1K to 10K via NBA Moneylines

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  • Patrickk_b
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-18-09
    • 266

    #1
    1K to 10K via NBA Moneylines
    Say you have 5 apple pies. The Apple pie man has told you to put those 5 apple pies on the table and he will give you a free apple pie. this means that the amount of apple pies you have is now 6 apple pies. That is basically apple pies growing on trees, it is that easy.

    I've crunched some numbers and I have noticed that nba moneylines applies to the apple pie theory. If I just parlay 2 sure thing moneylines, I am guaranteed to win. I am going to turn 1000 into 10000 in this thread and buy myself a years supply of apple pies.

    Rules:
    $1000 starting balance.
    $500 minimum bet on money line plays.

    #1. Parlay
    NBA: Atlanta Hawks
    Soccer: Chelsea to score
    Risk 500 to win 135

    This is easy money. Keep stressing over those ATS bets while I cruise towards a 1000% profit. Don't tell me I will lose, because these are . I have already spent the 135 in anticipation of the bet winning.
  • TheChancellor
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-29-09
    • 323

    #2
    Great picks, but I can't stand when people are cocky about their bets. You could have been a bit more modest about them. I'd watch out for that soccer game. GL.
    Comment
    • Skyline
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-30-09
      • 493

      #3
      Originally posted by Patrickk_b
      Say you have 5 apple pies. The Apple pie man has told you to put those 5 apple pies on the table and he will give you a free apple pie. this means that the amount of apple pies you have is now 6 apple pies. That is basically apple pies growing on trees, it is that easy.

      I've crunched some numbers and I have noticed that nba moneylines applies to the apple pie theory. If I just parlay 2 sure thing moneylines, I am guaranteed to win. I am going to turn 1000 into 10000 in this thread and buy myself a years supply of apple pies.

      Rules:
      $1000 starting balance.
      $500 minimum bet on money line plays.

      #1. Parlay
      NBA: Atlanta Hawks
      Soccer: Chelsea to score
      Risk 500 to win 135

      This is easy money. Keep stressing over those ATS bets while I cruise towards a 1000% profit. Don't tell me I will lose, because these are . I have already spent the 135 in anticipation of the bet winning.
      ,

      I tried the same way as you do fella it's not a safe way... Post all of your tickets here so we can watch them out... Beware at soccer, sometimes it happens incredible things especially in Premier Leauge... But Chelsea is a machine, you are going to win this one...... Good luck...
      Comment
      • BernardMadoff
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-12-09
        • 6679

        #4
        Originally posted by Patrickk_b
        Say you have 5 apple pies. The Apple pie man has told you to put those 5 apple pies on the table and he will give you a free apple pie. this means that the amount of apple pies you have is now 6 apple pies. That is basically apple pies growing on trees, it is that easy.

        I've crunched some numbers and I have noticed that nba moneylines applies to the apple pie theory. If I just parlay 2 sure thing moneylines, I am guaranteed to win. I am going to turn 1000 into 10000 in this thread and buy myself a years supply of apple pies.

        Rules:
        $1000 starting balance.
        $500 minimum bet on money line plays.

        #1. Parlay
        NBA: Atlanta Hawks
        Soccer: Chelsea to score
        Risk 500 to win 135

        This is easy money. Keep stressing over those ATS bets while I cruise towards a 1000% profit. Don't tell me I will lose, because these are . I have already spent the 135 in anticipation of the bet winning.
        Thats why the payouts suffer in contrast to the wager, divide 135 into 500. It divides not quite 4 times. Ok, if the Grizz played Atlanta 4 times, at Atlanta's home, the Grizz would probably win one of those, not to mention your other bet, in reality its not a winning strategy, but I myself do it too, its gambling for sure. Besides, the Grizz could just win tonight, but I hope they lose for your sake, good luck.
        Comment
        • shock11
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-16-08
          • 838

          #5
          keep dreaming
          Comment
          • lyon804
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-02-09
            • 6526

            #6
            First off let me say that I am not to smart for responding to this?? Here we go!! Are you kidding?? Do you think it's really that easy and you are the first person on earth to think of that?? Hell, if it was that easy nobody would have a job, we would just bet like you are and win easy money. You have to be a young guy to be that damn stupid and naive or at least very inexperienced. Let me give you some advice... Parlaying ML is a -EV bet generally speaking. I myself do them from time to time when I am getting good odds and have multiple teams that I am actually getting back + money,not - money. I never have been under the illusioin I was going to quit my day job parlaying ML. Good luck to you in your quest. Remember the amount of money you are betting in relation to where you started don't leave any room for error to get to $10,000. You might get to $500 or $600 or maybe a $1,000, but I doubt you run the table in your quest for $10,000.... However, if you do I will let you phuck my mother in law. She is pretty hot.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              not that i dont think atl is gonna win but mem has been playing good ball and if you make these big nba ml bets day after day your not gonna have any apples for your pie
              Comment
              • TWEETS
                SBR MVP
                • 10-22-08
                • 2114

                #8
                You know anything about Chelsea or just threw it in for shits and giggles?
                Comment
                • LLXC
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-10-06
                  • 8972

                  #9
                  NBA might be one of the more crazier things to ML.
                  Comment
                  • BebeRebozo
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-28-08
                    • 2094

                    #10
                    Don't do it. At least an odd should nearly double up your stake. Memphis is a loose cannon.

                    Chelsea will do it (I think +2,5 goals at home). Last clash:
                    03.03.2009 -> Premier League: Portsmouth FC 0:1 Chelsea
                    This season:
                    Shooting 2,88 goals at home / 0,5 conceding
                    Portsmouth shooting 0,5 on the road / 1,5 conceding

                    I think with betting on low odds there's no balance in the long term. Fixed stakes and "fixed" odds are more solid.
                    Straight bets for the start with some sort of calculated regression-strategy are working for me. Parlays just for fun (soccer) with very low stakes. Best of luck though. Make your own experience. If it fits for you, it's cool. Try it out but always remember days like 22.04.2009 (Chelsea 0:0 Everton)


                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94379

                      #11
                      Originally posted by lyon804
                      First off let me say that I am not to smart for responding to this?? Here we go!! Are you kidding?? Do you think it's really that easy and you are the first person on earth to think of that?? Hell, if it was that easy nobody would have a job, we would just bet like you are and win easy money. You have to be a young guy to be that damn stupid and naive or at least very inexperienced. Let me give you some advice... Parlaying ML is a -EV bet generally speaking. I myself do them from time to time when I am getting good odds and have multiple teams that I am actually getting back + money,not - money. I never have been under the illusioin I was going to quit my day job parlaying ML. Good luck to you in your quest. Remember the amount of money you are betting in relation to where you started don't leave any room for error to get to $10,000. You might get to $500 or $600 or maybe a $1,000, but I doubt you run the table in your quest for $10,000.... However, if you do I will let you phuck my mother in law. She is pretty hot.


                      Comment
                      • vietgamble
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-01-09
                        • 115

                        #12
                        Just take your $1000 and do straight bets only. at the end of the month you will do better than parly money line.
                        Good luck man!
                        Comment
                        • jcljack25
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-12-08
                          • 619

                          #13
                          Originally posted by lyon804
                          First off let me say that I am not to smart for responding to this?? Here we go!! Are you kidding?? Do you think it's really that easy and you are the first person on earth to think of that?? Hell, if it was that easy nobody would have a job, we would just bet like you are and win easy money. You have to be a young guy to be that damn stupid and naive or at least very inexperienced. Let me give you some advice... Parlaying ML is a -EV bet generally speaking. I myself do them from time to time when I am getting good odds and have multiple teams that I am actually getting back + money,not - money. I never have been under the illusioin I was going to quit my day job parlaying ML. Good luck to you in your quest. Remember the amount of money you are betting in relation to where you started don't leave any room for error to get to $10,000. You might get to $500 or $600 or maybe a $1,000, but I doubt you run the table in your quest for $10,000.... However, if you do I will let you phuck my mother in law. She is pretty hot.
                          If that is your mother in law in the picture, Ill give you the $10k, let me in.
                          Comment
                          • LLXC
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-10-06
                            • 8972

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • lyon804
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-02-09
                              • 6526

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jcljack25
                              If that is your mother in law in the picture, Ill give you the $10k, let me in.
                              No. Not my mother in law.It's my wifey! I took that picture of her at halloween in our study. She's not on the market, but I will nominate her mother. Her mother is not bad at all.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Patrickk_b
                                Say you have 5 apple pies. The Apple pie man has told you to put those 5 apple pies on the table and he will give you a free apple pie. this means that the amount of apple pies you have is now 6 apple pies. That is basically apple pies growing on trees, it is that easy. I've crunched some numbers and I have noticed that nba moneylines applies to the apple pie theory. If I just parlay 2 sure thing moneylines, I am guaranteed to win. I am going to turn 1000 into 10000 in this thread and buy myself a years supply of apple pies. Rules: $1000 starting balance. $500 minimum bet on money line plays. #1. Parlay NBA: Atlanta Hawks Soccer: Chelsea to score [color=#000000]Risk 500 to win 135 [/COLOR] This is easy money. Keep stressing over those ATS bets while I cruise towards a 1000% profit. Don't tell me I will lose, because these are . I have already spent the 135 in anticipation of the bet winning.
                                Thank you for the Bet, and the additional comments. Now you have let us know not to take you seriously.
                                Comment
                                • lyon804
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-02-09
                                  • 6526

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                  Thank you for the Bet, and the additional comments. Now you have let us know not to take you seriously.
                                  Agreed!
                                  Comment
                                  • og4667
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-17-09
                                    • 2438

                                    #18
                                    when I first started gambling I was doing ML parlays with 3-4 teams for home teams in the NBA of -400 or more. Started out great and I thought I was onto something until I realized that risk just isn't worth the reward. Sure you are winning and your % might be great but if you were to loose today then you would have to win roughly 4-5 bets just to get your money back. This is the lazy way of gambling and if you take time to study the games you should have more sucess. Listen to guys like Lyon, Houli, Lakerboy, 2dabank, etc...they are giving you solid advice.
                                    Comment
                                    • CarloTwoGuns
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-09
                                      • 1024

                                      #19
                                      This will fail
                                      Comment
                                      • JGuer04
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-27-09
                                        • 226

                                        #20
                                        yea man this is not the way to go i tried it myself when i first started betting and because of the fact that the return is so low you have have to win alot of bets just to win the amount your risking (500 or so)and you can win 5 bets and be at 500 and all it takes is one loss and your back to square one its a way to keep you interested in the games but not to profit from them im still new to this but found that doing research on games and picking 1 or 2 solid plays a day or even a week will return you far more in the end i mean i hope you achieve your goal but i dont know anyone with a 100% winning record over and extended period of time especially betting parlays that almost makes me laugh because i think every bettor knows that parlays are what put us in the hole we would have been better off betting straight up that way in your 2 teamers atleast if you win one lose one you break even depending on the odds gl man just my 2 cents
                                        Comment
                                        • Razz_Donkey
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-27-08
                                          • 1756

                                          #21
                                          As much as I am rooting for you here, you are giving up so much value playing inflated money lines and losing the true mathematical odds by playing it as a parlay that I just don't see this working. You'll need to hit well into the 90% range to profit if you intent to play chalk as big as this. Good luck, nonetheless.
                                          Comment
                                          • spredzgeek
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-02-09
                                            • 128

                                            #22
                                            moneyline

                                            if anyone was paying attention minnesota hit a big moneyline on saturday beating utah!
                                            Comment
                                            • Masu485
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-14-08
                                              • 7700

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by lyon804
                                              First off let me say that I am not to smart for responding to this?? Here we go!! Are you kidding?? Do you think it's really that easy and you are the first person on earth to think of that?? Hell, if it was that easy nobody would have a job, we would just bet like you are and win easy money.
                                              While I totally agree with you that it's NOT that easy and that this is a longterm losing strategy, I do disagree with the statement that if it were that easy to make money then no one would have a job. I 100% think that even if there was a winning strategy, no one from 'regular society' (non-bettors) would want to hear it because it is associated with gambling, and would just shut their ears and say no no no, and would continue on with their regular jobs.
                                              Comment
                                              • NardVa
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-02-07
                                                • 8325

                                                #24
                                                Big ML favs probably do win most of the time but there is always that one game you never se coming like Minnesota beating Utah in Utah. Or a few weeks back when the Raiders beat Pitt in Pitt.
                                                Comment
                                                • BernardMadoff
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-12-09
                                                  • 6679

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by NardVa
                                                  Big ML favs probably do win most of the time but there is always that one game you never se coming like Minnesota beating Utah in Utah. Or a few weeks back when the Raiders beat Pitt in Pitt.
                                                  Exactly, which means you would need to win at least 4 out of 5 times every time to even show a little profit. That means 8 out of 10. If you lose anymore than that just one extra loss then youre broke if youre doing single bets.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Patrickk_b
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-18-09
                                                    • 266

                                                    #26
                                                    I look forward to failing. It's worth a shot isn't it. You guys can track me and laugh at me when I lose everything, but it's going to be interesting nevertheless. It will only take me 3 bets to win or regain the 500 so it isn't too difficult.

                                                    --------------------
                                                    #1. Parlay
                                                    NBA: Atlanta Hawks
                                                    Soccer: Chelsea to score
                                                    Risk 500 to win 135
                                                    Result: Pending

                                                    #2. Parlay
                                                    NBA: Utah Jazz
                                                    NCAAB: Mississippi State
                                                    Risk 500 to win 210
                                                    Result: Pending
                                                    --------------------

                                                    Just clearing things up. only backing teams that are -9 or greater ATS. I can only recall 1 or 2 major upsets in the NBA this month. Lets see what happens

                                                    Originally posted by shock11
                                                    keep dreaming



                                                    Originally posted by lyon804
                                                    First off let me say that I am not to smart for responding to this?? Here we go!! Are you kidding?? Do you think it's really that easy and you are the first person on earth to think of that?? Hell, if it was that easy nobody would have a job, we would just bet like you are and win easy money. You have to be a young guy to be that damn stupid and naive or at least very inexperienced. However, if you do I will let you phuck my mother in law. She is pretty hot.


                                                    Im not kidding. If I lose than so be it, Live and learn for the future ... You have given me extra motivation though. Thanks

                                                    Originally posted by TWEETS
                                                    You know anything about Chelsea or just threw it in for shits and giggles?


                                                    Portsmouth (last in the epl) up against a Chelsea who 'must win' to stay top playing at Stamford. Goals were a certainty. However, I won't do any more Soccer bets as their is not enough value betting on ML's given the unpredictability of the sport.

                                                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                    Thank you for the Bet, and the additional comments. Now you have let us know not to take you seriously.


                                                    Clearly a joke and to stir stuff up regarding the 'Guaranteed' crap. I don't expect anyone to take that seriously though. It's a trend that seems to happen a lot at SBR, all those guaranteed locks and game of the century threads started every day must have got to me.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DOMINATER
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 3698

                                                      #27
                                                      I knew a bb rebosa are you that cat.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        no1 is rooting for you to fail. ppl are just trying to share something you clearly lack. experience. sometimes its wise to listen to ppl who have been doing this shit for some time. you said you only recall a couple big favs losing the last month while im not sure on the number it happens more than enough to break you with this strategy. no1s trying to bust your balls just trying to help..gl whatever u decide
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Snowball
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-15-09
                                                          • 30064

                                                          #29
                                                          gl Patrick, but this is not a consistent way to bet. It may work for a period of time, but then it will fall apart. We've done it. We know. It takes battle scars and much trial and error over years to be a consistent profitable handicapper. You can't take the lazy way out.
                                                          You'll see.. but you are using your head, and that's a good start.

                                                          also.. realize that NBA ML plays have a cut-off point. For example Atlanta is -600 tonight on a 10 pt spread. When the line goes higher, ML's are cut off.
                                                          So, many of the true "gimme games" don't even have an ML.
                                                          Another thing about soccer. The separate draws bets are roll killers.
                                                          The strongest Euro soccer bets are over -500 and when the Draw is over +300.

                                                          nothing is free, bud.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JDUB07
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-09-08
                                                            • 1721

                                                            #30
                                                            No way....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HoulihansTX
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-12-09
                                                              • 30566

                                                              #31
                                                              Gl, bro

                                                              But I see this at my local Sportsbook everyday, and those guys look at their parlay card with disgust at the end of the day.

                                                              Learn how to handicap, and slowly chip away to a good amount of money. The books know that people will employ this type of betting, and have deterrents in place like upsets, and high odds.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • corona
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-12-09
                                                                • 722

                                                                #32
                                                                the jazz lost at home to the wolves.

                                                                so did the nuggets.

                                                                both teams are exceptional at home. the wolves are terrible.

                                                                portland lost to memphis, iirc.

                                                                cleveland lost at home to chicago.

                                                                boston's had a few close encounters with the grizzlies.

                                                                no ML is a lock.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MexicanStallion
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-08-08
                                                                  • 20429

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Good luck sir.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BebeRebozo
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-28-08
                                                                    • 2094

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by DOMINATER
                                                                    I knew a bb rebosa are you that cat.
                                                                    No, ya musta b wrung!
                                                                    I got my name from "Down By Law".
                                                                    From that great scene when Tom Waits and John Lurie are in jail:

                                                                    But I'm gonna just say no.
                                                                    I'm gonna just be enjoying
                                                                    the luxury of the car and the girls.
                                                                    And the door's gonna close,
                                                                    and it's just gonna go "click."
                                                                    And there's gonna be
                                                                    music playin'.
                                                                    It's like music
                                                                    I never heard before.
                                                                    And then the car's gonna start up,
                                                                    and it's gonna drive slowly
                                                                    towards the city, very slowly.


                                                                    It's gonna be beautiful, man.

                                                                    Yes.

                                                                    - You're such an asshole.

                                                                    - What?

                                                                    - You're an asshole.

                                                                    - Yeah, why am I an asshole, huh?

                                                                    Why am I an asshole?


                                                                    'Cause you imagine
                                                                    all this insane shit...

                                                                    like you were...
                                                                    Bebe Rebozo or something.


                                                                    Yeah?
                                                                    Who's Bebe Rebozo?

                                                                    Zack, who's Bebe Rebozo?

                                                                    What'd you do on the outside?
                                                                    You were a garbage man, right?

                                                                    I wasn't no garbage man.

                                                                    Well, what'd you do then?

                                                                    - I was a D.J.

                                                                    - What?

                                                                    - I was a D.J.

                                                                    - A music D.J.?


                                                                    - Yeah.

                                                                    - Nah, man. I don't believe it. Really?
                                                                    What station? I listen to the radio.
                                                                    I must have heard you.


                                                                    Shit. WYLD.
                                                                    - Lee Baby Simms.

                                                                    - You're Lee Baby Simms?

                                                                    - No.

                                                                    - Yeah.
                                                                    - You heard of me?

                                                                    - Nope.


                                                                    - F U * K you.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • iceminers26
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-13-08
                                                                      • 15600

                                                                      #35
                                                                      this system will get ugly at some point, big favs will drop at some point on the moneyline, happens every year
                                                                      Comment
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