scotts NBA system plays

[scottel]

Scott if you are now going to filter using opp conferences, does that apply only to the first game of the 3 game series?

no ,will still do ABC...BC if needed.......so if Clev loses ATS I will bet next game on CLEV.......last yr I only did opp conf.......this yr I noticed the same/mixed was doing well and started betting it, of course it had several series losers recently so decided to just keep tracking it and not play it

so in the end I am only playing opp conf rd trips using the +/- 500 criteria, i.e. bet on +500 and against under 500....and rd trip must be at least 3 games.....hope that clears it up

[doubledime]

Thanks Scott What i meant was, let's say the first game of a 3 game road trip is an op conf., but the second or third game my be with a team in the same conference. Do you start the system, or wait until all 3 games are in op conf?

[scottel]

all 3 opp conf.........if its long trip and first 4 are opp and last 2 are same its not completely opp trip but with first 3 or 4 opp is good enough since we dont go past 3 games anyway

[scottel]

1-1 yesterday, both A bets.........no opp conf today

Houston would be play on mixed/same (against NY)....not doing well

Dallas (A) and OKC (B) would be plays on +500 team on homestand....these are 31-2 on series wins/losses

[scottel]

have Dallas -7- and OKC -8- if anyone playing the homestand....will grade results on those lines

[scottel]

JAN 10

opp conf........Clev -5- B.....LAL -9- A

have to admit not fond of Lakers

[scottel]

ok, 2-0 on sunday, win a B and an A to close out two series.....no opp conf today

+500 home team at home 3 gms or more has two plays if anyone following

OKC -5 C bet Utah -7- ....A bet........the homestand series have had 35 series and 2 losses so 33-2 on series so far

[Stealinhome]

nice night

[scottel]

thx Stealin

[scottel]

Jan 12

opp conf.....play ON Orl -4 A bet

same /mixed...........play on Mem....A bet.....posting for tracking purposes,,,would not play since not doing well

[Stealinhome]

Jan 12

opp conf.....play ON Orl -4 A bet

same /mixed...........play on Mem....A bet.....posting for tracking purposes,,,would not play since not doing well

IMHO Mem is a great bet tonight for other reasons...

[scottel]

Orl cashes last night on A bet......opp conf series now 28-1

PHX is technically in mixed trip starting today but first 3 games are vs opp conf.......just listing and anyone can decide if they want to play it

homestand has 4 games today A Htn and Atl.....B on Dallas and Den........the +500 home series is 35-2 on series so far ( 37 series, 2 C losses)

[scottel]

nothing tonight.....here is update since slow day in NBA

opp conf only.....A 19-9-1....B....6-4...C 3-1......series 28-1
Homestand +500 team....A...19-20....B....12-8....C 5-2 ( Dallas pending) series 37-2
mix/same conf......A 21-21-1.....B...14-7.....C....3-5.....(phx pending) series 37-5

[scottel]

ok opp conf play JAN 15

PHIL -3 (against SAC)

homestand.....C Dallas -5....B.....Htn -4-

mix/same B Phx

[scottel]

Phx was +5-

[dogs1972]

rough nite

[scottel]

posting and tracking same/mix and homestand........playing opp conf which won with Phil....homestand still doing well but not same/mix as advised in earlier post to steer clear but will keep tracking

[scottel]

JAN 17

opp conf..........Dallas -2 A bet

[NJrookie]

Damn , I was ready to bet Tor+2 . Need to re-analyze . Thanks for posting Scottel .

[bustabook]

scotty, have you tried using your same theories.. with ATS records > .500 and AGAINST ATS records < .500?

I have no statistical backing on this, but in my mind a team can be < .500 outright and still be + .500 ATS.. which is what you are actually wagering on.

Just a though, nice work here.

[scottel]

JAN 18..........opp conf

PORT A bet NL yet
GST pk A bet
LAC A bet NL yet
DALLAS B bet NL yet

will not be able to post lines later, will grade on closing line today

[scottel]

scotty, have you tried using your same theories.. with ATS records > .500 and AGAINST ATS records < .500?

I have no statistical backing on this, but in my mind a team can be < .500 outright and still be + .500 ATS.. which is what you are actually wagering on.

Just a though, nice work here.

have not checked that yet

[bsimp3021]

same thinking here, why would you bet on a team that is horrible ATS, regardless of record?

[peterpan19]

lonesmaker tries to end the year for every team with an ATS record of .500...

[scottel]

same thinking here, why would you bet on a team that is horrible ATS, regardless of record?

weel we r betting on +500 team on rd, most likely a good ats team and AGAINST under 500 team so most likely bad ATS....like I said have not checked , did well last yr using this method regardless of ats nbr

[scottel]

Port +2 lost
LAC -8
DAllas +5

just home form work, could not post nbrs earlier

[bustabook]

scottel... you are definately doing something right. i wasn't trying to change anything, just throwing out a suggestion.

[rfr3sh]

whats your total units +/-

[scottel]

scottel... you are definately doing something right. i wasn't trying to change anything, just throwing out a suggestion.

no problem....just looked at today....port had + ats record.....dallas does on rd....NJ and Chi are neg on ats , playing against them today

[scottel]

whats your total units +/-

have to decide your own unit....25 50 100 etc since 3 gm chase....since u have to figure what your final bet would be to cover 2 losses + unit profit if it gets to 3 rd bet....anyway the opp conf figures are

gm1 or A bet 20-10-1 ......3 A bets today

gm2 or B bet 6-4...........B bet pending tonight on Dallas

gm3 or c bet 3-1

for arguments sake if u bet 100 as unit then there have been 31 series so far (total A bets)....1 C bet loss so series are 30-1.....30x100 =3000 - 826 ( one series loss is -826 using 100 as unit) so 3000-826 =+2174 or 21.74 units

[scottel]

u could just flat bet ( if u dont like the risk) and would be 29-15 +1250 betting 110 win 100....less profit but less risk also

[scottel]

if Mavs hang on will be nice 3-1 day

[doubledime]

Dallas was nice. Keep up the winning Scott

[scottel]

closed out three series yesterday 2 on A and one on the B.....one series pending with Port

[Busterflywheel]

closed out three series yesterday 2 on A and one on the B.....one series pending with Port

So whats your Overall record ? Looks like your making some great picks none the less