New nba power rating system

[-*MeMpHiS*-]

for this new spreadsheet why must you enter the o/u spread?

[Formulawiz]

for this new spreadsheet why must you enter the o/u spread?

You dont, but at some point if we decide to make some O/U plays we have it.

[Formulawiz]

Todays NBA Plays

Based on early lines these are todays NBA plays

CHA - 3 or < Pick no play
MIL + 4.5 or >

[peterpan19]

1-0 yesterday, nice day again, Cha went to pk on most sites I had, do you agree formulawiz ?
btw as long as the system is over 60 % you are making money, of course it would be better to hit like 70 but around 60/62 % is still good

[Formulawiz]

Todays NBA-PR chart

Yesterday system went 1-0
YTD 56-35 = 61.5

CHA lines ranged between -1 and +1 with the majority of casinos at Pick. Personally I took CHA +1 based on my other systems. Secondly, being that LAC are such a weak team there was no way they were going to cover for a 3rd time in a row.

Plays will be up after 2:00 pm est

Todays NBA=PR Chart

[Formulawiz]

1-0 yesterday, nice day again, Cha went to pk on most sites I had, do you agree formulawiz ?
btw as long as the system is over 60 % you are making money, of course it would be better to hit like 70 but around 60/62 % is still good

I believe the break even point is more like 52.7%.

[peterpan19]

true Formulawiz, but we still want to make some money here, right ?
for -110 it is something like 52.5 %
for -105 (like pinny or so) it is like 51.3 %
so 60 % is really good, and lets say you bet 500 per game so far on all system plays you would be up around 8000 and that in roughly one month ? who can say that he makes 8000 / month that easy ?
or even if you only bet 50 per game still up around 800 in a month, thats still your rent or isnt it ?

and thats just the NBA, if you include CBB (which I never got on board and I dont even know why I didnt, but was there a spreadsheet too or do you just use the PR's from their site ?) you could probably double that

[Cranium]

Wiz,
Why didn't you have MIL in the win column for yesterday? They won and were getting +6 or 5.5.
Shouldn't the record be 57-35?

[peterpan19]

Wiz,
Why didn't you have MIL in the win column for yesterday? They won and were getting +6 or 5.5.
Shouldn't the record be 57-35?

Mil was the win he accounted for, he dint account for the Char win (as they were a pk or worse by gametime on most onlinebooks and casinos)

[Formulawiz]

NBA plays today

Based on early lines
CLE - 8 or <

[schaapattack]

Where do you find the system

[Achilles15]

Based on early lines
CLE - 8 or <

ok , well, clev is -5 , so thats an easy win for us, thanks , i will load up on em

[Formulawiz]

Where do you find the system

Post #528

[schaapattack]

Formula do the stats on the spreadsheet automatically update?

[gameday10]

I have been doing college for about 3 weeks now and it has done well. My cutoff spread is -12, which I suppose I do not follow the rules here but from -10 to -12 has been well above 50% for it's plays. I have a bunch of records kept of college and when I get back home I will post the plays. The only play yesterday, if I remember correctly was West Virginia and it lost. Missouri was a play but went from -4.5 to -5.5 spread and it dropped out, thankfully.

[Formulawiz]

I have been doing college for about 3 weeks now and it has done well. My cutoff spread is -12, which I suppose I do not follow the rules here but from -10 to -12 has been well above 50% for it's plays. I have a bunch of records kept of college and when I get back home I will post the plays. The only play yesterday, if I remember correctly was West Virginia and it lost. Missouri was a play but went from -4.5 to -5.5 spread and it dropped out, thankfully.

Gameday your correct with W. Virginia. It would be interesting to know what the -10 to -12 records are.

[dre3000]

Based on early lines
CLE - 8 or <

So have you figured the plays out yet?

[schaapattack]

do u do college formulawiz? or just nba

[Cranium]

I looked at CBB for tonight and I came up with MiaOh and South Florida as plays. Can anyone confirm these?
Thanks and GL All!
Cranium

[djpremier36]

NBA plays Feb 10/09 *(notes)

ATL=play if the line is -6 or lower (ATL might be without Bibby)

CLE=play if the line is -8 or lower (CLE undefeated ATS after loss)

DEN=play if the line is at PK (DEN got killed last game)

SA=play if the line is at -4 or lower (SA hasn't lost to NJ in last 9)

SAC=play if the line is at +11.5 or higher (DAL w/out Terry)

LAL=play if the line is at -12 or lower (OKC is amazing ATS)



Lines must be checked 10 mins prior to tip off

[Cranium]

Sac and LAL cannot be plays because they are double digits.

[peterpan19]

LAL and Sac no play -> DD
SA wont move that far down
ATL also wont happen

Den -1 is a play and Cle upto -9.5, only ones i see as potential plays, others are not very likely

[Formulawiz]

I looked at CBB for tonight and I came up with MiaOh and South Florida as plays. Can anyone confirm these?
Thanks and GL All!
Cranium

Lets try to keep the plays strictly to the NBA and by the way S. FLA is not a play. PR's are equal. There must be a 1 pt differential.

[Formulawiz]

NBA plays Feb 10/09 *(notes)

ATL=play if the line is -6 or lower (ATL might be without Bibby)

CLE=play if the line is -8 or lower (CLE undefeated ATS after loss)

DEN=play if the line is at PK (DEN got killed last game)

SA=play if the line is at -4 or lower (SA hasn't lost to NJ in last 9)

SAC=play if the line is at +11.5 or higher (DAL w/out Terry)

LAL=play if the line is at -12 or lower (OKC is amazing ATS)



Lines must be checked 10 mins prior to tip off

Please dont put plays up. You obviously dont know the rules and your confusing everyone.

[Formulawiz]

LAL and Sac no play -> DD
SA wont move that far down
ATL also wont happen

Den -1 is a play and Cle upto -9.5, only ones i see as potential plays, others are not very likely

Please don't confuse everyone. Unless some of the lines move drastically there is only one game tonight. CLE -8 or <

[Ditaln1]

Since there isn't a CBB thread like this, I started one in the CBB area called 'CBB System Track'. It uses the same principle as this system but with a 3 point overlay instead of a 2, I figured out it works better that way and limits the amount of plays. Check it out, I have some plays up there right now and I back tested it 4 weeks so far and it has been hitting around 65-68% or so.

There are a few more plays for today that I will update if the line moves in the right direction.

[peterpan19]

sorry wiz, forgot the overlay, somehow in excel,
gl tonight with cle

[Ditaln1]

Wiz. What overlay are you using for College? 2 , 2.5 or 3? I've been using 3, but I've been noticing a lot that it might work going all the way down to 2.. 2.5 would be a lot safier and not have as many plays.. Which one are you using?

[Formulawiz]

Wiz. What overlay are you using for College? 2 , 2.5 or 3? I've been using 3, but I've been noticing a lot that it might work going all the way down to 2.. 2.5 would be a lot safier and not have as many plays.. Which one are you using?

It has to be > 2 so as long as its 2.5 it a go.

[casinojack]

hey was away, downloaded the LASTEST spreadsheet and not working
Run time error 91

others worked great, anyone else get this in excel 2007 ?

[Formulawiz]

Todays NBA-PR Chart

Yesterday 0-1
YTD 56-36=61%

Todays NBA-PR chart

[Formulawiz]

NBA plays today

Based on early lines

DEN + 6.5 or >
WAS + 8 or >
TOR + 7 or > not there yet
IND + 3.5 or >
LAK - 1

1. I wont play IND even though its a system play. Sportrends PR picks MIL.
2. I will play CLE sportrends PR pick.

[casinojack]

hey was away, downloaded the LASTEST spreadsheet and not working
Run time error 91

others worked great, anyone else get this in excel 2007 ?

HE he, anyone else who gets this error, here is why

I upgraded my office, and it started to block macros...enable macro access, issue resolved

[Achilles15]

Based on early lines

DEN + 6.5 or >
WAS + 8 or >
TOR + 7 or > not there yet
IND + 3.5 or >
LAK - 1

1. I wont play IND even though its a system play. Sportrends PR picks MIL.
2. I will play CLE sportrends PR pick.

your system killed me with cleveland yesterday, so lets hope it comes back big today

[MJAZER]

HE he, anyone else who gets this error, here is why

I upgraded my office, and it started to block macros...enable macro access, issue resolved

enabled but still get the error

when i run debug it highlights

line = linesSheet.Range("D" & CStr(linesRange.row)).value