Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

[grim259]

[ATTACH]55372[/ATTACH]

AFL

YTD 2-2 -1.12 Units

Round 1.

Collingwood @ North Melbourne (today)
Magpies -10 (-110, $1.90 Luxbet) 2x
*All this talk of the Hawks, Swans and Eagles and everyone seems to have forgotten about the 'pies.
Key Factor - The addition of Q-Lynch, taking pressure of Cloke and adding to a potent forward line that could provide a potential nightmare for NM defenders, with key defender McMahon out suspended.

Geelong @ Hawthorn (tomorrow)
Hawks -7.5 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1x
*Many "experts" will tell you that the smart money is on Geelong, due to the "Kennett curse" b/s of Geelong not having lost to the Hawks since the infamous '08 grand final. Well the Cats were in great pre-season form, but seriously look at how the Lion's great NAB cup form transferred into round 1 against the 'doggies. At the end of the day the Hawks are simply the better team. Geelong while still formidable opposition (especially at Skilled) are clearly past their peak, and the Hawks whilst they perhaps may start the match a bit rusty have the best list in all of football (this coming from a Swan's fan) and providing they are there or there-abouts by h/t, all this "Kennett curse" nonsense will be out the window and I like the Hawks to pull away to the tune of 3-5 goals after h/t.

Never watchied AFL before, found that http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtmu-1kMFZw explained it all really well in the first 10-15 minutes.

One question, what exactly is NRL? Just a different league or a new game entirely?

[pipita17]

can somebody give me stats for nba to see what is record for each team when they travel at half time?

[MrXYZ]

Never watchied AFL before, found that http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtmu-1kMFZw explained it all really well in the first 10-15 minutes.

One question, what exactly is NRL? Just a different league or a new game entirely?

NRL = National Rugby League. It's completely different to AFL. Similar to Rugby Union in the general style of play but more brutal and entertaining. Very easy to follow as well. Here's a good outline of the rules:

http://www.realbuzz.com/articles/rugby-league-rules-au-en/

The official site has tonnes of highlights so you can get a feel for what our game is like:

http://www.nrl.com/Default.aspx

[sando]

can somebody give me stats for nba to see what is record for each team when they travel at half time?

Best place I know for NBA stats/trends is Team Rankings

http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/

Never watchied AFL before, found that http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtmu-1kMFZw explained it all really well in the first 10-15 minutes.

One question, what exactly is NRL? Just a different league or a new game entirely?

NRL is Rugby League. Vaguely similar to NFL if you had to compare it to another sport, expect the ball is passed backwards and they don't wear padding. A very rough sport. If you like violent sports then watch this video, although it doesn't showcase the skill of the sport, only the madness haha.

[therealdealau]

Sando lets cash love the Pies, love the over in the raiders game. Tough call on the Hawks regardless of the Cats position they alway appear to rise against the odds when the hawks come to town. No doubt Hawks have the better team and with the uncertainty of the Cats back line combined with a underwhelming pre season the hawks will be ready for this and so pumped to win. I might just have to tail

Cracking video MrXYZ. Because I'm
From Perth I was never huge on NRL but got into it two years ago. Extremely exciting, easy to follow and very entertaining . Such a contrast to Union. I recommend you guys get into this sport.

[Bbr]

Like the hawks bet.

On the power today for an upset. Eventhough they started out favourites. Late action on power at the local. Big 6x play for me, might kill my weekend but ya kno what it is.

[sando]

Like the hawks bet.

On the power today for an upset. Eventhough they started out favourites. Late action on power at the local. Big 6x play for me, might kill my weekend but ya kno what it is.

Yeah no doubt a solid play mate, I would have said Port or no play. I jumped on the under at the last minute myself, mainly due to the rain, but also the fact that both teams go through scoring droughts often for extended periods.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Put a link up for the DonnyBrookvale brawl from the year before.

[sando]

Put a link up for the DonnyBrookvale brawl from the year before.

Got that one covered. Skip to 2.44 in above video...

[sando]

AFL

Adding a prop bet. If you like it you will need an Aussie sportsbook account.

Quinten Lynch Over 1.5 Goals (Evens, $2.00 Luxbet) 1x

[aussieH]

Pies and north is a coin toss. Swan most possessions a good show though

[NewYorkKnicks87]

ill jump onto the prop bet didnt even know you can do those type of bets amazing! BOL

[snufflyjoe]

really strange line for pies went from -10.5 to -7.5 expected the opposite tbh

[sando]

Damn no Beams or Shaw - late withdrawals. No Daisy Thomas either. Not the best start to the Collingwood wager. Fingers crossed.

[Bbr]

Definitely tough with those late outs. Roos have won ten of there last thirteen at docklands. All the best. Port smashed it today

[NewYorkKnicks87]

great call on the prop, cash it!

[sando]

ill jump onto the prop bet didnt even know you can do those type of bets amazing! BOL

Good work mate, it's cashed already...

Now have to hope the pies can hold on. Must say the 'roos are looking the better team at the moment (52-54 HT), might consider hedging out at 3 quarter time if the 'pies don't have a big 3rd Q.

Definitely tough with those late outs. Roos have won ten of there last thirteen at docklands. All the best. Port smashed it today

Great call doc.

[NewYorkKnicks87]

boom, another cash ur on fire mate!

[Bbr]

Pies stay composed. Good W

[steveq]

Afl is aussi football correct?? I cant find it

[sando]

AFL YTD
4-2 +1.68 Units

NRL YTD
1-2-1 -2.07 Units
*Agonisingly close with the over 41.5 on the Knights/Raiders game (total score - 40). Very very frustrating loss, so many bombed try's...


Updated NBA record for 31st March, 2013

2012/13 NBA Season

209-184-12 (+21.22 Units) 53.2%

NBA ATS/ML
155-145-9 51.7%

NBA Totals
61-47-3 56.5%


All time SBR Picks

MMA/Boxing 8-10 (+12.86 Units)
Rugby Union 7-7 (+2.97 Units)
Rugby Sevens 28-24-1 (+2.27 Units) (To be updated)
MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units)
Tennis - to be calculated (Down on the year, but still up units on overall record)

**Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum

[pipita17]

sando my man, do you have any explanation about price on spurs vs heat game...im glad that i didnt play that game, but i really cant understand that heat without LBJ and D Wayde and Chalmers and the price on spurs was pretty much the same like they were playing.same thing last night..didnt know that pek isnt playing for wolves but price was same even though he is with rubio key player for them and of course when game started and i realise that i was naive and i lost.

[davopnz]

^ what are you on about the spurs were -9.5 after lebron and co were ruled out

[sando]

NRL

The Cowboys were looking great at H/T at 12-0, however things have completely turned around it looks like the Warriors will win outright, not just cover ATS.

After contemplating the Roosters v Eels match all w/e I have decided to have a small play on the underdogs. The Eels have a couple of nice inclusions in this match and could possibly win outright at the m/l, however I am going to play it safe. Have a feeling Chrissy Sandow will have a massive game today...?

Parramatta @ Sydney
Eels +8.5 (-108, $1.92 Luxbet) 1x

[pipita17]

San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat

Today, 01 Apr 2013, 01:00
Final result 86:88 (24:22, 21:18, 19:31, 22:17)

• 1X2
• Home/Away
• AH
• O/U
• DNB
• DC
• O/E

• FT including OT
• Full Time
• 1st Half
• 2nd Half
• 1Q

bet-at-home	1.70	2.10	-
bet365	1.71	2.20	96.2%
BetVictor	1.70	2.20	-
bwin	1.80	2.05	95.8%
Ladbrokes	1.20	5.00	96.8%
MarathonBet	1.20	5.50	98.5%
myBet	1.75	2.05	94.4%
NordicBet	1.80	2.02	95.2%
Paddy Power	1.80	2.05	95.8%
Pinnacle Sports	1.81	2.11	97.4%
TonyBet	1.77	2.05	95.0%
Unibet	1.72	2.15	95.6%
William Hill	1.77	2.10	96.0%
Click to show 55 more bookmakers!

sorry mate, my mistake, didnt clik on asian lines , now i see it was 9.5

[sando]

NBA

Portland @ Utah
Jazz -10 (-112 Pinnacle) 2.5x

*Utah bigs to dominate and wear down a weak Portland front line (Hickson/Leonard) missing LMA. The Jazz are tied with the Lakers for 8th spot so every game is very important. Look for the Blazers paper thin bench to get stretched even more than usual against the depth of the Jazz.

SA @ Memphis
Under 190 (-111 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Orlando @ Houston
1st Half Over 101.5 (-106 Pinnacle) 1.5x


Indiana @ La Clippers
Pacers +5 (-105 Pinnacle) 1x

Detroit @ Toronto
Raptors -6.5 (-108 Sportsbet) 1x

Charlotte @ Milwaukee
Bucks -12 (-106 Pinnacle) 1x

[lucasdawg]

got a call on the NRL on thursday: manly v bulldogs? manly been playing really good but bulldogs cant suck for this long right? whats your suggestion? anymore calls for friday night?

[sando]

NBA

Nice day yesterday, although the Jazz giving up late buckets in garbage time against the Blazers killed my big play, however a push is of course better than a loss.

4-1-1 yesterday in the NBA +3.65 Units

Chicago @ Washington
Wizards -2 (-107 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Also considering a small (1x) play on the Heat/Knicks Under, however the total appears to be offline at the moment...?

[sando]

got a call on the NRL on thursday: manly v bulldogs? manly been playing really good but bulldogs cant suck for this long right? whats your suggestion? anymore calls for friday night?

No Thursday night match this week mate, two Friday night matches instead - 'Doggies v Sea Eagles and the Titans v Bronco's.

IMO you've picked one of the toughest matches of the round, its a 'Doggies home game but obviously doesn't mean much with both teams being Sydney clubs, just that there will be a shitload of Lebbos at ANZ haha. Anyway Inu will be out because of his dog tackle on Inglis (excuse the pun), massive blow for the dogs, however Barba will no doubt be a hell of a lot better with a game under his belt. No Kasiano still for the dogs however that is cancelled out by the continued absence of Glen Stewart for Manly.

On paper and form you can't go past Manly, but I get the feeling that the dogs aren't far off a big performance and it's these sort of "blue collar" v "white collar" games that they usually get up for. lose this game and they are 1-4 and the 'Doggies are a far better team than that. Once they get their shit together I expect them to make another serious run at the GF this year.

So the 50/50 odds ($1.90/$1.90) reflect the contest accurately and I'm going to have to go with avoid on this one...

For me a far more interesting game is the QLD battle. Look for the under-rated Titans to do some damage to the over-rated Broncos who are filled with rookies and over the hill stars (Thaiday, Prince), although do still posses some strike weapons in Hodges (hamstring injury?), Parker, and the impressive young ranga Jack Reed. Look for the gun Titan forwards (Taylor, Bird, Myles) to dominate the Bronco forwards with quick play the balls and hard straight runs, despite the efforts of Parker, Hannant and Thaiday and how ironic that no team will know better the defensive deficiencies of Scotty prince and you can guarantee the Titans will be sending big boppers at him all night (Idris, maybe Taylor). Also for those that haven't caught on yet, remember this name - Aidan Sezer, the Titans's 5/8. The kid has talent and combined with a dangerous Titans backline (Zillman, Idris, Gordon) and a metre eating forward pack, he is set up for a great season this year. Not making any plays until final teams are announced but a definate lean on the Titans at this point.

Other leans...

NQLD Cowboys -10.5 (v. Penrith) and the Over (prob be set around 40-42)?
*Expecting the Cowboys to bounce back hard from a dismal few weeks and take out all of their wrath on the Panthers this week. Their is simply too much talent on this list and a massive/skillful forward pack. Have no doubt the Cowboys will rack up 30+ points on the Panthers this week. Will probably be a very large play.

St. George +3.5 (v. Newcastle)
*Dragons looked very sharp last week and expect them to back up with another solid effort at home.

Sydney -6 (v. Canberra)
*Expecting the Roosters to simply get better and better every week and with no Ferguson (massive massive out), Duigan gone, still no Campese, the Raiders are seriously lacking in game breakers and I expect my beloved green machine to get completely rolled in front of the tortured faithful at Canberra stadium. Probably a very large play.

Over (38-42)? (Melbourne v Wests Tigers)
*Tigers leaking plenty of points. Melbourne racking up an average of 29 per game. Obvious play. Tigers can still score behind Benji's magic and the Storm do go through the occasional defensive lapse.

[Crowing Capers]

Took the 1-10 wizards
Wizards 2nd best record in NBA ATS somehow
Gone UNDER 11 out of last 14 Heat/Knicks
GL Sando

[lucasdawg]

No Thursday night match this week mate, two Friday night matches instead - 'Doggies v Sea Eagles and the Titans v Bronco's.

IMO you've picked one of the toughest matches of the round, its a 'Doggies home game but obviously doesn't mean much with both teams being Sydney clubs, just that there will be a shitload of Lebbos at ANZ haha. Anyway Inu will be out because of his dog tackle on Inglis (excuse the pun), massive blow for the dogs, however Barba will no doubt be a hell of a lot better with a game under his belt. No Kasiano still for the dogs however that is cancelled out by the continued absence of Glen Stewart for Manly.

On paper and form you can't go past Manly, but I get the feeling that the dogs aren't far off a big performance and it's these sort of "blue collar" v "white collar" games that they usually get up for. lose this game and they are 1-4 and the 'Doggies are a far better team than that. Once they get their shit together I expect them to make another serious run at the GF this year.

So the 50/50 odds ($1.90/$1.90) reflect the contest accurately and I'm going to have to go with avoid on this one...

For me a far more interesting game is the QLD battle. Look for the under-rated Titans to do some damage to the over-rated Broncos who are filled with rookies and over the hill stars (Thaiday, Prince), although do still posses some strike weapons in Hodges (hamstring injury?), Parker, and the impressive young ranga Jack Reed. Look for the gun Titan forwards (Taylor, Bird, Myles) to dominate the Bronco forwards with quick play the balls and hard straight runs, despite the efforts of Parker, Hannant and Thaiday and how ironic that no team will know better the defensive deficiencies of Scotty prince and you can guarantee the Titans will be sending big boppers at him all night (Idris, maybe Taylor). Also for those that haven't caught on yet, remember this name - Aidan Sezer, the Titans's 5/8. The kid has talent and combined with a dangerous Titans backline (Zillman, Idris, Gordon) and a metre eating forward pack, he is set up for a great season this year. Not making any plays until final teams are announced but a definate lean on the Titans at this point.

Other leans...

NQLD Cowboys -10.5 (v. Penrith) and the Over (prob be set around 40-42)?
*Expecting the Cowboys to bounce back hard from a dismal few weeks and take out all of their wrath on the Panthers this week. Their is simply too much talent on this list and a massive/skillful forward pack. Have no doubt the Cowboys will rack up 30+ points on the Panthers this week. Will probably be a very large play.

St. George +3.5 (v. Newcastle)
*Dragons looked very sharp last week and expect them to back up with another solid effort at home.

Sydney -6 (v. Canberra)
*Expecting the Roosters to simply get better and better every week and with no Ferguson (massive massive out), Duigan gone, still no Campese, the Raiders are seriously lacking in game breakers and I expect my beloved green machine to get completely rolled in front of the tortured faithful at Canberra stadium. Probably a very large play.

Over (38-42)? (Melbourne v Wests Tigers)
*Tigers leaking plenty of points. Melbourne racking up an average of 29 per game. Obvious play. Tigers can still score behind Benji's magic and the Storm do go through the occasional defensive lapse.

nice write up mate, oh didnt realise that its not on thursday no more thats good! was wondering why the footy show on earlier now. might lean with manly their odds keep dropping even tho it might be best to back the home dog.

titans seem pretty confident over broncos - we also got thaiday out now zz, titans home always tough for us.

i dont like how cowboys been going- thurstons their carrier at the moment and they arent playing that well together. when thurstons on the ball then their game flows but when its not they been missing out on points.

dragons took the win off sharks which was a confidence boost but i dont think they will be strong enough against newcastle- probs be close tho.

rabbits will kill raiders from what i can see.

melbourne had a close one with my broncos but i think they got their stuff sorted out for this week - tigers didnt do much against manly so i cant see them scoring heaps, even tho they got rid of their youngin and put anasta back at no7.

[sando]

NBA

Great couple of days for me. 5-1-1 on my posted SBR plays and a great run on my in-play trading to, feeling good about the NBA again for the first time in a while.

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Bucks -5 (-105 Pinnacle) 2.5x

Denver @ Utah
Jazz -3 (-103 Pinnacle) 2x

NO @ GS
Warriors -7.5 (-107 Pinnacle) 2x

Philli @ Charlotte
76'ers -5 (-104 Pinnacle) 1x

NY @ Atlanta
Knicks m/l (+109 Pinnacle) 1x

Houston @ Sacramento
Kings +4 (-107 Pinnacle) 1x
Kings m/l (+155 Bet 365) 0.5x

*Working on my totals now. Running late today...

[sando]

2012/13 NBA Season

5-1-1 last 2 days. +5.05 Units
2-0 Totals
3-1-1 ATS

214-185-13 (+26.27 Units) 53.6%

NBA ATS/ML
158-146-10 52%

NBA Totals
63-47-3 57.3%

[sando]

NBA

Just the one total today

Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Under 200.5 (-105 Pinnacle) 2x

[WalkingLuckCharm]

ouch