Prop Shop: Conference Semifinals

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  • sentetiyen
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-07-09
    • 362

    #106
    Nowitzki 0ver 27,5 points ,maximum stakes now
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #107
      Good luck with the Dirk prop. I liked it when it was at 26.5 - but I think he might be stuck around 27-28, making it scary.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #108
        Melo. Bang Bang. Done in the 3rd.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #109
          Originally posted by sentetiyen
          Nowitzki 0ver 27,5 points ,maximum stakes now
          Dirk was the in the 4th.
          Comment
          • The_Kid
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-09-08
            • 5049

            #110
            Rajon Rondo -8.5 Points + Assists vs Rafer Alston

            Rondo has been a walking triple double machine in these playoffs and Alston has struggled every game in this series. Now, with a pivotal Game 5 at stake and with a change in venue, I expect Rondo to fill up the stat sheet once again. On the other hand, I don't expect much out of Alston because after watching him play this series, it is clear to me that he cannot handle point guard duties. Sure, he filled in nicely for Jameer Nelson but he's not a PG that will lead you to a championship. I'll take the better PG here at home in an important game in this series to outperform his counterpart.

            Kobe Bryant -8.5 Points vs Ron Artest (2x)

            Kobe will come out firing today. Everyone knows that. He will make sure his team does not lose this game. The radio hosts, television analysts, and newspaper columnists have all been bashing on the Lakers and that's fine with me. That is what fuels Kobe Bryant. He backs away from nobody and he takes the criticism personally. You can bet he'll get at least 30-35 tonight. He might even get 40+ depending on how aggressive he wants to be. Artest struggled with his jump shot last game and I was waiting for a game like that where he wasn't lights out from the floor. I still don't think his jump shot is consistent enough to put up the kind of numbers he is averaging in this series. Black Mamba is going for the kill tonight. I'm going to play this 2x my normal wager size.

            Lakers/Rockets OVER 14.5 3 PT FG Made


            I'm going to ride the hot shooting of these two teams. The only game where they did not attain this total was in Game 1. With Yao out, the Rockets become more of a jump shooting team anyway, so they should put up plenty of shots from behind the arc. Brooks, Battier, Artest, and Wafer all have the green light to shoot it. Artest and Wafer have no problem in shooting the ball even when they're way off. The other shooters on the Lakers will need to step up and if I expect Kobe to go off, this makes this play that much more inviting.

            Good luck tonight, gentlemen.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #111
              I don't like that 3 point one, but that's just me thinking the Lakers D can't be as bad as it was in Game 4 because most of Houston's looks were wide open "practice" jumpers. And what's to say it won't be. It's a pass for me, but all you need is a motivated Kobe to help kick start it!
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #112
                Game 5: Rashard Lewis Total Points/Rebounds OVER 25 (-110)
                I was torn between this one and Paul Pierce Combo Points/Assists OVER 25.5. I went with the one that has hit this number in every game of the series so far. Lewis' low total came in Game 1 when he landed exactly on 25 (18 pts/7 reb). In the last two games in Orlando, he hit for 22/5 & 28/6. The numbers are lower on the road with 35 points in two games, but he did better rebounding in Boston (17 vs. 11 on Orlando). Lewis is taking an average of 16 shots per game, about 5-6 of those being threes. He's also better at getting to the line lately, getting at least 4 FT attempts in the last 3 games. He's hitting about 50% from the floor and around 36-37% from distance. He's also on the floor plenty, having played under 40 minutes only once. Lewis has played well in this series, but they really need a big road game from him to compliment Dwight Howard's inside play. I don't know if he'll go crazy in this one, but I think his consistency in this series means he's got a definite shot at popping past this number if he gets 16 shots or more and gets to the line.
                Comment
                • The_Kid
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-09-08
                  • 5049

                  #113
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  I don't like that 3 point one, but that's just me thinking the Lakers D can't be as bad as it was in Game 4 because most of Houston's looks were wide open "practice" jumpers. And what's to say it won't be. It's a pass for me, but all you need is a motivated Kobe to help kick start it!
                  I appreciate the feedback, EP. I understand your reasoning too but both teams have shooters that can stretch the floor. As mentioned earlier, I think no Yao Ming helps this play considering the Rockets have no post presence. Anyway, best of luck to you today.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #114
                    Those other two look real solid. Artest keeps hoisting up jumpers like he's a shooter. He gets rare hot streaks, but I'd trust Kobe to destroy them more than Artest getting hot. Good luck bro! See you at the cash window.
                    Comment
                    • GGPLAYER
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-26-09
                      • 2981

                      #115
                      Hey guys you are my prop experts so I am looking at Bookmaker and they have Kobe over 29.5 points at +125. Was'nt he averging over 30 a game before Sunday?
                      Comment
                      • cuteboy86hi
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-05-08
                        • 312

                        #116
                        Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                        Hey guys you are my prop experts so I am looking at Bookmaker and they have Kobe over 29.5 points at +125. Was'nt he averging over 30 a game before Sunday?
                        took kobe over 29.5 for 2.25
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #117
                          Only thing scary about that is what way do you think the game goes tonight? Lakers blowout or are the Rockets going to stick with them? Blowout you might get screwed because Kobe sits. Still, you'd think he would come out and score a ton. I'd say it's got a better shot of hitting than not hitting. Of course, I thought Kobe was gonna light it up in Game 4 and the whole team sucked.
                          Comment
                          • sentetiyen
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-07-09
                            • 362

                            #118
                            i think in both two cases with kobe or without kobe lakers will be scoring during the game.. i ll take lakers TT 105 over at home
                            Comment
                            • RoagBettor
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-20-09
                              • 8355

                              #119
                              Ray Allen has sucked in the Orlando series. I think he breaks out tonight. I like the prop of Allen -3.5 pts over Turkoglu.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #120
                                I've been waiting for Ray Allen the whole series. Dude has missed a lot of open shots. I just don't think this is his series. I don't know how can be that bad from 3 though. 5 for 29 this series. GL!
                                Comment
                                • The_Kid
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-09-08
                                  • 5049

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                  I've been waiting for Ray Allen the whole series. Dude has missed a lot of open shots. I just don't think this is his series. I don't know how can be that bad from 3 though. 5 for 29 this series. GL!
                                  Same here. I've been waiting for him to break out of his slump too. I just don't think a shooter as good as him can stay that way for this long. He's way overdue. I always believe big time players step up in big time games and I think Allen fits that title. With a pivotal Game 5 at stake, he should perform better than he has in the previous games in this series.
                                  Comment
                                  • sentetiyen
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-07-09
                                    • 362

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by sentetiyen
                                    i think in both two cases with kobe or without kobe lakers will be scoring during the game.. i ll take lakers TT 105 over at home
                                    64 points at half very nice ,its 07 am here and time to sleep some,hope they can put 42 more for me,btw gl 2u2
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #123
                                      Beat last night by Rashard Lewis and Orlando's POS 2nd half. Was going to go with the Dirk Nowitzki Pts/Rebs Prop but the number is still rising now at 39. He'll probably still bang it out, but it was better at 36.5 when it first came out. Too bad I didn't jump on it.

                                      Game 5: Mavericks/Nuggets Total 3 Pointers UNDER 13.5 (+105)
                                      Denver has shown some glimpses here & there of getting on a roll. They hit 9 threes in Game 4 and 8 in Game 2. Games 1 & 3 though they combined for just 10 total. Dallas meanwhile remains mostly a no-show from outside the arc. They have 22 total three pointers made in this series with 8 being their top output in any single game. Only Game 2 eclipsed this total with 16 threes and it should have with 51 threes attempted. Otherwise, it's been 10, 11 & 12 made in the other three games with the attempts between 30-35. If that holds and these teams don't get 3 crazy, then this one has a good shot. Certainly if a couple of the shooters (Billups, JR Smith, Terry, Dirk) get hot from outside, this could get blown up - but if the series continues to be called as tightly as we've seen in the two games in Dallas, it's going to make more sense for the teams to continue to drive inside and go to the foul line.
                                      Comment
                                      • The_Kid
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-09-08
                                        • 5049

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by The_Kid
                                        Rajon Rondo -8.5 Points + Assists vs Rafer Alston

                                        Kobe Bryant -8.5 Points vs Ron Artest (2x)

                                        Lakers/Rockets OVER 14.5 3 PT FG Made
                                        Lost a little bit last night. Rondo and Alston switched roles and the Rockets had A LOT of wide open looks that just didn't fall. I will be back later with some plays for tonight's game.
                                        Comment
                                        • The_Kid
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-09-08
                                          • 5049

                                          #125
                                          Dirk Nowitzki OVER 13.5 Rebounds + Assists

                                          I'm going to ride this one till the wheels fall off. The books keep making adjustments but Dirk keeps up putting up bigger and better numbers as this series goes along. He'll need another big game tonight in order for Dallas to stay competitive. In a do or die game, big time players will step up. Though I expect Denver to win, Dirk should be on the floor for most of the time as this is another must-win game for the Mavericks.
                                          Comment
                                          • rumple
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-19-07
                                            • 2499

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                            Beat last night by Rashard Lewis and Orlando's POS 2nd half. Was going to go with the Dirk Nowitzki Pts/Rebs Prop but the number is still rising now at 39. He'll probably still bang it out, but it was better at 36.5 when it first came out. Too bad I didn't jump on it.

                                            Game 5: Mavericks/Nuggets Total 3 Pointers UNDER 13.5 (+105)
                                            Denver has shown some glimpses here & there of getting on a roll. They hit 9 threes in Game 4 and 8 in Game 2. Games 1 & 3 though they combined for just 10 total. Dallas meanwhile remains mostly a no-show from outside the arc. They have 22 total three pointers made in this series with 8 being their top output in any single game. Only Game 2 eclipsed this total with 16 threes and it should have with 51 threes attempted. Otherwise, it's been 10, 11 & 12 made in the other three games with the attempts between 30-35. If that holds and these teams don't get 3 crazy, then this one has a good shot. Certainly if a couple of the shooters (Billups, JR Smith, Terry, Dirk) get hot from outside, this could get blown up - but if the series continues to be called as tightly as we've seen in the two games in Dallas, it's going to make more sense for the teams to continue to drive inside and go to the foul line.
                                            I took this too, already chalking up a loss 6 minutes in
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #127
                                              Well like I said if the shooters got hot, it could blow up and of course, they're hot. Or no defense.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #128
                                                Wish someone would have informed me they planned on shooting 50-60 threes tonight. 21 of the 67 shots attempted through the 5:00 minute mark in the 2nd Q are threes. Wow.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #129
                                                  Props to the shooters tonight. I mean seriously, 60 3 point attempts. If you know that going in, you'd be a dillweed to bet an under on any number under 20.

                                                  Looking at tomorrow, my book has some POS props offered. One I am considering though.

                                                  Ray Allen Points/Rebounds/Assists 23.5 ... why not bang the under here? I might see if anyone pumps this number up before game time and take a mild shot on it. We've all talked about it in here about how he's bound to go off, but he hasn't. Rest of the props for both games tomorrow for me look really bad, so this is probably it for me. This or nothing.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • The_Kid
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-09-08
                                                    • 5049

                                                    #130
                                                    EP, both teams just went on a shooting barrage tonight. I don't know where it came from either.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #131
                                                      Double posted the Paul Pierce thing for some reason. So instead of reading it twice, a hot chick in its place.

                                                      Enjoy pervs.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #132
                                                        Game 6: Paul Pierce Total Points OVER 22.5 (-125)
                                                        Thought all day about this and after passing on Pierce's prop in the last game, I'm gonna go for it on this one. Let's face it, Ray Allen can't buy a bucket in this series and that leaves Pierce to facilitate the offense - be it with his own shot or quickly passing out of double teams to open teammates. He's had three straight productive games of 27, 27 & 19 points. The two best outputs in this series coming at the site of tonight's Game 6 in Orlando. Altogether, he's hit 23 points or more in 3 of the 5 games to this point. The Magic will surely continue their double teaming tactics on Pierce, but he's still shown a knack for getting to the foul line and scoring points. He's shooting 21/41 from the field in the last 3 games and has made it to the FT line 30 times in that stretch. I just think that if the Celtics are to have a shot at closing out Orlando, Pierce has to be the man. As long as he continues driving to the bucket, he'll get a chance to beat this number with FTs. Hoping for a nail biter the whole way through to keep him on the floor - that and Pierce staying out of foul trouble.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jmathes
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-19-09
                                                          • 2385

                                                          #133
                                                          this is where your head should be tonight guys. the line started low at -125 in some books and is now as high as -160. watched kobe all series and he makes no attempt to grab a rebound unless it falls into his hands. even if you don't bet this prop just watch kobe's actions tonight and congratulate me tomorrow. good luck!

                                                          kobe bryant rebounds and assists under 10 1/2
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The_Kid
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-09-08
                                                            • 5049

                                                            #134
                                                            Dwight Howard OVER 37 Points + Rebounds

                                                            You'd have to think that the Magic will give the ball to Howard more after calling out his own coach. I just hope the Magic don't play stupid yet again and start falling in love with their jump shot. If the Magic are going to win, they need to run the offense through Superman. If he gets doubled, he can kick it out to the shooters for wide open looks. If not, he SHOULD be able to take Perkins. If he can't, he's not an All-Star. Howard only took 10 shots last game but I expect that number to increase to at least 15-20. Big time players step up in big time games and Howard will need to step up offensively and defensively in order for his team to force a Game 7 in Boston.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #135
                                                              Man I gotta start following my first instincts on these. Shoulda rode that Ray Allen prop on the under. Guy couldn't make a shot if you spotted him the ball half way down the net.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The_Kid
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-09-08
                                                                • 5049

                                                                #136
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The_Kid
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-09-08
                                                                  • 5049

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Kobe Bryant -9.5 Points vs Ron Artest

                                                                  Let's play it again. Another big game for the Lakers. They don't want to go back to LA and close this series out knowing Denver will get even more rest. Kobe will come out aggressive yet again and make sure they won't lose this one. He knows they'll need to play with more intensity on the road in order to win this one and he'll definitely bring it tonight.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The_Kid
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-09-08
                                                                    • 5049

                                                                    #138
                                                                    13-6 record in the conference semifinals. I will have one HUGE play for tomorrow if I like what I see.

                                                                    Stay tuned, gentlemen.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The_Kid
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-09-08
                                                                      • 5049

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Kobe Bryant -10.5 Points vs Ron Artest (3x)

                                                                      Kobe Bryant loves these types of games and you can bet he is coming to play today. I can't pass it up and I've taken this one at least two or three times already. Kobe will be aggressive to make sure the Lakers don't lose this game at home. No way he lets the Rockets upset them on their home floor.

                                                                      Might be back for the later game. Good luck today, gentlemen.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rumple
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 06-19-07
                                                                        • 2499

                                                                        #140
                                                                        This is gonna be tough with Kobe looking terrible and him sitting late in a blowout.
                                                                        Comment
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