Best NBA expert ever

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  • Gaze73
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-14
    • 3291

    #1
    Best NBA expert ever
    I have found the key to riches, a good honest guy with over 75% winrate since november who bets standard overs/unders in NBA @1.95 odds. I know, it sounds impossible, but I will post the picks here every night to prove it, without editing my posts. He usually gives the picks about 10 minutes before each game starts.

    I could say he's 3-1 in the past 2 days with a profit of 10 units(5u on each play), but I'm gonna be fair and start tracking from scratch. Let's win

    I decided I'll also track my personal plays here, to see if I can compete with the guy. I will track the overall progress in this post and in unedited daily recap posts. The following bankrolls are virtual, I don't have that much money...yet

    Current bankroll for the Pro's picks: $9480
    Pro W/L: 1-2

    Current bankroll for my picks: $10.300
    My W/L: 1-0

    Also, some of the pro's games are too late for me(9:30pm+), so I can't confirm them. And sometimes, he himself doesn't show up to confirm his selections, but that should be rare. These will be tracked separately as unofficial picks with probably a weak 60% win rate.

    Unofficial W/L: 0/0
    Unofficial net profit: +0u

    Disclaimer: Follow at your own risk, I'm laying 5 units / $500 on each match for tracking purposes, and 1 unit on the unofficial picks.
  • Jikos
    SBR MVP
    • 04-28-13
    • 1663

    #2
    He's been giving you 75% winners since November?
    Comment
    • Gaze73
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-14
      • 3291

      #3
      No, I found him just a month ago, but all his picks are transparent and seen by other people (he has a thread on a certain private forum), he's 100% legit, you'll see
      Comment
      • Jarman
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-23-14
        • 453

        #4
        Looking forward to the picks
        Comment
        • 44 Mag
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-14-13
          • 34490

          #5
          Can't wait to see this...
          Comment
          • BCC585
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-27-11
            • 603

            #6
            Comment
            • Gaze73
              SBR MVP
              • 01-27-14
              • 3291

              #7
              Hope we start off with a succesful night But I can guarantee there will be profit in 30 days.
              Comment
              • Jikos
                SBR MVP
                • 04-28-13
                • 1663

                #8
                Ok go for it
                Comment
                • lukey016
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-04-14
                  • 223

                  #9
                  1 month is a fair length of time to see how good he is, good luck
                  Comment
                  • TheSpread
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 02-25-14
                    • 4

                    #10
                    Can i ask if he gives out multiple picks or just one per day?
                    Comment
                    • Gaze73
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-27-14
                      • 3291

                      #11
                      Yesterday he gave 3, but sometimes he doesn't like any match.
                      Comment
                      • trobin31
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-09-14
                        • 9854

                        #12
                        75% sounds like money in the bank.

                        Comment
                        • nickos86
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-08-11
                          • 400

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Gaze73
                          I will post the picks here every night to prove it, without editing my posts.
                          Edits first post Jks
                          Comment
                          • Gaze73
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-27-14
                            • 3291

                            #14
                            Yeah I know I just added the words "since november" because someone might think the 3-1 record over the past 2 days means 75%.
                            Comment
                            • Gaze73
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-27-14
                              • 3291

                              #15
                              First pro pick: Pacers under 206 @2

                              My pick: Raptors ML @1.6
                              Comment
                              • DOM-Ganador
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-30-12
                                • 4479

                                #16
                                BOL, but God couldn`t pick 75% in the NBA over the long haul.
                                Comment
                                • Gaze73
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-27-14
                                  • 3291

                                  #17
                                  His sample is like 320 games over 3 months, good enough for me.
                                  Comment
                                  • Gaze73
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-14
                                    • 3291

                                    #18
                                    All games confirmed today:
                                    POR/DEN over 214.5
                                    MIN/PHO over 211
                                    HOU/SAC over 213
                                    Comment
                                    • TheSpread
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 02-25-14
                                      • 4

                                      #19
                                      hmm, lets see how it goes.

                                      1st pick @ Pacer under 206 resulted in a loss. Ross Benjamin, gave an over 206 pick, and he won. That's 0-1 for your expert.
                                      Comment
                                      • stefan084
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-21-09
                                        • 1490

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
                                        BOL, but God couldn`t pick 75% in the NBA over the long haul.
                                        God is currently 83% over his last 200 plays but he lays serious juice and mostly big favs
                                        Comment
                                        • EasyPicks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-21-11
                                          • 3804

                                          #21
                                          it seems to me that you are gonna win the challenge with your own picks!

                                          It's a mathematical anomaly picking 75% winners at -105 (1.95) odds! Over a sample that large.
                                          Comment
                                          • mojo13
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 02-25-14
                                            • 3

                                            #22
                                            best case scenario for these 4 bets is 50/50...
                                            Comment
                                            • Celtics08
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-04-10
                                              • 2397

                                              #23
                                              Join Date: 01-27-14
                                              Comment
                                              • Gaze73
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-27-14
                                                • 3291

                                                #24
                                                1st night Recap:
                                                POR/DEN over 214.5 -loss
                                                MIN/PHO over 211 -push
                                                HOU/SAC over 213 - win
                                                Pacers under 206 @2 -loss
                                                My pick: Raptors ML @1.6 -win

                                                Pro bankroll - $9480 (-520)
                                                My bankroll - $10300 (+300)
                                                Comment
                                                • TheSpread
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 02-25-14
                                                  • 4

                                                  #25
                                                  lets see tomorrow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Gaze73
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-27-14
                                                    • 3291

                                                    #26
                                                    My pick: Orlando ML
                                                    Pro pick: ORL/PHI Over 215

                                                    5 more games to be confirmed tonight.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • coitus_maximus
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-05-12
                                                      • 870

                                                      #27
                                                      Well, picking NBA large ML...Wouldn't say that is a pro pick. Who is stupid enough to lay that vig on large favs. My 9 year old can make those picks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mojo13
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 02-25-14
                                                        • 3

                                                        #28
                                                        The topic of this thread is ,, best nba expert ever ,, ? that is so funny man...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Gaze73
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-27-14
                                                          • 3291

                                                          #29
                                                          GSW/CHI OVER
                                                          LAL/MEM OVER
                                                          PHO/UTH UNDER
                                                          BKN/POR OVER
                                                          HOU/LAC UNDER

                                                          All should be confirmed.

                                                          Also GSW -3.5 is my other pick for today.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EasyPicks
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-21-11
                                                            • 3804

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Gaze73
                                                            My pick: Orlando ML
                                                            Pro pick: ORL/PHI Over 215

                                                            5 more games to be confirmed tonight.

                                                            you will get a lot of heat around here if you don't put the odds etc.
                                                            Try to be more accurate from now on.

                                                            Cheers and gl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EasyPicks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-21-11
                                                              • 3804

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Gaze73
                                                              GSW/CHI OVER
                                                              LAL/MEM OVER
                                                              PHO/UTH UNDER
                                                              BKN/POR OVER
                                                              HOU/LAC UNDER

                                                              All should be confirmed.

                                                              Also GSW -3.5 is my other pick for today.

                                                              ohh waiting for confirmation. my bad!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Gaze73
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-27-14
                                                                • 3291

                                                                #32
                                                                Odds are on average ~1.96 on the solid bookies, so I take the standard overs/unders at those odds. Going to sleep now, hope to wake up to some profit finally...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Gaze73
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-27-14
                                                                  • 3291

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Night 2 recap:
                                                                  Pro picks
                                                                  ORL/PHI OVER - loss
                                                                  GSW/CHI OVER - loss by a goddamn half a point, happened 3 times to me this week, will start buying it to save myself some headache
                                                                  LAL/MEM OVER - win
                                                                  PHO/UTH UNDER -win
                                                                  BKN/POR OVER - loss
                                                                  HOU/LAC UNDER - win

                                                                  So 3:3, 1 point short of 4:2, damn.
                                                                  Pro BR: $9420(-60)

                                                                  My picks: Orlando ML @1.6 - win 300
                                                                  GSW -3.5 loss 500, they played like zombies and blew our over.

                                                                  My BR: $10.100(-200)

                                                                  Wtf I can't edit OP anymore? That sucks.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Gaze73
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-27-14
                                                                    • 3291

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Pro pick: Milwaukee Bucks @ Indiana Pacers / Total Points - Over 195 @ 1.96
                                                                    My pick is: Washington Wizards @ Toronto Raptors / Total Points - Under 198.5 @ 1.96
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EasyPicks
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-21-11
                                                                      • 3804

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Gaze73
                                                                      Night 2 recap:
                                                                      Pro picks
                                                                      ORL/PHI OVER - loss
                                                                      GSW/CHI OVER - loss by a goddamn half a point, happened 3 times to me this week, will start buying it to save myself some headache
                                                                      LAL/MEM OVER - win
                                                                      PHO/UTH UNDER -win
                                                                      BKN/POR OVER - loss
                                                                      HOU/LAC UNDER - win

                                                                      So 3:3, 1 point short of 4:2, damn.
                                                                      Pro BR: $9420(-60)

                                                                      My picks: Orlando ML @1.6 - win 300
                                                                      GSW -3.5 loss 500, they played like zombies and blew our over.

                                                                      My BR: $10.100(-200)

                                                                      Wtf I can't edit OP anymore? That sucks.
                                                                      br 9.800

                                                                      cheers
                                                                      Comment
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