Money Line Parlays in the NBA = By Far the Best Way to Bet

**BlackMan** · 12-11-10, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

we are gonna make an absolute killing next wednesday brah

Kings at hornets

Cavaliers at heat

bucks at spurs

timberwolves at phoenix

4 teams on the road who have a combined 8 road wins all year

I'm gonna bet $1,000 dollars on it....should be an easy and free 1300-1600 dollars

I'd leave the Spurs out of this one. The Bucks usually play the Spurs pretty tough. I think the Spurs will win but this one could make you sweat a bit. Hornets, Heat and Suns are good though.

**curious** · 12-11-10, 04:54 PM

4 team parlay
$1000 to win $1360
Miami -510
Houston -390
Chicago -520
Boston -310

(all of these are game bets, I will have some more which are halves and quarters)

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 05:07 PM

Like all but chicago, strangely enough. I just have a bad feeling about it.

**daneault23** · 12-11-10, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

That sounds good ... can you look at HOME FAVS????????????

Home favs of what number?

**BlackMan** · 12-11-10, 05:09 PM

Im wary of the Celtics in Charlotte.

**jolmscheid** · 12-11-10, 05:13 PM

Home Favs of -7....i think that is a KEY number in basketball...I mainly do my parlays on HOME teams only because if it comes to a close game, I think there is more of a chance of them squeezing one out at home rather than away....

I had W. Kentucky Hit for my first leg of my parlay....now just need MIami-OH to hit, and then I can HEDGE the opposite side of the Bulls, which was my third leg of my parlay...so come on Miami-OH

**Zuus** · 12-11-10, 05:17 PM

guys dont listen to this dude, he was run off another board for being just being awful, if you tail you will lose

**daneault23** · 12-11-10, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by Zuus

guys dont listen to this dude, he was run off another board for being just being awful, if you tail you will lose

Who you talkin bout?

**daneault23** · 12-11-10, 05:36 PM

Okay so I did the home favs of -7 or greater anyways, and so far this year they are about 89-11 SU, being undefeated at 22-0 so far this month. The only reason I picked -7 or greater as a requirement was that's a minimum of 3 possession lead, so I figured that would be good enough to start tracking from there. It might be even worth it to look at smaller ML's (maybe 4 or 5 even) but I just picked 7 just because.

So overall this season, I have favorites home or away of 7 or greater at 109-12 89%, and exclusively home favs of 7 or greater at 89-11, also at 89%. However, these numbers are just game by game basis, not taking into account parlaying them. I feel the only days where you should parlay is when there are a bunch of games on a night, and look at matchups and be selective.

**jolmscheid** · 12-11-10, 05:39 PM

Thanks for the stats Dan...that is basically what I do....HOME teams that I feel have a good chance winning...never really more than 3 teams ever...

**daneault23** · 12-11-10, 05:57 PM

I just did NFL with favorites of 7 or greater, and Home Favs are 43-11 79%, while all favs 7 or greater are 50-14 78%

**daneault23** · 12-11-10, 06:02 PM

So, yeah I think we could all put our thoughts together to come up with maybe a day by day set of games we could all parlay. For today/tomorrow, I'm looking at Boston/Mia/Chicago Bulls for NBA, and maybe Pittsburgh/GB/Atl and maybe adding NO/Chargers to that but those three for sure. What you guys think?

**jolmscheid** · 12-11-10, 06:04 PM

Yea I like those plays for sure Dan...I think if we stick to a couple filters like Home teams of 7 points or more, and only doing 3 team parlays max, then we should do OK...

I also like the idea of spanning them over the course of a day or two so you could hedge if the first couple legs win...

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 06:10 PM

I've been playing 3-teamers in the NFL for the last 2 years, and they're money, usually. Just don't go too heavy. SD, ATL, and GB are solid tomorrow. NO/Pitt I'm more concerned about.

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by haserfauld

I've been playing 3-teamers in the NFL for the last 2 years, and they're money, usually. Just don't go too heavy. SD, ATL, and GB are solid tomorrow. NO/Pitt I'm more concerned about.

New Orleans is MONEY

the rams are missing 2 of their top 3 cornerbacks, Drew brees will be throwing to his talented cast of receivers facing a bunch of 3rd string cornerbacks. Also the rams haven't beaten anybody decent all season. Personally, I think it will be a blowout. The rams are about the same caliber team as Seattle and Saints beat Seattle by 15 points

As far as Pittsburg goes, the bengals have lost like 8 games in a row, the steelers need this game way more than the bengals do so I think it's a VERY safe bet as well

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by daneault23

Okay so I did the home favs of -7 or greater anyways, and so far this year they are about 89-11 SU, being undefeated at 22-0 so far this month. The only reason I picked -7 or greater as a requirement was that's a minimum of 3 possession lead, so I figured that would be good enough to start tracking from there. It might be even worth it to look at smaller ML's (maybe 4 or 5 even) but I just picked 7 just because. So overall this season, I have favorites home or away of 7 or greater at 109-12 89%, and exclusively home favs of 7 or greater at 89-11, also at 89%. However, these numbers are just game by game basis, not taking into account parlaying them. I feel the only days where you should parlay is when there are a bunch of games on a night, and look at matchups and be selective.

see I think you can do a lot better than 89% if you really pick your spots correctly

for example, out of those 11 losses, I guarantee you that the majority of them were teams who weren't really playing that well. The Heat lost to the pacers when the pacers were a 10 point underdog, but the Heat weren't playing well at all at that point. You would have been crazy to put that bet in your parlay simply because of how poorly the Heat were playing. Same thing when the Lakers played the Pacers

generally speaking, if you pick your spots and play good teams vs bad teams (in situations where the good team has been playing very well in their last 5-10 games), your odds there are something like 95-99%

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 06:36 PM

I tend to agree with you on NO, especially because it's in the superdome. Pitt just has letdown written all over it to me, though. The Steelers are so banged up, and the Bengals are better than their record shows. There's a lot of talent on CIN (as weird as it is to list TO, Ocho cinco, and Benson as talent...), plus shipley, gresham, and a pretty solid secondary.

Do I think Pitt will win? yeah, I really do. But not enough to put money on it. But Pitt has a bad past Nov/Dec record, and last year they lost to the 2-7 chiefs, 3-8 raiders, and 1-11 browns. And they were definitely a better team last year than they are this year (at this point, at least).

3 teamer tomorrow: ATL/SD/NO should be money. I personally have ATL/SD/GB, but I might add a second with NO.

**daneault23** · 12-11-10, 06:36 PM

So for tonight's NBA, I parlayed Boston, Chicago, and Miami

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 06:37 PM

Boston and Chicago scare me, but I have that same bet. BOL to us

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by daneault23

So for tonight's NBA, I parlayed Boston, Chicago, and Miami

I think the Rockets who have won 4 straight at home facing Cleveland who has lost 8 straight on the road by an average margin of 17 points is a much safer bet than Boston. BOL but I personally hate taking road games unless it's a great team playing an awful team (the heat vs kings tonight).

speaking of which, you are not including the Heat in your parlay?

Originally posted by haserfauld

I tend to agree with you on NO, especially because it's in the superdome. Pitt just has letdown written all over it to me, though. The Steelers are so banged up, and the Bengals are better than their record shows. There's a lot of talent on CIN (as weird as it is to list TO, Ocho cinco, and Benson as talent...), plus shipley, gresham, and a pretty solid secondary.

cincinatti has 1 road win this year though and it was against an atrocious Carolina team

their season is finished and they have nothing to play for. No way in hell will they beat a good pittsburg team with a great defense playing at home that REALLY needs a win. Steelers also beat this team on the road earlier this year by 6 points. Steelers roll in this one

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 06:55 PM

I agree with the analysis, but I won't touch it. Just looks like a trap to me...

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by haserfauld

I agree with the analysis, but I won't touch it. Just looks like a trap to me...

don't do a parlay though

do a 7 point teaser, this is what I'm doing

7 point teaser

Dallas/Cowboys O 44.5 (this is the easiest bet of the week, Mike Vick facing atrocious dallas defense, red hot dallas offense facing mediocre eagles defense playing WITHOUT asante Samuel)
NO -1.5
GB 0
ATL -.5
Chargers - 2.5

this is a GREAT payout...like +330 and they are all VERY sure bets IMO

the cowboys/eagles game will likely have 60+ points BTW, at 44.5, that's a near guarantee

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

don't do a parlay though

do a 7 point teaser, this is what I'm doing

7 point teaser

Dallas/Cowboys O 44.5 (this is the easiest bet of the week, Mike Vick facing atrocious dallas defense, red hot dallas offense facing mediocre eagles defense playing WITHOUT asante Samuel)
NO -1.5
GB 0
ATL -.5
Chargers - 2.5

this is a GREAT payout...like +330 and they are all VERY sure bets IMO

the cowboys/eagles game will likely have 60+ points BTW, at 44.5, that's a near guarantee

I actually really like that. depending how the NBA goes tonight, I'll probably hit that.

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by haserfauld

I actually really like that. depending how the NBA goes tonight, I'll probably hit that.

some more discussion on the eagles game

the eagles with Mike Vick average about 35 points per game...however their defense without Asante Samuel is VERY shaky. You saw them give up 24 points and a bunch of yards to the Texans at home last week and 31 points in the game before that to the Bears offense

the cowboys have averaged 33 points per game with Jason Garett, however their defense has continued to be awful (29 ppg allowed on the season)

the projected score in this one will be 37-33 Eagles....and the line on that teaser is only 44.5. They may cover that in the first half

**RDWHAHB** · 12-11-10, 07:46 PM

brahmabull117, do you mind if I post my parlays/teasers here just for record keeping? There wont be many of them. I'm just gonna try this for a bit with small bets.

Parlay (+513)

Boston Celtics -170 for 1st Quarter (credit to SJ) W
Chicago Bulls -550 for Game W
Houston Rockets -400 for Game W
Miami Heat -200 for 1st Quarter (credit to SJ) L
Detroit Pistons -135 for Game (1H ML prolly would have be safer) L

Weak for posting after Celtics 1Q, I know. Will post proof for this if I continue. Does not follow brahmabull117's method (Celtics away, Miami away, Pistons not strong bet).

Result: 0-1 -1.0 units

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by RDWHAHB

brahmabull117, do you mind if I post my parlays/teasers here just for record keeping? There wont be many of them. I'm just gonna try this for a bit with small bets. Parlay (+513) Boston Celtics -170 for 1st Quarter (credit to SJ) Chicago Bulls -550 for Game Houston Rockets -400 for Game Miami Heat -200 for 1st Quarter (credit to SJ) Detroit Pistons -135 for Game (1H ML prolly would have be safer) Weak for posting after Celtics 1Q, I know. Will post proof for this if I continue. Does not follow brahmabull117's method (Celtics away, Miami away, Pistons not strong bet).

pistons?? the pistons??

the pistons??

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 07:49 PM

seriously. I hope the pistons don't kill you man.

**haserfauld** · 12-11-10, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

some more discussion on the eagles game

the eagles with Mike Vick average about 35 points per game...however their defense without Asante Samuel is VERY shaky. You saw them give up 24 points and a bunch of yards to the Texans at home last week and 31 points in the game before that to the Bears offense

the cowboys have averaged 33 points per game with Jason Garett, however their defense has continued to be awful (29 ppg allowed on the season)

the projected score in this one will be 37-33 Eagles....and the line on that teaser is only 44.5. They may cover that in the first half

Yeah, I'm definitely playing this. +350 at my book, and i get the over at 43.5

**BookiesBernanke** · 12-11-10, 09:08 PM

Good job Boston!!!

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 09:13 PM

great job by detroit there

that should be a pretty sweet payout for rdwhahb

**RDWHAHB** · 12-11-10, 09:43 PM

Great 1H by Detroit anyway.

**RDWHAHB** · 12-11-10, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by RDWHAHB

Detroit Pistons -135 for Game (1H ML prolly would have been safer)

2H implosions are a Detroit specialty

**curious** · 12-11-10, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by curious

Saturday, Dec 11
Some friends of mine and I made a big pile of money using this approach in years past in both NBA and NCAAB. We used to run a thread here on SBR but we all faded away at some point. I'm up early today feeding the squirrels.

Here is one I like today:
+120 $1000 to win $1200
Chicago -500
Detroit 1H -120

Winner Winner +$1200

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 10:57 PM

holy fukking shit

the pistons failed to cover after being up like 30 points in the 3rd quarter??

**andywend** · 12-11-10, 11:04 PM

It doesn't matter what system you use:

Betting on the "buns" is hazardous to your bankroll.

Unless you're betting on college BB totals involving the lesser known teams and really know what you're doing, you'll wind up a big loser at the end of the year if you're betting baskets.

The best thing that could happen is if the NBA owners finally get fed up and tell the players union to go fluck themselves. Tell those smelly players that the max salary is $250,000/annually (and only for the Kobe Bryant's/Lebron James/etc) and if they don't like it, they can go play in Turkey.

It would be wonderful if the NBA folded and its a shame the Donaghy scandal didn't bring down the whole disgusting league.

Betting baseball is great
Betting football is great
Betting baskets is about as fun as getting extensive rootcanal without any novacaine.