churchill
R2 #7 baytown bear (20-1)
think this a below avg group of specials.. could see last as a launching point for an improvement
R3 #1 bulletin (7-2)
has had many excuses since his early success as a turf sprinter.. wrong distance, surface, class and blinkers.. last a nice primer coming off the long layoff
R5 #5 pow wow prince (6-1)
a little disappointed that he's up for $20k but not real scary.. transpose the keeneland race from last October on this field he'd be tough.. sloppy track 2 back and a poor start last off the long layoff vs better.. ran a very even race back of the pack and I give some credit for that.. works leading up at palm meadows were very solid
R8 #5 earner (6-1)
lots of expensive horses but this one is relatively (as I often say).. even though it's his 3rd career start will try again in a very competitive field ..like the name also
R9 #6 twenty twice (10-1)
fts and I would call this one on the expensive side for the specs but not outrageously so..solid works leading up and jock below the radar decent turf rider
I've been checking dam records beyond the pp's on a lot of these
belmont
R1 #2 wink (6-1)
R4 #9 make a stand (8-1)
even effort behind slow pace in debut
maiden breaker dropping to highest level mdn clm next out..
similarly pace compromised last out and pace (figs) behind much slower than debut
trainer change (todd no use for $40k mdn clmer) to trombetta (solid)
sharp works coming in
R5 #6 helen by night (15-1)
R5 #9 lovely escort (20-1)
2 horses R5
R7 from comment in old (msw) contest thread (I'm done with it)
great race and will probably be a contest play...between #4 and #9 for me..both cost a bunch relative with the latter an extraordinary multiple. .60x the stallion fee with what i would consider minor production on the bottom..linda rice good msw but below avg firsters..like to see this one played a bit..higher than ml probably dead..the 4 besides what I said castellano riding for gleaves?,who has popped at least 1 monster vs specials in a debut..working like she means it ..may play them both
R9 #9 my boy tate (12-1)
hoping blewitt #5 can keep the pace a little honest with the fave #7 buff (6-5) but no question the latter is the quicker horse.. an off the charts race for the fav last out and sometimes a horse will react to that.. really impressed how mine has run off that very long layoff and don't think the mile will be an issue.. like that he has a lot of extended sprint running experience.. if there is a battle up front or fave is not himself like my chances
R10 #7 stare decisis (4-1)
bred top and bottom for 1 1/4 miles turf.. like a slow fade line and a stretch out off a faster than avg race.. gets the superior ortiz brother (other last time)
R10 #3 sandro the great (12-1) half unit
not a horrible effort in an off the turf maiden first out.. class, distance and turf all there for this homebred...solid work pattern.. clement also doesn't hurt
R2 #7 baytown bear (20-1)
think this a below avg group of specials.. could see last as a launching point for an improvement
R3 #1 bulletin (7-2)
has had many excuses since his early success as a turf sprinter.. wrong distance, surface, class and blinkers.. last a nice primer coming off the long layoff
R5 #5 pow wow prince (6-1)
a little disappointed that he's up for $20k but not real scary.. transpose the keeneland race from last October on this field he'd be tough.. sloppy track 2 back and a poor start last off the long layoff vs better.. ran a very even race back of the pack and I give some credit for that.. works leading up at palm meadows were very solid
R8 #5 earner (6-1)
lots of expensive horses but this one is relatively (as I often say).. even though it's his 3rd career start will try again in a very competitive field ..like the name also
R9 #6 twenty twice (10-1)
fts and I would call this one on the expensive side for the specs but not outrageously so..solid works leading up and jock below the radar decent turf rider
I've been checking dam records beyond the pp's on a lot of these
belmont
R1 #2 wink (6-1)
R4 #9 make a stand (8-1)
even effort behind slow pace in debut
maiden breaker dropping to highest level mdn clm next out..
similarly pace compromised last out and pace (figs) behind much slower than debut
trainer change (todd no use for $40k mdn clmer) to trombetta (solid)
sharp works coming in
R5 #6 helen by night (15-1)
R5 #9 lovely escort (20-1)
2 horses R5
R7 from comment in old (msw) contest thread (I'm done with it)
great race and will probably be a contest play...between #4 and #9 for me..both cost a bunch relative with the latter an extraordinary multiple. .60x the stallion fee with what i would consider minor production on the bottom..linda rice good msw but below avg firsters..like to see this one played a bit..higher than ml probably dead..the 4 besides what I said castellano riding for gleaves?,who has popped at least 1 monster vs specials in a debut..working like she means it ..may play them both
R9 #9 my boy tate (12-1)
hoping blewitt #5 can keep the pace a little honest with the fave #7 buff (6-5) but no question the latter is the quicker horse.. an off the charts race for the fav last out and sometimes a horse will react to that.. really impressed how mine has run off that very long layoff and don't think the mile will be an issue.. like that he has a lot of extended sprint running experience.. if there is a battle up front or fave is not himself like my chances
R10 #7 stare decisis (4-1)
bred top and bottom for 1 1/4 miles turf.. like a slow fade line and a stretch out off a faster than avg race.. gets the superior ortiz brother (other last time)
R10 #3 sandro the great (12-1) half unit
not a horrible effort in an off the turf maiden first out.. class, distance and turf all there for this homebred...solid work pattern.. clement also doesn't hurt
