Jay Edgar NBA, Monday 11.27.06

[Jay Edgar]

EDGAR LINE ML vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more differential)

ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Sunday, 2-2, -0.00u
(TOR, DEN, SEA, POR)
YTD 55-78 +9.76u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Sunday, 2-2, -0.10u
YTD 75-59, +11.00u

The results above include all teams with a differential of 5% or more from the closing line. Once again, if we cap the differential at 15% and only play teams within that 5-15% range, the results are improved. Dramatically. (I'll run a report at the end of the month.)

Today, the two winners were in that 5-15% range (TOR at 10% and DEN at 6%) and the two losers were above it (SEA at 21% and POR at 22%.)

As I said in yesterday's thread, my best bet based on overall handicapping was Toronto, with Denver second, so it was a decent day.

EDGAR LINES for 11.27.06
MIA 2.5/127 over PHI
DAL 5.5/191 over MIN
UTH 5.3/184 over ORL
GS 5.5/192 over SA (not a misprint)

[moses millsap]

Nice job with the Raptors yesterday JE The only dog I like on the ML this evening are the Warriors.

[Jay Edgar]

I couldn't disagree with your take on the Lakers yesterday either, Mr. O. Came close. Maybe you were just one game early.

[Jay Edgar]

ML-OFF at mid-afternoon
PHI is 3% off at +139
MIN is 14% off at +370 (down from +425)
ORL is 4% off at +210 (becomes 5% off at +216)
GS is 29% off at +168 (down from +178)

[Jay Edgar]

Another strong day --

having them frequently, but not consecutively so much. Not yet anyways.

ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Monday, 2-1, +3.08u
(MIN, ORL, GS)
YTD 57-80 +12.84u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Monday, 3-0, +3.00u
YTD 78-59 (.569), +14.00u