thursday

[JBEX]

track ratings.. level of confidence, combined with quality of product

*** nyra/gulfstream/keeneland
** meadowlands, hong kong, churchill, oaklawn, maryland, delaware, socal
* small harness, small flats

some idea, not going to put them all but that covers most


[xx] rating today
[xx] (x) today, actual rating.. playing different than actual rating (infrequent)





belmont [***]

R2 #3 cosmic kitten (10-1)msw thread play
R6 #5 secret love (9-2)
R9 #11 vitanza (12-1)


churchill [**]

R1 #3 spend benjamins (4-1)
R2 #10 fast recovery (12-1)
R3 #5 mau mau (3-1)
R4 #2 light in the dark (10-1) think lower
R5 #8 alejandro (5-2) also should be lower
R6 #10 subdued (8-1)
R9 #3 swill (4-1) maiden thread





*

[JBEX]

added churchill

[homerbush]

Ugh I’m having one of those days at Belmont of good picks and wrong bets had I skipped the pick 6 and say bet the pick 5 i would be alive with a good chance or had I just started a pick three in race 6 with the same horses I would have spent $16 and gotten back over $3200.

[homerbush]

I should have rebet pick 5 when my pick 6 died but that’s gets costly because when do you stop

[hawkwind]

totally understand i do the same thing, would a could a should have I never seem to learn on the train in my room betting the ponies travelling from ftl to nc good luck with the rest of your wagers guys bring home the bacon $$$$$

[homerbush]

totally understand i do the same thing, would a could a should have I never seem to learn on the train in my room betting the ponies travelling from ftl to nc good luck with the rest of your wagers guys bring home the bacon $$$$$

There are just days when you are completely wrong and you just rebet your pick 6 as a pick 4 or pick 5 and lose and then chase the late double and lose then there are the days where you just have one wrong race and wish you rebet everything possible.

[hawkwind]

U R absolutely Correct

[homerbush]

I guess the question is should I be excited about my possible 5/6 consolations since 5/6 pays or cry over the $42,000 pick 5 probable hahaha.

[homerbush]

Saddest thing is the horse I missed so far was the post time favorite. Reminds me of some other pick 6s where I had the 45-1 horse but not the 8-5 horse hahaha.

[JBEX]

I think the pick 6 is a horrible bet until it builds up to a big pool.. understand it's a 20 cent base bet but it's highly unlikely they'll be 1 winning ticket and the juice is absolutely outrageous.. they're carrying forward 25% of the days take if nobody has a single and then the pick 6 take on top of that which I'm guessing is mid to low 20's.. I'd stick to 3's and 5's