Leans for Thursday 3/5/09

OperatorX · 03-05-09, 10:31 PM

congtats NO backers.. this one looks to be done with.

pho3nix32 · 03-05-09, 10:31 PM

chris paul is the best point guard in the nba!

OperatorX · 03-05-09, 10:32 PM

Im taking over 5 San Jose

pho3nix32 · 03-05-09, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

dont worry nonsense, im right here - waiting for something bad to happen to my hornets here.....could they possibly blow this lead as well? we'll find out in 5 min.

you're crazy dex! but good job on the hornets play!

nonsense48 · 03-05-09, 10:43 PM

tom gardner[motley fool] is very informative. i stay far away from the stock tout jim cramer. i think he's paid by losers to hawk their worthless companies/stock.

nonsense48 · 03-05-09, 10:45 PM

congrats DEX

Portlander · 03-05-09, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by hockeytown11

Might be time to start fading my pick fellas after about a 77 percent feb im hovering around 44 percent last 7 or 8 days

Everyone has a bad stretch once in a while. Keep track of your picks and don't worry about it. It is almost impossible to stay at 77%. At somepoint something has to bring you down closer to 60.

At least you follow Hockey and know a lot. Even if I don't follow anyone blindly I like to watch it now and doing a little capping and seeing that HT is on the same thing is nice to see.

Hornets cash whooooo....

BmoreBucco · 03-05-09, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

BmoreBucco,

He's still a productive player. Marbury is a locker room cancer but because of his talent he ended up on a championship caliber team. It just happens...If Boldin gets away, you think that Warner would be mad if the team signed T.O.?

"He's still a productive player" is all he's got going for him brother. Unfortunately, he also has been one of the most selfish, unbridled players ever.

Put it this way, I was watching Mike & Mike yesterday and they were womdering where T.O. might go. I thought... not only would the Steelers never think about the possibility of signing T.O.

They would fire any employee that brought it up.

bmw530i · 03-05-09, 10:51 PM

Fellas I hope your night is better than mine so far 1-3-1 with 2 pending. Wanted to say hi and leave you with a little something.
Now I know why I bought those Georgetown Nike kicks back in the day. Her shirt reminds me of G-Town colors.

Odraca · 03-05-09, 10:53 PM

her lips remind me of....
mmmm

peetlui · 03-05-09, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by BmoreBucco

"He's still a productive player" is all he's got going for him brother. Unfortunately, he also has been one of the most selfish, unbridled players ever.

Put it this way, I was watching Mike & Mike yesterday and they were womdering where T.O. might go. I thought... not only would the Steelers never think about the possibility of signing T.O.

They would fire any employee that brought it up.

I agree 100%, he's a drama queen, a media hog, a team chemistry destroyer and he'll go down as one of the more talented players who went nowhere and it will serve him right. The unfortunate thing is he will always be looking to shift the blame to others and never take accountability for his failures.

BmoreBucco · 03-05-09, 11:03 PM

Originally posted by BmoreBucco

Another prop for you:

If you think the stats from the first match-up aren't keeping these lines down, you're out of your mind.

Mike Tisdale over 14.5 points + rebounds

Winner Winner Chicken Dinner

TheLemonDropKid · 03-05-09, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by hockeytown11

Might be time to start fading my pick fellas after about a 77 percent feb im hovering around 44 percent last 7 or 8 days

i am adding sj-.5 1st period(greek) and over 1.5 1st period la/dall game(greek)

People would be foolish to fade your picks bro.....you've done really well. Everybody hits these rough spots.

I just wish this bad luck mojo would stop following me around!!!

On one hand, it's comforting knowing that other people are able to relate to what I'm feeling.......but on the other hand it F..KIN SUCKS to feel like I've got some contagious disease that could be affecting people in a negative way!

I'm usually a very positive person, but I feel like the devil is trying to break my spirit through gambling or something........I know that sounds crazy.

TodaysAction · 03-05-09, 11:09 PM

Some "good" stocks to look into would be your utility companies. If you're looking at/for a short-term gain, check out gas (heat) companies and pick them up in the spring and ride it out through the following winter. Electric company stocks are steady gainers (traditionally).

Jimbo42 · 03-05-09, 11:15 PM

U...C...L...motha effing..A!!
Boo Ya!
43-19 at the half

BmoreBucco · 03-05-09, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by peetlui

I agree 100%, he's a drama queen, a media hog, a team chemistry destroyer and he'll go down as one of the more talented players who went nowhere and it will serve him right. The unfortunate thing is he will always be looking to shift the blame to others and never take accountability for his failures.

When T.O. looks in the mirror and looks for excuses, he already has the answer.

peetlui · 03-05-09, 11:18 PM

congrats to all UCLA backers

Jimbo42 · 03-05-09, 11:18 PM

nonsense48 · 03-05-09, 11:19 PM

nugs look good so far

peetlui · 03-05-09, 11:24 PM

Originally posted by BmoreBucco

When T.O. looks in the mirror and looks for excuses, he already has the answer.

Yeah but it's not in his psychological makeup to see it that way....."the problem is not within our stars but within ourselves".

cocknocker · 03-05-09, 11:25 PM

USC-8.5 2nd half

masr · 03-05-09, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by peetlui

congrats to all UCLA backers

AussieDave · 03-05-09, 11:26 PM

Aussie Dave

hi to all from oz, this is a late post as NOL have already saluted 3.15pm in oz, I enjoy the forum, any reply welcome, GL today

New to sportsbet, worked out what I like so running with that.

fyi

I play ML only or 2/3 leg ML parlays

1 play for me 2day

1 unit ($100) NBA parlay

ML NOL @ 1.36 / DEN @ 1.28

Cheers

AD

cocknocker · 03-05-09, 11:27 PM

Thanks for the picture of Meagan Goode BMW! Man is she fine!

cocknocker · 03-05-09, 11:29 PM

Thanks for the tip, Today'sAction! That gives me another thing to look at for tomorrow morning!

The_Kid · 03-05-09, 11:29 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

College Basketball ML Parlay of the Night (-131)

Arizona State Sun Devils (-600)
Arizona Wildcats (-195)

So much for this parlay. Sun Devils laid a big stinker today at home!

BmoreBucco · 03-05-09, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

USC-8.5 2nd half

I got it at 8 CK, let's do this.

BrandonLaz · 03-05-09, 11:35 PM

Well started out strong with the big Hornets win. Denver looks hot early need them to keep it up for me. Oregon State looks like they are going to cost me I don't see them outscoring UCLA in the second half for the cover.

gruper · 03-05-09, 11:36 PM

I'm looking at PTB 4Q in advance, seems like one of those blow outs were the scrubs cover in the 4th

maybe not, we'll see

peetlui · 03-05-09, 11:37 PM

Welcome AussieDave

Jimbo42 · 03-05-09, 11:44 PM

Got my eye on Golden State vs. Detroit tomorrow...Call me crazy...but I'm lookin for a cover...

suckatmyjob · 03-05-09, 11:46 PM

Jim cramer is awful anyone listens to him should prepare to lose lose lose

on the other note lots of other good traders out there and reading material - IBD - investment business daily and Dan Zanger is great very insightful and you learn a lot

yea awful day today trading and bball

first start off the night w/big lost in SC any time I think a line is too good to be true I need to say it is and even w/changes in line i still 2nd guess myself

new orleans man now there's one line i was scared off and ends up winning easily i guess that's how things go

what's the chances of Arizona winning by 6 pts hehe then i'll win whole game and 2nd half

TheLemonDropKid · 03-05-09, 11:47 PM

Okay........here's some serious capping talk from me for a change.

MLB season 2007......I implemented an interesting, yet simple, system and it worked very well. My bookie at the time thought that I had some type of inside info, because I would win bets on +200 dogs. I used the 1st Quarter of the baseball seaon as my historical data. What I would do is track each individual team and what their winning percentage AND losing percentage was after 1 Win or Loss, 2 Wins or Loss, etc......So basically someone like the Red Sox would follow one win with a loss 22% of the time, 2 wins with a loss 26% of the time, 3 wins with a loss 35% of the time, 4 wins with a loss 49% of the time.....and there losses would look more like 1 loss followed by a win 38% of the time....2 losses followed by a win 48% of the time.......3 losses followed by a win 65% of the time.

Anyway.....what I would do is find the games where the variance was the greatest difference between......for instance, maybe the Royals were playing the Yankees.....Royals = shitty team that year....Yanks = pretty good team. The Royals go into the game having LOST 5 in a row (where 72% of the time they follow up with a WIN in the 6th game) against the Yanks who have WON 4 in a row (where 59% of the time they follow up with a LOSS in the 5th game). Well, I would be betting the Royals +200 and winning.....NO MATTER WHO WAS PITCHING OR CLOSING! I tried to alter it based on pitchers and it seemed to screw it up.....I just needed to go with the basic percentages.......

Anyway......I can go deeper....like if it lost......the whole JM/Martingale/chase stuff......but I'm going to bed early tonight.

But this system did very, very well.......I have no idea why I stopped using it. It's like I get a bad case of dumbass.

Oh.....quickly....I was thinking it could relate to other sports as well by using ATS data......Like the Cavs cover the spread 70% after an ATS win, 62% after 2 ATS wins, 56% after 3 ATS wins etc....

gruper · 03-05-09, 11:47 PM

nevermind..

nonsense48 · 03-05-09, 11:49 PM

aj hits a monster to end the 1/2