Ive got atl +6.5 wondering if i should hedge for the middle.
WNBA Dating Tips
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cs11787SBR MVP
- 08-26-08
- 1088
#7386Comment -
BLSBR MVP
- 05-11-09
- 4070
#7387looks like the under + SA +2 was the 2nd half play.Good i did't pla anything for the second.. and i won't in the other games. bad night again i guessComment -
BLSBR MVP
- 05-11-09
- 4070
#7388tonight the proof: Line-Movement means almost nothing in WNBAComment -
BLSBR MVP
- 05-11-09
- 4070
#7389i am leaning seattle... who's with me ?Comment -
texhooperSBR Posting Legend
- 01-05-09
- 10001
#7390i played seattle last night. i'm with you.Comment -
PsylenceSBR Sharp
- 05-14-09
- 442
#7391Anyone know if Lauren is playing tonight or not? I heard it was a bit of hit and miss anyone know for sure?Comment -
ValHallaYoungSBR High Roller
- 04-27-09
- 106
#7392dont get compulsive nowComment -
AfroNinja789SBR Rookie
- 05-07-09
- 37
#7393what number did you guys get seattle atComment -
texhooperSBR Posting Legend
- 01-05-09
- 10001
#7394-4.5 for me. it was -4, then the moment before i went to put it in it went up. but i took it anyway, because i live on the edge.Comment -
cuasiSBR Rookie
- 08-24-09
- 45
#739523 secs left! go det!!!Comment -
cs11787SBR MVP
- 08-26-08
- 1088
#7396Wow i called greek to take det 2h to hedge my atl 6.5 and i swear i was like 10 sec late. Shoot meComment -
cuasiSBR Rookie
- 08-24-09
- 45
#7397PushComment -
coronaSBR Wise Guy
- 03-12-09
- 722
#7398**** my mother****ing life.
got it at -4
so now i lose a unit instead of just the juice.
this is the 2nd or third time this has happened. so gay.
and of course the stars/fever game is the one i bought a full point on to get to 149.
yeayeayea, i know i should play everything as they're stated in the project plays. but 80% of the time, that means buying at least a hook, and a lot of times a full point. and if i did that on every project bet....i'd be breaking even or losing money, because we're hitting at 57% or whatever.
im pissed.Comment -
oda11SBR MVP
- 06-05-09
- 3250
#7399Day 75 Monday 8/27/09:
Day Beginning Bankroll - $5554.64
Project Play 8/27/09
Detroit -3.5 -110 $660.00 to win 600.00 2 units WON
San Antonio/Indiana over 149 $660.00 to win $600.00 2 units LOST
Day Ending Bankroll - $5494.64
WNBA Dating Tips Record 59 - 44 -1
YTD Winning Percentage 56.73%
YTD Total: 21.98 units
YTD Profit: 11.98 units
All records updated 8/27/09Comment -
RoagBettorSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-20-09
- 8355
#7400A push is better than a loss, look at the bright side. It could easily have been a loss.Comment -
ztballerSBR MVP
- 08-24-09
- 1007
#7401Isn't the DET game a push?Comment -
NickeliciousSBR MVP
- 05-21-09
- 2647
#7402Rub it in ASAP, oda.
Congrats on the win. I've lost 5 in a row with one ugly push on the project plays. Like Corona said, I don't want to be buying 1/2 points and full points every bet.
You guys glorify in getting the good line and your followers just keep getting bit.Comment -
PortsDaveSBR Sharp
- 06-13-09
- 447
#7403I think i have aged about 10 years watching that Shock match, i hate losing the first project play and then your chasing the second one for a break even day.
Special shout out to CKfor the Detroit 2nd half play, once i saw the
it just had to be played.
Comment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
#7404Suburb Play
Phoenix+4.5 1 point buy
Also playing the Samson15 play
Connecticut+7 with 3 point buyComment -
cuasiSBR Rookie
- 08-24-09
- 45
#7405Push for me. I got it at -4. Can't wait for tomorrow!Comment -
coronaSBR Wise Guy
- 03-12-09
- 722
#7407everyone who got it at -3.5 has a push for the day.
if you got it at -4, you (i) push the detroit and lose the stars/fever bet, meaning a lost unit. at -130, since it was offered at 150 about 30 seconds after the play was released.
very frustrating.Comment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
#7408Get your money on Nickelicious. It's out there just waiting to spendComment -
DomesticSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-10-09
- 6323
#7409Good thing Detroit pulled through, I'm going to play the under 84.5 first half in the LA/Phoenix Game.Comment -
cs11787SBR MVP
- 08-26-08
- 1088
#7410Lets get that money CK. I got Conn +6.5. Hopefully another great middle hedge opportunity will come up.Comment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
#7411Rub it in ASAP, oda.
Congrats on the win. I've lost 5 in a row with one ugly push on the project plays. Like Corona said, I don't want to be buying 1/2 points and full points every bet.
You guys glorify in getting the good line and your followers just keep getting bit.
C'mon, man. I'm one of your followers too. I expected more from you than this. Get your money, man.Comment -
oda11SBR MVP
- 06-05-09
- 3250
#7413Rub it in ASAP, oda.
Congrats on the win. I've lost 5 in a row with one ugly push on the project plays. Like Corona said, I don't want to be buying 1/2 points and full points every bet.
You guys glorify in getting the good line and your followers just keep getting bit.
And I usually, almost always, update the board ASAP, no matter win or lose. So yeh.Comment -
coronaSBR Wise Guy
- 03-12-09
- 722
#7414
in order to get the lines that are released as project plays, you have to have about 5 books with significant amounts of money, and then find the one with the best line for the occasion.....AND bet within 1/2 hour of the project play (which could be released 2 days in advance, or an hour before tip)
if not (if you only have one or two books you bet at, and you don't get your bet in within whatever timeframe), you have to buy points to get the number.
if you don't buy points, you get burned like tonight.
if you do buy points on a majority of the plays (which has been the case this summer for me), then you have to win well over 55% to be making the same profit as the project plays. at 56.73%, that's not happening.
i appreciate what you guys are doing, and you have made $3000 of $2500 in a couple months which is impressive.
but it's increasingly frustrating to tail.Comment -
RoagBettorSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-20-09
- 8355
#7415Minny line has dropped to -2.5 on Bookmaker. So if that's the play for tomorrow, get it now.Comment -
coronaSBR Wise Guy
- 03-12-09
- 722
#7416
wouldn't surprise me one bit to see it drop to -1 or pk by tomorrow sometime.
the last JM C bet moved the line 5.5 points, iirc.Comment -
RoagBettorSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-20-09
- 8355
#7417its the truth. you'll probably go into a rampage over it, calling me names and stuff....but it's true.
in order to get the lines that are released as project plays, you have to have about 5 books with significant amounts of money, and then find the one with the best line for the occasion.....AND bet within 1/2 hour of the project play (which could be released 2 days in advance, or an hour before tip)
if not (if you only have one or two books you bet at, and you don't get your bet in within whatever timeframe), you have to buy points to get the number.
if you don't buy points, you get burned like tonight.
if you do buy points on a majority of the plays (which has been the case this summer for me), then you have to win well over 55% to be making the same profit as the project plays. at 56.73%, that's not happening.
i appreciate what you guys are doing, and you have made $3000 of $2500 in a couple months which is impressive.
but it's increasingly frustrating to tail.
I haven't backtracked it, but I would bet for every time there were 2 plays in a single day, if you did a 2 team/5 pt teaser at -110 you'd be up more than betting these straight (ASSUMING YOU DON'T WANT TO BUY PTS). I will look into that this weekend.Comment -
RoagBettorSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-20-09
- 8355
#7418I don't know, Sacramento sucks and I think Minny will blow them out. But I hope the line keeps going down because I'm playing Minny straight up and heavy.Comment -
SexyMitSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-12-06
- 6139
#7419Minny has lost like 5 in a row. Not one game on the previous rd trip did they win, and the last home stand they lost those 2 as well. So I definately think they are do, cause they still have a shot at the playoffs with as bad as San Antonio has been playing!If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!Comment -
coronaSBR Wise Guy
- 03-12-09
- 722
#7420
if i bought just a half point and the detroit play lost, i'd be down 10% more on that specific play than everyone else. exactly like the over play tonight, which i needed to play at -130 to get the number...which lost, so i lost 20% more than the project play.
if my average juice were -117 (guessing that i have to buy a half point a lot of the time, and a full point here or there)....i'd have to win 59% of the time to make a profit. seeing how the project plays are hitting under 57%, i'd be losing money. not at a fast rate....but losing nonetheless.
like i said, frustrating.Comment
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