2yo maiden special weights @ large tracks through keeneland spring '22

[JBEX]

9/1 ****

saratoga

R3 #1 static fire (5-1) 3WP




colonial


R9 #11 musical king (5-1) 3WP


WINNER $6.10/4.40 (15.75/6)
put @ 7-1 (6)

[15.75/12]<<< (2)


9/2 ***

del mar


R2 #4 one time mark (5-1) 3WP
R4 #2 brandon'smylawyer (5-2) 4W

out @ 13-1(6)
WINNER $5.40 (10.80/4)

[10.80/10] <<<(2)


9/3 ***

saratoga


R2 #2 nay say (7-2) 2WP
R6 #2 howumakeurmoney(7-2) 3WP


del mar

R5 #4 street humor (12-1) 3WP

3rd @ 6-1 (6)
WINNER $6.30/3.80 (15.15/6)
2nd @ 15-1 $15.00 (22.50/6)

[37.65/18] <<< (3)




9/4 ***

sara

R6 #2 i'll figure it out (12-1) 3WP
R7 #1 trafalgar (10-1) 3WP

out @ 8-1 (6)
2nd @ 9-1 $10.40 (15.60/6)

[15.60/12]<<< (2)


9/5 ***


kentucky downs

R4 #8 rocket one (8-1) 3WP
R6 #9 scattershack (8-1) 3WP
R8 #10 queen judith (8-1) 3WP


saratoga

R1 #9 s oh s(15-1) 3WP
R1 #3 love to run (6-1) 2W


R7 #2 classy edition (9-5) 6W
R8 #5 li li bear (5-1) 3WP


WINNER $9.00/4.80 (20.70/6)
4th @ 13-1 (6)
WINNER $15.60/9.60 (37.80/6)

out @ 12s
2nd @ 5-2 (8)s

WINNER $3.30 (9.90/6)
out @ 6-1 (6)

[68.40/38]<<< (6)




9/6 ***

saratoga


R2 #4 belarus (5-2) 3WP
R7 #10 pine valley (8-1) 3WP
R8 #6 old school (5-1) 3WP

SLOPPY
MUDDY
OFF TURF

[0/0]



9/7 ***

indiana

R7 #6 bold bizness (7-2) 4WP

2nd @ 2-1 $3.60

[7.20/8] <<< (2)


9/10 ***

gulfstream

R5 #8 palmach (7-2) 3WP


laurel


R7 #4 trust daddy (5-1) 3WP

out @ 4-1 (6)
2nd @ 3-1 $5.00 (7.50/6)

[7.50/12] <<< (2)





9/11 ***


kentucky

R5 #1 macadamia (15-1) 3WP
R5 #8 hype house (12-1)2W

R11 #2 baj (8-1) 3WP


los alamitos

R9 #5 elevado (5-2) 3WP

out @ 33
out @ 9-2 (8) 1 race
out @ 7-2 (6)
out @ 7-2 (6)


[0/20] <<< (3)



9/12 ***

kentucky

R1 #4 candy kick (10-1) 3WP
R6 #2 dowagaic chief (9-2) 4WP

out @ 4-1 (6)
WINNER $14.40/7.00

[42.80/14] <<< (2)


9/14 ***

indiana

R6 #8 barstow (3-1) 6W

9/15 ***

delaware

R3 #2 amarillo (8-1) 3WP


out @ 8-1 (6)
3rd @ 16-1 (6)

[0/12] <<< (2) 9/14-15


9/16 ***

cd

r5 #10 sutherland (12-1) 3WP


canterbury

R7 #10 indy lead (12-1) 2WP


out @ 22-1 (6)
out@ 15-1 (4)

[0/10] <<< (2)


9/17


churchill


R7


#2 kant believe it (6-1) 3WP



#5 southern miss (12-1) 2W


belmont

R4 #10 old school out @ 7-1 (8)



WINNER $21.20/5.40 (39.90/6)
out @ 25-1(2) same
out @ 7-1 (8)

[39.90/16] <<< (2)



9/18


belmont

hopefully remains on the turf as there was rain last night


R1 #6 skylander (6-1) 3WP



R5 #1 kant hurry love (9-2) 3WP


R6 #4 tout ensemble (4-1) 4WP


laurel


R7 #4 rookieoftheyear (6-1) 3WP




churchill



R4 #2 legendary lore (10-1) 3WP
R5 #5 seal beach (9-2) 3WP


out @ 14-1 (6)
2nd @ 5-1 head $5.90 (8.85/6)
out @ 8-1 (8)
out @ 5-1 (6)
WINNER $74.60/23.80 (147.60/6)
2nd @ 4-1 $4.40 (6.60/6)

[163.05/38] <<< (6)



9/19


belmont

R6 #4 i'm over u (12-1) 3WP

churchill

R8 #5 out dancing (7-2) 3WP


monmouth

R1 #4 running bee (5-1) 2WP


out @ 37-1 (6)
4th @ 4-1 (6)
2nd @ 5-1 (5.50/4)

[5.50/16] <<< (3)



WILL TALLY NEXT POST..PITFA BUT MY OWN FAULT

[JBEX]

(races) return/risk [roi] 1.00 even


[15.75/12]<<< (2)
[10.80/10] <<<(2)
[37.65/18] <<< (3)
[15.60/12]<<< (2)
[68.40/38]<<< (6)
[0/0] OFF TRACK
[7.20/8] <<< (2)
[7.50/12] <<< (2)
[0/20] <<< (3)
[42.80/14] <<< (2)
[0/12] <<< (2) 9/14-15
[0/10] <<< (2)
[39.90/16] <<< (2)
[163.05/38] <<< (6)
[5.50/16] <<< (3)



208.45 414.15
42.80 205.70
14.70 162.90
84.00 148.20
64.20

(39) 414.15/236 recent
(83) 528.95/519 [1.01] old

(122) 943.10/755 [1.24] new


(plays) return/risk [roi] 1.00 even

[JBEX]

indiana


R7 #8 cast iron alex (30-1) 2WP

think it might be sloppy by then in which case it's no play

remington wednesday


R5 #7 wildstarinthesky (10-1) 3WP

sloppy
out @ 24-1

(2) [0/6]

(124) 943.10/761 [1.23]

(plays) return/risk [roi] 1.00 even

[JBEX]

track has to be muddy or sloppy to be no play..wet fast,sealed tracks have been included as plays..personally I wouldn't play these but want to keep it simple

[JBEX]

belmont

hopefully they stay on the grass

R3 #2 fort washington (6-1) 3WP
R5 #2 sir john (8-1) 2W


churchill

R6 #7 gilded age (12-1) 3WP
R8 #1 scintillating star (4-1) 2WP


remington

R3 #4 wofford (6-1) 3WP (9:03)

2yo fts homebred speed pedigree top and bottom..trainer hot and steady solid works



.

[JBEX]

added cd 6 8

[JBEX]

added rp 3

[JBEX]

belmont

hopefully they stay on the grass

R3 #2 fort washington (6-1) 3WP
R5 #2 sir john (8-1) 2W


churchill

R6 #7 gilded age (12-1) 3WP
R8 #1 scintillating star (4-1) 2WP


remington

R3 #4 wofford (6-1) 3WP (9:03)

2yo fts homebred speed pedigree top and bottom..trainer hot and steady solid works



.

3rd @ 7-1.. nose off 2nd ..top 6 (8 field) <= 1 length from the winner..very wide trip (6)



4th @ 7-1 (4)
4th @ 6-1 (6)
out @ 8-1 (4)
out @ 8-1 (6)

(5) [0/26]

(129) 943.10/787 [1.19]

(plays) return/risk [roi] 1.00 even

[JBEX]

belmont

R2 #6 frosted wild ride (5-1) 2WP

at this ml and minimum bet means minor opinion


churchill

R8 #8 bunduki (10-1) 3WP


gulfstream

R4 #5 gun for success (6-1) 3WP
R9 #4 sequin lady (7-2) 4WP



mth

R2 #5 forever chocolate (7-2) 3W (only)



.

[JBEX]

added gp 4 9

[JBEX]

added mth 2

[JBEX]

belmont

R2 #6 frosted wild ride (5-1) 2WP

at this ml and minimum bet means minor opinion


churchill

R8 #8 bunduki (10-1) 3WP


gulfstream

R4 #5 gun for success (6-1) 3WP
R9 #4 sequin lady (7-2) 4WP



mth

R2 #5 forever chocolate (7-2) 3W (only)



.

no play ..sloppy

[JBEX]

belmont

R6 #2 drosel diem (8-1) 2WP

R9 #7 brady's legacy (10-1) 2WP


churchill

R7 #7 beeasy (6-1) 3WP

[JBEX]

added bel 9 cd 7

[JBEX]

belmont


R6 #11 take charge lisa (15-1) 3WP
R6 #9 trinity titoli (6-1) 2W


gulfstream

R3 #5 kuhl star (6-1) 3WP


churchill

R8 #3 beautiful empire (6-1) 3WP


.




.

[JBEX]

added gulfstream 3 and cd 8


reminder to always check numbers

[JBEX]

indiana

R8 #10 paris kentucky (20-1) 2WP

[JBEX]

indiana

R1 #6 pure rocket (4-1) 4W

[JBEX]

delaware

R4 #4 she's a fast one (6-1) 3WP

[JBEX]

9/24

belmont

R2 #6 frosted wild ride (5-1) 2WP




churchill

R8 #8 bunduki (10-1) 3WP


gulfstream

R4 #5 gun for success (6-1) 3WP
R9 #4 sequin lady (7-2) 4WP



mth

R2 #5 forever chocolate (7-2) 3W (only)



SLOPPY
out @ 5-1 (6)
out @ 13-1 (6)
SCRATCHED
out @ 8-1 (6)

(3) [0/18] <<<








9/25


belmont

R6 #2 drosel diem (8-1) 2WP

R9 #7 brady's legacy (10-1) 2WP


churchill

R7 #7 beeasy (6-1) 3WP



4th @ 8-1 (4)
4th @ 5-1 (4)
out @ 16-1 (6)

(3) [0/14] <<<




9/26

belmont


R6 #11 take charge lisa (15-1) 3WP
R6 #9 trinity titoli (6-1) 2W


gulfstream

R3 #5 kuhl star (6-1) 3WP


churchill

R8 #3 beautiful empire (6-1) 3WP


out @ 43-1 same
4th @ 17-1 (8) same
3rd @ 20-1 (6)
4th @ 4-1 (6)

(3) [0/20] <<<


9/27


indiana

R8 #10 paris kentucky (20-1) 2WP


3rd @ 7-1(4)

(1) [0/4] <<<




9/28


indiana

R1 #6 pure rocket (4-1) 4W


2nd @ 5-2 (4)

(1) [0/4] <<<





9/29


delaware

R4 #4 she's a fast one (6-1) 3WP


out @ 16-1 (6)

(1) [0/6] <<<


________

(3) [0/18]
(3) [0/14]
(3) [0/20]
(1) [0/4]
(1) [0/4]
(1) [0/6]



(129) 943.10/787 [1.19]
(12) 0/66

(141) 943.10/853 [1.10]

[JBEX]

laurel

R3 #6 quality control (8-1) 3WP
R3 #1 qualy (6-1) 2W

can only go 2W on a 2nd horse


gulfstream


R5 #5 r girl's werth it (8-1) 3WP

[JBEX]

belmont

R3 #3 inkblot (20-1) 2WP

homebred firster..like the productive dam and that storm cat is the dam sire..about as classy an influence as there is
..workouts slow as hell and possible that this horse is also but take a shot based on the bottom of the pedigree


churchill


R7 #10 princess pauline (8-1) 3WP


laurel

R3 #3 line change (9-2) 3WP



gulfstream

R5 #4 uptown lights (6-1) 2WP





.



.

[JBEX]

added cd R7

[JBEX]

added lrl and gp

[JBEX]

belmont


R2 #7 sirius princess (5-1) 3WP


R7 #5 puglia (12-1) 2WP

the killer msw race on the undercard of a big race day..wouldn't be surprised if 3 or more who are running here are future stakes winners..going to stick with my expensive for the specs angle here..also aside from chad brown not many others I'd rather have training than clement first start going 7f on the turf..dylan davis has done great riding for him over a limited sample..he also has #4 in this race ridden by jose ortiz @ 5-1 ml




churchill



R6 #7 scratchoff (10-1) 2WP
R7 #6 wolfe county (12-1) 2WP



gulfstream


R7 #4 full disclosure (7-2) 4W



.

[JBEX]

added cd

[JBEX]

added gp 7

[littlekona]

you see JACK CHRISTOPHER the the Champagne S. @ belmont ? I thought the field was rather weak as not a fan of GUNITE. I have singled plus got him @ 3.2 on exchange BUT MAN i wanted to re pop for a few and he literally dropped 2 min to post he dropped from 3.2 to 2.48 in literally seconds on exchange. Thats huge move for easiest of winners. Sharp $$$ at betfair

[JBEX]

you see JACK CHRISTOPHER the the Champagne S. @ belmont ? I thought the field was rather weak as not a fan of GUNITE. I have singled plus got him @ 3.2 on exchange BUT MAN i wanted to re pop for a few and he literally dropped 2 min to post he dropped from 3.2 to 2.48 in literally seconds on exchange. Thats huge move for easiest of winners. Sharp $$$ at betfair

glad you hit..haven't been following today other than some picks in advance..is that an example of the kind of predictive skills you need with a few mins to post ? locking in at the higher price ..there are some who get that right at a high enough rate to make money over time ?

[littlekona]

glad you hit..haven't been following today other than some picks in advance..is that an example of the kind of predictive skills you need with a few mins to post ? locking in at the higher price ..there are some who get that right at a high enough rate to make money over time ?

Exchange is the way to go on win bets..im very happy the exchange recent move to take the Stronach tracks

[JBEX]

churchill

R10 #7 love to run (3-1) 3WP



track could be off by then..still would play but for my records won't count..makes 3rd career starts all separated by exactly 4 weeks..first 2 were at the spa with her debut in a turf route and then finishing 2nd at 7f on the dirt..gets the 1 turn mile today which should be a great fit..this one was extremely expensive for the pedigree which is always a linchpin for me in picking these races


SLOPPY

[JBEX]

delaware

R4 #5 triple tiara (8-1) 4W

homebred with an excellent sire/dam sire combo (class,turf)..bet down to 7-5 in his debut and finished 3rd in a dirt sprint after getting out slow..trainer has had a hard luck meet( 2nd and 3rds) but excels in applicable categories today..sure #2 will be scratched (unless he's running back on 1 days rest) .. clement has #3 balie belle (5-2) who will certainly be the favorite and likely odds on imo

weather iffy today and possible this race will be off the turf in which case it's a no play




indiana

R4 #6 pillow drop (9-2) 3WP

homebred fts with a really nice pedigree for a statebred


R8 #4 shesacleverjustice (20-1) 2WP


.

[JBEX]

added ind 4 8

[JBEX]

indiana (tuesday)


R4 #6 catbrier (5-2) 5W

[JBEX]

delaware (wednesday)

grass only


R6 #6 oliveroroliver (10-1) 3WP

love the name..lot's good going on here with pedigree,trainer jock on fire at the meet and a solid work pattern leading up



remington park

11:51pm
R9 #3 morning twilight (3-1) 6W

can't remember seeing an oklahoma
bred horse cost anywhere near as much at auction as this one did..also qualifies as one where the specs don't warrant it so guessing it might be one of those fast work at the sales types..asmussen and top jock elliot won't help the price..probably odds on or thereabouts




.