Leans for Thursday 3/5/09

[suckatmyjob]

this stock market is a POS - dow breaks 7k now goes lower next step 5k so small not even sure its a support then 4k then 2k here is where I think a support is but doubt we all be happy if it is here

man i dont analyze games half as much as you guys....I like small board like tonight...I'll analyze and i'll see what the last 15 mins or so line changes to not sure if it's a great idea but hey it's been working so why fix it if it's not broken and i seen a few other cappers on here doing the same Schaap and Bigmo i think which even helps b/c at least I know i'm not going into this game blindly.

Going to try this recap and see how things go usually when I do this it's not ever good.
Portland vs Denver: leans Under and Denver
Previous 2 games these 2 met - both under - most of Portland divison games have been under last 10 i believe is 8-2.
Last Denver game was against LA Lakers and Denver held LA lakers to very low scoring (i know b/c i was on La lakers that game ) Most of Denver's most recent game has been under, the Detroit one was over but that line was 195. Yes it seems like Denver can really score at will but ever since they got Chauncey this has been a different squad they turn their defense up a notch against top tier teams and I think it's mainly b/c of billups ability to control the ball and the clock and this will lead Denver to the W. Portland played Indiana to the wire last night and barely came off with a Win so I think they will be tired and trip to Denver and the air here wont help

is that enough for an analysis? man even with this analysis and last min line changes will make me change my play haha

best of luck anyway

[BmoreBucco]

Did the Cowboys really release Terrell Owens with no number one wide receiver to replace him? That was an idiot move. They're giving the Arizona Cardinals all that they need should they decide to sign Owens. My guess is that some kind of way he ends upon a team within the same decision. Now THAT would be good. Romo is a....well whatever. T.O. shouldn't have been crying over his ass. He is the biggest choke quarterback in the NFL

CK, with all due respect, are you kidding me? Is this post a drunkin' joke? Your rationale is the same reason a fourth team will sign a player that is an absolute cancer to a team. I'd go with the burn me once t's on me, burn me twice analogy, but it is at the point now, if you don't have the business intellect that tells you "no" with this cat, you deserve it.

I absolutely love the fact that not only would the Steelers never, ever entertain signing this "look at me m-fer", they would fire any employee that ever brought up the idea!

[Dexter]

i think the cowboys still have a number one receiver in roy williams - he was acquired from det with the expectation of being the new number 1 once TO was gone.

[OperatorX]

where's hockeytown when ya need him

[handimann]

where's hockeytown when ya need him

dude you are like hockeytown's biggest fan

i think he went to cause some destruction after last night's debacle

[OperatorX]

yeah, I love that guy, he's awesome.. haha he nailed a 3 game parlay for me on tuesday that im still happy about.

[wangichu]

i think the cowboys still have a number one receiver in roy williams - he was acquired from det with the expectation of being the new number 1 once TO was gone.

EXACTLY! I've heard he's been very rigorous in his work this offseason, I think he makes dallas fans forget TO on the quick. By the way, has anyone ever heard of their tight end, some dude named Jason Witten?

Boys will not only be fine, but much better w/o TO. Romo won't be worried about the TO pass quotient to keep him from whining and will just spread the field and do fine. Ya'll have seen what Donnie Mac has done in philly with no witten, no williams. If people want to say romo is better or at least even comparable (something i'll never agree with) he should be able to make use of a couple marginal guys to complement two guys who could easily draw double teams on a daily basis.

and as for the notion of TO in zona, come on man, you're a great capper, but i couldn't fathom you as a GM if you'd risk those kinds of chemistry problems on a team with fitz, and breaston guaranteed, and possibly boldin. There's just no reason to sabatoge that teams locker room of an amazing season that they all want to build off. could DEFINITELY see knoshon though. That would be a great move for them.

TO to the raiders is about all i could see right now, but i'm sure some desparate squad will make the risk.

[hockeytown11]

pucks for tonight

Philly over 5.5
Wash over 6.5
Columbus +110 ml
Pitt over 5.5

[handimann]

pucks for tonight

Philly over 5.5
Wash over 6.5
Columbus +110 ml
Pitt over 5.5

i think operatorx just creamed his pants

thanks ht

[Jimbo42]

HT,
Whats your feeling if any on Dallas /LAKings?? Stars just broke that losing streak with a win vs. San Jose....

[repski]

Rangers/Islanders under 5.5
Yann Dannis has been great in goal for the Islanders. He’s given up only 6 goals in his last 5 starts.
The under is 14-2 in the Rangers’ last 16 road games
The under is 10-4 in the Islanders’ last 14 home games.
The Under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in NY, between the two teams

[cocknocker]

BmoreBucco,

He's still a productive player. Marbury is a locker room cancer but because of his talent he ended up on a championship caliber team. It just happens...If Boldin gets away, you think that Warner would be mad if the team signed T.O.?

[The_Kid]

College Basketball ML Parlay of the Night (-131)

Arizona State Sun Devils (-600)
Arizona Wildcats (-195)

I'm also liking these prop bets for tonight:

LaMarcus Aldridge -2.5 Points + Rebounds OVER Nene Hilario

Honestly, I think this is a gift much like the one I played with Troy Murphy a couple nights ago. Aldridge has been playing great ball ever since Oden went down with a knee injury. More importantly, he's started to rebound the ball more. With Melo coming back tonight, Hilario will not get as many touches. I can see Hilario getting somewhere around 14/10 and Aldridge responding with 20/8.

Kenyon Martin UNDER 12 Points

Kenyon Martin hasn't looked the same ever since he returned after missing a game with back spasms on 2/22. I think the injury is still bothering him to some effect. In the five games that he has played since missing that one game, he has put up 5 points, 10 points, 7 points, 8 points, and 6 points respectively and he has shot 15-45 from the floor during that span. Even when Melo was out the past two games, he still couldn't manage to hit double figures. Melo is coming back and that means more shots will have to go around. A bad back is bad for any NBA player and performing at a high level is difficult. Martin is struggling and it won't be good for him on the defensive end either because he'll be guarding Aldridge.

[wangichu]

BmoreBucco,

He's still a productive player. Marbury is a locker room cancer but because of his talent he ended up on a championship caliber team. It just happens...If Boldin gets away, you think that Warner would be mad if the team signed T.O.?

i see that as a very different situation. Marbury was signed for a very minimal contract and is willing to be a bench reserve behind an already existing set of starters.

No way in hell TO will wind up being happy as anything but a starter and no way in hell Rosenhaus lets him sign for that cheap. Marbury is a non-liability to boston and if he looks cancerous for a second, they can cut him and move on with minimal loss, that could never work for TO. Either a team signs him preseason and accepts all potential liabilities or it doesn't happen. and yes i think warner would mind if they messed with TO, regardless of bolden, the money could be much better spent and they already have better receivers than 70% of teams around the league. At worst they can draft one this year if it's that important to them.

[cocknocker]

Anyway back to the NBA, I think that Dallas will win the 1st half as does BigMoney, but I'm not gonna touch the 1st half though....

[cocknocker]

Citicorp stocks now under a dollar. Time for a straddle option! Somebody is gonna come along and buy that bank soon....

[The_Kid]

Latest News:
Coach Byron Scott doesn't expect Peja Stojakovic (back spasms) to play against the Mavericks on Thursday. The good news is that even if he doesn't go on Thursday, Scott says there's "a great chance" Peja will suit up against the Thunder on Saturday.

[BmoreBucco]

Another prop for you:

If you think the stats from the first match-up aren't keeping these lines down, you're out of your mind.

Mike Tisdale over 14.5 points + rebounds

[texhooper]

so the line has skyrocketed in the denver/portland game...any insight as to why? i can't seem to figure it out.

[The_Kid]

If you think the stats from the first match-up aren't keeping these lines down, you're out of your mind.

Are you talking to me?

What do you think of those props, BmoreBucco?

[nonsense48]

yeah, the government of china lol citicorp of china has a nice ring to it.

[isiah121]

What you guys think about Dallas Mavericks +6.5? I noticed Dallas has lost to New Orleans 4 straight (including last playoffs games) times in the past. With revenge on their mind, Dallas should play hard tonight. If Dallas lose it should be no more than 6 points. Plus, only 36% betters are on Dallas.

Can I heard your thoughts CK, Phe3nix, and everyone else?

[Jimbo42]

so the line has skyrocketed in the denver/portland game...any insight as to why? i can't seem to figure it out.

Tex, i really watch line movements as i make alot of my plays based on movement in regards to the early projected line... Thursday TNT games rarely have movement like this. They are normally so tight. Tonight lots of movement on both games. I will usually play a big move (like 3 points) from a projected line but mostly when there is more money on the OTHER side(RLM). That is what I based my Mavs play last night on. Tonight all the money is coming in on home teams and the linemaker is really quick to move on them. Must be a little nervous.

[Jimbo42]

yeah, the government of china lol citicorp of china has a nice ring to it.

China is hurting now too. With the US in the toilet we aren't buying their goods. We are single handedly crushing the worlds economy...

[hockeytown11]

Someone asked about Stars/Kings I am actually leaning on taking the Kings in this game,I have not played it yet but was trying to see how the night went first

[texhooper]

well jimbo, if you're right, and it's due to no real reason other than that (i couldn't come up with anything on my own, so i figured i'd ask), than that's not going to shake me off of portland. i didn't think it was rlm, but wanted to make sure.

i'm sticking to new orleans and my incorrect call of portland.

thanks for helping me out, jimbo!!
best of luck

[alittlemoresound]

Ck... please reply...

thinking about MLB season today. I took some $$ aside in another fresh book for MLB.

I have about 2Geez.. in relative terms... with your mad skillz and my new quad core pc and hour of dedicated work and effort and research and experience.....

i have made a bit of $ this year. ive only had my book since dec08. and ive already cashed 2 times and bought a sick computer and paid some shit off. now im looking to get a little bigger increase the pile abit
make up for this FKCUED up ECON. im in cali brother... this shit is worse than alot of people think...

what do you think one can do with 2 GEEZ? the sky is the limit with you.. but maybe you could guestimate
im trying really hard to make another this month. off to a good start... so maybe i could have 4. but 2 is good for now.... - sound

[Jimbo42]

Tex, i'm not playing either game. They don't fit into the kind of game i look for so good luck to you sir!

[showtime2000]

Someone asked about Stars/Kings I am actually leaning on taking the Kings in this game,I have not played it yet but was trying to see how the night went first

Good evening all, hockeytown, i like LA, they have lost 4 striaght home games, but they also lost 4straight games, but they have been close losses. Dallas played an uninspired San Jose team thay other night and Dal typical owns SJ but Dallas does not fair well in LA going 1-4 last 5.


On the Columbus game, i am really liking the over. the only way Columbus beats them tonight is to playing offense. The last 8 games forColumbus they have given up 3 or more 7 times and Nashville have been a scoring machine at home their last 4.

[wangichu]

lean on portland in the first half, using the carry over effect from a great 4th quarter comeback last night. They have done pretty well as road dogs in the first half this year, and since they didn't get the 1st half cover last time in denver, i think they are in a pretty good position to do so here.

POR +4 1st half

as far as the other game goes, i have two inclinations. One is that 6.5 is too much to give dallas on the road here with vengence on the mind. outside of game 5 last year, when they were 7 point dogs in NO and covered, the mavs haven't been dogs of this many points since 1999 when as 10 point dogs in NO they lost by 5, when dallas was coming in on a btb off a blowout of houston at home the day before. The line has hardly moved, just barely inching above the key number. Seems a little crazy, but if dirk gets hot i know he could keep them in it late even if they don't win

DAL +6.5 (won't risk ML money because i don't think they win)

[OperatorX]

Rangers/Islanders under 5.5
Yann Dannis has been great in goal for the Islanders. He’s given up only 6 goals in his last 5 starts.
The under is 14-2 in the Rangers’ last 16 road games
The under is 10-4 in the Islanders’ last 14 home games.
The Under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in NY, between the two teams

Love this pick, must have slipped by me.. gl

[nonsense48]

Good luck tonite everyone. Blessed be and peace!

[isiah121]

I'm glad you're with me on Dallas.

lean on portland in the first half, using the carry over effect from a great 4th quarter comeback last night. They have done pretty well as road dogs in the first half this year, and since they didn't get the 1st half cover last time in denver, i think they are in a pretty good position to do so here.

POR +4 1st half

as far as the other game goes, i have two inclinations. One is that 6.5 is too much to give dallas on the road here with vengence on the mind. outside of game 5 last year, when they were 7 point dogs in NO and covered, the mavs haven't been dogs of this many points since 1999 when as 10 point dogs in NO they lost by 5, when dallas was coming in on a btb off a blowout of houston at home the day before. The line has hardly moved, just barely inching above the key number. Seems a little crazy, but if dirk gets hot i know he could keep them in it late even if they don't win

DAL +6.5 (won't risk ML money because i don't think they win)

[hockeytown11]

please tell me ovechkin was hurt DURING the game,f uk the nhl is by far the worst sport for getting accurate info,ovechkin was playing tonight from every f ing site on the web yet ive watched the entire 2nd period and havent seen him once,thats like betting on the bulls to go over the total in the late 90s and after the game starts u find out jordan is out,f ucking joke

[TheLemonDropKid]

please tell me ovechkin was hurt DURING the game,f uk the nhl is by far the worst sport for getting accurate info,ovechkin was playing tonight from every f ing site on the web yet ive watched the entire 2nd period and havent seen him once,thats like betting on the bulls to go over the total in the late 90s and after the game starts u find out jordan is out,f ucking joke

No disrespect bro........but it was actually on the ESPN front web page before game time. I pulled the ESPN site up right after reading your picks and saw it there, but I thought you took that into account. I don't question you......

Unfortunately, I only had enough bank to go with one of your picks and I'm sure I probably chose the wrong one, lol.

I went with the over in the PHI/FL game......no score through the 1st period.