you tracking what's your record season to date? Txs

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 07:27 PM

I believe am 59-33. If I were to narrow it down to my top plays each day and not just all of my plays that I post I would probably be about 70-75%.

**Avon Barksdale** · 01-04-11, 07:46 PM

OJ Mayo is out for those who liked Memphis.

**demens** · 01-04-11, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

OJ Mayo is out for those who liked Memphis.

Where do you get these injury reports. I see him as questionable due to being sick.

**pstaff1989** · 01-04-11, 07:49 PM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

OJ Mayo is out for those who liked Memphis.