[WillyBoy]

There was a slight improvement last week in the projected/actual score differential over the previous week - which is great because I was half expecting the model to just blow up. Tracking injury and rest management is slowly becoming a nightmare job, however. You blink and suddenly two starters are in street clothes, so following insider feeds for the teams you follow is crucial.

Totals last week went a lousy 25-25-1; and although, for now, I’ll still post O/U projections and provisional picks, if the season win % drops any further I’ll call it a failed experiment and knock it off.

PS. Have to carefully watch tonight’s Denver/New Orleans matchup. I like Denver if Murray plays. If not, the line will decide my bet.

GLTA

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

Just scratch WAS @ DET. A little wind and rain kept the Pistons in Dallas.

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

I’ve been tweaking and fussing with totals’ projections for, like, forever; and, while the above score projections also have some tweaking for totals embedded with the algorithm, I’ve been running with a slightly different calculation which is, so far, a tad better.

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]