New nba power rating system

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  • Formulawiz
    Restricted User
    • 01-12-09
    • 1589

    #701
    Originally posted by capper808
    Formulawiz, here's what I got from Sportrends today. Can you verify quickly? Thanks!

    Magic (105+3-7) vs. Suns (97)... advantage Magic by 4

    Det (94+3-3) vs. Nugs (102)... advantage Nugs by 8

    Sacto (87+3+2) vs. Indy (97)... advantage Ind by 5

    Thanks again
    Just ORL and IND
    Comment
    • SOXROCK
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-23-09
      • 68

      #702
      Originally posted by capper808
      Formulawiz, here's what I got from Sportrends today. Can you verify quickly? Thanks!

      Magic (105+3-7) vs. Suns (97)... advantage Magic by 4

      Det (94+3-3) vs. Nugs (102)... advantage Nugs by 8

      Sacto (87+3+2) vs. Indy (97)... advantage Ind by 5

      Thanks again

      hey 808,
      Your numbers and mine do not match and i'm wondering why? Do you change the date on the spread sheet?? and if so what is the date that your system is calculating from??

      thanks
      Comment
      • capper808
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-02-09
        • 7

        #703
        Formulawiz... Why is Nuggets not a play??? Yikes! I knew I didn't totally understand this yet! Please explain if you have time.

        SOXROCK... The numbers I've been using just comes from the website that Formulawiz referred to in an earlier post. I don't have the spreadsheet.



        Good Luck Everyone!!
        Comment
        • Soldier4Life
          SBR Rookie
          • 03-02-09
          • 22

          #704
          Formulawiz or anyone,
          I just downloaded the excel spreadsheet Ver7, & I am going thru the Procedures to use the spreadsheet (found on page 11 post #354) I was doing just great on all the Procedures until I got to Procedure #8, can someone please walk me thru this procedure. It states " Make sure you entered lines from the Stats tab only, if lines are not entered you will get incorrect plays." I am not sure what lines in the State tab you are referring to & where do I enter them. Please help, I would love to learn this system I read thru every post & I am really trying to do my homework before I ask any questions. Thanks in advance for your Time & Support
          Comment
          • Soldier4Life
            SBR Rookie
            • 03-02-09
            • 22

            #705
            Formulawiz
            I almost forgot to ask, What is the date I should put inside the Green Box labled (Compute Power Averages based upon date). Thank You
            Comment
            • Formulawiz
              Restricted User
              • 01-12-09
              • 1589

              #706
              Originally posted by Soldier4Life
              Formulawiz or anyone,
              I just downloaded the excel spreadsheet Ver7, & I am going thru the Procedures to use the spreadsheet (found on page 11 post #354) I was doing just great on all the Procedures until I got to Procedure #8, can someone please walk me thru this procedure. It states " Make sure you entered lines from the Stats tab only, if lines are not entered you will get incorrect plays." I am not sure what lines in the State tab you are referring to & where do I enter them. Please help, I would love to learn this system I read thru every post & I am really trying to do my homework before I ask any questions. Thanks in advance for your Time & Support
              Basically it means you have to enter the lines manually the day of the matchups to get plays.

              Secondly leave date as is.
              Comment
              • Formulawiz
                Restricted User
                • 01-12-09
                • 1589

                #707
                Todays Plays

                Yesterday our system went 1-1
                YTD 81-51=61.4

                Yesterday we were saved again by Sportrends opposite play on ORL/PHO game and therefore there was no play. Sportrends PR's went 2-0 yesterday and the PR plays have been kicking ass the entire season.

                Todays plays based on early lines
                BOS - 9 or <
                ATL - 1, @ pick no play
                WAS + 4 or > sportrends PR has opposite play so staying away from game.
                GS + 5 or >
                Comment
                • Soldier4Life
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 03-02-09
                  • 22

                  #708
                  Formulawiz,
                  Please walk me thru procedure #8 , I dont want to make a mistake, Please give me a example of how to use this program when I get to step #8. I am not very good with excell but I do learn quick,
                  Also when I open up the spreadsheet it asked me do I want Macros Enabled or Disable Macros what should I put there.
                  (Compute Power averages based upon date) What should this date read, I accidently changed it and dont remember what it was before I changed It. Sorry
                  My Bad !!!! Thank you for your Support with this Newbie.
                  Comment
                  • capper808
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 03-02-09
                    • 7

                    #709
                    Formulawiz... PR plays are going off!

                    Here's the plays I get today off the website. Should I be downloading the spreadsheet instead of using the one they post? Or am I getting discrepancies for other reasons? Thanks again!

                    Nets (95+3+7) vs. Celts (108)... advantage Celts by 3
                    OKC (97+3-4.5) vs. Wiz (91)... advantage OKC by 4.5
                    Clips (88+3-2) vs. Mem (92)... advantage Mem by 3

                    Good Luck Everyone!
                    Comment
                    • caracalla
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-12-05
                      • 2549

                      #710
                      I read all thread, and printed most important post. If I understood... according Formulawiz

                      Capper808
                      a) you are using H or A PR: you have to use Overall
                      b) don't add +3 (no OKC)
                      c) Clips rule 3 (no play)

                      I'm a correct?

                      Formulawiz....
                      I downloaded database 7
                      a) closing lines and score 03/03 are in Lines
                      b) in Stats results and line only till 02/06.... why?
                      c) running macro updat score "error 91 run time": debugging startRow = rFound.row is yellow

                      can anyone help me?
                      tx
                      Comment
                      • alukk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 1544

                        #711
                        so the plays are?
                        Comment
                        • Slate
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-28-08
                          • 1021

                          #712
                          Originally posted by alukk
                          so the plays are?

                          Todays plays based on early lines
                          BOS - 9 or <
                          ATL - 1, @ pick no play
                          Comment
                          • capper808
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 03-02-09
                            • 7

                            #713
                            caracalla... I'm verifying Sportrends PR plays and not Formulawiz's system. He was helping me get a handle on how to use that system. Sorry for the misunderstanding. Thanks for you input though.

                            Good luck to all!
                            Comment
                            • gcwrestling08
                              Restricted User
                              • 03-04-09
                              • 167

                              #714
                              what is the consistency of these picks?
                              Comment
                              • Formulawiz
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-12-09
                                • 1589

                                #715
                                Originally posted by alukk
                                so the plays are?
                                See post 707 for plays.
                                Comment
                                • Formulawiz
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-12-09
                                  • 1589

                                  #716
                                  Todays NBA Plays

                                  Yesterday our system went 0-2
                                  YTD 81-53=60.4%

                                  Based on early lines DAL + 4 or >
                                  Comment
                                  • caracalla
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-12-05
                                    • 2549

                                    #717
                                    I beg your pardon.... i read all thread

                                    I downloaded database7 and I tried to run it, but....

                                    a) yesterday automatic lines and scores are OK (today I've 04March)
                                    b) Schedule is OK Updated till 04March
                                    c) Stats are updated only till 06Feb (have I to fill manually?)
                                    d) Ratings till 06Feb
                                    e) team stats till 03March (when I downloaded database7)

                                    When I try macro update-scores error run-time 91 (debugging startRow = rFound.row is yellow) (either excel2003 than excl2007)

                                    Can anyone explain me , step by step, what have I to do?
                                    Best greetings from Italy
                                    Caracalla
                                    Comment
                                    • Formulawiz
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-12-09
                                      • 1589

                                      #718
                                      Originally posted by caracalla
                                      I beg your pardon.... i read all thread

                                      I downloaded database7 and I tried to run it, but....

                                      a) yesterday automatic lines and scores are OK (today I've 04March)
                                      b) Schedule is OK Updated till 04March
                                      c) Stats are updated only till 06Feb (have I to fill manually?)
                                      d) Ratings till 06Feb
                                      e) team stats till 03March (when I downloaded database7)

                                      When I try macro update-scores error run-time 91 (debugging startRow = rFound.row is yellow) (either excel2003 than excl2007)

                                      Can anyone explain me , step by step, what have I to do?
                                      Best greetings from Italy
                                      Caracalla
                                      I am not an Excel programmer and I am not sure what the fix is. Hopefully someone will help you out. Evreyday I automatically update all the scores and closing lines and it works fine.
                                      Comment
                                      • caracalla
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-12-05
                                        • 2549

                                        #719
                                        But have you to insert something manually?
                                        Can you attach your updatd database7 so I can study with all data inserted and, perhaps, find error?
                                        Tx
                                        Comment
                                        • Formulawiz
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-12-09
                                          • 1589

                                          #720
                                          Todays NBA Plays

                                          Yesterday our system went 0-1
                                          YTD 81-54=60%

                                          Based on early lines todays plays are as follows
                                          PHO + 4 or >
                                          GS + 5.5 or > @ 10 no play
                                          Comment
                                          • Formulawiz
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 1589

                                            #721
                                            Today's NBA Plays

                                            Yesterday our system went 1-0
                                            YTD 82-54=60.3%

                                            Ill be back later. As of now GS is an opposite sportrends PR play and will stay away from game.

                                            IND - 5.5 or <
                                            Comment
                                            • caracalla
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-12-05
                                              • 2549

                                              #722
                                              I understood my spreadsheet problem.... my excel is italian version, so date is gg/MM/aa and in number . is , and , is .
                                              I'm trying to have an english excel version, mainwhile a friend of mine are changing VBA macro.

                                              More... I have my method for NCAA BB and I posted my bets on NCAA forum. I stopped, as usual, 2 weeks before ending regular season because unpredictable. Yesterday I filtered my choices with your method and so, from 10 I had only 2: James madison (-3 won) and Ill State (-4.5 won)... $$$ for me
                                              Today from 30 I had only one: Sou Caro -5
                                              Comment
                                              • caracalla
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-12-05
                                                • 2549

                                                #723
                                                South Caro 68/51... bet won

                                                I stopped 19Feb with final result 333/282/13 0.541463 % (last week was 53/62)
                                                From 20Feb, if I had bet, I would have 40/52 (next year last 3 weeks probably I'll really bet, but contrarian)
                                                Yesterday I started studying Your method: if i had bet only mine I would have 4/6: mine+yours 2/0
                                                so far today only mine 3/4, mine+yours 1/0

                                                VERY GOOD FILTER,
                                                THANK YOU
                                                Comment
                                                • Milwaukee
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 02-10-09
                                                  • 69

                                                  #724
                                                  Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                  Yesterday our system went 1-0
                                                  YTD 82-54=60.3%

                                                  Ill be back later. As of now GS is an opposite sportrends PR play and will stay away from game.

                                                  IND - 5.5 or <

                                                  opposite sportrends PR play?????

                                                  I don't understand?

                                                  You use your excel-Spreadsheet:

                                                  MIL= 99.5
                                                  GS= 96.5

                                                  99.5-96.5 = 3.0 + Spread -7.5 = -4.5 play on GS

                                                  What data you use for the "opposite sportrends PR play"??
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Formulawiz
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                    • 1589

                                                    #725
                                                    Originally posted by Milwaukee
                                                    opposite sportrends PR play?????

                                                    I don't understand?

                                                    You use your excel-Spreadsheet:

                                                    MIL= 99.5
                                                    GS= 96.5

                                                    99.5-96.5 = 3.0 + Spread -7.5 = -4.5 play on GS

                                                    What data you use for the "opposite sportrends PR play"??
                                                    Sportrends PR's
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Formulawiz
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-12-09
                                                      • 1589

                                                      #726
                                                      Todays Plays

                                                      Yesterday our system had no plays
                                                      YTD 82-54=60.3

                                                      Yesterday we all should have had a win with sportrends PR play on CLE. As I also mentioned yesterday we had opposite plays on the GS/MIL game so you should have passed on this game.
                                                      As far as the IND game that line went from - 5 to - 7 and thats why its important to wait until 10 to 15 minutes before game time to see where the public is driving the lines to.

                                                      Based on Early lines today
                                                      PHO + 6 or > if not sportrends opposite play
                                                      DEN - 9.5 or <
                                                      Comment
                                                      • caracalla
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-12-05
                                                        • 2549

                                                        #727
                                                        No bet for me on NCAA
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Karate
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-25-09
                                                          • 226

                                                          #728
                                                          i have phoenix +4.5 is this the oppiste play now?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • caracalla
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-12-05
                                                            • 2549

                                                            #729
                                                            Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                            Yesterday our system had no plays
                                                            YTD 82-54=60.3

                                                            Yesterday we all should have had a win with sportrends PR play on CLE. As I also mentioned yesterday we had opposite plays on the GS/MIL game so you should have passed on this game.
                                                            As far as the IND game that line went from - 5 to - 7 and thats why its important to wait until 10 to 15 minutes before game time to see where the public is driving the lines to.

                                                            Based on Early lines today
                                                            PHO + 6 or > if not sportrends opposite play
                                                            DEN - 9.5 or <
                                                            Why did you change pho +4.5 or > to +6 or >?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Formulawiz
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-12-09
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #730
                                                              Originally posted by caracalla
                                                              No bet for me on NCAA
                                                              How about
                                                              W. MICH - 4.5 Loss
                                                              N. Iowa + 3.5 Win
                                                              V. Comm - 4.5 Win
                                                              Comment
                                                              • caracalla
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-12-05
                                                                • 2549

                                                                #731
                                                                According my system there was 10 bets. No one good for yours... so no bet for me!!
                                                                Pho lost by 5,so +4.5 was bad, +6 was good (I bet +5)
                                                                But why +6? Table said +4.5 or more
                                                                Filtered by other system?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Formulawiz
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 1589

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Todays NBA Plays

                                                                  Yesterday our system went 0-1
                                                                  YTD 82-55=59.9%

                                                                  Yesterday sportrends PR plays went 2-1 and their PR play on SAN saved us a loss on PHO.

                                                                  Based on early lines today
                                                                  ORL - 4.5 or <
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Formulawiz
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                                    • 1589

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Todays NBA games

                                                                    Yesterday our system went 0-1
                                                                    YTD 82-56=59.4%

                                                                    As I mentioned in earlier posts we should be looking at our systems overall PR's, H/A PR's and sportrends PR's to get our plays. Yesterday our systems H/A PR's went 2-1 with ATL, ORL and POR. Since Data one of our contributers helped updated the NBA spreadsheet on FEB 20th so it can keep win/loss records, I have been keeping a win/loss record of the H/A PR plays which is now at 23-13 = 64%. Just a reminder to look at everything.

                                                                    Data has also helped automatically update scores, lines and keep win/loss records for the college hoops spreadsheet which will be posted next year.
                                                                    I would like to thank Data for all his time and effort.

                                                                    Based on early lines we have nothing yet.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • caracalla
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-12-05
                                                                      • 2549

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Tx, formulawiz
                                                                      I'll wait for college hoops spreadsheet.... remember my email?
                                                                      Tx Data
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • caracalla
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-12-05
                                                                        • 2549

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Dallas
                                                                        Clevland DD
                                                                        Comment
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