2yo maiden special weights @ large tracks through keeneland spring '22

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23077

    #246
    kentucky

    R5

    #1 macadamia (15-1) 3WP

    homebred fts with a 6 figure euro sire I've never heard of..rail excellent in sprints

    #8 hype house (12-1)2W



    R11 #2 baj (8-1) 3WP


    .
    los alamitos


    R9 #5 elevado (5-2) 3WP

    sar/dmr quality field here..nice balance with this one..above avg debut sire,exp for specs and trainer who offers excellent value with debuters..solid work pattern

    believe there was a big price firster either today or yesterday by same sire at kentucky downs
    Last edited by JBEX; 09-11-21, 04:43 PM.
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    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23077

      #247
      added 11
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23077

        #248
        added alamitos 9
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23077

          #249
          kentucky



          R1 #4 candy kick (10-1) 3WP

          R6 #2 dowagaic chief (9-2) 4WP

          nice route foundation (multiple races)under him for the cutback ..cost a decent amount for the pedigree..saez/amoss





          .
          Last edited by JBEX; 09-12-21, 10:16 AM.
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          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23077

            #250
            added R6
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            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23077

              #251
              indiana

              R6 #8 barstow (3-1) 6W
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23077

                #252
                know I have a lot of catching up to do grading/tallying


                delaware

                R3 #2 amarillo (8-1) 3WP

                homebred fts by runhappy out of an extremely productive dam..steady works at fair hill training center going back to june so should be plenty legged up
                Comment
                • littlekona
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-19-15
                  • 5242

                  #253
                  Originally posted by JBEX
                  indiana

                  R6 #8 barstow (3-1) 6W
                  think he wants longer. he was hustled out of gate but still last. looks to me he will be a route front runner
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23077

                    #254
                    Originally posted by littlekona
                    think he wants longer. he was hustled out of gate but still last. looks to me he will be a route front runner
                    possibly..would of liked to see him more midpack for that though..maybe they'll throw some blinkers on him
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23077

                      #255
                      cd r5 #10 sutherland (12-1) 3WP
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23077

                        #256
                        canterbury

                        R7 #10 indy lead (12-1) 2WP
                        Last edited by JBEX; 09-17-21, 10:37 AM.
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23077

                          #257
                          churchill


                          R7


                          #2 kant believe it (6-1) 3WP

                          name I like for a 2yo fts..seriously pedigree specs and trainer stats are excellent

                          #5 southern miss (12-1) 2W




                          belmont


                          R4 #10 old school (4-1) 4WP


                          full of expensive well bred horses but a homebred fts by frankel out of a monteju mare is something that's better than any us pedigree..you don't see these type of bloodlines for a debuter here that often


                          .
                          Last edited by JBEX; 09-17-21, 11:10 AM.
                          Comment
                          • littlekona
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-19-15
                            • 5242

                            #258
                            WOW Race 4 Belmont. Rough run race from start BUT WOW. I had the 3 Gal in a Rush heavy in Muti and WPS. Unreall won the head bob by a whisker for second and gets moved up to win becaue the easy winner caused the 7 to lose second. If the 7 is second they never take winner down. Thats the luckiest Ive been in a long time BTW Chad Brown the #4 thats even more incredicle they take Chad down
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23077

                              #259
                              Originally posted by littlekona
                              WOW Race 4 Belmont. Rough run race from start BUT WOW. I had the 3 Gal in a Rush heavy in Muti and WPS. Unreall won the head bob by a whisker for second and gets moved up to win becaue the easy winner caused the 7 to lose second. If the 7 is second they never take winner down. Thats the luckiest Ive been in a long time BTW Chad Brown the #4 thats even more incredicle they take Chad down
                              yeah that's amazingly good luck..congrats

                              find in general they're a little more lenient with 2yo msw's but he really came into the 7 hard..but you're right with it's a chad brown fts who wins easy and big..figure that would hold some weight in this situation. not a horrible scenario as they win $18k for 2nd and will probably take down the winner's share next out..now that I've jinxed her I will be taking a shot against next start lol
                              Comment
                              • littlekona
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-19-15
                                • 5242

                                #260
                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                yeah that's amazingly good luck..congrats

                                find in general they're a little more lenient with 2yo msw's but he really came into the 7 hard..but you're right with it's a chad brown fts who wins easy and big..figure that would hold some weight in this situation. not a horrible scenario as they win $18k for 2nd and will probably take down the winner's share next out..now that I've jinxed her I will be taking a shot against next start lol
                                with it being so late in the 2 year old season i have been seeing lots of dead on the board win. You would think the morning guys would have a better clue by now.
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23077

                                  #261
                                  Originally posted by littlekona
                                  with it being so late in the 2 year old season i have been seeing lots of dead on the board win. You would think the morning guys would have a better clue by now.
                                  I think it's just very hard to do..they probably have a good idea by connections and pedigree info (or if they've run already)what it should be and then you get some in the supposedly "in the know" money..but of course that's no guarantee and then you get chad or todd at a big price on occasion like yesterday
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23077

                                    #262
                                    belmont

                                    hopefully remains on the turf as there was rain last night


                                    R1 #6 skylander (6-1) 3WP

                                    the 3 big pedigrees in this race are all homebreds and a 4th from shug is a 2nd time starter..trying to beat todd (#7 @ 3-1 one of them)..best combo trainer stats and pedigree imo..mott occasionally will surprise with a firster which is no surprise with the stock that he gets


                                    belmont


                                    R5 #1 kant hurry love (9-2) 3WP


                                    R6 #4 tout ensemble (4-1) 4WP

                                    caught mud first out and was off slow in debut..expensive for the specs,chad brown and see improvement..solid field
                                    with some big pedigree horses



                                    laurel


                                    R7 #4 rookieoftheyear (6-1) 3WP




                                    churchill



                                    R4 #2 legendary lore (10-1) 3WP


                                    R5 #5 seal beach (9-2) 3WP





                                    .
                                    Last edited by JBEX; 09-18-21, 04:08 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23077

                                      #263
                                      added belmont 5

                                      going to put this all together in the next few days (grade and tally)
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23077

                                        #264
                                        added bel 6
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23077

                                          #265
                                          added churchill 3
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23077

                                            #266
                                            added churchill 5
                                            Comment
                                            • Jellymancan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-09-20
                                              • 3686

                                              #267
                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                              added churchill 5
                                              Nice hit. Huge overlay. I'm a big fan of Morey.
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23077

                                                #268
                                                Originally posted by Jellymancan
                                                Nice hit. Huge overlay. I'm a big fan of Morey.
                                                thanks jelly

                                                public sees that unimpressive debut at elp and dismiss him.. maybe part of it was due to slow pace but I figure a good run around the track for experience.. prestige aside a lot nicer to win at cd for $127k vs ellis at $51k .. then the fact he's an expensive horse and also would say exp for the pedigree but not overwhelming like others I've seen..you're right about morey as he has some of the best numbers I've seen with maidens ,2yo's and 2nd time out horses over a sizeable sample
                                                Comment
                                                • littlekona
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-19-15
                                                  • 5242

                                                  #269
                                                  SKYLERVILLE Race 6 Woodbine
                                                  thoughts on this 2 year old? looks to me as a stand out off first race route duel and fade. the race came back very strong now shortens up and shows up in Toronto for a huge purse maiden race. Love the connections top jock kills price even more first time lasix too. probably goes off 7/5 or so maybe the 6 helps price a bit as he was in stakes race ran 3rd last out and the 3 w Casse training always get some action
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23077

                                                    #270
                                                    Originally posted by littlekona
                                                    SKYLERVILLE Race 6 Woodbine
                                                    thoughts on this 2 year old? looks to me as a stand out off first race route duel and fade. the race came back very strong now shortens up and shows up in Toronto for a huge purse maiden race. Love the connections top jock kills price even more first time lasix too. probably goes off 7/5 or so maybe the 6 helps price a bit as he was in stakes race ran 3rd last out and the 3 w Casse training always get some action
                                                    a stickout and I'd say you're right with the odds..remember this one from saratoga and might have even picked her (could check that) ..very exp/specs which I always emphasize and thomas is a fantastic trainer..cutback to 7f is perfect as you said and they gave the pace as fast with the brisnet figs..works following the race were sharp
                                                    Comment
                                                    • littlekona
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-19-15
                                                      • 5242

                                                      #271
                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                      a stickout and I'd say you're right with the odds..remember this one from saratoga and might have even picked her (could check that) ..very exp/specs which I always emphasize and thomas is a fantastic trainer..cutback to 7f is perfect as you said and they gave the pace as fast with the brisnet figs..works following the race were sharp
                                                      Ty...Basically a 2 year old stake race here minus the NY or Kentucky quality...how they can offer purses like this i cant figure..its higher then Kentucky downs even...nuts...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23077

                                                        #272
                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                        saratoga

                                                        R2 #5 skylerville (5-1) 4WP

                                                        both mine and the 3 are fts and not only expensive but expensive relative to the pedigree and they are not borderline cases.. 3 mega expensive.. trainer info on both very similar. going with the cheaper.. johnny v who won the saratoga derby yesterday is riding.. also mine has a quick work on the grass at the saratoga training track



                                                        R6 #9 li li bear (9-2) 4WP

                                                        normally only like to go firster in these types..like the slow fade line exiting a very fast race that was over this track.. dam sire "indian charlie" one of the better (if not the best) win early, class and speed influences there is

                                                        I did
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23077

                                                          #273
                                                          Originally posted by littlekona
                                                          Ty...Basically a 2 year old stake race here minus the NY or Kentucky quality...how they can offer purses like this i cant figure..its higher then Kentucky downs even...nuts...
                                                          " (includes $31,000 State Bred includes
                                                          $23,800 Other Sources plus $16,825 Other Sources) "

                                                          $40k in other sources (whatever that is) plus I guess you get more if you're an ontario bred
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23077

                                                            #274
                                                            belmont

                                                            R6 #4 i'm over u (12-1) 3WP

                                                            churchill

                                                            R8 #5 out dancing (7-2) 3WP


                                                            monmouth

                                                            R1 #4 running bee (5-1) 2WP

                                                            half hour to post so going minimum..haven't seen odds





                                                            .
                                                            Last edited by JBEX; 09-19-21, 10:22 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23077

                                                              #275
                                                              added cd 8
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                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23077

                                                                #276
                                                                added mth 1
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                                                                • littlekona
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-19-15
                                                                  • 5242

                                                                  #277
                                                                  SKYLERVILLE perfect trip winner right off the speed and stuborn one at that 40-1 first timer game. Proved best bet down to 4/5 got him in exchange @ 2.4.
                                                                  Too much class I'll take it
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23077

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Originally posted by littlekona
                                                                    SKYLERVILLE perfect trip winner right off the speed and stuborn one at that 40-1 first timer game. Proved best bet down to 4/5 got him in exchange @ 2.4.
                                                                    Too much class I'll take it
                                                                    so when were you able to get him @ 2.4..about 5 mtp ??
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23077

                                                                      #279
                                                                      indiana


                                                                      R7 #8 cast iron alex (30-1) 2WP

                                                                      think it might be sloppy by then in which case it's no play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23077

                                                                        #280
                                                                        remington wednesday


                                                                        R5 #7 wildstarinthesky (10-1) 3WP
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