Leans for Friday 1/23/09 CK versus hockeytown11 Challenge

[cocknocker]

Ssshhh, jaymac,

Don't say that word.......







unless you've got some...

[jaymac82980]

not me. clean as a whistle. Not worth the risk.

[jaymac82980]

But I used to. HAHA. SHABAHHHHH

[jaymac82980]

ck, what do you think about this shady line business? If I thought about it last night, I would have gone with lakers -16 and gone to bed early. Tonight, somebody has got The Hammer spooked enough to give Golden State an extra 1.5 pts.

[NYCKEV]

Life is a risk

[jaymac82980]

nyckev, risk doesn't always mean what you think.

[peeiempee]

Ellis plays for Golden State...him coming back should mess up the Warriors rotation...so that should make the Cavs pick a better pick...I do not understand how that makes you like the Cavs less...

That's one way to look at the game. Another way is that Ellis has been practicing with the team and wouldn't be a stranger to the rotation. On top of that, warriors don't really have a "rotation" Nelly plays everybody and anybody who is getting the job done on the court. Evident by his change in starting line ups and injury plagued players on the warriors (Jackson. Maggette, Watson, Azu, Wright, Crawford). Another thing is warriors tend to play up and down to the competition. Beat boston and hung with much of the playoff caliber team, gets beat by OKC, Sac and Minn. Warriors can light it up at home and their franchise player coming back would just fuel their energy and momentum. With their "starting 5" back who knows what they are capable of. I see this game as money better spent elsewhere. But we'll see at 10:30ET.

[NYCKEV]

Jaymac, u take a risk wit every wager, why not something that's guaranteed profit?

I like Hou tonight

[showtime2000]

Ok, here's my final card for tonight,

Houston (Ck, when you post BIG then i have to tail you)
Charlotte (something about this game that wants me to take them! They have been good lately and Phonix has not)
Minnesota (too many injuries for NO as noted)
Memphis/NY OVer (CK)
Cleveland 1st qtr


GLA!

[fusion]

hey ck what do you think of marist -7 and yale -6 in cbb?

[nonsense48]

well gang, time to close up shop here and grab a bite to eat with my lovely lady. i'll post my wagers when i get to the ranch. as it stands now i'm going with det large hou atl cle GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

[cocknocker]

fusion,

I have no opinion to share on those games. I didn't pay much attention to the college games today

[jaymac82980]

Im with you on houston too.

fusion, I took yale -5.5. I stayed away from marist.

[peeiempee]

New update, Harris is playing, but has a rib injury, but he's gonna play through it. Shot 1-11 against NO. Dooling also has swelling in this leg. Still gonna play this light Nets +11.5

[schaapattack]

The public is wrong again....under 186 dallas/detroit.

[ManBearPig]

hey ck what do you think of marist -7 and yale -6 in cbb?

Of the two I like Yale the best. They did just beat Brown on the road by 8 pts last week. Now they get them at home where they are 3-1 to brown's 1-7 road record. Also note that Brown is attrocious ATS at 1-6 while Yale is 4-1. All signs point to Yale but that's why they play the game. GL

The little I looked at for the Marist game nothing stood out except the fact that they havne't covered a single game they've been favored in this year...Maris that is. I would've taken Canisius if I did play it. Also like Clev St and Rider, which seems to be the big one tonight with a few players (multiple starters) slated to miss the game.

[cocknocker]

Not quite sure I understand your question, jaymac. But as far as if the Warriors are a good play against the Cavs, I'll put it to you this way, if I have to wager against the Cavs, then I won't wager on it at all. The Cavs have the defense to be able to blow out the Warriors, but the Warriors give up so many layups to the opposition, that I feel this one will go over the total. No one on the Warriors can bench press over 200 lbs outside of Rony Turiaf or Maggette. That in its'self means that the Warriors will be hard pressed to win the rebounding battle. In my opinion, I can't see how the Cavs won't get their team total with a ton of layups against the Warriors jello defense.

[africanroller]

Locked in Houston Pick
NO/Minny o/193.5

Still debating on Charlotte/Indiana

Will play OK City later

[jaymac82980]

ck, i may have worded the shady line thing wrong...my local has the cavs at -7.5 (cavs are -6 everywhere else), but the past few times his lines have been off by 1.5 - 2pts, the team losing points has won big. like last night, lakers were -16 with my local, and -14 everywhere else. I took the wizards thinking I was outsmarting my local, but then the lakers killed it. Tonight, as discussed with RIO Dinero, I wont be falling for my locals trap, and I will be taking the added points of Cavs -7.5. Sounds like I could be setting myself up for a loss, but someone spooked my bookie.

[jaymac82980]

so the cavs - 7.5 will be Hammers Shady Line bet. I'm looking for every angle to get money from this guy!

[mmaddness08]

i have vannes and lille is a 2 team french soccer parlay thats about to start,thats how big a degenorate i am. I have to much time on my hands,i own my own business so i can be here during the day while i work,night gets a little tougher since the kids need some of my attention,lol

Shoot, soccer is one of the best sports to make money in. I bet a play just about everyday. You can get some tough odds alot of the times, but I make money every season on it. Some good systems out there as well for soccer favorites. If I was to play parlays, and I don't, that would be the sport I parlay in especially since home favorites do well when they are in good form.

[jaymac82980]

also, just to point out - not a huge difference, but my local had houston +1 15 minutes ago, now it is houston -1. Thats a big line jump for a small timeframe.

[johnnyP]

I believe Detroit and Houston will have good games tonight and control from the get go.

Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas got abused last game and there will be a carry over effect into this game where the Pistons will finally score points in bunches. Look for AI to have a big game.

Detroit Pistons -1 -115 for 1st Quarter

Detroit Pistons -2 -110 for 1st Half

Detroit Pistons -3½ -110 for Game


Houston @ Indiana
After reading all the stats and game previews across the web and looking up stat comparisons there are 2 things that really stand out on this game for me.
1. CK is playing it BIG
2. Its a JohnMorr A-bet

Houston Rockets pk -125 for 1st Quarter

Houston Rockets -½ -110 for 1st Half

Houston Rockets -120 for Game

Good Luck gentlemen!

[jalein]

Is NJ a Morrison "B" wager tonight?

I am blasting Houston with a 2 pt buy

[cocknocker]

Beginning to think that Sportsinsights is full of bullbleep. I went onto the site earlier today and found the Kings as opening at +9, then i go back a few minutes ago, and they are showing the line as opening at 8.5, which is a pure distortion of the truth. I do see that there is 82% of bettors on the King's side, which of course prompted the spread to go down to 8.5 which is where it is now. But it doesn't show the actual movement on that game. What the site does show is the Utah line correctly with respect to the opening number, and movement from 1 to where it is now at 2.

Can't give a half truth when in this world of ours. I don't like that. I know what I saw, because it went up on my greaseboard. Looks like a call to their offices may be in order. That is misleading information.

[mmaddness08]

Playing Rockets on the Morrison A Bet- Get Houston while you can with this value as well before McGrady and Artest get back. D. Morey deserves GM of the year for picking up journeyman Von Wafer who has been better then McGrady this year. Without McGrady, they can finally run Adlemans motion offense, Houston been putting up points.

Like Milwaukee going to buy 1/2 pt to Mil +6

Taking Nets on B Play for Morrison- Spurs are horrible against the spread and constantly overvalued.

No college tonight- but looking at Wright St tommorow, get some of it...

Kick Ass everyone!!!!

[jaymac82980]

JohnnyP, I'm agreeing with you on Detroit covering tonight. I'm actually calling out a JAY PLAY. thats right.

Jay Play #3 (record so far 2-1)
Detroit -4.

Jay Play #4
Cavs -7.5 (hmmmmm, that line sounds a little shady)

I am so confident on these two bets I am willing to stake the Jay Play name on them.
ck, you may have to adjust those tourney lines after tonight, cuz I can see myself thumpimg a little chest before the night is over!

honorable mention : Houston -1 (tailed ck, but I like this one too)
Knicks over 203 (another tail of ck's - how can it be less than 203???)
cbb:
Yale -5.5
Rider +5

[jaymac82980]

ck, looks like we may have some secret plays tomorrow. my college lines for tomorrow just showed up on the site, no 1st half wagers yet, but I'm thinking Gozaga, Davidson, and possibly UAB may end up fitting the criteria. we will see i guess, just a heads up in case anyone wanted to get ready to hit them up before the sunrises and they change.

[woodyman]

nice start to the rockets

[ANDYW15]

What the hell has happened to the Phoenix Suns

[jalein]

My plays for tonight......

Houston
First, its and "A" Morrison wager. Next, I actually like Houston more without T-Mac. They play harder and better team ball. And, Houston is capable of playing defense and Indy is not. Next CK is backing them.

NJ
A Morrison B bet. SA is the most talented non spread covering team in the NBA. They play down to the level of their competition. While I expect them to win, I feel good about the NJ cover....especially with the 2 pt buy insurance. NJ does not instill fear but they do hustle.

NO
The line is misleading and stinks of a trap. NO is less than impressive on the road but Minny is not impressive either home or on the road. I like CP3 and company to bring this one home going away.

Phoe
small play -3 for the game on the road for me.

[jalein]

will also blast Cle 1st q

[nonsense48]

locked for this eve as follows:det-3' clev-6' dime each atl-5' hou-P-nickle each

[jaymac82980]

nonsense, nice to see were on similar games tonight! GL

[flavo-ice]

Ok Computer geeks. Can anyone tell me why the two sites work on IE but not AOL?

I would suggest downloading either mozilla firefox or google chrome and using those as your browser instead of IE or aol, which are both pieces of junk. Preference to firefox.