1 NBA Play Monday So Far

**aireent777** · 12-27-10, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Blazers +8 -110 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 31-35-3, -6.23

Can you explain why you're on Portland? Thanks in advance and good luck sir

**nbarlotta3** · 12-27-10, 10:07 AM

I don't really like this play...

**aireent777** · 12-27-10, 10:16 AM

Me too.

**LT Profits** · 12-27-10, 10:43 AM

Too many points.

Utah is not as dominant as they used to be at home, they already have 5 home losses. Their overall average margin at home is around +5 per game, again lower than past years and lower than this spread.

If you look at raw pace ratings: Utah OFF 1.059, Port OFF 1.038. Utah DEF 1.033, Port DEF 1.037. So defenses wash and offenses grade out to Utah by 2 over 100 possessions, and I project 93 possessions this game, If you want to give Utah 4 points for home, still not higher than Utah -6.

**adam3248** · 12-27-10, 10:46 AM

I prefer Utah here -7.5

**mighty maron** · 12-27-10, 10:49 AM

Utah is up and down..after this big holiday I can see more downs than up...Portland is at +ev at +8

**aireent777** · 12-27-10, 01:34 PM

My mind takes Portland but my heart goes with Utah that's why I'm not touching this game. I will just go for the easiest pick on the board. Oklahoma