mikeya2k survival of the fittest nba thread 13-14

[mikeya2k]

Lets GET EM.

Betting 1-10x

Mostly 1-5x. Going to have few plays early in the season big. I like to find soft lines.

Starting the season right tonight. bol to all
Will be keeping my YTD record on here and editing as I go along.

YTD

-5 units

(1-4)

SEASON LONG PROPS:

Houston wins over 54.5 (2.3 units to win 2)

Houston wins Southwest (2 units to win 2)

Clippers over 57 wins (2.2 units to win 2)

San Antonio wins under 55.5 (2.2 units to win 2)

Washington Wizards wins over 41 (2.2 units to win 2)

Trailblazers wins over 38.5 (2.2 units to win 2)

[mikeya2k]

october 29

Clippers 1Q -3 (3.3 units to win 3)

Clippers are exuberant for this season. They have championship or bust. Lakers are terrible and have a terrible defense...Boston homer here, follow Lakers. Not much to be excited about. Defense is terrible. Will severely miss Ron Artest and Dwight more than people think. Once they get Kobe back different story. Hopefully they shoot a high % to come out the gate. Addition of Doc Rivers will let them come out very strong.

Lakers TT under 95.5 (1.1 units to win 1)

I know Doc Rivers coaching style. He knows the Lakers very well. Not this group, but trust me, this will be a new look Clippers team. They will shut down the Lakers. This will be on pace all game. Hoping it stays somewhat close, however. Would take game under, but I think Clippers could put it over if it gets out of hand.

Heat / Bulls under 189 (1.2 unit to win 1)

I think the Heat are the safest side here, have leaned them ever since the line came out but I am staying away. I will be upset if the heat cover the 5 points, but I take the under here because this game has been hyped all year. This is a potential Eastern Conference Finals game. Yes. They know this, they have known this. The hype of D Rose, yes. I think this game is a slugfest with a VERY defense minded Thib dictating the game through Rose. I think this game will start out slow fg%, with a lot of guys pressing...and intensity on defense from the get-go.....down to the wire finish...defense should tighten up late and keep this under.

[mikeya2k]

Adding:

Heat -5 (1.1 unit to win 1)

I've said the heat were going to play well this matchup. Would be upset if it hits and I dont play it. I think all the D Rose hype is overrated. Not him, but the hype of him. Bigger story here: Miami begins season of 3peat. There stalling will occur mid season, boys. Not tonight. Was thinking there first half -3, but it was too juiced. Thinking the 5 might be to much to ask for in what should be a competitive game. LBJ, DWADE, BOSH, SPOELS, they know the talk is on the Bulls and Roses return. Lets see how the defending champs come out

[mikeya2k]

I leaned Orlando with the 12.5 if it moved to 13. Wish I played them. All the talk was on Indiana and how they were gonna just wipe the floor with these guys. Too many points in an opening game if u ask me. But too late.

[mikeya2k]

Clippers / Lakers starting line up

Steve Nash, Steve Blake, Nick Young, Shawne Williams, Pau Gasol

D'antoni has said in interviews he is going to be expiriementing lineups and going deep in the bench.

I do not see this game being competitive. The home opener thing doesnt scare me away, as I think they'll be plenty more there to see the Clipshow.

[mikeya2k]

Not a bad first half to start my season

[mikeya2k]

All I need is under 36 points in the last 5:50
Chicago gets a 5 point possesion refs blowing the whistle.

To think I was going to try and middle this at halftime (but reasoned , and said jeez they wont score 110 or so in the 2H ...) and now might lose both

[mikeya2k]

VERY upset. Should have went for that middle. How does this game not stay under the total

[mikeya2k]

NBA IS A JOKE


4 FOULS IN THE DOUBLE BONUS 9000 FEET AWAY FROM THE HOOP.

[mikeya2k]

CALLING FOULS 90 FEET AWAY FROM THE HOOP 3 TIMES IN LAST FOUR MINUTES. ABSOLUTE JOKE

[mikeya2k]

Adding

Clippers -9.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
I almost played the clippers 1q,2q,3q,4q but i took the route of just taking them -9.5
This should be a DD win easily. I dont see a back door. I honestly think this might be the worst starting 5 of the year.

[mikeya2k]

Gasol looks like kobe out there

[JabooFootball]

BoL. On clips as well.

[mikeya2k]

Thanks you too.
Clip missing bunnies.
not going to help my 1q

[mikeya2k]

Thanks you too.
Clip missing bunnies.
not going to help my 1q

And free throws...

[mikeya2k]

oh do i miss the nba

blake griffin 0 for 4 free throws.

matt barnes comes in the game and hands away (literally) 2 points and momentum.

[mikeya2k]

ok good bye boys done with nba

u see the end to that 1q?

up 6 with 45 seconds left.matt barnes penetrate u

[mikeya2k]

Not a bad first half to start my season

The tide turns quickly. Especially in NBA.
Should have gone for that middle.
Fugged myself.

Will hope to win a few back tonight.

[mikeya2k]

picks comin up

[mikeya2k]

October 30
locked these up write-ups coming in a little

Parlay (Thunder ML / Blazers ML / Knicks ML) (1.2 units to win 2 units)

Not a big ML parlay guy in NBA. Especially two road teams with fishy lines. Still, observing lineups and talent. I do not see these teams losing SU.

BKLYN UNDER 196 (1.1 unit to win 1)

Want to take BKLYN ML bad I do not think they lose here to open up. KG and Pierce always take care of biz on opening night. Cavs are good though and I look forward to seeing what they do. Should be a hard fought tight game

Lakers over 204 (1 unit to win 1)

Warriors could score this much themselves. just kidding. but seriously, opening night, these guys looking forward to a big season...lakers run around rampant....should cash

Blazers -5.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)

Suns are terrible. Flat out abysmal. Don't care if there home or away. Post up game of Blazers way to much. Should go bigger. Learned lastnight after getting burned on a 1Q play against a very untalented lineup.

[mikeya2k]

Celts Ml 1 unit to win 3.3

[mikeya2k]

nugs +3
hawks+6

not sold on oppositions

both 1.1-1 unit

[mikeya2k]

Going to go for a middle here. Just cause im not so sold on the initial play.

Dallas -5 2H (1 unit to win 1)

[mikeya2k]

Going to go for a middle here. Just cause im not so sold on the initial play.

Dallas -5 2H (1 unit to win 1)

[mikeya2k]

Blazers -5.5 2H (1.1 unit to win 1)

[mikeya2k]

YTD (3-7)

-8 units

[mikeya2k]

Halloween Let the Horror Stories of NBA begin

10/31/13

Under 189 Bulls / Knicks (1.1 unit to win 1)

So I do not see either of these teams reaching triple digits. i see a competitive game playing out. Both sides with a lot of intensity on Defense. Also, besides Melo and D Rose....I do not think either team has a legitimate scoring threat. This may become a 2-3 unit play.

[mikeya2k]

Adding

Knicks +8 (1.1 unit to win 1)

NOt sold on bulls offense playing well against Knicks.

[sando]

Halloween Let the Horror Stories of NBA begin

10/31/13

Under 189 Bulls / Knicks (1.1 unit to win 1)

So I do not see either of these teams reaching triple digits. i see a competitive game playing out. Both sides with a lot of intensity on Defense. Also, besides Melo and D Rose....I do not think either team has a legitimate scoring threat. This may become a 2-3 unit play.

I like this play too, good luck Mikey.

[mikeya2k]

I like this play too, good luck Mikey.

Thanks
Bargnarni is terrible for the nyk

[mikeya2k]

Clip 1Q .6 to win .5

[sando]

Thanks
Bargnarni is terrible for the nyk

He had a 5 minute stretch tonight where he was untouchable. That's how he gets paid. He sucks at most things, however when he gets hot he is untouchable, almost Nowitzki like

[mikeya2k]

YTD (3-7)

-8 units

Screwed this us. Denver covered. Forgot they were getting points.

SHould have been


YTD: -6 units

(4-6)

[mikeya2k]

Should have put more on that under. saw tons of value in the line.

I'll take the 3-0 night though

(7-6)

-3.5 units

[mikeya2k]

Warriors kings under 206.5
Cavs+8.5
Pelicans -8
Bulls under 196
Bucks +1
Rockets ml 2.6 to win 1 unit