I'm thinking it is about time to bury this system for the season. That's well over 80 units lost in less than a month.
2015-16 JM NBA Thread
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TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#491Comment -
greally311SBR Rookie
- 02-05-10
- 30
#492Is it profitable at this point in the season? Appears that both are in the red. Although, I have seen these types of systems play out towards the end of the season so I am thinking of holding on.Comment -
cheyouSBR Rookie
- 03-07-12
- 19
#4931/27 Results
Morrison 1-7-5 System
Dallas V3 [C] LOSS
Phoenix V2 [B] LOSS
Denver V1 [A] WIN
1/28 Plays
#99 Sacramento v3 [B]
#101 Chicago v1 [A]Comment -
LasVegasSystemsSBR Hustler
- 12-09-09
- 93
#494Originally posted by Grivas_DigeniAre you familiar with gambler's fallacy?
Manage your stacks and you'll be fine. Regression expectation has killed many a bankrollComment -
bravoman81SBR High Roller
- 05-12-15
- 103
#495Originally posted by LasVegasSystemsYes- I wrote a book about it but that assumes that each outcome is independent of another (50/50). That is not the case when you have a positive expectation (probability of winning). Successive loses in such a context increase the probability of winning with each additional losing outcome. Probability outcomes can be absolutely ascertained.Comment -
LasVegasSystemsSBR Hustler
- 12-09-09
- 93
#496Originally posted by bravoman81i'm assuming now is the time to reload in this system?Comment -
LasVegasSystemsSBR Hustler
- 12-09-09
- 93
#497Originally posted by LasVegasSystemsIn general yes, but I use a variation of it that does make [A] bets- just [B] and [C] flat bets (no progression). So Sacramento is juicy as will be Chicago if they fail to cover versus the Lakers tonight.Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#498Originally posted by TenCountI'm thinking it is about time to bury this system for the season. That's well over 80 units lost in less than a month.Comment -
bravoman81SBR High Roller
- 05-12-15
- 103
#499Originally posted by imotiv8I think the past couple of years are proving that the best way to play this system is with the pointsComment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#500^yes
I'll be interested to see totals if or when things get updatedComment -
greally311SBR Rookie
- 02-05-10
- 30
#501Files
Does anyone have historical files of the plays and results? I can put together an analysis to see the best return based on certain subsets of the historical data. In the end, it is all data mining, but may lead us to use some needed filters so that we don't see this same volatility throughout a year.Comment -
greally311SBR Rookie
- 02-05-10
- 30
#502Does anyone have the historical plays (wins and losses) for previous seasons? I am offering to do a bit of analysis on that subset to see if there are any further filters we can apply. Understanding it is data mining at its best, we may be able to find some sort of filters to decrease the volatility throughout the year. ThanksComment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#503We gotta be in negative unit territory no?Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#504Originally posted by TenCountWe gotta be in negative unit territory no?Comment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#505Originally posted by imotiv8The last 2 C bet losses have covered buying 3 points...so they havnt counted against the traditional system.Comment -
greally311SBR Rookie
- 02-05-10
- 30
#506Does anyone have historical data? Happy to do some digging and analysis.Comment -
Andy3568SBR Wise Guy
- 01-17-10
- 615
#5071-7-5 1/28 Results
Sacramento v3 [B] Loss
Chicago v1 [A] Win
1-7-5 1/29 Plays
Phoenix v1 [C]
Orlando v3 [C]
Minnesota v3 [A]Comment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#508I actually don't hate the Orlando line tonight at Boston (+8.5 at my book right now). Once again I am not touching Phoenix...Comment -
bravoman81SBR High Roller
- 05-12-15
- 103
#509wallco's got ORL on a C bet as well on his system but his system goes do a D as the final.Comment -
CJSBR MVP
- 09-21-13
- 1261
#510Wallco's C bets are 2-5 though, and the C bets in the V3 series have been particularly bad for the 1-7-5 system.
I'd use caution if you're taking Orlando tonight. Good luck to all those sticking it out!Comment -
reddevils64SBR High Roller
- 10-15-13
- 116
#511Anyone liking phoenix tonight ?Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#512Originally posted by reddevils64Anyone liking phoenix tonight ?Comment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#513I literally couldn't pick games this bad if I tried to. Jesus. I'm done. Good luck the rest of the season boys.Comment -
reddevils64SBR High Roller
- 10-15-13
- 116
#514Money saved on Phoenix once again, think I'm going to play against them every game now.Comment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#515Originally posted by reddevils64Money saved on Phoenix once again, think I'm going to play against them every game now.Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#516Originally posted by TenCountI'm thinking it is about time to bury this system for the season. That's well over 80 units lost in less than a month.Comment -
Andy3568SBR Wise Guy
- 01-17-10
- 615
#5171-7-5 1/29 Results
Phoenix v1 [C] Loss
Orlando v3 [C] Loss
Minnesota v3 [A] Loss
1-7-5 1/30 Plays
Sacramento v3 [C]
Golden State v1 [A]
Detroit v3 [A]Comment -
analyzerSBR MVP
- 02-03-11
- 2049
#518Just this month (January) including the open series with Kings & Timberwolves my count is approximately 150.33 units lost.Comment -
oilcountry99SBR Wise Guy
- 08-29-10
- 707
#519Disaster has set inComment -
MikeyD323SBR MVP
- 04-09-12
- 1454
#520Wow burn all knowledge dealing with this systemComment -
MikeyD323SBR MVP
- 04-09-12
- 1454
#521Or keep it going and go the other way woth the picks!!! Up 150 units! LololComment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#522I will be starting my own backtest on this 1-7-5 system... I'm really worried that the testing on this was not done correctly...Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#523Originally posted by TenCountI will be starting my own backtest on this 1-7-5 system... I'm really worried that the testing on this was not done correctly...
About this same time last year I started fading the system and ended up doing really well....obviously I lowered my units but i guess we'll seeComment -
TenCountSBR Hustler
- 03-04-14
- 87
#524Wallco's chase 101 system is doing well again this year wish I would have just stuck with that one and not ventured off course!! lolComment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#525Originally posted by TenCountI will be starting my own backtest on this 1-7-5 system... I'm really worried that the testing on this was not done correctly...Comment
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