Kons's Breeders Cup Vulnerable Favorites

[littlekona]

My toss outs bet against favorites for multi race wagers or LAYS

Jack Christopher- SCRATCHED Breeders' Cup Juvenile

Letruska- Breeders' Cup Distaff

Golden Pal- Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint

War Like Goddess- Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf


In the Classic and Sprint Both Jackie and Knicks Go best be 100% because both will be challenged. Probably use but spread races too IMO.

Thoughts?

[Easy-Rider 66]

GL Kona Have not looked it over yet but think I am going with Bruno at the works picks this year. Burnt from capping. I know "The Super Screener" said throw out Golden Pal. See what happens

[Ventura]

Agree with all of them besides War Like Goddess.

Would maybe toss in Life Is Good - just seems like the logical single that gets beat even though speed going a mile at Del Mar has been golden.

[littlekona]

GL Kona Have not looked it over yet but think I am going with Bruno at the works picks this year. Burnt from capping. I know "The Super Screener" said throw out Golden Pal. See what happens

The international horses in the turf races look to me as far superior...these UK trainers know which like the firmer ground to ship...a few favorites look good but it looks to me as a day of middle prices plus and nice payouts...these are days ill spread trying to be the vulnerable chalks and then focus most my attention on other track's

[littlekona]

Agree with all of them besides War Like Goddess.

Would maybe toss in Life Is Good - just seems like the logical single that gets beat even though speed going a mile at Del Mar has been golden.

The international horses are tough here..if Love is 100% on the firm course shed be my top pick but man the longest priced import could pop here..

[Easy-Rider 66]

The international horses in the turf races look to me as far superior...these UK trainers know which like the firmer ground to ship...a few favorites look good but it looks to me as a day of middle prices plus and nice payouts...these are days ill spread trying to be the vulnerable chalks and then focus most my attention on other track's

[Jowframs]

Like it
Golden Pal is the only one I will have an issue with throwing out completely
Unless I get 7/2 or more
The others Iam on board

[JBEX]

The international horses are tough here..if Love is 100% on the firm course shed be my top pick but man the longest priced import could pop here..

I haven't looked yet but agree with that strategy..go to the 3rd or 4th rated euro if the cliff is not too steep

[joeyp1222]

Friday nov 6 2021
Breeders cup juvenile fillies turf
RACE 8
Playing only one race friday to try to make a hit. I'm going to key a trifecta key keying
#1 pizza Bianca
#12 malavath

Here's the bet. 50 cent triple
Or $ 1 triple part wheel

1-12 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12-13 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12-13

Playing either a 50 cent triple for $22. Or $1 triple for $44

Good luck and hit a nice bomb
In the 3rd leg


Years ago I made a great trifecta race and played a $1 triple and I played a key using the 12 over 1-3. For a $2 bet and hit for over $2k
IS THIS A OMEN FOR ME?

[Ventura]

Friday nov 6 2021
Breeders cup juvenile fillies turf
RACE 8
Playing only one race friday to try to make a hit. I'm going to key a trifecta key keying
#1 pizza Bianca
#12 malavath

Here's the bet. 50 cent triple
Or $ 1 triple part wheel

1-12 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12-13 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12-13

Playing either a 50 cent triple for $22. Or $1 triple for $44

Good luck and hit a nice bomb
In the 3rd leg


Years ago I made a great trifecta race and played a $1 triple and I played a key using the 12 over 1-3. For a $2 bet and hit for over $2k
IS THIS A OMEN FOR ME?

I think your math is a little off here. That play would be $132 for $0.50. I also wouldn’t omit the 14. I hit the 14 on debut and in the jessamine, she can flat out roll in the lane. Bejarano will find a way to save some ground with this horse despite being marooned wide.

[Seattle Slew]

I've been trying to beat Letruska all year, only did it once with Shedaresthedevil. I'm throwing her out again, but won't be surprised if she wins. She's so fast early nobody can keep up with her. But maybe someone will on Saturday. I thought for sure she was stopping in her Saratoga race and somehow she still won.

War Like Goddess is interesting. She has beaten nobody, so I think she's going to be way overbet.

I'm playing against Jackie's Warrior in the sprint, with Dr Schivel.

[Ventura]

I've been trying to beat Letruska all year, only did it once with Shedaresthedevil. I'm throwing her out again, but won't be surprised if she wins. She's so fast early nobody can keep up with her. But maybe someone will on Saturday. I thought for sure she was stopping in her Saratoga race and somehow she still won.

War Like Goddess is interesting. She has beaten nobody, so I think she's going to be way overbet.

I'm playing against Jackie's Warrior in the sprint, with Dr Schivel.

I agree that War Like Goddess has beaten nobody but I think the ML is off, I could be wrong but I see her in the 6/1-7/1 range. The euros will be bet.

I’m trying to not overthink the sprint and just using Jackie’s Warrior and Dr. Schivel multi race wagers and moving.

One horse I’m anxious about is Dakota Gold in the juvenile turf. If can get 8/1 on this horse I’ll be doing cartwheels.

[Seattle Slew]

I'm seeing some good win odds on Bovada for some of these horses. Schivel is 6-1, Domestic Spending 4-1 and Essential Quality 3-1. I think those are higher on those horses than we'll get Saturday. No way Schivel is 6-1 in the sprint. I see him 3-1 as the second choice.

I agree that War Like Goddess has beaten nobody but I think the ML is off, I could be wrong but I see her in the 6/1-7/1 range. The euros will be bet.

I’m trying to not overthink the sprint and just using Jackie’s Warrior and Dr. Schivel multi race wagers and moving.

One horse I’m anxious about is Dakota Gold in the juvenile turf. If can get 8/1 on this horse I’ll be doing cartwheels.

[Easy-Rider 66]

I'm seeing some good win odds on Bovada for some of these horses. Schivel is 6-1, Domestic Spending 4-1 and Essential Quality 3-1. I think those are higher on those horses than we'll get Saturday. No way Schivel is 6-1 in the sprint. I see him 3-1 as the second choice.

Domestic spending a scratch along with United for that race. 2 also draw in.

[BigJay]

GL Kona Have not looked it over yet but think I am going with Bruno at the works picks this year. Burnt from capping. I know "The Super Screener" said throw out Golden Pal. See what happens

Quick question Easy Rider, how would I get the Bruno picks you were talking about for all the BC races Fri and Sat?

I haven’t spent nearly as much time paying attention to or handicapping as I normally do. Don’t see that changing before post time tomorrow.

Still, I’d like to go put $60 to win on each of the races and maybe take a flyer on a few pick threes.

I was wondering if you were going to post the picks you were going to base your plays off of.

Thanks!

[Jowframs]

Out of 14 horses
10-14 very tough posts to be at Del Mar on the turf routeing
Imo

[Easy-Rider 66]

Quick question Easy Rider, how would I get the Bruno picks you were talking about for all the BC races Fri and Sat?

I haven’t spent nearly as much time paying attention to or handicapping as I normally do. Don’t see that changing before post time tomorrow.

Still, I’d like to go put $60 to win on each of the races and maybe take a flyer on a few pick threes.

I was wondering if you were going to post the picks you were going to base your plays off of.

Thanks!

yeah probably will not be posting plays Jay. And I am only purchasing the picks/analysis for Sat card. If you are interested in buying it would recommend Brisnet.com. go to the picks section and you will see it. it's about $30 for SAT card. Any other questions hit me back. Good luck. you can also visit Bruno at the works website but BRIS is easier to navigate imo.

[BigJay]

yeah probably will not be posting plays Jay. And I am only purchasing the picks/analysis for Sat card. If you are interested in buying it would recommend Brisnet.com. go to the picks section and you will see it. it's about $30 for SAT card. Any other questions hit me back. Good luck. you can also visit Bruno at the works website but BRIS is easier to navigate imo.

Thanks. Yeah I found my way to Bruno at the works website and was confused as hell. I’ll try through Brisnet. Wonder if he’ll do a 14-race BC deal or I’d just have to get Fri and Sat?

[Easy-Rider 66]

Thanks. Yeah I found my way to Bruno at the works website and was confused as hell. I’ll try through Brisnet. Wonder if he’ll do a 14-race BC deal or I’d just have to get Fri and Sat?

yeah it about $30 each day. supposedly full card picks including non breeders cup races from DMR each day as well.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Jack Christopher scratched from the Juvenile

[littlekona]

Jack Christopher scratched from the Juvenile

yea I saw. Man I hate that when your against a strong chalk and they scratch

[str]

The main track was a merry go round yesterday. Speed was so dominant it was embarrassing.

Hopefully today the main track will be fairer.

Keep an eye out for that in the early races. More than just the first as even a fair track will favor speed in the 1st race if it has been rolled, watered , sealed and baked by the sun, then lightly harrowed minutes before the 1st race.

Most players handicap assuming a fair, even track. Yesterday was not. Hopefully today is.

GL everyone.

[littlekona]

The main track was a merry go round yesterday. Speed was so dominant it was embarrassing.

Hopefully today the main track will be fairer.

Keep an eye out for that in the early races. More than just the first as even a fair track will favor speed in the 1st race if it has been rolled, watered , sealed and baked by the sun, then lightly harrowed minutes before the 1st race.

Most players handicap assuming a fair, even track. Yesterday was not. Hopefully today is.

GL everyone.

Turf course rail was out yesterday. Not sure if its at 0 then next two days but if it is favors closers. Tracks always want that hard dirt track that brings track record times. Delmar is unique with the sandy dirt always been know as the track you can close on BUT they can change that. One thing to be careful of in the Breeders Cup races is if you think there is a bias the 1 hour between races can change that pretty quick

[Ventura]

Turf course rail was out yesterday. Not sure if its at 0 then next two days but if it is favors closers. Tracks always want that hard dirt track that brings track record times. Delmar is unique with the sandy dirt always been know as the track you can close on BUT they can change that. One thing to be careful of in the Breeders Cup races is if you think there is a bias the 1 hour between races can change that pretty quick

Turf course at 0 starting today. Has been at 30 up through yesterday.

[str]

Turf course rail was out yesterday. Not sure if its at 0 then next two days but if it is favors closers. Tracks always want that hard dirt track that brings track record times. Delmar is unique with the sandy dirt always been know as the track you can close on BUT they can change that. One thing to be careful of in the Breeders Cup races is if you think there is a bias the 1 hour between races can change that pretty quick

Pretty sure it is at zero ft. Saw the maintenance crew setting the rail just after the last race yesterday. Double check that but looked like it too me. Good to know about that course.

Absolutely right about the long breaks between races. The sun can really play tricks with the surface. Not if its a great "rail" or a dead rail but if it is speed from anywhere, it sure can. Great info Kona.
GL today !

[Jowframs]

Friday nov 6 2021
Breeders cup juvenile fillies turf
RACE 8
Playing only one race friday to try to make a hit. I'm going to key a trifecta key keying
#1 pizza Bianca
#12 malavath

Here's the bet. 50 cent triple
Or $ 1 triple part wheel

1-12 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12-13 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12-13

Playing either a 50 cent triple for $22. Or $1 triple for $44

Good luck and hit a nice bomb
In the 3rd leg


Years ago I made a great trifecta race and played a $1 triple and I played a key using the 12 over 1-3. For a $2 bet and hit for over $2k
IS THIS A OMEN FOR ME?

Bang!!BANG!

[littlekona]

wow what a joke the breeders cup is that's pathetic what just happened

[Jowframs]

wow what a joke the breeders cup is that's pathetic what just happened

Unbelievable
period!

[Seattle Slew]

Beat both of my chalk go againsts, Jackie's Warrior and Latruska, and lost two of the most brutal photos in my life. Dr Schival in the Sprint and Dunbar Road in the Distaff. They both looked like they won the shutter cam replay. Lost both.

[littlekona]

Beat both of my chalk go againsts, Jackie's Warrior and Latruska, and lost two of the most brutal photos in my life. Dr Schival in the Sprint and Dunbar Road in the Distaff. They both looked like they won the shutter cam replay. Lost both.

yea I lost both that one plus the Marche Lorraine one which I thought Dunbar Road got up. Both an less then a inch and both sick. I make a fortune if they both win BUT the Dunbar Road I was most upset about but that racing. I broke even on BC races but inch away like you could of been a monster day