PHOENIX (ISM raceway)--

[5mike5]

Alright fellas we are headed off to ISM raceway at PHOENIX for this weekend's NASCAR action...The truck series will have the next few weeks off, but the Xfinity series will be racing on Saturday at 4pm airing on the main FOX channel with the CUP series on its regular Sunday late afternoon action on FOX at 3:30pm..

ISM raceway is a 1 mile asphalt varied low banking tri-oval, so its a completely different racetrack than we have been on so far this season, and the same hold for the next few races as well with Auto Club and Martinsville next up on the schedule...This racetrack will be reconfigured after this race before the 2nd weekend of the year in the playoffs

Obviously this has been an absolute stomping ground for harvick for many many years and with this season i expect him top be the biggest fav of the entire season..Even though he hasn't won the last 3 races here, and not even lead 1 lap in those races, he still has 8 wins and 9 straight top 6 finishes..incredible reallyAs always, everybody's picks and opinions are always welcome and appreciated!


GOODLUCK this weekend!!

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I'm ready Mike.

I have an open parlay with one leg left I may even use, if I don't use it before race day.

It's not a big one. It's only at +110 right now.

Adding this to my open parlay. It's the Real Madrid/Paris SG match.



[2] PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -175 (WON)


YES 0-300WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE


OPEN SPOTONCE YOUR BET IS PLACED, GO TO THE OPEN BETS TAB TO FILL IT

[5mike5]

Those are always nice to have, and will be again this week especially

[5mike5]

odds are posted now

[5mike5]

harvick opened at +300, better than i expected

[DiggityDaggityDo]

harvick opened at +300, better than i expected

That means I can get him at +738 with my open parlay.

Odds are not posted yet at Bookmaker though.

Probably will not be until tomorrow. Or even Thursday.

[Optional]

NASCAR Cup Series Ticket Guardian 500

Kevin Harvick +285
Kyle Busch +550
Kyle Larson +750
Martin Truex Jr +850
Brad Keselowski +850
Denny Hamlin +1250
Joey Logano +1350
Chase Elliott +1500
Ryan Blaney +2000
Erik Jones +2250
Jimmie Johnson +2750
Alex Bowman +4400
Clint Bowyer +4400
Kurt Busch +4400
Aric Almirola +4400
Ryan Newman +5500
Jamie McMurray +8800
Daniel Suarez +8800
Paul Menard +10000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +10000
Austin Dillon +20000
William Byron +20000
Darrell Wallace Jr +30000
Kasey Kahne +50000
Trevor Bayne +50000
Ty Dillon +50000
Chris Buescher +100000
Michael McDowell +100000
AJ Allmendinger +100000



Xfinity DC Solar 200

Kyle Busch +115
Brad Keselowski +200
Jamie McMurray +650
Christopher Bell +825
Justin Allgaier +1350
Cole Custer +2000
Elliott Sadler +2250
Tyler Reddick +2750
Field (any other driver) +3000
Daniel Hemric +3300
Ty Dillon +4400
Brandon Jones +4400
Matt Tifft +20000
Ryan Truex +20000
Michael Annett +20000
Ryan Reed +20000
Austin Cindric +30000
Spencer Gallagher +30000

[5mike5]

Kyle B a def parlay starter on Xfintity, also like Allgahier and Bell

[reigle9]

i usually would've taken allgaier small, but with 3 cup guys plus bell who gets bet like a cup guy, i figure he'll get a little better

bastards didn't put him in a hth

[5mike5]

same.here why i havent yet

yeah they will add more on raceday at least. wantwd him over sadler

[5mike5]

xfinity

Bell (825)

Bell>McMurray(+105)
open
open

I will probably also take Allgahier, I am just waiting on line movement and will for sure open parlay Kyle B to win on raceday when its offered...And that will be it besides picking another match-up for the parlay..

[5mike5]

xfinity

Bell (825)

Bell>McMurray(+105)
open
open

I will probably also take Allgahier, I am just waiting on line movement and will for sure open parlay Kyle B to win on raceday when its offered...And that will be it besides picking another match-up for the parlay..

Bell>McMurray (+105)
Kyle B.>Keslowski (-145)
open

[5mike5]

Harvick loses all bonus pts earned and 20 reg sason pts for Illegal car from vegas win

[rickie65]

Ryan Newman +5500

some value here, he's been pretty good at PHX before including the win last year

[5mike5]

Ryan Newman +5500

some value here, he's been pretty good at PHX before including the win last year

ol Bowman pretty much dominated this race in 2016 filling in for Jr. hes 44-1 too

[Optional]

Ford +100
Toyota +200
Chevy +275

Books late to wake up and then go over kill.

[5mike5]

probably gonna make a few decisions today for the Cup race, was hoping odds on a few guys im looking at would move some, but they havent yet...whenever i do ill post up

[5mike5]

Ford +100
Toyota +200
Chevy +275

Books late to wake up and then go over kill.

+100?!

at a non-down force track...Harvick has never won here in a ford either

good grief overreaction much?

[reigle9]

+200 seems good for toyota

[5mike5]

I would rather just have JGR at a better price

[5mike5]

I would only consider that to close a parlay of course

[5mike5]

I can't believe @Optional hasn't mentioned his boy Bowman yet this week

[5mike5]

a few Interesting stats:

since 2008, 6 drivers have ended win-less streaks of 70+ races at Phoenix...including newman's win here last year snapping his 127 race win-less streak..

Kyle busch has finishes top 5 in last 5 phoenix races, but hasn't WON here since 2005

[5mike5]

kyle is 5 top 7's in a row^^^^^^...cant read my own writing..

[5mike5]

Harvick's odds strangely double up tp +400 in an hour's time.....E.Jones is a good long-shot too up to +3000

[Optional]

+200 seems good for toyota

Agree. Seems a little better than the fair line to me too. Probably going to parlay Kyle in Xfin with it.

I can't believe @Optional hasn't mentioned his boy Bowman yet this week

Sorry, been busy every moment at desk this week.

But you read my mind. Already bet

Bowman +4000 to win and +1100 for top 3

Just to be safe

[Optional]

E.Jones is a good long-shot too up to +3000

Yeah his Xfinity record is very very solid

2014-32	Phoenix	40	3	6	20	GameStop (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	206/206	29,175	running	0
2015-04	Phoenix	40	3	5	54	Monster Energy (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	200/200	34,114	running	0
2015-32	Phoenix	40	3	3	20	GameStop / WWE 2K16 (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	200/200	43,997	running	0
2016-04	Phoenix	40	1	2	20	Reser's Fine Foods (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	200/200	0	running	5
2016-32	Phoenix	40	2	10	20	Hisense 4K TV (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	200/200	0	running	3
2017-04	Phoenix	40	2	3	20	Reser's Main Street Bistro (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	200/200	0	running	65
2017-32	Phoenix	40	1	3	20	Hisense 4K TV (Joe Gibbs)	Toyota	200/200	0	running	36

[reigle9]

there's that, his performance last year in both races...and that he's in the fuckin car of the dominate fall race winner

real odds, i think he's 5th fav

[reigle9]

his xfinity looks like shit after seeing that, probably shouldve won a couple

[Optional]

his xfinity looks like shit after seeing that, probably shouldve won a couple

thats why I called it very very "solid"

It does look like he should have had a win with that many fast qualifying cars and that many top 3 finishes.

Could say the same thing about chase elliot in cup in general.

[reigle9]

i took them both this week

really wanted the jones position o/u, but i guess the books got bored after vegas

[5mike5]

thats why I called it very very "solid"

It does look like he should have had a win with that many fast qualifying cars and that many top 3 finishes.

Could say the same thing about chase elliot in cup in general.

im guessing Kyle B probably roadblocked a win or 2

[5mike5]

just taking a few longshots and Larson early, waiting til after Xfinity to play anymore win odds. looking over matchups again b4 sessions start.

Larson.750
Jones. 3000
Bowman.4400

[5mike5]

Today's track schedule:

ALL ON FS1 (All times eeatern)

Cup:
practice: 12:30pm-1:30pm
Qualifying: 5:15pm

Xfinity:
Practices: 2-3pm and 4-5pm

[pimike]

Enjoy Mike!! Hope weather is great!!