Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

[sando]

Congrats, sando. I thought GS was going to bury you with their fourth-quarter choke job.

Jackson still has no idea what he's doing.

Coach of the year! Haha

[Sacky]

Minny are currently -1.5 vs Nuggets. Crazy...

[davopnz]

Minny are currently -1.5 vs Nuggets. Crazy...

thats got trap written all over it like lakers +9.5 in denver the other night

[freeeze]

So what? OKC +5 last night was a trap according to the sbr specialists too, but they covered.

[davopnz]

So what? OKC +5 last night was a trap according to the sbr specialists too, but they covered.

no they didn't...or i guess you are referring to the gsw game(still the same night in nz) but i don't see how that line was a trap at all, the action was split 50/50 too. every man and his dog will be on the wolves tomorrow.

[Tkost051]

no they didn't...

is this a joke they lost by 1

[freeeze]

no they didn't...or i guess you are referring to the gsw game(still the same night in nz) but i don't see how that line was a trap at all, the action was split 50/50 too. every man and his dog will be on the wolves tomorrow.

I believe OKC was bet at about 55% or more, not sure exactly, but was referring to the line of thinking that -5 is too big of a spread, so it must be a trap line.

Now I'm all against being square and betting the better team on paper to win every game, but just because the public will be on a certain play it does not justify a bet on the other side.The analysis of a game should go deeper than checking public betting percentages, which for all we know might not even be accurate.

[OZnBa Fan]

All this trap talk is the biggest laugh... You must be crazy to believe in that shit

[davopnz]

All this trap talk is the biggest laugh... You must be crazy to believe in that shit

you must be crazy to not take it into consideration mate. books play plenty of trick with their lines

[sando]

Minny are currently -1.5 vs Nuggets. Crazy...

I don't think it's crazy mate, I've already handicapped this game at T-Wolves -1, and my lines have been very accurate last 3 days. T-Wolves are simply a better team than the Nuggets, and they are playing great basketball at the moment. 3-1 last 4 but in reality the one game they lost to the Clippers (by 2 points) they were rather unlucky at the end of the game and could have won it. Nuggets have no obvious match-up advantages, in fact K-Love is probably a bad match up for Faried as the manimal's strength is in his rebounding and hustle around the basket, specifically offensive boards and he wont get many of those against K-Love who is simply a superior rebounder. Ty Lawson has basically a match up advantage against everyone in the league (as he is the quickest player in the NBA) however Rubio is a pesky and rather underrated on ball defender. Mozgov was great against the Lakers but he will get dominated by Pek. Martin is in close to career best form and so is Brewer. Not only do I think the line is spot on I'm actually leaning towards the T-Wolves

[davopnz]

i think he meant it's crazy that the t-wolves are only -1.5

[Rustyglobes]

i think he meant it's crazy that the t-wolves are only -1.5

Yes this is also how i understood it, Denver are'nt the same team this year after losing coach Karl and Iggy

[freeeze]

Spot on analysis, sando. Also Farried's 1 on 1 D sucks and that's not helping against the in mvp candidate form KLove, while Rubio is Minny's best perimeter defender this season and he definetely has the size to bother Lawson.Also worth nothing is that Denver have been atrocious defending the Pick & Roll, which could easily be exploited by the Wolves, who rank 10th in ppp on P&R. If Shaw decides to start Hickson in place of Mozgov again Denver are toast. Anyway, I believe Minny is the right pick here.

[OZnBa Fan]

you must be crazy to not take it into consideration mate. books play plenty of trick with their lines

Completely disagree, it's a myth

[davopnz]

Completely disagree, it's a myth

no it's not, its just not the be all and end all.

[Goat Milk]

Jackson still has no idea what he's doing.

You're clueless. Jackson is easily a top 5 coach in the nba.

[JM92]

You're clueless. Jackson is easily a top 5 coach in the nba.

I don't like to talk about coaches specially when they have this little experience, but if there's one guy that deserves all credit that has been given to him, is mark jackson. No fake reputation of being a defensive-minded coach and such garbage expressions. He made terrific adjustments in the playoffs last year, he is clearly an awesome motivator and has no problem of making line-up changes and bold decisions. If anyone can name 5 better coaches in the past 2 years with evidence from the actual game of basketball and not media-made-up facts, I'll give you as many points as I can. Which are only 2

[brandcorytoby]

What is your NBA current record?

Thanks!

[<lesdudis>]

Rough night again...0-2 on the GS game...it hurts.

[pawnshop]

Hi Sando,

any picks/views on rugby today?

All blacks -42.5 vs scotland

thanks!

[mikeya2k]

All this trap talk is the biggest laugh... You must be crazy to believe in that shit

You must not bet

[OZnBa Fan]

You must not bet

What's a bet?

[Shazzadude]

Hi Sando,

any picks/views on rugby today?

All blacks -42.5 vs scotland

thanks!

It was the Kiwis who played them.

All Blacks are New Zealand's national team in the sport of rugby union; the Kiwis are the national team in the sport of rugby league.

[davopnz]

96% of the money on minny ml, 81% on the spread, line ain't moving...lets see what happens

[matt#1]

96% of the money on minny ml, 81% on the spread, line ain't moving...lets see what happens

I jumped on the Minny m/l for a couple of units last night fully expecting it to have moved. Interesting.

[ExodusNZ]

Are you guys expecting the pacer to lose ?

Or saying too much value in the ML that its worth a punt against the pacers?

[Grunch]

96% of the money on minny ml, 81% on the spread, line ain't moving...lets see what happens

Those numbers are clearly made up, and even if they could somehow be true how does that mean the line is a "trap"? If the line is so terrible why is the smart money not going heavily on the other side? Unless the game is fixed and the books know this there's no reason for them not to make the odds worse for minny when 96% of people are backing them.

[Grunch]

Where's that guy who posts about fixed games, we should ask him about it.

[kneighfe]

No picks yet, Sando?

[sando]

NBA Friday

Philly @ Atlanta
2* Under 209 (-108/$1.92 Pinnacle)

Charlotte @ Cleveland
1.5* Over 188.5 (-107/$1.93 Pinnacle)

Minnesota @ Dallas
1.5* Over 106 1st Half (-109/$1.91 Pinnacle)

Memphis @ LA Lakers
1.5* Under 197 (-105/$1.95 Pinnacle)

Dallas @ Miami
1* Under 205.5 (-106/$1.94 Pinnacle)

[sando]

Chicago @ Toronto
2.5* Raptors ML (-108/$1.92 Pinnacle)

Better act quick...

[sando]

Minnesota @ Dallas
1.5* Over 106 1st Half (-109/$1.91 Pinnacle)

Correction - Minnesota @ Denver


Correction #2 - Total is Under 198, (not 197)

Memphis @ LA Lakers
1.5* Under 197 (-105/$1.95 Pinnacle)

[MrXYZ]

76ers/hawks total still worth a play at 208.5?

[sando]

76ers/hawks total still worth a play at 208.5?

Yes mate, it's my favourite total of the day. (Expecting 196-204)

[iWin]

Good luck! Let's get it