MrXYZ's NRL thread

MrXYZ · 07-27-13, 09:00 PM

NZL WARRIORS vs MELBOURNE STORM
Game Total UNDER 39.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 07-27-13, 09:01 PM

Last minute play, totally forgot about the early start on this one.

MrXYZ · 07-27-13, 10:38 PM

CRONULLA SHARKS vs PENRITH PANTHERS
Game Total UNDER 40.5 @1.90 x3

MrXYZ · 07-28-13, 10:26 PM

Terrible weekend.

NRL Season Record: 55-1-51 -2.80 units -$140

MrXYZ · 07-29-13, 02:43 AM

WESTS TIGERS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
WESTS +12.5 @1.80 x1
Game Total UNDER 42.0 @1.90 x1

A tough game to pick. Lost some value on the Tigers spread. No stats to back this one up, just an MNF situational play. Also rolling with the under. A risk due to Manly's impressive run averaging 40+ points in the last few weeks, however I'm expecting a close game and with plenty on the line it could max out at 38 points.

Good luck. I've lost just about every play this weekend so fading might be profitable at this point.

MrXYZ · 08-01-13, 10:25 PM

NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total UNDER 37.5 @1.90 x5

This game has been on my radar all week & I was expecting 36.5 or lower. It's back to the grind for both teams after the last round's scorefests. With so much at stake we'lll see a finals atmosphere with 32-34 points max. A big play but I'm very confident in this one. Tail or fade, good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 03:21 AM

I'm passing on the Roosters/Panthers game. The under looks good, though even without SBW they could win 40-0. The best team in the comp by far, Roosters are too big, too strong, too talented etc & should easily cover the 12.5 point spread.

Cubanpete · 08-02-13, 03:47 AM

Good luck mate.

the tross · 08-02-13, 03:55 AM

Wow not this again. 5 units!. Goodluck bro . I've got half my br on knights ml and manly 13+ so fuc the world i say. Lets get this shite done...

OZnBa Fan · 08-02-13, 04:00 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total UNDER 37.5 @1.90 x5

This game has been on my radar all week & I was expecting 36.5 or lower. It's back to the grind for both teams after the last round's scorefests. With so much at stake we'lll see a finals atmosphere with 32-34 points max. A big play but I'm very confident in this one. Tail or fade, good luck.

bet365 has this at 38 pts mate?

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 06:15 AM

Thanks guys.

Whatever happens this has to be one the best games I've seen in a while.

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 06:16 AM

Originally posted by OZnBa Fan

bet365 has this at 38 pts mate?

Did you take it? I don't have an account with them.

OZnBa Fan · 08-02-13, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Did you take it? I don't have an account with them.

yer I took it mate does it cash cause of ot?

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 06:38 AM

Yeah they just gotta kick a field goal! A try buries us. Fukk this is tense.

OZnBa Fan · 08-02-13, 06:43 AM

thanks for the play mate, looks like missed conversions saved us

Domestic · 08-02-13, 06:48 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Did you take it? I don't have an account with them.

Just curious why don't you have an account with them?

Anyway congrats on the winner, was sweaty palms stuff at the end but glad it ended happily.

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 06:52 AM

Cash it!

Tim Gerry Mander · 08-02-13, 07:55 PM

Hey buddy
liking any overs today?

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 08:17 PM

To not be profitable at this point in the season is disappointing. At least yesterday's big winner got things back on track. Since I don't bet on sports for a living anymore, it hasn't been too stressful but I expect much more from myself and the goal now to build some momentum into the finals. Doing this for a hobby changes your mindset, but you still want to win.

Yesterday: 1-0 +4.5 units $225
NRL Season Record: 56-1-52 -0.30 units -$15

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

Hey buddy
liking any overs today?

I'm looking at a play on the Warriors/Sharks over. That would be my pick.

Parra/Manly is 45.5 at some books - the grudge match could go under.

the tross · 08-02-13, 09:18 PM

Nice play on the knights Mr xyz, but fuk me ,a draw when i play ML wtf . Loved the game with the ref not blowing a lot of penalties.
Parra/manly with Ben Roberts at half lol tough call either way.

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 09:20 PM

NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
SHARKS +8.0 @1.90 x1

Was going to take the over but the Sharks spread is the better value pick. Warriors have been impressive lately, making a solid run for the finals. However they're prone to stretches of undisciplined play and defensive lapses. Carney's kicking game will have to be at its best today to keep this one close. Even though I think the Warriors are set for another win, 8 points is too generous in this situation, especially with Gallen's return.

MrXYZ · 08-02-13, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by the tross

Nice play on the knights Mr xyz, but fuk me ,a draw when i play ML wtf . Loved the game with the ref not blowing a lot of penalties.
Parra/manly with Ben Roberts at half lol tough call either way.

Sandow with his $500k salary couldn't even get a start over Roberts. it's a big statement by the team. The kid has a serious gambling problem.

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 02:24 AM

PARRAMATTA EELS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
Game Total OVER 45.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 03:32 AM

2nd half play
2nd half Total OVER 22.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 03:35 AM

Centrebet have 2nd half markets on all NRL games. Since it's not technically live, they can get away with offering online betting for Aussies. I've been makin a few plays lately without any problems. Beats having to make a call

the tross · 08-03-13, 03:57 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Centrebet have 2nd half markets on all NRL games. Since it's not technically live, they can get away with offering online betting for Aussies. I've been makin a few plays lately without any problems. Beats having to make a call

good to know thanks X, your rollin man . took manly -40.5 @luxbet For 8.10 for a laugh. Ben Roberts, who is he?

Domestic · 08-03-13, 04:09 AM

Man that cashed easily after such a slow scoring start.

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 04:14 AM

Originally posted by the tross

good to know thanks X, your rollin man . took manly -40.5 @luxbet For 8.10 for a laugh. Ben Roberts, who is he?

One of the worst players in the NRL. As TGM will tell you, whenever he's on the field it guarantees the over team covers the spread. Good luck with the -40.5, still has a shot.

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 04:18 AM

Cash all 3 plays for the sweep!

Today: 3-0 +2.70 units $135
NRL Season Record: 59-1-52 +2.40 units $120

davopnz · 08-03-13, 04:27 AM

any love for souths?

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 05:29 AM

Originally posted by davopnz

any love for souths?

Passed on the game.

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 09:34 PM

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs MELBOURNE STORM
Game Total UNDER 42.5 @1.90 x1

Even though stats & trends point to the over I'm expecting the Storm to show some defensive focus today. It a tough call to see who wins but will be close and should land near the posted total. A final score of 22-18 wouldn't surprise me.

MrXYZ · 08-03-13, 11:52 PM

GOLD COAST TITANS vs WESTS TIGERS
Game Total UNDER 46.0 @1.90 x1

A lacklustre game is on the cards this afternoon. Regardless of what both teams say to the media they can't wait for the season to end. Titans should win easily.

Tim Gerry Mander · 08-04-13, 12:38 AM

Raiders getting torn a new one.
56-4 with 15 mins still to go