kentucky downs

[JBEX]

5 day meet ..won't be graded

[JBEX]

R1 #3 freddy flintshire (3-1)

extreme stamina european pedigree along with a running line I like for a stretchout (1 1/2 miles today)..also can't hurt that it's a euro style track and they're expecting rain


R2 #4 stanley market (20-1)
R2 # 6 misthaven (6-1)

R4 #8 rocket one (8-1) 2yo msw

R6 #9 scattershack (8-1) 2yo msw


R7 #11 two sixtyone (8-1)
R8 #10 queen judith (8-1)
R9 #1 serene (12-1)
R10 #12 du jour (5-2)
R11 #12 cruz bay (5-1)

[JBEX]

finished

[ConleyPicks]

SCHEDULE – POST TIME IS 12:20PM CDT EACH RACE DAY
Sunday, September 5th TODAY
Monday, September 6th
Wednesday, September 8th
Thursday, September 9th
Saturday, September 11th
Sunday, September 12th

[JBEX]

R1 #4 bella conchita (5-1)
R2 #8 stolen base (5-2)
R4 #4 our integrity (5-1)
R5 #6 cavalry charge (6-1)
R8 #2 gypsy king (3-1)
R11 #10 red run (15-1)


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[ConleyPicks]

I did focus in on R10 today at Kentucky Downs

R10
1 30-1 289.9
2 30-1 310.6
3 15-1 331.2
4 12-1 322.4
5 12-1 297.0
6 10-1 334.9
7 8-1 328.3
8 10-1 284.7
9 5/2 335.7
10 30-1 247.4
11 9/5 319.6

Top 4:

[ConleyPicks]

I did focus in on R10 today at Kentucky Downs

R10
1 30-1 289.9
2 30-1 310.6
3 15-1 331.2
4 12-1 322.4
5 12-1 297.0
6 10-1 334.9
7 8-1 328.3
8 10-1 284.7
9 5/2 335.7
10 30-1 247.4
11 9/5 319.6

Top 4:

Top pick ran 2nd
2nd choice won $11.20

Boxed Exacta $23.20

[littlekona]

Hilarious that BOL has a HUGE banner promoting Kentucky Downs and yet they did not offer the first days of Meet LOL its only 6 days what a Joke

[littlekona]

so its still not on the BOL schedule for Tuesday. I messaged CS so hoping they add since they advertise the meet

[JBEX]

does the track get a % or does bol pay a straight fee (or neither).. have no idea how this works?

[littlekona]

does the track get a % or does bol pay a straight fee (or neither).. have no idea how this works?

Neither. BOL books it. Hopes you lose since its not pari mutual...BOL is very good maybe the best horse book but like everything offshore it can be improved on. Ridiculous they promote Kentucky downs with huge banner on horse page yet didn't offer first 2 days

[JBEX]

Neither. BOL books it. Hopes you lose since its not pari mutual...BOL is very good maybe the best horse book but like everything offshore it can be improved on. Ridiculous they promote Kentucky downs with huge banner on horse page yet didn't offer first 2 days

can't argue that..doesn't make sense

[JBEX]

R1 #3 morocco (2-1)
R2 #7 volubile (9-2)
R3 #3 royal tryst (12-1)
R4 #1 super sol (12-1)
R5 #5 tiberius mercurious (12-1)
R6 #8 breeze rider (9-2)

[ConleyPicks]

Top race of the day for me

R9 KD The TVG $400k 1m70yds

1 20-1 300.0
2 15-1 325.5
3 20-1 292.0
4 30-1 290.7
5 20-1 290.0
6 12-1 317.4
7 5-1 268.1
8 5/2 295.6
9 6-1 303.6
10 4-1 307.4
11 8-1 311.3

Top4:

[JBEX]

R1 #3 morocco (2-1)
R2 #7 volubile (9-2)
R3 #3 royal tryst (12-1)
R4 #1 super sol (12-1)
R5 #5 tiberius mercurious (12-1)
R6 #8 breeze rider (9-2)

R7 #3 enjoyitwhilewecan (5-1)
R10 #2 way too pretty (8-1)

[littlekona]

R1 #3 morocco (2-1)
R2 #7 volubile (9-2)
R3 #3 royal tryst (12-1)
R4 #1 super sol (12-1)
R5 #5 tiberius mercurious (12-1)
R6 #8 breeze rider (9-2)

nice play in race 2. I used per your picks but missed first leg needed the 2 8 or 10 in first. Pick 5 looks to pay 5K + even if lower prices pop last 2. BTW your pick in race 5 is the wise guy horse he will bet down pretty good

[JBEX]

nice play in race 2. I used per your picks but missed first leg needed the 2 8 or 10 in first. Pick 5 looks to pay 5K + even if lower prices pop last 2. BTW your pick in race 5 is the wise guy horse he will bet down pretty good

thanks kona..when you say the "wise guy horse" are you talking vs the ml or on the exchanges..my guess would be the latter ?

[littlekona]

thanks kona..when you say the "wise guy horse" are you talking vs the ml or on the exchanges..my guess would be the latter ?

couple guys I follow that are sharp liked him. Oh well he did not fire. Man Im putting a small pic 5 tikcet and you have to love the conditions for the 8th and 9th for a measley 400K each race WOWOW!!

[littlekona]

Kentucky Downs, Sep 08, Race #6
	Race 6 1st [8, 9] - Race 7 1st [3, 4, 11] - Race 8 1st [9] - Race 9 1st [7, 9, 11] - Race 10 1st [1, 2, 4, 9]

[JBEX]

couple guys I follow that are sharp liked him. Oh well he did not fire. Man Im putting a small pic 5 tikcet and you have to love the conditions for the 8th and 9th for a measley 400K each race WOWOW!!

yeah..restricted stakes usually around a quarter of that

[JBEX]

R1 #3 yaba daba diva (5-1)
R2 #4 miss mamba (8-1)
R3 #4 spectacular gem (7-2)

R4 #7 big blue (12-1)

line and figure 5 back is very similar to his last race.. dropped and returned in 25 days for a win.. drops and returns in 26 days this time.. trainer an excellent value bet overall


R5 #2 rhythm section (7-2)


R9 #3 masseto (7-2)
R11#2 baj (8-1) 2yo msw

[JBEX]

finished

[littlekona]

Big Blue should of won. That was a great pick great price just better trip for winner

Did u see race #2? I had the 11 single in pic 5 and 80 WP. I think I was scamed by photo guy

[JBEX]

Big Blue should of won. That was a great pick great price just better trip for winner

Did u see race #2? I had the 11 single in pic 5 and 80 WP. I think I was scamed by photo guy

thanks.. yeah he ran big but the other was able to save ground on the turn.. made the difference


stopped R2 on the line a couple of times and really hard to tell.. they say the wire angle favors the outside horse so factoring that think you've got a case

[littlekona]

thanks.. yeah he ran big but the other was able to save ground on the turn.. made the difference

stopped R2 on the line a couple of times and really hard to tell.. they say the wire angle favors the outside horse so factoring that think you've got a case

Cost me 1K+ pick 5... that 11 won the race freaking even TVG tweeted out congrats the the connections ect. He was bet down to 5/2 from 10-1 and Hartman has his stock ready and the connections BET em when they know they are live so they must of been so pissed on top of losing the Win portion of purse.

[JBEX]

Cost me 1K+ pick 5... that 11 won the race freaking even TVG tweeted out congrats the the connections ect. He was bet down to 5/2 from 10-1 and Hartman has his stock ready and the connections BET em when they know they are live so they must of been so pissed on top of losing the Win portion of purse.

terrible way to miss and definitely a bit iffy from what I saw..have had that happen to me over the years but never in a big spot like yours

[JBEX]

R1 #3 yaba daba diva (5-1)
R2 #4 miss mamba (8-1)
R3 #4 spectacular gem (7-2)

R4 #7 big blue (12-1)

line and figure 5 back is very similar to his last race.. dropped and returned in 25 days for a win.. drops and returns in 26 days this time.. trainer an excellent value bet overall


R5 #2 rhythm section (7-2)


R9 #3 masseto (7-2)
R11#2 baj (8-1) 2yo msw

not today

[littlekona]

not today

sick the probables in pick 5 with very form full run races. I'm out I needed Texas Shuffle in first leg But man wish used entry @ 2-1. Your Maestro lost race at break rushed up then empty. he should of settled off his IRE form

[littlekona]

so sick 2052.00 for FIFTY CENTS the late pick 5. Whats the parlay on that ? Huge overlay

[JBEX]

so sick 2052.00 for FIFTY CENTS the late pick 5. Whats the parlay on that ? Huge overlay

$455 for .50..amazing payoff for odds


2.15 ×6.6×3.6×3.3×2.7

quarter of the win payoff first leg (.50) then multiply out half the win prices on each

[JBEX]

kentucky

R1 #2 classical magic (5-1)

R2 #2 breaker of chains (10-1)
R2 #11 let's go native (6-1)

win only R2

R3 #1 conviction trade (4-1)

gotta like cutting back from 1 5/8 to 1 5/16 .."led from 9f to 5/16th" (brisnet) when you do the math 5/8 - 5/16 = today's distance..3rd off layoff and nicely spaced 3 races


R4 #9 caveat emptor (6-1)



R5

#1 macadamia (15-1)

homebred fts with a 6 figure euro sire I've never heard of..rail excellent in sprints

#8 hype house (12-1)



R6 #7 catch a bid (8-1)


R10


#2 the lir jet (12-1)
#5 miss amulet (15-1)


both euros which is a plus on this european course.. decent results vs top company


R11 #2 baj (8-1) 2yo msw


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[JBEX]

added R3

[JBEX]

added R4

[JBEX]

added 5

[JBEX]

added 6