Fresh Start Phase #1 1/15/13

[Khmerkid]

YTD = 241 - 179 - 11 POD = 157 - 113 - 7

01/14/13 Bankroll=($20,000) 01/15/13 ($36,400)

01/13/13= 4 - 8 = ($63,000)
01/14/13= 4 - 2 = ($16,400)

Over all it was a good night I thought it was going to happen to me again like on Sunday going 0 - 2on the early game. Then finally the late game started to click and over all I went 4 - 2 for the night and hitting my last 4 PODS of the night to close out the night with some <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101532260#</nobr>. Hoping today we can come stay on the right track and keep this rolling. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. Without you guys I wouldn't be here. So lets <nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr>start</nobr> with some leans for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.

Bobcats +8
76ers -3
Raptors +7
Nuggets -9
Under Bobcats =186
Over 76ers =184
Over Raptors =191
Over Nuggets =204

[JayDeezy]

With you on the Raps over, don't know about the pointspread though... toronto isn't typically a strong road team. Maybe if Wallace is still out, but if not, I can't say I'd feel confident enough to play the spread. What is your logic behind that pick? I'm sure you have your reasons, would genuinely like to hear them.

[Maximo]

Bro I think you need to make some adjustments over your bets. I know you take it daily basis but;

Bobcats. You never play under on them no matter who they play against. That team sometimes averages 7 seconds of attack time. As a matter of fact; they don't defense either. So they score fast but they don't try to do defense. I am not saying this game won't be under. It might be. But I wouldn't touch Bobcats under in any circumstances.

Same as Philly. Sometimes, they way they play defense, it is impossible to score on them. Then again they use 20 seconds on Holliday's hand and then brick the shot.

Raptors over is very dangerous but I am not as afraid as other two. Sometimes, they can't score but they don't let the other team scores either. Might be over? Might be. Would I take Raptors over? Wouldn't even consider as an option.

[TheDarkPassenger]

Bobcats. You never play under on them no matter who they play against. That team sometimes averages 7 seconds of attack time. As a matter of fact; they don't defense either. So they score fast but they don't try to do defense. I am not saying this game won't be under. It might be. But I wouldn't touch Bobcats under in any circumstances.

Same can be said about taking the over with the Pacers. Works both ways. In the last 5 Bobcats/Pacers matchups the under is 4-0-1, including their game this past Saturday.

[Maximo]

Same can be said about taking the over with the Pacers. Works both ways. In the last 5 Bobcats/Pacers matchups the under is 4-0-1, including their game this past Saturday.

Exactly. However, if you don't defense, they will score on you. In my opinion, Pacers play that slow pace game against the teams that are better than them. Because they know if opponent scores 90+ on them, Pacers will most likely lose because they can't score 90-100 points to win the game. So that they pay attention to their defense, keep the opponent around 75-80 points and try to win with slow pace, low score game. However, I was in Barclays when they played against Nets past Sunday. If you don't play defense, they will attack the rim crazy. If Bobcats come out with one of their fast pace game, Pacers wouldn't mind to attack.

[JayDeezy]

Exactly. However, if you don't defense, they will score on you. In my opinion, Pacers play that slow pace game against the teams that are better than them. Because they know if opponent scores 90+ on them, Pacers will most likely lose because they can't score 90-100 points to win the game. So that they pay attention to their defense, keep the opponent around 75-80 points and try to win with slow pace, low score game. However, I was in Barclays when they played against Nets past Sunday. If you don't play defense, they will attack the rim crazy. If Bobcats come out with one of their fast pace game, Pacers wouldn't mind to attack.

interesting theory... def has some truth to it.

[vrksayy]

any insight on mil/lal over 211?

[sydiest]

I notice you like to segment the games early 7-8 pm then late 9-10 pm does that give you more time to work on the numbers..I'd just like to understand your thought process
any way
I like...
Under Bobcats= 185.5 (I think I know why you say low because Bobcats aren't going to win this game. And they are the point scorers. Pacers will set the tempo low.)
Over Blazers = 202
Under Raptors=189.5 (if my line was 191 (over) and it may be by 6:20 when the local releases it)
Under Lakers= 211
Over Hornets= 183.5
Over Clippers= 207

Good Luck

[Khmerkid]

These are my original Leans

Bobcats +8
76ers -3
Raptors +7
Nuggets -9
Under Bobcats =186
Over 76ers =184
Over Raptors =191
Over Nuggets =204

These are what I came up with after running some numbers.These will not be the final plays yet I will run some more numbers before I will post my final plays.

Pacers -8
76ers -3
Nets -7
Nuggets -9
Over Pacers =185
Over 76ers =184
Under Nets =191
Over Nuggets =204

[Khmerkid]

any insight on mil/lal over 211?

I will make a play on this game later but looking towards the Under. Either way best of luck

[Khmerkid]

I notice you like to segment the games early 7-8 pm then late 9-10 pm does that give you more time to work on the numbers..I'd just like to understand your thought process
any way
I like...
Under Bobcats= 185.5 (I think I know why you say low because Bobcats aren't going to win this game. And they are the point scorers. Pacers will set the tempo low.)
Over Blazers = 202
Under Raptors=189.5 (if my line was 191 (over) and it may be by 6:20 when the local releases it)
Under Lakers= 211
Over Hornets= 183.5
Over Clippers= 207

Good Luck

Yes sir that is correct it gives me more time just in case if my early games are not doing so well. Plus I live on the East Coast so I don't want to stay up for the late games. I need to wake up early to go to work.

[nbafanatic2012]

Yes sir that is correct it gives me more time just in case if my early games are not doing so well. Plus I live on the East Coast so I don't want to stay up for the late games. I need to wake up early to go to work.

kk what type of job do you have

[Khmerkid]

kk what type of job do you have

I am a EE bro for a medical company

[comppicks35]

I am a EE bro for a medical company

NICE!!...I would have guessed you're on Wall St with the amount of $ you play with, but that's just as good. A friend is an EE for a utility co and he banks. GL today, kid!!

[Khmerkid]

All right boys this is what I have for tonight. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't. POD = Over Pacers =185 $3,300 to win $3,000

POD = Over 76ers $3,300 to win $3,000
POD = Over Nuggets =202 $3,300 to win $3,000
Pacers -8 $550 to win $500
Nuggets -9 $550 to win $500
2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000
Over Pacers =185

Over 76ers =183

2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000
Over 76ers =183

Over Nuggets =202

3Team Parlay $3,000 to win $18,000
Over Pacers =185
Over 76ers =183
Over Nuggets =202

As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.Please play responsibly. I might play the late game depending on how these do.

[bmohl123]

I am with you on the 76ers over but went with the under on Pacers. Best of luck man

[nbafanatic2012]

pacers over again kk......Im staying away from that but gl

[Khmerkid]

The game is about to start as always good luck to everyone tonight and enjoy the game.

[aussieH]

Good work KK. Good luck today

[Khmerkid]

All right boys this is what I have for the late game. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't. POD = Under Clippers =207$3,300 to win $3,000

POD = Under Lakers =212 $3,300 to win $3,000


2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000
Under Clippers =207

Under Lakers =212


As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.Please play responsibly. I am heading out for a while I'll be back for the late games.

[bjb7223]

Pacers over?

[nrok2118]

I mushed the Sixers game for ya, was loving that under...than the Hornets have their highest scoring 1st quarter while the sixers hit 6 straight 3's 35-28 at the end of the first, you're welcome

[joco]

damn im on lakers over 211

[bjb7223]

pacers and over don't belong in the same sentence

[nbafanatic2012]

Pacers go under again KK......let them go

[mushmoney]

fcuk pacers....

[Maximo]

I am about to throw up. I swear Stern should just ban these teams. What kind of basketball are these penetrating teams playing?

[bmohl123]

For once the shitty offense helped me

[daonlyplaya]

Pacers+over=oxymoron

[daonlyplaya]

But overall, looks like a good night SO FAR. Hope you'll keep it up Khmer. BOL

[Khmerkid]

All right boys this is what I have for the late play of the night. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't.


POD = Lakers-6 $3,300 to win $3,000



2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000
Lakers -6

Under Lakers =212


As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.Please play responsibly. I can't belive the Over Pacer farked me again. Unfarking believable

[vaas187]

penetrate, hate that you're on lakers....I need bucks + 6 on last me of two parlays for 4 K

[daonlyplaya]

All right boys this is what I have for the late play of the night. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't.


POD = Lakers-6 $3,300 to win $3,000



2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000
Lakers -6

Under Lakers =212


As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.Please play responsibly. I can't belive the Over Pacer farked me again. Unfarking believable

Parlayed this with den -9, BOL BRO

[Khmerkid]

penetrate, hate that you're on lakers....I need bucks + 6 on last me of two parlays for 4 K

Sorry bro one of us will be happy at the end of the night. Best of luck either way

[Khmerkid]

Parlayed this with den -9, BOL BRO

Good luck bro hope we hit. Hope the Nuggets start to pull away for us.