parlay hedging? should i do anything here?

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  • KingKing
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-29-09
    • 408

    #1
    parlay hedging? should i do anything here?
    opinions would be much appreciated! this is what i have left on the parlay:

    Denver(Nuggets) 05/13/09(21:05 ET)
    Under 213
    Dallas(Mavericks)
    Denver(Nuggets)
    05/13/09(21:05 ET)
    Dallas(Mavericks) +11.5 (-160)

    Bought 2.5 point(s)


    Parlay (6 Teams) 05/12/09 15:54 ET bet 20.00 to win 577.13 Result: Pending
    Orlando(Magic) 88
    Boston(Celtics) 92
    05/12/09(20:15 ET)
    Under 193
    Orlando(Magic) 88
    Boston(Celtics) 92
    05/12/09(20:15 ET)
    Orlando(Magic) +5 (-160)

    Bought 2.5 point(s) Houston(Rockets) 78
    LA(Lakers) 118
    05/12/09(22:50 ET)
    Under 199
    Houston(Rockets) 78
    LA(Lakers) 118
    05/12/09(22:50 ET)
    LA(Lakers) -9 (-160)

    Bought 2.5 point(s) Dallas(Mavericks)
    Denver(Nuggets)
    05/13/09(21:05 ET)
    Under 213
    Dallas(Mavericks)
    Denver(Nuggets)
    05/13/09(21:05 ET)
    Dallas(Mavericks) +11.5 (-160)

    Bought 2.5 point(s)

    5 Point Teaser (6 Teams) 05/12/09 18:37 ET bet 15.00 to win 75.00 Result: Pending
    Orlando(Magic) 88
    Boston(Celtics) 92
    05/12/09(20:15 ET)
    Under 198
    Orlando(Magic) 88
    Boston(Celtics) 92
    05/12/09(20:15 ET)
    Orlando(Magic) +7.5
    Houston(Rockets) 78
    LA(Lakers) 118
    05/12/09(22:50 ET)
    Under 204
    Houston(Rockets) 78
    LA(Lakers) 118
    05/12/09(22:50 ET)
    LA(Lakers) -6.5
    Dallas(Mavericks)
    Denver(Nuggets)
    05/13/09(21:05 ET)
    Under 218
    Dallas(Mavericks)
    Denver(Nuggets)
    05/13/09(21:05 ET)
    Dallas(Mavericks) +14




    not totally sold on the mavs, trying to figure out the best thing to do. thanks!
  • BL
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-09
    • 4070

    #2
    Well, i actually see your parlay bringing money home tonight. Would not bet anything different right now. Just wait for some ingame bets. Maybe you could get a doublecash by hedging
    Comment
    • KingKing
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-29-09
      • 408

      #3
      cool thanks for the advice! maybe wait until halftime then
      Comment
      • Pin Fish
        SBR MVP
        • 11-28-08
        • 1295

        #4
        I would play 100.00 on nuggets as I really like the under but just do not feel as good about the mavs
        Comment
        • KingKing
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-29-09
          • 408

          #5
          not a bad idea at all! hm maybe some nugs first half too. thanks very much for the input
          Comment
          • Pin Fish
            SBR MVP
            • 11-28-08
            • 1295

            #6
            I am on the nuggs 1st half and under for fgame probaly going to waittill right before tipof get line move take dallas and under and parlay them
            Comment
            • Pin Fish
              SBR MVP
              • 11-28-08
              • 1295

              #7
              take the nuggs bet so you get back your original bet if you lose
              Comment
              • cs11787
                SBR MVP
                • 08-26-08
                • 1088

                #8
                Wow king I have those two left also! Wierd. Good luck to us!
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48384

                  #9
                  Hedge the Dallas bet... I think they will play well in the 2nd half but probably get blown out in the 2nd half and that line may be in jeopardy. Hedge and take half your winnings. If you don't you may feel confident at half only to see them implode in the high altitude.
                  Comment
                  • KingKing
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 408

                    #10
                    thanks mac, so youd put 100 on den -10

                    Ya cs nice, I saw your teaser and it got me thinkin!!! so thanks man! BOL!!!
                    Comment
                    • Tsoprano
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-14-08
                      • 26374

                      #11
                      always hedge

                      Greed kills gamblers, gambling should be treated as an investment. When you have the bookmaker up against the wall you need to guarantee yourself something.
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48384

                        #12
                        Originally posted by KingKing
                        opinions would be much appreciated! this is what i have left on the parlay:


                        Parlay (6 Teams) 05/12/09 15:54 ET bet 20.00 to win 577.13 Result: Pending
                        Orlando(Magic) 88
                        Boston(Celtics) 92
                        05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                        Under 193
                        Orlando(Magic) 88
                        Boston(Celtics) 92
                        05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                        Orlando(Magic) +5 (-160)

                        Bought 2.5 point(s) Houston(Rockets) 78
                        LA(Lakers) 118
                        05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                        Under 199
                        Houston(Rockets) 78
                        LA(Lakers) 118
                        05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                        LA(Lakers) -9 (-160)

                        Bought 2.5 point(s) Dallas(Mavericks)
                        Denver(Nuggets)
                        05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                        Under 213
                        Dallas(Mavericks)
                        Denver(Nuggets)
                        05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                        Dallas(Mavericks) +11.5 (-160)

                        Bought 2.5 point(s)

                        5 Point Teaser (6 Teams) 05/12/09 18:37 ET bet 15.00 to win 75.00 Result: Pending
                        Orlando(Magic) 88
                        Boston(Celtics) 92
                        05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                        Under 198
                        Orlando(Magic) 88
                        Boston(Celtics) 92
                        05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                        Orlando(Magic) +7.5
                        Houston(Rockets) 78
                        LA(Lakers) 118
                        05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                        Under 204
                        Houston(Rockets) 78
                        LA(Lakers) 118
                        05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                        LA(Lakers) -6.5
                        Dallas(Mavericks)
                        Denver(Nuggets)
                        05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                        Under 218
                        Dallas(Mavericks)
                        Denver(Nuggets)
                        05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                        Dallas(Mavericks) +14




                        not totally sold on the mavs, trying to figure out the best thing to do. thanks!
                        Actually, I don't like either of these. I'd probably keep the +14 and hedge the under 218...
                        Comment
                        • Mac4Lyfe
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-04-09
                          • 48384

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Tsoprano
                          always hedge

                          Greed kills gamblers, gambling should be treated as an investment. When you have the bookmaker up against the wall you need to guarantee yourself something.
                          Exactly... It's like playing Blackjack and whether or not you should take even money. Anytime you can get a guaranteed win, take it. No use trying to press a sure hand.
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48384

                            #14
                            Originally posted by KingKing
                            thanks mac, so youd put 100 on den -10

                            Ya cs nice, I saw your teaser and it got me thinkin!!! so thanks man! BOL!!!
                            I'd put more than that. Half my parlay... So that way your guaranteed to make ~$275.

                            Games starting so maybe you should just ride it in the 1st half and then hedge in the 2nd. I expect Dallas to stay close in the 1st half and may even be up. The second half is where I expect them to fade.
                            Comment
                            • big joe 1212
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 06-01-08
                              • 19380

                              #15
                              Fuk hedging!

                              Why play those amount of teams if you plan on hedging?

                              grow a pair of balls or quit gambling!
                              Comment
                              • KingKing
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 408

                                #16
                                cause man, im trying to take guaranteed money! free cash sounds good to me.

                                Originally posted by Tsoprano
                                always hedge

                                Greed kills gamblers, gambling should be treated as an investment. When you have the bookmaker up against the wall you need to guarantee yourself something.
                                Please, Tsoprano, I respect your capping abilities, help me hedge this at half time. i beg you.


                                Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                I'd put more than that. Half my parlay... So that way your guaranteed to make ~$275.

                                Games starting so maybe you should just ride it in the 1st half and then hedge in the 2nd. I expect Dallas to stay close in the 1st half and may even be up. The second half is where I expect them to fade.
                                cool i was too late for the game.. but even if i took denver it could still go dal and over and i could lose both. am i right to assume that b/c there is 2 legs left there is nothing i can do for a 100% guaranteed profit? if there is any way to do something at halftime, anyones help would be MUCH appreciated!
                                Comment
                                • KingKing
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 408

                                  #17
                                  looking terrible
                                  Comment
                                  • seaborneq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-06
                                    • 22556

                                    #18
                                    Its a long ride son, enjoy the journey. You will have plenty of these situations before you are done.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48384

                                      #19
                                      Quote:
                                      Originally Posted by KingKing
                                      opinions would be much appreciated! this is what i have left on the parlay:


                                      Parlay (6 Teams) 05/12/09 15:54 ET bet 20.00 to win 577.13 Result: Pending
                                      Orlando(Magic) 88
                                      Boston(Celtics) 92
                                      05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                                      Under 193
                                      Orlando(Magic) 88
                                      Boston(Celtics) 92
                                      05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                                      Orlando(Magic) +5 (-160)

                                      Bought 2.5 point(s) Houston(Rockets) 78
                                      LA(Lakers) 118
                                      05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                                      Under 199
                                      Houston(Rockets) 78
                                      LA(Lakers) 118
                                      05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                                      LA(Lakers) -9 (-160)

                                      Bought 2.5 point(s) Dallas(Mavericks)
                                      Denver(Nuggets)
                                      05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                                      Under 213
                                      Dallas(Mavericks)
                                      Denver(Nuggets)
                                      05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                                      Dallas(Mavericks) +11.5 (-160)

                                      Bought 2.5 point(s)

                                      5 Point Teaser (6 Teams) 05/12/09 18:37 ET bet 15.00 to win 75.00 Result: Pending
                                      Orlando(Magic) 88
                                      Boston(Celtics) 92
                                      05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                                      Under 198
                                      Orlando(Magic) 88
                                      Boston(Celtics) 92
                                      05/12/09(20:15 ET)
                                      Orlando(Magic) +7.5
                                      Houston(Rockets) 78
                                      LA(Lakers) 118
                                      05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                                      Under 204
                                      Houston(Rockets) 78
                                      LA(Lakers) 118
                                      05/12/09(22:50 ET)
                                      LA(Lakers) -6.5
                                      Dallas(Mavericks)
                                      Denver(Nuggets)
                                      05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                                      Under 218
                                      Dallas(Mavericks)
                                      Denver(Nuggets)
                                      05/13/09(21:05 ET)
                                      Dallas(Mavericks) +14




                                      not totally sold on the mavs, trying to figure out the best thing to do. thanks!

                                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                      Actually, I don't like either of these. I'd probably keep the +14 and hedge the under 218...
                                      Yeah, I didn't like either of those bets, especially the Under's. What I was saying was to hedge the 1st parlay with both bets. You would have to cut your bet by a 3rd to guarantee a win on that one.

                                      For the last parlay, I would have went with Dallas +14 (which would have been a push) and I would have hedged the under. So basically you were going to hedge both unders and one line.
                                      Comment
                                      • DeeWizzle
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-08-09
                                        • 3316

                                        #20
                                        Ruff!
                                        Comment
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