NBA System 23-3 This Year

[brellis23]

You know that 80s film where the kids build a spaceship and venture out into space? Yeh well that's more realistic than a quick fix system built by college kids winning on the NBA. Come to think of it who needs NASA anyways I'm going to build my own spaceship

Up 20 units buddy

[blowjoe2020]

Yeah like I've already said, you don't have proof on here of all the wins! You only started posting your picks when it started going 50-50.
Maybe you could post the other picks and someone could research whether those games fall under the guidelines of your system.
Then they'd at least have to believe that it worked for a few months!
Take care.

[trillz]

Your YTD should be 3-2 for tracking because the other ones weren't posted..just saying, you might get less criticism if you stop talking about picks you didn't post.. GL

[blowjoe2020]

Right but like I posted, he can't now prove that HE is up 20 untis because it is too late, but if he showed the 20 winners from the last 2 months, then if they fell under the guidelines of his "system" then at least he could show that it has won 20 units! Of course we could never know if 20 more games lost under the same system during that time that he didn't mention!
But anyway, most of us know that there is no "system" that consistently beats the oddsmakers. Because like I also said, if there was, then they'd start adjusting the lines on those games & make it "Even out" in no time.

[IBetYou]

Right but like I posted, he can't now prove that HE is up 20 untis because it is too late, but if he showed the 20 winners from the last 2 months, then if they fell under the guidelines of his "system" then at least he could show that it has won 20 units! Of course we could never know if 20 more games lost under the same system during that time that he didn't mention!
But anyway, most of us know that there is no "system" that consistently beats the oddsmakers. Because like I also said, if there was, then they'd start adjusting the lines on those games & make it "Even out" in no time.

There's no simple/ quick-fix system that beats the NBA lines, but I see no reason why a complex AI system couldn't beat it.

[brellis23]

12-12-16:

Sacramento Kings -7 (-135)

YTD: 3-2

[blowjoe2020]

Why are you risking 35% grease on a point-spread bet? That will count as almost TWO losses if it loses?
Answer?

[brellis23]

Nothing tonight.

YTD: 4-2

[brellis23]

Why are you risking 35% grease on a point-spread bet? That will count as almost TWO losses if it loses?
Answer?

The difference between to win $50 for -115 and -135 is $10. I'm willing to risk an extra 10 on most bets to make sure I don't get burned by a half point. Most of the time when I buy points is on large spreads. BOL

[brellis23]

Nothing again tonight. BOL everyone

YTD: 4-2

[blowjoe2020]

The difference between to win $50 for -115 and -135 is $10. I'm willing to risk an extra 10 on most bets to make sure I don't get burned by a half point. Most of the time when I buy points is on large spreads. BOL

Wow, paying huge grease to buy points, and thinking a "system" works?
A young college kid you certainly are!Reminds me of 25 years ago when me & a couple of friends would pay a service called "Mag 7". LOL
They'd give out 7 picks for the football weekend! Sometimes they'd win sometimes they'd lose! LOL
I honestly wish you the best of luck!

[blowjoe2020]

I also remember years ago when my dad booked my cousin who was going to Fla State at the time.
After a month or two he had a bad week and didn't pay & stopped calling! LOL
If you REALLY are having the discipline to ONLY bet these types of games for the same amounts, then have a ball doing it! & then quit when it stops winning!
Once again i wish you luck!

[brellis23]

12-15-16:

Phoenix Suns +7.5

YTD: 4-2

[brellis23]

Wow, paying huge grease to buy points, and thinking a "system" works?
A young college kid you certainly are!Reminds me of 25 years ago when me & a couple of friends would pay a service called "Mag 7". LOL
They'd give out 7 picks for the football weekend! Sometimes they'd win sometimes they'd lose! LOL
I honestly wish you the best of luck!

It has worked so far and has been a blast making some extra spending money to take to the bars. Thanks for the stories and kind words! Best of luck to you as well buddy.

[jmapnyg]

Any word on the systems parameters? My system has this game 1st quarter Suns +2.5, perhpas they are similar.

BOL

[brellis23]

What a joke of a 4th quarter.

4-3

[QuantumLeap]

Wow, paying huge grease to buy points, and thinking a "system" works?
A young college kid you certainly are!Reminds me of 25 years ago when me & a couple of friends would pay a service called "Mag 7". LOL
They'd give out 7 picks for the football weekend! Sometimes they'd win sometimes they'd lose! LOL
I honestly wish you the best of luck!

I read the book "Sharp Sports Betting" by Stanford Wong. He had a bunch of tables based upon the frequency of how often a number occurred and explained how much juice a person should pay to buy points. Then it hit me. The books aren't going to allow you to buy points where it benefits you statistically in the long run. They're going to make it so that a person may win a bet after buying juice but the winnings will be reduced so eventually you end up getting less when buying points.

I've rarely bought points since then.

[IBetYou]

What hit you?

[QuantumLeap]

What hit you?

The Truth.

[TECHGUY]

[brellis23]

12-19-16:

Indiana Pacers -6

Denver Nuggets -8 (-120)

YTD: 4-3

[blowjoe2020]

Yeah, just as I expected and posted about at first. It's just hanging around 50-50 and slowly draining you out with grease. And it's even worse because you keep laying -20 or higher on almost every other bet.
But I still wish you luck!

[brellis23]

Yeah, just as I expected and posted about at first. It's just hanging around 50-50 and slowly draining you out with grease. And it's even worse because you keep laying -20 or higher on almost every other bet.
But I still wish you luck!

Every single play that I have posted with grease has hit so it hasn't drained my profits at all. Still sitting at a whopping 28-7, up around 20 units. Thank you for the luck, I knew when I started posting these plays it would take a turn but still making money. BOL to you friend.

[LokcItUp]

I read the book "Sharp Sports Betting" by Stanford Wong. He had a bunch of tables based upon the frequency of how often a number occurred and explained how much juice a person should pay to buy points. Then it hit me. The books aren't going to allow you to buy points where it benefits you statistically in the long run. They're going to make it so that a person may win a bet after buying juice but the winnings will be reduced so eventually you end up getting less when buying points.

I've rarely bought points since then.

Casinos offer surrender in Blackjack which can be profitable for the player. In the NFL buying off of 7 for 20C or less juice is profitable for the player, I'm sure there are some instances available in the NBA as well. Generally though, most people will be getting hosed.

[LokcItUp]

Every single play that I have posted with grease has hit so it hasn't drained my profits at all. Still sitting at a whopping 28-7, up around 20 units. Thank you for the luck, I knew when I started posting these plays it would take a turn but still making money. BOL to you friend.

Whether you've won or not to this point is irrelevant. If you are in fact risking too much vig (when you shouldn't) you are -EV and losing long-term. I'm not making a judgment on your plays but my guess is that you should not be buying points in the spots that you are.

[brellis23]

Whether you've won or not to this point is irrelevant. If you are in fact risking too much vig (when you shouldn't) you are -EV and losing long-term. I'm not making a judgment on your plays but my guess is that you should not be buying points in the spots that you are.

I don't believe irrelevant is the correct word. If I was buying points and losing on those plays, the extra 10-15 dollars would start to hurt me but all my plays are to win 50 dollars and it has yet to burn me when I buy points. I understand what you're saying but betting on NBA spreads is very difficult to do over the long run, Vegas is just too good so in my opinion buying points on high spreads (-6 to -10) is the best way to win money. BOL

[brellis23]

12-20-16:

NY Knicks -4.5

YTD: 5-4

[brellis23]

12-20-16:

LA Clippers -7.5 (-115)

YTD: 6-4

[blowjoe2020]

Well the thing about buying points (if it isn't on or off 3 or 7 in football), is that it rarely matters. In other words, you would have won anyway without risking extra juice for an extra half point.
Hell you probably know how many times the extra point HAS made you win!
It's fun to see the plays posted for all to see that you aren't making this up. Keep rolling!

[brellis23]

Solid 2-0 day, hopefully will start another hot streak. Thanks to everyone who has commented or followed, I value and respect all of your opinions (especially because the vast majority of you are older and more experienced bettors than me). Best of luck to all of you!

YTD: 7-4

[blowjoe2020]

Yes I ran in and bet the Clippers in an in game bet for the 3rd QTR. They won the 3rd QTR 27 to 19!

[brellis23]

12-21-16:

Detroit Pistons -6.5

YTD: 7-4

[brellis23]

Dropped to -105 so I ended up taking Pistons -6 -115. Best of luck to everyone

[brellis23]

Yes I ran in and bet the Clippers in an in game bet for the 3rd QTR. They won the 3rd QTR 27 to 19!

Good stuff!! Clipps looked great all game, nuggets looked out of gas on defense which is what this system tries to take advantage of.

[brellis23]

Thought this game started at 7 instead of 7:30, line down to 5.5.. not my best