Monarchs as +7½ road dogs to cool off the Mercury's hot reign on NBA TV

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  • Reload
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-23-08
    • 12250

    #1
    Monarchs as +7½ road dogs to cool off the Mercury's hot reign on NBA TV
    Monarchs as +7½ road dogs to cool off the Mercury's hot reign on NBA TV



    by "Reload" Joe Freda


    Out with the new and in with the old as the Sacramento Monarchs begin play under John Whisenant today when they travel to Phoenix to meet the Mercury.

    Back in 2005, the Sacramento Monarchs reigned supreme in the WNBA as league champions under coach John Whisenant and look to head back in that direction with him taking over the reins again today. Jenny Boucek was not getting it done as head coach in Sacramento and with a once dominant franchise off to a 3-10 start this season, she was relieved of her duties several days ago.

    I am backing the Monarchs as 7.5 point road dogs this afternoon in Phoenix where having Whisenant behind the bench again is a blast from the past sure to give Sacramento a chance of an upset against the Mercury.


    The Monarchs and Mercury have met three times already this season with Phoenix being victorious in two out of three. Both teams had their most recent battle in Sacramento on Saturday as it was the Mercury coming out on top by two after trailing in the first half by double digits. Six players scored in double digits for the Mercury, and Cappie Pondexter had an especially big day going a perfect 13 for 13 from the free throw line.


    However, it is the poor defense of the Mercury that can keep even the worst offensive teams in the league cashing at the betting windows against them. Phoenix averages giving up 89 points a game making them the WNBA’s lowest ranked defense. Even the struggling Monarchs were able to hang 105 points on them Saturday even with ex-coach Boucek still behind the bench for that one and it can only get better today for Sacramento from there.


    With the Mercury riding a four-game winning streak into today, I think the last opponent they would want to see on the court during a weekday afternoon is the Monarchs – in their own gym or otherwise. Sacramento has clearly given the Mercury some of their toughest games in the past couple of months and back in their championship season in 2005, Whisenant led the Monarchs to victory over the Mercury in three out of their four matchups during that year.


    Although Whisenant has mentioned wanting time to change the defensive scheme a little for the Monarchs, he has remained very positive about his team’s chances in the US Airways Center today stating, “I know these players…Eight of them played for me in 2005 and 2006…I know they can do it, and I know they will…I know they’ll fight and claw and they won’t give up.”


    With this attitude, it is clear he is leaving it up to his players to perform big today and impress him in championship fashion as they did years ago.


    Although Sacramento has dropped two in a row, the team has still quietly shown signs of having a good chance on any given day – and in this case it could be a dog day afternoon! Star forward Nicole Powell of the Monarchs had one of her best games of the season so far against Phoenix on Saturday putting in 23 points and kept her amazingly perfect free throw shooting streak this season going at 34 for 34 and made five 3-pointers to especially light things up. The Monarchs also outrebounded the Mercury in that game 41 to 35, including 30 defensive rebounds showing that it could be hard for Phoenix to get second chance points against them. In fact, the Monarchs have only been outrebounded by one opponent all season in 13 games. Combining this with some better coaching and the rest of the season could get them a run at a playoff spot with it all starting today.


    With the battles these two teams have had this season, the oddsmakers and public are expecting another high-scoring battle with the total set at 178.5 today. This is eight points higher than what the total closed at in Saturday’s matchup and it is unusual to see that much of an adjustment. But bookmakers are tired of taking a bath on the over in Phoenix Mercury games so it has to happen. However, I would be a little surprised if the big baskets kept up today for these teams. A weekday afternoon spot in the WNBA can cause some differences for both the home and visiting team in a matchup. The crowd is generally made up of children who are off from school and it can get really noisy even in a half-filled arena.


    When the Mercury recently met the LA Sparks in Phoenix on NBA TV, I recall one of the announcers giving the opinion that today’s game would be the noisiest home game of the year. It is the kind of noise that could affect the concentration of both teams as kids in the crowd will not even care who has the ball when they scream with summer excitement! So look for a few shots to miss here and there, as well as some turnovers. Does it mean the game goes under? As much as I have liked taking unders over the years, any game involving the league’s worse defense and best offense still makes the total a pass at best for me.


    The Phoenix Mercury opened as a 7.5-point favorite at Pinnacle Sports yesterday and the line has stayed at that for the most part as I write this article. I feel the line is at least a point too high here even with both teams heading in opposite directions as of late. Remember that the Monarchs ended up being favored to win at home against Phoenix on Saturday and the game went down to the wire. On paper, it would seem like an 8-point swing is in order with the change in venue for today’s rematch but with it being a weekday afternoon spot and the Monarchs making their coaching change, it should tip the scales a bit in favor of some Sacramento value with the line being this high. Last month, the Monarchs played well in Phoenix and came back to tie the game at the end of regulation down 15 points with only four minutes to go. Although they lost in overtime, the box score itself does not capture these kinds of comebacks and we could see another wild one this afternoon among these conference rivals.


    Get your dose of WNBA “morning sickness” and take the Sacramento Monarchs plus the points on Wednesday afternoon!
  • sweetjones55
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-07-09
    • 5257

    #2
    This line dropped to +6.5 at one point at a lot of places with only 18% backing the Monarchs.
    Scared money don't make money

    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
    Comment
    • Pick'nParlays
      SBR MVP
      • 02-22-08
      • 3134

      #3
      i will buy it to 8
      Comment
      • Reload
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-23-08
        • 12250

        #4
        Originally posted by sweetjones55
        This line dropped to +6.5 at one point at a lot of places with only 18% backing the Monarchs.
        Must have meant a few larger wagers came in on Sacramento, sweet! It doesn't take much to move a WNBA line. Even a single 1K bet at one book is large enough to move the line a point. It's also an afternoon game so the books will be moving the lines a little quicker with the smaller betting window than normal.

        This was written last night and I guess a few out there are seeing this one the same as me!
        Comment
        • Reload
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-23-08
          • 12250

          #5
          Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
          i will buy it to 8
          Good luck, Pick! I usually don't advise buying points but if you can get through the 7, that's better than most point buys.
          Comment
          • specialedbob
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-28-09
            • 169

            #6
            Well, it"s not looking to good for Sacramento.

            "I have one of the cleanest butts in America,Why,because I don't stop wiping until I see red streaks".
            ,
            Special Ed. Bob
            Comment
            • Reload
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-23-08
              • 12250

              #7
              Originally posted by specialedbob
              Well, it"s not looking to good for Sacramento.

              "I have one of the cleanest butts in America,Why,because I don't stop wiping until I see red streaks".
              ,
              Special Ed. Bob
              I am already getting the back door wide open for a cover here in the 4th!
              Comment
              • Euphoria38
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-08
                • 1188

                #8
                I have a feeling Phoenix starts missing all of those 3's they are chucking and making, they usually go cold at the end of periods.
                Comment
                • specialedbob
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-28-09
                  • 169

                  #9
                  It doesn"t matter I won with phoenix.
                  Comment
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