NBA Season Thread With Matchup Analysis

**Speedy88** · 11-09-12, 06:33 PM

Good luck Goat, Memphis looks like a strong play today.

**Goat Milk** · 11-09-12, 08:58 PM

Thx Speedy. Was eying the Nets all morning not sure why I didn't take it. That line was weird as hell. Magic need Nelson to win games against elite PGs.

**SportsPedagogy** · 11-09-12, 10:33 PM

Nice cover Goat. You need to give Asik more credit though.

**Dexter** · 11-09-12, 10:56 PM

absolutely on fire

and you're not betting the heat every game - see, plenty of other opportunities.

**sando** · 11-09-12, 11:45 PM

Great analysis as always mate, wanted to pull the trigger on the griz but was just a tad weary of the Rockets. They seem like they're gonna be a streaky team this year?

**MexicanStallion** · 11-10-12, 03:12 AM

November 9th
1-0 ($200.00)

NBA Season
12-6 ($1181.50)

Spreads: 7-4 ($541.00)
Moneylines: 2-1 ($137.50)
Halves: 1-1 ($95.00)
Parlays: 2-0 ($408.00)

*9-1 Last 10 Bets*
*12-2 Last 12 Bets*

**paco** · 11-10-12, 03:15 AM

Great work Goat!

**daimoshokage** · 11-10-12, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by paco

Great work Goat!

Why in hell this crybaby is still posting.. GTFO!!!

**Goat Milk** · 11-10-12, 01:58 PM

PLAY 19: BOSTON +1 -110 RISK $220 to win $200

It's still relatively early in the year so I don't want to drop any big bets until at least 10 games have been played this year.

No writeup for this game. Boston with a scheme here that should bother the Bucks defensive strategy. The midrange game will be there for Garnett all night with Dalembert camping out in the lane. Rondo should be able to put enough pressure on Jennings on both ends of the floor to draw attention to himself and give Pierce a lot of 1 on 1 time to create for himself. Expect the Celtics to tighten up defensively tonight. I'm taking BOS this year everytime they come off a loss to a .500ish team playing a sub .500 team.

**mcduggly** · 11-10-12, 02:00 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 19: BOSTON +1 -110 RISK $220 to win $200

It's still relatively early in the year so I don't want to drop any big bets until at least 10 games have been played this year.

No writeup for this game. Boston with a scheme here that should bother the Bucks defensive strategy. The midrange game will be there for Garnett all night with Dalembert camping out in the lane. Rondo should be able to put enough pressure on Jennings on both ends of the floor to draw attention to himself and give Pierce a lot of 1 on 1 time to create for himself. Expect the Celtics to tighten up defensively tonight. I'm taking BOS this year everytime they come off a loss to a .500ish team playing a sub .500 team.

I like this bet. Good luck!

**gamewinninglv** · 11-10-12, 02:28 PM

Tonight should be easy cover for the Celtics.

**DOM-Ganador** · 11-10-12, 02:32 PM

Nice work Goat.Seems e the celtics have been weak as favs for a couple years now.
Much better as a dog. They are going to be in "barney" to make the playoffs.

**MexicanStallion** · 11-10-12, 11:08 PM

November 10th
1-0 ($200.00)

NBA Season
13-6 ($1381.50)

Spreads: 8-4 ($741.00)
Moneylines: 2-1 ($137.50)
Halves: 1-1 ($95.00)
Parlays: 2-0 ($408.00)

*10-1 Last 11 Bets*
*13-2 Last 15 Bets*

**hawley** · 11-10-12, 11:09 PM

**sando** · 11-10-12, 11:11 PM

Vintage Pierce tonight. Was a joy to watch (and I hate the C's).

**Joe Sharp** · 11-10-12, 11:33 PM

Nice run!

**Goat Milk** · 11-10-12, 11:45 PM

play 20: Denver -1.5 second half -110 (up 40-39) @ golden state. Risk $110 to win $100

denver playing horrible this game and still up 1.

**curtrambus** · 11-10-12, 11:58 PM

Looking ahead to tommorows games which play do you like the most? Do you like the Nets at home at -7.5 against a team they just beat by 39? I'm weary considering they might just assume they can show up and win...which they can but not sure if they will cover the 7.5 and looking for some input or do you see any games on the slate you like more than that one?

**lakerboy** · 11-11-12, 12:00 AM

Goat once again proving why he is SBR's NBA expert.

Goat what happens when "obvious" plays start losing?

**curtrambus** · 11-11-12, 12:01 AM

I don't really see how Miami is only -2 usually don't bet on them but may have to take this one against the Grizz who haven't really played a team anywhere near this caliber except the Clips who they lost to by 9.

**Goat Milk** · 11-11-12, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Goat once again proving why he is SBR's NBA expert.

Goat what happens when "obvious" plays start losing?

not my fault books underestimating teams like knicks and denver. they should read more of my posts. lol.

i'm not sure curt. i haven't bet mia this year and i actually think memphis will win that game if dwayne wade is out.

**curtrambus** · 11-11-12, 12:25 AM

Scores and odds has Wade probable if he's out no chance I touch Miami.

**MexicanStallion** · 11-11-12, 01:40 AM

November 10th
2-0 ($300.00)

NBA Season
14-6 ($1481.50)

Spreads: 8-4 ($741.00)
Moneylines: 2-1 ($137.50)
Halves: 2-1 ($195.00)
Parlays: 2-0 ($408.00)

*11-1 Last 12 Bets*
*14-2 Last 16 Bets*

**Goat Milk** · 11-11-12, 01:42 AM

good job stallion. will keep tossing you points in the future.

**MexicanStallion** · 11-11-12, 01:52 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

good job stallion. will keep tossing you points in the future.

No problem. Appreciate giving me a chance to get some points. Congrats on your hot run. Killing it. Stay away from NFL

**radostin.dimi** · 11-11-12, 02:52 AM

Good job on the Boston pick mate, unfortunately i was on the bucks!

**JM92** · 11-11-12, 08:10 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

good job stallion. will keep tossing you points in the future.

actully, bad job... how did you won the Denver play in the second half? overtime does not count does it?

I don't bet halves so I don't know. either way good job, I actually have a similar record (units, I have more plays made) and its no coincidence we've been hitting some of the same teams I believe.

**SportsPedagogy** · 11-11-12, 08:48 AM

Ot is included in 2nd half.

**JM92** · 11-11-12, 09:21 AM

wow. I usually don't bet halves, had no idea of that. thanks

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-11-12, 10:46 AM

Keep up the great work pal....

**MexicanStallion** · 11-11-12, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by JM92

actully, bad job... how did you won the Denver play in the second half? overtime does not count does it?

I don't bet halves so I don't know. either way good job, I actually have a similar record (units, I have more plays made) and its no coincidence we've been hitting some of the same teams I believe.

Actually good job

Kidding. Congrats on having a nice season yourself.

**jsund** · 11-12-12, 01:29 PM

hey-- goat milk any plays today??

**goldengreek** · 11-12-12, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by jsund

hey-- goat milk any plays today??

dont follow this guy...square as hell..getting lucky so far..burial coming soon...you have been warned

**Goat Milk** · 11-12-12, 07:23 PM

PLAY #21: MIAMI ML/CELTICS +3 PARLAY +174

RISK $200 TO WIN $348

No time for an in-depth writeup. The Bulls are starting Nate Robinson at the point today and while this system definitely favors his style he is not used to facing elite pg's like Rondo and playing 45 minutes on the defensive end. There is still some uncertainty as to who will start at the 2 for the Celts but If I'm Doc I'm starting Terry tonight. He is more savvy on the defensive end and should be able to make Hamilton work harder off-the ball. Chicago must utilize their size to win this game, but I think their lack of any kind of true PG presence gives the Celts an upper hand tonight.

Miami won't lose too many b2b games this year imo and Houston is not a good basketball team. Lin is a slow dribbler and Chalmers will harass him and force him into uncomfortable spots. Lebron and Wade will both guard Harden tonight, both incredibly tough matchups for the young guy and Harden will have to guard the both of them as well as he is really Houstons best perimeter defender. Parsons is a good young player but Lebron will be all over him from the getgo. When Wade comes out of the game at about the 4 minute mark, I expect Lebron to switch onto Harden and Ray Allen to guard Parsons or whoever is checked in at the 3.

**2daBank** · 11-12-12, 07:32 PM

im with you ,,,hou all hype....stay hot goaty