Johno's AFL Picks 2012

[johno35]

That was the worst possible result for me personally last night, not only my team loses but Adelaide gave up a big lead late in the late quarter to stuff up the cover for me. Got the over though so wasn't too bad. Today I'm liking the under and GWS to cover

GWS/Tigers under 169.5 - 3 units
GWS +56.5 - 1 unit

GL

[johno35]

Good 4 unit win today. I'm really liking the under in tonights match, it seems way too high for a team that only averages 10 goals a game. Not only that I'm expecting a lot more of a defensive effort from GC tonight as they where smashed last week against the saints. Also like the Roos to cover

GC/Roos under 197.5 - 5 units
Roos -36.5 - 3 units

GL

[johno35]

Got the under comfortably but WTF North Melbourne? I'm not sure what to make of that performance. Cant complain though, won over 5 units today. Be back tomorrow

[johno35]

First game today I like the over and the Hawks to cover. I'm expecting a high score today, Hawks average over 100 points a game while the Lions average over 80. I think Hawks dominate this game though and kick a big score to win by 60+

Hawks/Lions over 185.5 - 3 units
Hawks -50.5 - 3 units

Be back for later game, GL

[johno35]

Great result today with another 6 units. Twilight game will be 2 ordinary teams going head to head. I'm not expecting great skill with this one, probably a bit harsh but it's just my opinion. I'm liking the under and the digs to cover, the dogs seem to have the wood on Port in recent years.

Dogs/Port under 183.5 - 3 units
Dogs -15.5 - 1 unit

GL

[johno35]

Great last couple of days has gotten the record back in the positive

Updated record

ML Underdog Plays - 2-4 (-.70 units)
1 Unit Plays - 20-13 (+5.96 units)
3 Unit Plays - 31-23 (+18.48 units)
5 Unit Plays - 8-10 (-14 units)

Total +9.74 units

[johno35]

This week leans:

Sydney -9.5
Freo +3.5
Melb -23.5
Adelaide -19.5

Any thoughts?

[Coopertrooper]

Prefer the cats on Friday, and don't trust freo or melbourne to cover. Adelaide looks alright to me.

[johno35]

Sydney/Cats should be a good game but I think Sydney are the better team at the moment. Freo have a good chance to win this game, they are in form and starting to adjust to Ross Lyons game plan. Melbourne should have some confidence coming off a win against Essendon and a good effort against the Pies. They are also coming off a bye, while GWS played a tough game against Richmond last week in wet conditions. Adelaide is my favourite though, North were very average against GC last week and after a great start to the season have really fallen away.

[johno35]

Looking forward to a good game tonight. As I said I'm liking Sydney tonight, the Cats have a good record against the Swans but on current form Sydney at home should be too good. Also like the under.

Sydney -9.5 - 3 units
Under 179.5 - 1 unit

GL

[johno35]

Far out that sucked! Choked a big lead and then a kick with 1 second left hits the post! Got the under though so could have been worse

[johno35]

Again have 2 plays on todays game

Dogs -19.5 - 3 units
Dogs/Lions under 180.5 - 3 units

GL

[YorkHunt]

Looks like lions might win outright

[johno35]

Pies/Eagles under 178.5 - 3 units

[johno35]

Looks like lions might win outright

Bit of a shock result, just when I thought the dogs were coming into form!

[johno35]

Good under win with the Collingwood game, going to keep that trend going tonight!

Freo/Bombers under 171.5 - 5 units
Freo +8.5 - 3 units

Saturday nights haven't been the greatest for me this year so I'm hoping I can turn it around tonight, GL

[johno35]

Bad night last night, nothing went the way I thought it would

Melb -25.5 - 3 units
Melb/GWS under 171.5 - 5 units

These two team average a combined total of 120ppg, go the under! Also think Mebourne will finally have a good win. GL

[johno35]

Adelaide -20.5 - 5 units
North/Adelaide - under 199.5 - 3 units

GL

[johno35]

Adelaide getting smashed!

[johno35]

Shithouse round last week but the byes are done with so more opportunities this week. Got 2 plays tonight, very confident with the Hawks and the under.

Hawks -23.5 - 5 units
Blues/Hawks under 181.5 - 3 units

GL

[johno35]

Pies/Dockers under 176.5 - 5 units

[johno35]

Adelaide -16.5 - 3 units
Adelaide/Richmond under 182.5 - 3 units

[garygroundwork]

hows the weather in melbourne??

[johno35]

Ok at the moment but there are showers on the way

[johno35]

The under isn't looking good in Adelaide, I'm hoping they make a comeback and get the cover!

[johno35]

WC/GC over 188.5 - 3 units
WC -72.5 - 1 unit

[johno35]

WTF?? How did that game go over??

[garygroundwork]

I know...that was the most relaxing under ever for most of the game...

[johno35]

There goes another one, I can't buy a trick today. Come on Adelaide, one more!!

[johno35]

Haha!! Well that stopped some of the bleeding

[rumple]

Wow what an idiot nn Richmond, handed you the cover.

[Lookingtostart]

What a way to cover for the Crows!

[johno35]

Yeah unbelievable cover! Had no luck with the Collingwood game so it evened up for me.

Bombers -29.5 - 1 unit
Bombers/Dogs under 188.5 - 3 units
Sydney -68.5 - 1 unit
Sydney/GWS over 173.5 - 3 units

[johno35]

Feel like I've been really unlucky with the over/unders this weekend. Want to wait until the last 10 mins to make a call on the Geelong game, the weather isn't looking good but the total is only at 161.5 at the moment. I was leaning on Port to cover...
Thecattery, do you think your boys will cover the 50 points?

[garygroundwork]

if its going to rain good chance on both..depends on rain..anyone in geelong