Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

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  • sando
    SBR MVP
    • 04-30-12
    • 3723

    #9906
    Sportingbet and Centrebet are treading dangerous grounds releasing these early lines without considering playing rosters. Will be looking to make a lot more early plays using those books if they keep this trend up. I graded that line at -7.5, so when it was released at -4 (after researching who would and wouldn't be playing - as you have to do with every Nets game), was basically an auto play for 3 units with the line so off and Nets ATS stats so bad.

    Considering a play on the Pelicans as well. Otherwise probably just the Raptors for today...
    Comment
    • h3da
      SBR MVP
      • 05-10-10
      • 1331

      #9907
      sportingbet uses scraper from international bookies. they don't price their nba lines.
      Comment
      • BigNik
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-14-13
        • 639

        #9908
        Hey Sando. Is it still a play at-7.5??
        Comment
        • sando
          SBR MVP
          • 04-30-12
          • 3723

          #9909
          Originally posted by h3da
          sportingbet uses scraper from international bookies. they don't price their nba lines.
          Interesting. I guess if anyone would know, then it would be you.

          Adding... NBA

          Golden State @ New Oleans
          2* Under 207.5 (-104/$1.96 Pinnacle)

          Originally posted by BigNik
          Hey Sando. Is it still a play at-7.5??
          Definitely not over 7 mate (key number). I would either buy half point and play -7 for 1 unit at no worse than -120, or try to pick up Raptors -4 "in-play" before HT.
          Comment
          • sando
            SBR MVP
            • 04-30-12
            • 3723

            #9910
            Originally posted by sando
            Getting in early for the final...

            Australia v NZ

            3* Australia -8.5 (+100/$2.00 Bet365)

            *Will add a write up bit later. Australia is the play here - 100%
            World Cup Final.
            Comment
            • h3da
              SBR MVP
              • 05-10-10
              • 1331

              #9911
              Originally posted by sando
              Interesting. I guess if anyone would know, then it would be you.

              Adding... NBA

              Golden State @ New Oleans
              2* Under 207.5 (-104/$1.96 Pinnacle)



              Definitely not over 7 mate (key number). I would either buy half point and play -7 for 1 unit at no worse than -120, or try to pick up Raptors -4 "in-play" before HT.
              that being said.. they are slowest @ moving lines especially overnight as nobody is really monitoring it. they make so many errors.. other night they had ABL wrong time- game started an hour earlier and they left it open and we all cleaned up on that market rofl..
              Comment
              • h3da
                SBR MVP
                • 05-10-10
                • 1331

                #9912
                books u should consider for best lines cos the bookies are half asleep are (labrokes/bookmaker, sportingbet/centrebet, topsport (oh and they offer 600 deposit match), betstar (they offer 2 dollar lines on wednesdays and saturdays).

                anyone use http://www.sportspunter.com/betting?function=home2
                Last edited by h3da; 11-26-13, 06:34 PM.
                Comment
                • thorny
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-10-12
                  • 351

                  #9913
                  Hey guys, sounds like I should sign up with either Sportingbet/Centrebet as I currently use Sportsbet, Bet365 & Pinnacle (for live plays and low margins).

                  Is there any difference to Sportingbet or Centrebet?
                  Comment
                  • davopnz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-12-12
                    • 1736

                    #9914
                    I sent you a PM thorny
                    Comment
                    • Dr.Gonzo
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-05-09
                      • 4660

                      #9915
                      Originally posted by h3da
                      that being said.. they are slowest @ moving lines especially overnight as nobody is really monitoring it. they make so many errors.. other night they had ABL wrong time- game started an hour earlier and they left it open and we all cleaned up on that market rofl..
                      How did you clean up given you work for a book, have previously stated you only really bet on the fair, and don't beard? So you can work for another book, and past post bet this book and your original account is still open

                      Or do you guys give each other leeway so you can lay off with one another, and be we you me your employer?
                      Comment
                      • martywest17
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-03-10
                        • 219

                        #9916
                        Like the NRL Bet Sando....

                        I dont think NZ will have enough to cover the Line.. Ozzies wants revenge plus way too much talent for NZ..
                        Comment
                        • Puda
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-26-10
                          • 1798

                          #9917
                          Originally posted by thorny
                          Hey guys, sounds like I should sign up with either Sportingbet/Centrebet as I currently use Sportsbet, Bet365 & Pinnacle (for live plays and low margins).

                          Is there any difference to Sportingbet or Centrebet?
                          centrebet odds arent as good as sportsbet here in oz. just slightly.
                          Comment
                          • thorny
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-10-12
                            • 351

                            #9918
                            Originally posted by Puda

                            centrebet odds arent as good as sportsbet here in oz. just slightly.
                            yeh i use sportsbet predominantly
                            Comment
                            • martywest17
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-03-10
                              • 219

                              #9919
                              Like the Under Also on the GWS game.. BOL today people..
                              Comment
                              • MiddleMan
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-26-13
                                • 673

                                #9920
                                Originally posted by h3da
                                books u should consider for best lines cos the bookies are half asleep are (labrokes/bookmaker, sportingbet/centrebet, topsport (oh and they offer 600 deposit match), betstar (they offer 2 dollar lines on wednesdays and saturdays).

                                anyone use http://www.sportspunter.com/betting?function=home2
                                Agree with this entirely. Sportspunter is awesome.

                                A few weeks ago, Topsport had a challenger Tennis match in Tyumen where the overs was 2.0 games instead of 20.0. They initially paid me out but later canceled the bet.

                                A few weeks earlier, they had the overs/unders 3.5 goals in two EPL games with the unders paying $2.60 instead of the overs paying that. It turned out both of those games actually did go over (I think Arsenal v Norwich and Liverpool v someone), but still that's poor form by them.

                                Bookmaker and Ladbrokes have both shut me down due to jumping on markets with odds that are slow to move. Centrebet is the best for making errors.

                                Palmerbet the other night had Western Sydney @ $9 to score first against Brisbane Roar (it didn't happen, but the $9 was meant to represent neither team scoring).
                                Comment
                                • thorny
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-10-12
                                  • 351

                                  #9921
                                  man how do u guys find all these errors?
                                  Comment
                                  • MrXYZ
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-18-11
                                    • 2342

                                    #9922
                                    Originally posted by h3da
                                    that being said.. they are slowest @ moving lines especially overnight as nobody is really monitoring it. they make so many errors.. other night they had ABL wrong time- game started an hour earlier and they left it open and we all cleaned up on that market rofl..
                                    I recommend them for anyone playing NFL totals. So slow you can get 1-2 points extra value on at least one game each week.
                                    Comment
                                    • Puda
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-26-10
                                      • 1798

                                      #9923
                                      Originally posted by thorny
                                      yeh i use sportsbet predominantly

                                      if you open a centre bet account drop my name (which I message you) and I get a free bet.
                                      Comment
                                      • h3da
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-10-10
                                        • 1331

                                        #9924
                                        Originally posted by thorny
                                        man how do u guys find all these errors?
                                        cos i work for a bookie and half of the time we spend our shift finding massive overs on prices
                                        Comment
                                        • davopnz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-12-12
                                          • 1736

                                          #9925
                                          Originally posted by Puda
                                          if you open a centre bet account drop my name (which I message you) and I get a free bet.
                                          i've already messaged him about that
                                          Comment
                                          • sando
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-30-12
                                            • 3723

                                            #9926
                                            NBA 2nd Half Plays

                                            LA @ Washington
                                            1.5* Over 97.5 2nd Half (-107 Pinnacle)

                                            Fast, sloppy play, with a premium on offence over defence. Nene's getting whatever he wants in the post and the pg's are just battling 1 on 1. Expect another 100 point half...
                                            Comment
                                            • Dr.Gonzo
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-05-09
                                              • 4660

                                              #9927
                                              Originally posted by h3da
                                              cos i work for a bookie and half of the time we spend our shift finding massive overs on prices
                                              Why do other books let you rape them?
                                              Comment
                                              • h3da
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-10-10
                                                • 1331

                                                #9928
                                                Originally posted by Dr.Gonzo
                                                Why do other books let you rape them?
                                                lol u can find massive overs, but it doesn't always win mate.. iasbet previously suspended my account and went to my linkedin account and found out that i worked for another bookie and asked me about it. for sports, it's not as big as horse racing where the difference can be more than 1 times the normal price.. eg.. early fixed odds is 3.80 and the horse could start @ 2.20.
                                                Comment
                                                • Dr.Gonzo
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-05-09
                                                  • 4660

                                                  #9929
                                                  Originally posted by h3da
                                                  lol u can find massive overs, but it doesn't always win mate.. iasbet previously suspended my account and went to my linkedin account and found out that i worked for another bookie and asked me about it. for sports, it's not as big as horse racing where the difference can be more than 1 times the normal price.. eg.. early fixed odds is 3.80 and the horse could start @ 2.20.
                                                  Yeah, I can do the math.

                                                  I was interested in the relationship between different books.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MiddleMan
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-26-13
                                                    • 673

                                                    #9930
                                                    Originally posted by h3da
                                                    cos i work for a bookie and half of the time we spend our shift finding massive overs on prices
                                                    They better want to be paying you well for that. I would have thought saving a bookmaker hundreds and thousands of dollars on fixing errors would rake in more than $2,000 per week.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gopolks
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-16-12
                                                      • 791

                                                      #9931
                                                      Originally posted by sando
                                                      World Cup Final.
                                                      Are the kiwis that much outsiders?? We played well against England.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Lilfatbum
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 08-21-12
                                                        • 55

                                                        #9932
                                                        The Craptors (Gay) return to haunt, just wow.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • davopnz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-12-12
                                                          • 1736

                                                          #9933
                                                          Originally posted by gopolks
                                                          Are the kiwis that much outsiders?? We played well against England.
                                                          Are you kidding right now man?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MiddleMan
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 05-26-13
                                                            • 673

                                                            #9934
                                                            The line at 8.5 is about right, IMO.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sando
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-30-12
                                                              • 3723

                                                              #9935
                                                              Originally posted by sando
                                                              NBA 2nd Half Plays

                                                              LA @ Washington
                                                              1.5* Over 97.5 2nd Half (-107 Pinnacle)

                                                              Fast, sloppy play, with a premium on offence over defence. Nene's getting whatever he wants in the post and the pg's are just battling 1 on 1. Expect another 100 point half...
                                                              2-1 on the day. Hope some of you caught the HT play, and the Pelicans Under, to cover for another Craptors job.

                                                              *Raptors on an amazing comeback, and they had the chance to send the game to OT, and the best play they could come up with was an Amir Johnson corner 3 - WTF?

                                                              Should be able to update my season record this afternoon.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-07-10
                                                                • 4192

                                                                #9936
                                                                Originally posted by sando
                                                                2-1 on the day. Hope some of you caught the HT play, and the Pelicans Under, to cover for another Craptors job.

                                                                *Raptors on an amazing comeback, and they had the chance to send the game to OT, and the best play they could come up with was an Amir Johnson corner 3 - WTF?

                                                                Should be able to update my season record this afternoon.
                                                                lol thinking the same thing bro, so pathetic
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gopolks
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-16-12
                                                                  • 791

                                                                  #9937
                                                                  Originally posted by davopnz
                                                                  Are you kidding right now man?
                                                                  I did think we did okay, it showed we can win the close ones. We will have all the neutrals behind us at old trafford.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Lilfatbum
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 08-21-12
                                                                    • 55

                                                                    #9938
                                                                    Originally posted by gopolks
                                                                    I did think we did okay, it showed we can win the close ones. We will have all the neutrals behind us at old trafford.
                                                                    I take it the kiwis almost packed their dacks, they won it virtually on the last seconds as heavy favourites...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • davopnz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-12-12
                                                                      • 1736

                                                                      #9939
                                                                      Originally posted by gopolks
                                                                      I did think we did okay, it showed we can win the close ones. We will have all the neutrals behind us at old trafford.

                                                                      got outplayed for the majority of the game, scored a miracle try in the first half and a shaun johnson miracle at the end, if we play like that against aussie it will be 20+ maybe even 30+, i expect us to play better but still don't think we will be able to match aussie.

                                                                      centrebet/sportingbet got a special for saturday, lebron to score 30+ and heat to win in cleveland paying $3


                                                                      really like nz to win the dubai 7's paying $2.25
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sando
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-30-12
                                                                        • 3723

                                                                        #9940
                                                                        WBC International Light Middleweight title

                                                                        Mundine v Mosley (Sydney)

                                                                        Price is a joke now, I locked this play in for 4 units @ $2.05 on Mosley, but of course the bet was voided due to the "shenanigans", so anyway the price is a joke now and there is absolutely no value on Mosley, however I feel strongly enough that Mundine is just not in his class, to still have a couple of small plays.

                                                                        Here's my original write-up/essay if anyone wants to know more...

                                                                        (Prices are $1.61 for the win and $2.35 via KO)

                                                                        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.




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