belmont
R2 #3 charge ahead (12-1)
2 clear excuses last 2 (lost footing, 1st blinks back off today).. if poly efforts transfer to turf here could be tough vs this field.. horse can run fresh.. think this is a bad ml
R3 #2 life changer (10-1) 3WP contest vs kid
this firster cost a bunch relative to the pedigree specs(that always includes dam's race and production record along with stallion fee)..dam sire an oldie but he was a son of mr prospector and strictly speed.. terranova has popped with at least 1 big price msw winner before.. one of the best % sprint riders named.. and of course like the ultra positive name which I've mentioned before as being a plus factor for me
R4 #4 political (12-1)
2yo effort vs specials on the turf not bad and I do factor in that it was done early..legit excuses after that (post, off tracks) below the radar trainer has good numbers in many applicable categories
R5 #6 blinkster (4-1)
comment on the favorite #1 (5-2) I question the layoff from may last year to his last race in feburary which was a very dull effort.. had to be something wrong to stop right in prime season.. mine solid effort in the much tougher holly hughes stakes last out.. possible subpar efforts 2 and 3 back due to rail breaks (slop 2 back) low mileage 5yo gelding whose trainer does very well at this level of competition
R6 #5 instilled regard (7-2)
R7 #1 endorsed (6-1)
R8 #1 viadera (6-1)
R9 #5 network effect (8-1) ml ??
R10 #4 tale of the union (8-5)
churchill
R2 #2 mania (15-1)
firster with below the radar trainer that does good work with maiden claimers.. above average win early pedigree
R3 #2 juliana (15-1)
intriguing.. classy peruvian marathon runner.. I actually like a back of the pack fade line at a middle distance with a stretchout and drop to a marathon
R3 #3 over thinking
a win and a loss by a neck at marathon turf routes (going to include a 1 3/16 at keeneland in with that) to me legit excuses for two of the bad efforts in these types of races.. kentucky downs (view that like extra credit if you do well there) and a ridiculously slow pace (understatement) 3 back at keeneland.. bad post even back of the pack run last out and even with that the figure was very good.. 4/5 favorite #4 comes out of that race and hoping for a bounce from her after running a figure she'd never come close to prior
2 horses R3
R4 #2 whiskey chaser (15-1)
R5 #6 booyakasha (8-1)
R7 #5 america's surprise (8-1) kid contest
R8 #6 volatile (2-1)
R9 #3 ikeisgreat (5-1)
R10 #5 magic dance (7-2)
monster pedigree and that's still important to me in only her 5th careercomes back almost a year to the day he broke her maiden here in her debut ..followed that up with a listed stakes victory..excuses last 2
santa anita derby
R8 #4 anneau d'or (15-1)
risen star 2 back was first time blinkers and really bad trip.. last no question a disappointment.. i'll take a small shot that this one can come back to his california 2yo form.. his breeders cup juvenile (here) was a better race then any of the others in here have ever run
R10 hollywood gold cup
#5 improbable (2-1)
think he'll get the distance based on triple crown efforts last year
R11 #7 homehome (6-1)
..
R2 #3 charge ahead (12-1)
2 clear excuses last 2 (lost footing, 1st blinks back off today).. if poly efforts transfer to turf here could be tough vs this field.. horse can run fresh.. think this is a bad ml
R3 #2 life changer (10-1) 3WP contest vs kid
this firster cost a bunch relative to the pedigree specs(that always includes dam's race and production record along with stallion fee)..dam sire an oldie but he was a son of mr prospector and strictly speed.. terranova has popped with at least 1 big price msw winner before.. one of the best % sprint riders named.. and of course like the ultra positive name which I've mentioned before as being a plus factor for me
R4 #4 political (12-1)
2yo effort vs specials on the turf not bad and I do factor in that it was done early..legit excuses after that (post, off tracks) below the radar trainer has good numbers in many applicable categories
R5 #6 blinkster (4-1)
comment on the favorite #1 (5-2) I question the layoff from may last year to his last race in feburary which was a very dull effort.. had to be something wrong to stop right in prime season.. mine solid effort in the much tougher holly hughes stakes last out.. possible subpar efforts 2 and 3 back due to rail breaks (slop 2 back) low mileage 5yo gelding whose trainer does very well at this level of competition
R6 #5 instilled regard (7-2)
R7 #1 endorsed (6-1)
R8 #1 viadera (6-1)
R9 #5 network effect (8-1) ml ??
R10 #4 tale of the union (8-5)
churchill
R2 #2 mania (15-1)
firster with below the radar trainer that does good work with maiden claimers.. above average win early pedigree
R3 #2 juliana (15-1)
intriguing.. classy peruvian marathon runner.. I actually like a back of the pack fade line at a middle distance with a stretchout and drop to a marathon
R3 #3 over thinking
a win and a loss by a neck at marathon turf routes (going to include a 1 3/16 at keeneland in with that) to me legit excuses for two of the bad efforts in these types of races.. kentucky downs (view that like extra credit if you do well there) and a ridiculously slow pace (understatement) 3 back at keeneland.. bad post even back of the pack run last out and even with that the figure was very good.. 4/5 favorite #4 comes out of that race and hoping for a bounce from her after running a figure she'd never come close to prior
2 horses R3
R4 #2 whiskey chaser (15-1)
R5 #6 booyakasha (8-1)
R7 #5 america's surprise (8-1) kid contest
R8 #6 volatile (2-1)
R9 #3 ikeisgreat (5-1)
R10 #5 magic dance (7-2)
monster pedigree and that's still important to me in only her 5th careercomes back almost a year to the day he broke her maiden here in her debut ..followed that up with a listed stakes victory..excuses last 2
santa anita derby
R8 #4 anneau d'or (15-1)
risen star 2 back was first time blinkers and really bad trip.. last no question a disappointment.. i'll take a small shot that this one can come back to his california 2yo form.. his breeders cup juvenile (here) was a better race then any of the others in here have ever run
R10 hollywood gold cup
#5 improbable (2-1)
think he'll get the distance based on triple crown efforts last year
R11 #7 homehome (6-1)
..
Off to OTB have monster day JBEX.