I finally got the highlighting of the SU winner and MOV to work. These numbers do not change; but, as the spread lines may fluctuate the final ATS pick often changes – and it is this final pick which counts in the ATS season record and, along with the SU record, reflects the models’ reliability. However, if you find these projections useful at all, remember it is the projected SU winner and MOV that should guide your wagering, NOT the projected ATS winners, as these flip frequently, depending on line movement.
Although the MOV/MOL score differential continues to slowly climb (now at 9.665% for the season), it’s good to see that projected score totals are hitting at a better than expected 55.7% against the closing O/U lines. Naturally, that – in large part – only means that Vegas line setters and the market forces which pressure changes, are giving the model easier targets, but it’s better than losing – LOL.
Excellent job Willy, you're really hitting on some of these. What I like about playing the points is you take you loss like a man on the Bucks game but on the Hawks game you bet down to the low 220's like the projection says and you win +200 bets. Being 4-3 on the totals doesn't tell you the story when the model correctly predicts games 15-20 points lower and you score on 3 out of 4 bets with +200 odds or higher.