Venom's NBA Betting System (Season Long Thread)

[XxVenomxX]

NBA SYSTEM 0-0
NBA O/U 0-0

Wad up everyone? I'm new here on SBR and thought I'd share with you all this system I have been using for quite some time and has been pretty successful. Chances are some of you probably already know it, but for those of you who don't here's how it works...

Here are 3 basic rules for the system:
-It CAN'T be the second of a back-to-back game
-Teams cannot have any injured starters
-You CAN'T use any 10 point or plus spreads

First, compile the winning percentages of every team then you’ll be able to start working out the calculations to see if there are any games worth betting on for the given day. For example lets say the Hornets are playing the Lakers. New Orleans winning percentage is .700 and Los Angeles is .300. Then you need to find the difference in the percentages which in this case is .400. You then take 400(or whatever the difference is) and divide it by 20. 400/20=20. So for right now the Hornets should be 20pt favorites against the Lakers. From here you would either add 3 or subtract 3 from the current line depending on if the Hornets were playing at home or away. (At home it would be NOH -23, away NOH -17). Once you have completed this formula you then go look at the actual spread of the game and if there is a difference of 10 or more you have a bet. So for our example if the point spread for the Hornets is 10 you’d take 23 and take away 10 which leaves 13. This would mean the Hornets are a good bet.

I also have a VERY easy system to follow on picking over/under's in the NBA. All you do is everyday pick the under in the lowest point total game (which today would have been under 184.5 Heat/Bucks which cashed in).

I'll post all my plays everyday. Good luck to all of you here on SBR, hope you have a successful season. Thanks for reading and be sure to shoot me a friend request. BOL

[erkamatating]

very nice write up.....

[XxVenomxX]

very nice write up.....

Thanks for following, best of luck to you this season

[XxVenomxX]

So after running some numbers today it looks like there are some games that do fit in the system, so lets get right too it.

(=1unit=$10)
*Denver Nuggets -1.5 units
I know the Denver Nuggets haven't been the most impressive team on the road, but I like them to cover against a struggling Bobcats team who have lost 4 of there last 5 to the Nuggets. Denver should come out playing with some fire to try and get George Karl his 1,000th Career win, and increase there streak to 8wins in a row. This line may appear as a "trap" game but according to my system Denver covers, but maybe not as easy as everyone expects them too.
*Dallas Mavericks -9 units
The Dallas Mavericks continue to roll, but surprisingly, its their defense that has been the catalyst.
The Mavericks will look to extend their winning streak to 10 games and make it four straight victories against the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night. Dallas (16-4) continues to play outstanding defense, allowing 92.2 points per game while limiting opponents to 43.1 percent shooting (both among the best marks in the league).

*Under 185.5 Hawks/Nets unit

These are the 3 system plays of the day. Planning on adding more games to my ticket, I'll let you know what I do after I do some research. BOL to everyone tonight

[XxVenomxX]

Going to go ahead and add one more game to my ticket. I usually like to bet against the public's biggest bet of the night which is the Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail-Blazers tonight...
Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail-Blazers
Line opened up at: POR -3
Current Line: POR -2.5
On the Spread: PHX 82%, POR 18%
MoneyLine: PHX 82%, POR 18%

Adding to my ticket: Blazers -2.5 units

(NOTE: This is not a system pick)

[XxVenomxX]

Going to add 2 More games to my ticket tonight:
Detroit Pistons +7 unit
Washington Wizards +12.5 unit

Updated Ticket for 12/7/10
System Plays:
Nuggets -1.5 2units
Mavericks -9 2units
Under 185.5 Hawks/Nets 1unit
Non-System Plays:
Blazers -2.5 2units
Pistons +7 1unit
Wizards +12.5 1unit

BOL to Everyone tonight
LETS GET THAT MONEY

[XxVenomxX]

NBA System 0-2 -4units
NBA O/U 0-1 -1unit
My NBA Picks 2-1 +2units

Not a very good night for the system to say the least.. Going to go crunch some #'s and see if there are any games worth playing tonight.

[RICOCHE6868]

What would be your fixed for full achievement today

[XxVenomxX]

Decided I'm gonna switch it up for today because there are no games that fit the system. Today is going to be all about betting against the public..Here are the games I like most for tonight:
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls
Line opened up at: Chicago -6.5
Current Line: Chicago -7.5
On the Spread: CHI 62%, CLE 38%
Moneyline: CHI 67%, CLE 33%
Play: Cavs +7.5 units

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota T'Wolves
Over/Under opened up at: 218
Current line: 217
Who everyone's on: Over 71%, Under 29%
Play: Under 217 units

Washington Wizards @ Sacramento Kings
Over/Under opened up at: 198.5
Current line: 203.5
Who everyone's on: Over 67%, Under 33%
Play: Under 203.5 units

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota T'Wolves
Line opened up at: OKC -5
Current Line: OKC -5.5
On the Spread: OKC 67%, MIN 33%
Moneyline: OKC 63%, MIN 37%
Play: MIN +5.5 unit

Time to take a little break..What do you guys think about the Heat/Jazz tonight? I really like the Jazz, but I just don't know if I can bet against DWade and LeBron with how they've been playing..